alancraik Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 I use a database to follow certain trainers and horses, after a bit of research (more seemed to place than win) decided to back them using an old staking plan called the steady drip. All bets place only on Betfair and will use the highest available place for that race ( 2 - 7). Starting off with £2 per bet. Todays selections 7.40 Kempton 1 My Frankel Kingscote, Richard Stoute, Sir Michael 2.10 Leicester 2 Ensyaaby (IRE) ONeill, Dane Tregoning, M P 6.55 Wexford 7 Getaday (IRE) Mullins, D E Jr, T J Nagle Xtc12, harry_rag and Zico10 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 Good luck Alan, will follow with interest. Are the numbers (1, 2 and 7) the number of places or just the racecard numbers? It would be good if you could state the number of places for each selection. Also, can you state the odds (unless, of course, it's settled at SP). Sorry if the questions are a bit daft, horses on BF not exactly my area of expertise! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Accountant Posted April 9, 2021 Share Posted April 9, 2021 Good luck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 10, 2021 Author Share Posted April 10, 2021 Harry 2 -7 refers to the place market, I will always try to have the bet on the highest place market available. Unable to state the odds as they are not usually matched until just before off. hope this helps Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 10, 2021 Author Share Posted April 10, 2021 todays datbase selections 6.15 Wolverhampton 1 Wakening (IRE) Havlin, Robert Gosden, John and Thady 5.00 Dundalk 6 Jeroboam (USA) Moore, Ryan OBrien, A P 1.25 Lingfield 1 Shecandoo Curtis, B A Allen, C N 3.50 Lingfield 7 Day Trader (IRE) Hansen, Thore Hannon (Jnr), Richard 5/6 All todays 4 places yesterdays results 3 out of 3 Place Market My Frankle 2 Place 1.69 Ensyaaby 4 Place 1.09 Getaday 4 Place 1.69 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 11, 2021 Author Share Posted April 11, 2021 no selections today yesterdays results 6.15 Wolverhampton 1 Wakening (IRE) Havlin, Robert Gosden, John and Thady not placed 5.00 Dundalk 6 Jeroboam (USA) Moore, Ryan OBrien, A P 2nd 1.17 1.25 Lingfield 1 Shecandoo Curtis, B A Allen, C N 1 st 1.31 3.50 Lingfield 7 Day Trader (IRE) Hansen, Thore Hannon (Jnr), Richard 5/6 2nd 1.11 a loss of 82 p Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted April 11, 2021 Share Posted April 11, 2021 @alancraik All the best with this. I started paper tracing something like this recently.......your results yesterday has put a bit of doubt in my mind, 4 selections one loser and a loss for the day. The steady drip staking plan will that allow for this ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 12, 2021 Author Share Posted April 12, 2021 Xtc12 I had a look at this yesterday before you mentioned this in your post, I had got my calcs wrong. I need average odds of a minimum of 1.4 to break even. There is a rachet method in the steady drip spreadsheet, once you reach a target the stakes increase. Another thing is that when the stakes get higher it is unlikely they would be matched on betfair. I am not one to give up yet so starting afresh today. Todays selections, only a bet if I get at least odds 1.5 6.20 Wolverhampton 1 Sir Rodneyredblood Ghiani, Marco Jenkins, J R Wildgarden and Xtc12 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 13, 2021 Author Share Posted April 13, 2021 (edited) Yeterdays bet placed at 1.5 for a 95p profit there are 6 selections today but only three likely to have place odds above 1.5 all 4 place market no bet 2.00 Southwell 6 First Class Return (IRE) Skelton, Harry Murphy, Olly 11/10 ?? no bet NH 6.15 Fairyhouse 5 Peaches And Cream (IRE) McNamara, Conor Cromwell, Gavin Patrick 3/1 6.30 Newcastle 3 Exhalation Mason, Joanna Makin, Phillip 5/1 ?? 8.00 Newcastle 1 Cmon Cmon (IRE) McManoman, Faye Tinkler, N 7/2 ?? no bet only 4 runners 2.10 Newmarket (Rowley) 3 Noble Dynasty Buick, William Appleby, Charlie 7/4 ?? 