Ligue 1 Predictions > Feb 24th - 28th

[StevieDay1983]

[StevieDay1983]

The latest batch of odds and ratings for Ligue 1 in France are now available. Check them out and give us your tips below. @StefanBB, you were bang on with two of your bets for the Brest vs Lyon game and it was only 1 Brest goal away from that 11.00 call on 3-1 correct score coming in. Unlucky mate! @betcatalog, Marseille managed to hold on for the draw despite being down to 10-men. It's irrelevant that Hiroki Sakai was sent off in the 4th minute of added on time. Battling to a draw with 10 men sounds more heroic! @ALEXXXXXXXX, it was a bit of a lacklustre effort from both St Etienne and Reims. Missed opportunity for the home side you have to feel? What predictions have you all got lined up for this week after what was a generally positive set of results last week?

[Mrsha]

Date	Home	Away	h%	d%	a%	jwb1%	RawG	aTG1m	HpC	ApC	TotC
28/02/2021	Monaco	Brest	59.4%	19.6%	21.0%	22.6%	3.56	3.22	6.10	3.33	9.43
28/02/2021	Angers SCO	Lens	35.8%	29.3%	34.9%	22.3%	2.17	2.32	5.03	4.94	9.97
28/02/2021	Lorient	Saint-Etienne	33.1%	26.4%	40.5%	22.6%	2.57	2.57	4.10	5.10	9.20
28/02/2021	Nimes	Nantes	33.9%	27.2%	38.9%	22.5%	2.46	2.50	4.24	4.81	9.06
28/02/2021	Reims	Montpellier	36.5%	26.4%	37.1%	21.4%	2.60	2.59	4.29	4.31	8.60
28/02/2021	Lille	Strasbourg	62.5%	23.4%	14.1%	27.8%	2.33	2.42	4.77	3.07	7.83
28/02/2021	Olympique Marseille	Olympique Lyonnais	24.1%	24.4%	51.6%	24.7%	2.70	2.66	4.60	5.43	10.02
* short v of model numbers,  with % for h-d-a and jolly win by 1;  robo and adjusted TG number and corner kicks (h-a-tot) Lille -3/4 @2.04 looks like a bet  / heavier schedule due to Europa League, being knocked out won't help morale but they are doing v well in the league, topping the table and playing consistently well – it is still more likely we see Lyon or PSG getting the title in the end, but i’ts just 12 rounds to go and Lille have their chance here. Strasbourg are hit&miss this season, shouldn’t be involved in relegation battle but it could get ugly in the end unless they achieve some consistency in next few weeks. One good thing about Strasbourg is that they do like to play football – you will rarely see ultra-defensive approach from this side, and the way they usually play should suit Lille, who are fine in possession but also lethal in transition. Weather should be fine, sunny and around 10 degrees, and game should be fine as well, I would go with TG 2.45 here so suggest also over 2 @1.83 and/or over 2.25 @2.16 currently available. Lille have ‘mean’ defence esp at home, just 7 conceded in 13 games, but if Strasbourg show their happy side, there could be goals on both ends here, hopefully multiple in Stras net ofc. Elsewhere, if price on Montpellier improves to dnb @2.05 that would also be of interest, as well as over 2.25 @1.97 in same game. Marseille have way too many problems and are not playing well at all (basically all season long... zero shtg diff and -2.24 shots differential after 2/3 of the season doesn't suggest a top half team), so no interest from us there even though price looks high on first sight;  Monaco-Brest game looks like goals bonanza, but personally would need over 3 @1.91 or over 3.25 @2.20 to have a punt... maybe if its 0-0 or 1 goal at halftime, to keep an eye for over 1.5 @1.95ish ht bet.  Cheers

[StefanBB]

Marseille vs Lyon

After a series of poor results, Marseille managed to improve a bit. They haven’t lost three times in a row, but still, the hosts celebrated only once. Jorge Sampaoli took over Marseille’s hot bench after significant turbulence around the club. The home side still has the chance for the continental qualification as Metz is only three points ahead. However, the club from southern France needs to stabilize its form and enter a winning streak. Their displays at Stade Velodrome severely declined lately, though they booked a win in the latest one. Florian Thauvin and the lads should start converting their chances into goals more often. On the other hand, the defense managed to keep the clean sheet only once on the previous ten occasions. Marseille fans hope that the new coach can turn things around in a positive direction.

Lyon got back on the winning track after a surprising 2:1 defeat against Montpellier. They almost dropped the victory against Brest, though, despite the 3:0 lead. Still, the visitors sit right behind Lille, being three points from the top place. Memphis Depay and the lads are the second-most productive team in the league with 54 goals scored. Rudi Garcia’s side lost only three games this season and just one on the road. Lyon missed the chance to win only once in their last five outings. The defense could need a bit of improvement, as it conceded in the previous three games. The title race in Ligue 1 hasn’t been this exciting in the past few years, and Lyon wants to be a part of it.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

Despite the changes in Marseille, Lyon is a favorite in this match, and we think they will meet the expectations. The visitors should get back home with another three points.

Goals Market Prediction

Lyon has been involved in many efficient matches lately, while Jorge Sampaoli prefers the attacking approach to the game. Therefore, we can expect to see at least three goals in this game.

Lyon to win @ 1.60

Over 2.5 FT @ 1.70

Correct score 1:2 @ 8.00

[betcatalog]

Marseille will be determined to give a good account of themselves before the much-admired Sampaoli takes the reins, and would like nothing more than to impose himself on one of their opponents to start a recovery. However, Lyon, especially away from home, can not be underestimated as it is desperate to keep up the pressure on the leaders of the Lille league, we support its victory in this derby.
MARSEILLE vs LYON @@ LYON, odds 1.65