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I use a database to follow certain trainers and horses, after a bit of research (more seemed to place than win) decided to back them using an old staking plan called the steady drip. All bets place only on Betfair and will use the highest available place for that race ( 2 - 7). Starting off with £2 per bet.

Todays selections

7.40 Kempton 1 My Frankel Kingscote, Richard Stoute, Sir Michael
2.10 Leicester 2 Ensyaaby (IRE) ONeill, Dane Tregoning, M P
6.55 Wexford 7 Getaday (IRE) Mullins, D E Jr, T J Nagle

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Good luck Alan, will follow with interest. Are the numbers (1, 2 and 7) the number of places or just the racecard numbers? It would be good if you could state the number of places for each selection. Also, can you state the odds (unless, of course, it's settled at SP).

Sorry if the questions are a bit daft, horses on BF not exactly my area of expertise!

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Harry 2 -7 refers to the place market, I will always try to have the bet on the highest place market available.

Unable to state the odds as they are not usually matched  until just before off.

 

hope this helps

 

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todays datbase selections

6.15 Wolverhampton 1 Wakening (IRE) Havlin, Robert Gosden, John and Thady
5.00 Dundalk 6 Jeroboam (USA) Moore, Ryan OBrien, A P
1.25 Lingfield 1 Shecandoo Curtis, B A Allen, C N
3.50 Lingfield 7 Day Trader (IRE) Hansen, Thore Hannon (Jnr), Richard 5/6
All todays 4 places

yesterdays results 3 out of 3
Place Market
My Frankle 2 Place 1.69
Ensyaaby 4 Place 1.09
Getaday 4 Place 1.69

 

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no selections today

yesterdays results

6.15 Wolverhampton 1 Wakening (IRE) Havlin, Robert Gosden, John and Thady  not placed
5.00 Dundalk 6 Jeroboam (USA) Moore, Ryan OBrien, A P  2nd 1.17
1.25 Lingfield 1 Shecandoo Curtis, B A Allen, C N  1 st 1.31
3.50 Lingfield 7 Day Trader (IRE) Hansen, Thore Hannon (Jnr), Richard 5/6  2nd 1.11


a loss of 82 p

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@alancraik All the best with this.

I started paper tracing something like this recently.......your results yesterday has put a bit of doubt in my mind, 4 selections one loser and a loss for the day. The steady drip staking plan will that allow for this ?

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Xtc12

 

I had a look at this yesterday before you mentioned this in your post, I had got my calcs wrong. I need average odds of a minimum of 1.4 to break even. There is a rachet method in the steady drip spreadsheet, once you reach a target the stakes increase. Another thing is that when the stakes get higher it is unlikely they would be matched on betfair. I am not one to give up yet so starting afresh today.

Todays selections,

only a bet if I get at least odds 1.5

    6.20 Wolverhampton 1 Sir Rodneyredblood Ghiani, Marco Jenkins, J R  
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Posted (edited)

Yeterdays bet placed at 1.5 for a 95p profit

there are 6 selections today but only three likely to have place odds above 1.5

all 4 place market

no bet   2.00 Southwell 6 First Class Return (IRE) Skelton, Harry Murphy, Olly 11/10 ??
no bet NH   6.15 Fairyhouse 5 Peaches And Cream (IRE) McNamara, Conor Cromwell, Gavin Patrick 3/1  
    6.30 Newcastle 3 Exhalation Mason, Joanna Makin, Phillip 5/1 ??
    8.00 Newcastle 1 Cmon Cmon (IRE) McManoman, Faye Tinkler, N 7/2 ??
no bet only 4 runners   2.10 Newmarket (Rowley) 3 Noble Dynasty Buick, William Appleby, Charlie 7/4 ??
    3.20 Newmarket (Rowley) 5 Highland Avenue (IRE) Doyle, James Appleby, Charlie 11/2

??

Edited by alancraik
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Three bets yesterday 2 placed at odds of 1.75 and 2.1 to give a profit of £1.52, so slightly behind target.

todays selections, not sure if the first selection will get matched at odds of 1.5 ? There were another three selections but all unlikely to get matched.

    2.25 Newmarket (Rowley) 2 Naval Crown Buick, William Appleby, Charlie 7/4
    4.45     Newmarket (Rowley)  4 Echo Point (IRE) Doyle, James Appleby, Charlie 10/1
    1.50 Newmarket (Rowley) 8 Stone Circle (IRE) Buick, William Bell, M L W 9/1  
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Two bets placed yesterday Naval Crown  @ 1.5 , Echo Point @ 1.9, Stone Circle up. A profit of 66p. Still behind the target but a long way to go.

todays selections, one from the database and one from me.

Newmarket 3:35 Master of The Seas 4 places

Newmarket 4:10 Al Waqidi 3 places

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Both bets placed yesterday, a profit of $1.67.

Master of the Seas 1.46 and Al Waqidi 1.42 both below the 1.5 odds but were both certs.

While updating my database yesterday managed to delete ? amount of info.