3.20 Newmarket (Rowley) 5 Highland Avenue (IRE) Doyle, James Appleby, Charlie 11/2 ?? Edited April 13, 2021 by alancraik Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 14, 2021 Author Share Posted April 14, 2021 Three bets yesterday 2 placed at odds of 1.75 and 2.1 to give a profit of £1.52, so slightly behind target. todays selections, not sure if the first selection will get matched at odds of 1.5 ? There were another three selections but all unlikely to get matched. 2.25 Newmarket (Rowley) 2 Naval Crown Buick, William Appleby, Charlie 7/4 4.45 Newmarket (Rowley) 4 Echo Point (IRE) Doyle, James Appleby, Charlie 10/1 1.50 Newmarket (Rowley) 8 Stone Circle (IRE) Buick, William Bell, M L W 9/1 Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 15, 2021 Author Share Posted April 15, 2021 Two bets placed yesterday Naval Crown @ 1.5 , Echo Point @ 1.9, Stone Circle up. A profit of 66p. Still behind the target but a long way to go. todays selections, one from the database and one from me. Newmarket 3:35 Master of The Seas 4 places Newmarket 4:10 Al Waqidi 3 places Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 16, 2021 Author Share Posted April 16, 2021 Both bets placed yesterday, a profit of $1.67. Master of the Seas 1.46 and Al Waqidi 1.42 both below the 1.5 odds but were both certs. While updating my database yesterday managed to delete ? amount of info. Todays selections, bets are now a whopping £3 Newbury 1:40 Came From The Dark (unlikely to be matched 4 place market) Newbury 2:15 Cleonte ( 4 place market) my own selection Wildgarden and harry_rag 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 16, 2021 Author Share Posted April 16, 2021 first two placed, had to go to the 3 place market for Came to the dark at 1.57 Cleonte 4th at 2.80 Another one caught the eye Ayr 15:50 Fete Champetre 4 place market at ? Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 17, 2021 Author Share Posted April 17, 2021 three out of three yesterday for a profit of £9.29 no database selections today, two selections from me. Bets still £3 Thirsk 1:40 Jeremial 3 place market at ? Thirsk 2:10 Motakhayyel 2 place market at 1.62 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 18, 2021 Author Share Posted April 18, 2021 two out of two yesterday at 2.4 and 1.62 for a profit of £5.76 bank now at £69.85 todays selections 2:10 Newbury Alcohol Free 4TBP at ? 2:45 Newbury Chindit 4TBP at ? 3:20 Newbury On This Is Us 6TBP at ? one database selection 15:48 Tramore Batcio 4TBP at 1.65 Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 18, 2021 Author Share Posted April 18, 2021 Another has caught the eye Newbury 2;10 Wild Iris 4TBP at ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 19, 2021 Author Share Posted April 19, 2021 (edited) yesterdays results 5 bets, two placed, two lost ann one bet not matched, for a loss of £2.15. Lessom learnt yesterday dont go chasing bets todays selections Pont 13:30 Justanotherbottle @ 1.7 3TBP Market Rasen 19:00 Midnight Glance @ ? 4TBP Edited April 19, 2021 by alancraik Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 20, 2021 Author Share Posted April 20, 2021 (edited) Edited April 20, 2021 by alancraik god knows what happened here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 20, 2021 Author Share Posted April 20, 2021 yesterdays results, one out of two for a loss of £1.01 todays selections Epsom 3:20 Silent Film 2 TBP Epsom 3:55 Soto Sizzler 2 TBP Wolves 5:20 Munamission 4 TBP Wolves 7:20 Corvair 4 TBP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 21, 2021 Author Share Posted April 21, 2021 yesterdays results 3 placed and one bet not matched for a profit of £5.93. Realy surprised that Corvair was not matched at 3.5 a bit of luck for me as it did not place. No selections today, two came up on the database but both unlikely to be matched Catt 4:00 Wise Eagle 5/4 Dundalk 4:20 Amhran Ma Bhfiann 2/7 Will have a look at the form and will post if I find anything worth a punt. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 21, 2021 Author Share Posted April 21, 2021 4:30 Catterick Mokaman 4 TBP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 22, 2021 Author Share Posted April 22, 2021 yesterdays results , one bet placed 2nd at 1.55, bank now £74.19. Just behind target. todays selections 3:30 Perth - Steal A March at 2.44 4TBP 8:15 Chelms - Commit No Nuisance at ? 3TBP (no bet if less than 1.8) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 23, 2021 Author Share Posted April 23, 2021 yesterdays results two bets and two placed at 2.44 and 2.1 for a profit of £7.24, Bank now £81.43 just ahead of target. todays bets first bet £3 second up to £4 1:05 Doncaster - Johnny Estella 4TBP ? 2:25 Sandown - Highest Ground 3 TBP ??? peanut peanut 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peanut peanut Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 Finally got around to this alancraik , will be following with interest from today. Are the results BSP or are you taking a price at a certain time. Good luck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 23, 2021 Author Share Posted April 23, 2021 Prices are what I can get, If I think the odds offered are OK i will take it early but usually have to wait until before the off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peanut peanut Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 Ok cheers , let's keep fingers crossed ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peanut peanut Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 ha ha sods law, now I am following the first one loses but the only way is up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 23, 2021 Author Share Posted April 23, 2021 Details so far, if I can get a 70% strike rate I should be able to make a decent profit Sir Rondneyredblood 4 2 nd Place 2.00 1.50 y 0.95 50.95 51.00 Highland Avenue 4 1 st Place 2.00 1.75 y 1.43 52.38 52.00 Exalation 4 2 nd Place 2.00 2.10 y 2.09 54.47 53.00 Cmon Cmon 4 up Place 2.00 2.10 n -2.00 52.47 54.00 Naval Crown 3 2 nd Place 2.00 1.50 y 0.95 53.42 55.00 Stone Circle 4 up Place 2.00 3.20 n -2.00 51.42 56.00 Echo Point 4 2 nd Place 2.00 1.90 y 1.71 53.13 57.00 Master of The Seas 4 1 st Place 2.00 1.46 y 0.87 54.00 58.00 Al Waqidi 3 1 st Place 2.00 1.42 y 0.80 54.80 59.00 Came From The Dark 3 1 st Place 3.00 1.57 y 1.71 56.51 60.00 Cleonte 4 4 th Place 3.00 2.80 y 5.13 61.64 61.00 Fete Chanpetre 4 4 th Place 3.00 1.86 y 2.45 64.09 62.00 Jeremiah 3 3 rd Place 3.00 2.40 y 3.99 68.08 63.00 Motakhayyel 2 2nd Place 3.00 1.62 y 1.77 69.85 64.00 Alcohol Free 4 1 st Place 3.00 1.70 y 2.00 71.84 65.00 Chindit 4 1 st Place 71.84 66.00 On This Is Us 6 up Place 3.00 3.50 n -3.00 68.84 67.00 Batcio 4 3 rd Place 3.00 1.65 y 1.85 70.70 68.00 Wild Iris 4 up Place 3.00 4.20 n -3.00 67.70 69.00 Justanotherbottle 3 2 nd Place 3.00 1.70 y 2.00 69.69 70.00 Midnightglance 4 up Place 3.00 2.20 n -3.00 66.69 71.00 Silent Film 2 2nd Place 3.00 1.80 y 2.28 68.97 72.00 Soto Sizzler 2 2nd Place 3.00 1.64 y 1.82 70.80 73.00 Manumission 4 3rd Place 3.00 1.64 y 1.82 72.62 74.00 Corvair 4 up Place 72.62 75.00 Mokaman 4 2 nd Place 3.00 1.55 y 1.57 74.19 76.00 Steal A March 4 2 nd Place 3.00 2.44 y 4.10 78.29 77.00 Commit No Nuisance 3 2 nd Place 3.00 2.10 y 3.14 81.43 78.00 Johnny Estella 4 up Place 3.00 2.30 n -3.00 78.43 79.00 Highest Ground 3 Place 4.00 1.40 78.43 80.00 Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peanut peanut Posted April 23, 2021 Share Posted April 23, 2021 Looks positive Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted April 24, 2021 Author Share Posted April 24, 2021 (edited) yesterdays results two selections and both unplaced for a loss of £7.00, bank now £ 74.83 todays selections, third selection unlikely to be paced at 1.5 or above Fox Champion 4 Place 4.00 Dreamloper 4 Place 4.00 Artistic Rifles 2 Place 4.00 Onebaba 4 Place 4.00 2.20 Edited April 24, 2021 by alancraik peanut peanut 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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