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Women's Football Predictions 2021


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We probably don't need more than one thread for the few bets that are likely to arise but I've had a look at the Chelsea v Wolfsburg Champion's League games later and might as well share my thoughts.

Bookings expectation is in the high 20s which isn't unusual for a Women's game but, having had a look at the ref's stats, I find myself lured into betting high.

https://int.soccerway.com/referees/jana-adamkova/89511/

You can buy bookings at 28 with SX which doesn't seem bad (3 or more yellows edges you in front though you will lose 28 x stake if it passes off without a single card shown). 365 offer odds against for >2.5 cards which is great if they'll allow you to stake more than the price of a cup of coffee. :wall

I've gone for 20 points on 4-6 cards shown at 13/5 with Hills and a 2 point saver on >65 points at 12/1 with the same firm. (Though just noticed Sky Bet are better for the saver bet.)

Only Sporting Index offer goalscorer prices and I'll no doubt have an interest in Maren Mjelde as she's a player I've won on before who seems to be underestimated by the markets on the rare occasion any are offered. Take your pick from 9/2 anytime or goal minutes at 8 (was 7 earlier).

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Brighton are 5/1 tomorrow to beat Everton, my tissue has them around the 10/3 mark. Brighton have won 4 on the spin including a 2-1 away win at Chelsea. For context the hosts were 15/8 for this contest last season (won 1-0) and 5/6 in 2018/19 (drew 0-0). For me there's definitely abit of juice in this price.

Bet

Brighton to beat Everton @ 5/1 (Betfair/ Betfred)

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  • 4 weeks later...

Chelsea v B Munich: Buy Harder's goal rush plus for 2 points at 9 (25 points for 1 goal, 50 for 2, 100 for 3).

Bookings market looks about right for this one (50/50 whether it gets to 30 points or more). High cards have been underpriced on previous games.

Harder quite prolific for Chelsea, I agree with the SX view that she's on a par with Kirby and Kerr, but SPIN have her as third in the Chelsea goalscorer pecking order.

Ok for an interest rather than clear and indisputable value.

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