Todays selections, bets are now a whopping £3

Newbury 1:40 Came From The Dark (unlikely to be matched 4 place market)

Newbury 2:15 Cleonte ( 4 place market) my own selection

           
           
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three out of three yesterday for a profit of £9.29

no database selections today, two selections from me.

Bets still £3

Thirsk 1:40 Jeremial 3 place market at ?

Thirsk 2:10 Motakhayyel 2 place market at 1.62

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two out of two yesterday at 2.4 and 1.62 for a profit of £5.76 bank now at £69.85

todays selections

2:10 Newbury  Alcohol Free 4TBP at ?

2:45 Newbury Chindit 4TBP at ?

3:20 Newbury On This Is Us 6TBP at ?

one database selection

15:48 Tramore  Batcio 4TBP at 1.65

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Posted (edited)

yesterdays results 5 bets, two placed, two lost ann one bet not matched, for a loss of £2.15.

Lessom learnt yesterday dont go chasing bets

todays selections

Pont 13:30 Justanotherbottle @ 1.7 3TBP

Market Rasen 19:00 Midnight Glance @ ? 4TBP

Edited by alancraik
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Posted (edited)
                   
                   
                   
                   
                   
                   
Edited by alancraik
god knows what happened here
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yesterdays results 3 placed and one bet not matched for a profit of £5.93.

Realy surprised that Corvair was not matched at 3.5 a bit of luck for me as it did not place.

No selections today, two came up on the database but both unlikely to be matched

Catt 4:00 Wise Eagle 5/4

Dundalk 4:20 Amhran Ma Bhfiann 2/7

Will have a look at the form and will post if I find anything worth a punt.

 

 

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yesterdays results , one bet placed 2nd at 1.55, bank now £74.19. Just behind target.

todays selections

3:30 Perth -  Steal A March at 2.44  4TBP

8:15 Chelms - Commit No Nuisance at ? 3TBP (no bet if less than 1.8)

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Details so far, if I can get a 70% strike rate I should be able to make a decent profit

 

Sir Rondneyredblood 4 2 nd Place 2.00 1.50 y 0.95 50.95 51.00
Highland Avenue 4 1 st Place 2.00 1.75 y 1.43 52.38 52.00
Exalation 4 2 nd Place 2.00 2.10 y 2.09 54.47 53.00
Cmon Cmon 4 up Place 2.00 2.10 n -2.00 52.47 54.00
Naval Crown 3 2 nd Place 2.00 1.50 y 0.95 53.42 55.00
Stone Circle 4 up Place 2.00 3.20 n -2.00 51.42 56.00
Echo Point 4 2 nd Place 2.00 1.90 y 1.71 53.13 57.00
Master of The Seas 4 1 st Place 2.00 1.46 y 0.87 54.00 58.00
Al Waqidi 3 1 st Place 2.00 1.42 y 0.80 54.80 59.00
Came From The Dark 3 1 st Place 3.00 1.57 y 1.71 56.51 60.00
Cleonte 4 4 th Place 3.00 2.80 y 5.13 61.64 61.00
Fete Chanpetre 4 4 th Place 3.00 1.86 y 2.45 64.09 62.00
Jeremiah 3 3 rd Place 3.00 2.40 y 3.99 68.08 63.00
Motakhayyel 2 2nd Place 3.00 1.62 y 1.77 69.85 64.00
Alcohol Free 4 1 st Place 3.00 1.70 y 2.00 71.84 65.00
Chindit 4 1 st Place         71.84 66.00
On This Is Us 6 up Place 3.00 3.50 n -3.00 68.84 67.00
Batcio 4 3 rd Place 3.00 1.65 y 1.85 70.70 68.00
Wild Iris 4 up Place 3.00 4.20 n -3.00 67.70 69.00
Justanotherbottle 3 2 nd Place 3.00 1.70 y 2.00 69.69 70.00
Midnightglance 4 up Place 3.00 2.20 n -3.00 66.69 71.00
Silent Film  2 2nd Place 3.00 1.80 y 2.28 68.97 72.00
Soto Sizzler 2 2nd Place 3.00 1.64 y 1.82 70.80 73.00
Manumission 4 3rd Place 3.00 1.64 y 1.82 72.62 74.00
Corvair 4 up Place         72.62 75.00
Mokaman 4 2 nd Place 3.00 1.55 y 1.57 74.19 76.00
Steal A March 4 2 nd Place 3.00 2.44 y 4.10 78.29 77.00
Commit No Nuisance 3 2 nd Place 3.00 2.10 y 3.14 81.43 78.00
Johnny Estella 4 up Place 3.00 2.30 n -3.00 78.43 79.00
Highest Ground 3   Place 4.00 1.40     78.43 80.00
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Posted (edited)

yesterdays results two selections and both unplaced for a loss of £7.00, bank now £ 74.83

todays selections, third selection unlikely to be paced at 1.5 or above

Fox Champion 4   Place 4.00  
Dreamloper 4   Place 4.00  
Artistic Rifles 2   Place 4.00  
Onebaba 4   Place 4.00

2.20    

Edited by alancraik
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