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L1 & L2 Predictions > Apr 13th - 17th


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You can tell it's a quiet day when I'm looking at corners markets in Scottish Championship games! :lol

Dunfermline Atheletic v Dundee: Buy Dunfermline corners squared for 2 points at 26 with SPIN and 10 points on them to get >6 corners at 27/10 with Hills

Head to head and home corners stats persuade me these are reasonable bets, though Dundee away corners conceded are a dampener.

Corners squared is literally that so if they get 5 I almost break even (5 x 5 = 25) and 6 or more makes for a profit, the more the merrier. Elsewhere the price is 26-31 so it's a spread free trade (can be bought and sold at the same price) which favours there being some value to be had.

If you want a pure fixed odds interest I'd go 10 points on 5-6 corners at 23/10 as a saver and 23 on the >6 bet mentioned above. That's only 15/8 or 11/5 elsewhere.

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Peterborough vs Northampton

 

 

Peterborough

Doubtful: Sammie Szmodics (37/12 m, probably in), Harrison Burrows (16/1 m)

Out (injuries/other): Christy Pym (39/0 first goalkeeper), Flynn Clarke (4/0 m), Ronnie Edwards (1/0 m)

Suspended: -

 

Northampton

Doubtful: Peter Kioso (18/1 d), Alex Jones (5/1 f), Luka Racic (6/0 d)

Out (injuries/other): Benny Ashley-Seal (22/0 f), Jack Sowerby (28/0 m), Mickel Miller (9/0 f), Steve Arnold (11/0 g), Scott Pollock (0/0 m), Joe Nuttall (1/0 f)

Suspended: -

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Win/Draw/Lose
Peterborough
19 home games
Northampton
20 away games
74% Win 15%
16% Draw 25%
11% Lose 60%
63% Win and over 1.5 goals 15%
11% Lose and over 1.5 goals 55%
42% Team won first half 25%
42% Draw at half-time 50%
16% Team lost first half 25%
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AFC Wimbledon vs Swindon

The League One fixtures are a bit all over the place today due to being re-scheduled because of HRH Duke of Edinburgh Prince Philip's funeral. Matches are either kicking off at 12:30pm BST or 5:30pm BST. This clash is between AFC Wimbledon and Swindon at 5:30pm BST on Saturday afternoon from Plough Lane. Who will prevail victorious from this encounter?

AFC Wimbledon will simply be pleased to be keeping their heads above water at the moment. The Dons are in 19th place and 2 points above the relegation zone with two games in hand on 21st positioned Northampton. Recent form has been inconsistent for Mark Robinson's men but they have picked up 3 wins from their last 5 league games and only lost 3 of their previous 11 league matches. It's clear the impact Robinson has had on the team since replacing Glyn Hodges back on 30th January but can the club keep this going until the end of the season to survive the drop? The club's home form has been terrible this season with just 5 wins from their 19 home league matches but it is now just 1 loss from their last 5 home league games so maybe that issue is being addressed.

Swindon are facing a potential relegation back into League Two with the club in 23rd spot and 4 points adrift of safety. The team has struggled to compete at this level and the departure of Richie Wellens earlier in the campaign won't have helped. John Sheridan has come in but been unable to turn things around. It's now 4 defeats in the league in a row but the ELO ratings to show favourably towards the away team because they have won 2 of their last 4 away league matches. I feel those figures are slightly skewed though given the Robins lost their last two away league games both by a 2-1 score-line to Burton and Rochdale. Is it worth putting some faith in the statistics though and backing Swindon to get something here when they have lost 13 of their 20 away league games.

Looking at the table and recent results you have to say that AFC Wimbledon are understandably favourites for this game but do the ELO ratings tell us something that the results don't? Are the performances that Swindon have been putting in away from home make it worth backing them against the odds? AFC Wimbledon won the reverse fixture 1-0 but that was the first time they'd ever beaten Swindon. I just think the ELO ratings make it worth backing Swindon as a double chance at the odds available.

Swindon Double Chance @ 1.91 with Sporting Index

BTTS @ 2.00 with RedZone

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Colchester vs Walsall

The League Two action is also split across two times due to the funeral on Saturday so here is a 5:30pm BST kick-off between two struggling sides in the division in the shape of Colchester and Walsall set to be played at the Colchester Community Stadium. Both sides have had disappointing campaigns and relegation is still a concern for these two teams as they go head-to-head.

Colchester know that it's getting to the stage where they need to pick up the wins otherwise they face a humiliating drop back down to the National League. Once you fall through that trap door then it can be incredibly hard to climb back out of it. The U's are in 22nd place and just 4 points above the relegation places. Hayden Mullins is the latest man to be given the reigns at the club and his brief spell as caretaker manager at Watford suggests that he might have a decent future as a manager. It's been 2 draws and 1 loss since Mullins came in and a win here could really make a huge difference to the club's survival hopes. The trouble is that it's now 10 league games without a win and just 1 victory in their last 25 league matches. How do you turn around a run of form like that?

Walsall aren't in a much better position than their opponents for today's game but they'll certainly feel that they can focus more on next season. The Saddlers are in 18th place and 12 points above the drop zone with 5 league games to play. It's not mathematically impossible but it's looking highly unlikely. Brian Dutton is the man in charge at the club after Darrell Clarke's departure to Port Vale back in February. Dutton took a while to get going but the team seem to be hitting some form now with an unbeaten run of 6 league games including back-to-back wins. The pressure of relegation subsiding appears to be allowing the players to play with more freedom which can sometimes be the case.

All the pressure is on Colchester coming into this game. They need to fight and battle for every point to avoid relegation. Here, they face a Walsall team who can realistically feel they are safe but will want to finish the season as high as possible. A top half finish is still very possible. Sometimes mid-table mediocrity at this stage of the season can lead to complacency from teams but Walsall simply seem to be playing like a side liberated now. I can see them grabbing at least a draw here but think they're worth backing for the win with a draw no bet.

Walsall Draw No Bet @ 2.15 with Mansion Bet

BTTS @ 2.20 with RedZone

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