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This gets underway tomorrow. The draw was tonight. Post Pro Series event. The event is the top 8 players on the one year ranking list. It goes for a week and here is the draw :

Trump Vs Hawkins
Higgins Vs O'Sullivan
Robertson Vs Lisowski
Selby Vs K.Wilson

Last time we saw John Higgins at the Players Championship, he was on fire. If that level follows to this event, then I think the 7/1 on Higgins looks a decent price. There is a few flags on a couple of these players and it's unsure how they'll perform and so I'm not looking to get heavily involved here. 

2pts e/w J.Higgins to win Tour Championship 7/1 paddypower

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The first match gets underway at 1pm and it's a pretty good one. Ronnie O'Sullivan takes on John Higgins. It will be interesting to see if Higgins can continue his form in this event but I already have him as an outright and so I don't want to go in again for him to win this match. I think the bet looks to be with the centuries. In a "first to 10" I think it's worth betting on both to get 2 centuries. I'm also going to have a small punt on Higgins winning this one with a few spare. I see it going either this way or Ronnie steps up his game. 

2pts Both players to hit 2 centuries 9/4 paddypower
2.5pts J.Higgins (-2.5) to beat R.O'Sullivan 12/5 bet365

 

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No joy lastnight. I find it hard to fathom there being 18 frames of snooker between Ronnie and Higgins and only 3 centuries. Higgins wasn't very good though, on the whole. Far too many mistakes and left his best play too late. I think Ronnie likes to have little excuses regarding his cue and such as a back up if he gets turned over again. He had similar kind of excuses when Trump took him to the cleaners. He played OK, Ronnie. Good enough to beat a vast majority.

Today, we have an in-form Jack Lisowski take on Neil Robertson. I would have thought many people out there would be looking at Lisowski here. Makes sense, he has much better form coming into this. Robertson has gone out early in the last couple of tournaments really whilst Jack has got to multiple finals and been on fire. Difference is, this event is pretty big. Higgins said yesterday it was now the 2nd most important event and ranking points wise and money wise, it is.

I can see Robertson putting on a show here, whilst I can also see Jack being very nervous. I hate betting on "to pot first ball" but I think Robertson hits a couple centuries and I think he wins so in my mind I'm getting 3/1 on Robertson potting first.

2pts N.Robertson to pot the first ball, most centuries and win 3/1 paddypower
2.5pts N.Robertson highest break, most 50 or more breaks and win 6/5 paddypower

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Yeah, tell me about it. Not only did I miss out on the first pot, but 9-5 up and Jack had hit just one break over 80 (a fluke red) and ofcourse he goes and hits a 129, to have  highest break by 8pts. You just knew the moment Robertson missed the red, in that frame. Perhaps I was too greedy, as I knew Robbo would win easy and my initial thoughts were handicap betting. odds on for -3.5 was stingy though.

Selby Vs Wilson today then. Very boring match :D and one that I think Selby wins. I've been looking for some value. If you take away events like the Championship league then Selby leads the head-to-head between these two 5-0 and with the CL, 13-3. However, we can probably ignore anything pre-2019 as Kyren Wilson wasn't the same player back then and couldn't string anything over 80. 7 matches since 2019 and it's 5-2 Selby, but both wins for Kyren were the Championship League.

I think much like Jack Lisowski and Neil Robertson, Selby has abit of a voodoo on Kyren Wilson and I think he comes out on top. Part of me wants to go for frames here,but I think we'll see a few centuries and a Selby win (around 10-6 / 10-7)

5pts Each player to make a century break and over 15.5 frames 11/10 paddypower
------------------------------------------------
2pts M.Selby to have highest break, most 50 breaks and win 5/2 paddypower
2pts 5 or more centuries 5/2 paddypower
1.5pts M.Selby and J.Trump both to win 10-7, 10-8 or 10-9 8/1 paddypower

Tour bets -9pts

 

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Selby runs away with it. Wilson looked poor. The 5/2 comes in but for the first time this season, Wilson goes out of a tournament without a century. Today we've got Judd Vs Bazza Hawkins and I think Hawkins is abit of value. Hawkins has always been decent against Trump and whilst he didn't beat him last time out, he led 5-1 before losing 6-5, at the German Masters. In matches that matter (ignoring Championship League) it's been 6-5, 6-5, 5-4 all to Trump in the last 3. It wouldn't suprise me if we saw Barry take a lead again here and it end up going to a final frame once more. Either way, I think the value is with Barry

4pts B.Hawkins (+2.5 frames) to beat J.Trump 7/4 bet365
1pt J.Trump to beat B.Hawkins 10-9 10/1 bet365

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30 minutes ago, charliepie said:

Judd all over the place in the first sesh but still in it at 3-5 - be nice if he wins 10-9 tonight!

I can see it happening. Judd has moaned about the heavy tables before, here. Also, doesn't look like he likes the carpet but aslong as Barry gets to 8, anything else is a bonus.

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The second semi-final today to see who will faces Robertson, in the final. I was tempted to go with Hawkins, because I think Ronnie played well in the first match, but nothing like his best. Trump was very poor in his match, but I think Hawkins is hitting abit of good form. Ronnie has a terrific record against Barry though and although there hasn't been a huge amount of century hitting, I'm going to go with both to hit 2 centuries. 

2pts Each player to make 2 centuries or more 7/2 paddypower
 

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Century up in the first frame and Barry looks in good form, could be an upset on the cards today...and another in the second! Surely he can't keep this up, He's never had 2 centuries to start a match to my knowledge. 125 & 138 !! Ronnie needs to employ the Mark Williams break-off - he keeps leaving reds over the corner pockets.

Edited by charliepie
update score
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Robertson wins with ease, really. +5pts tonight but -3.5pts for the event, for me. I'm never too excited about betting on these events, where it's the cream of the crop in a small field. Onto the Championship League and the Worlds, next month.

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