Primeira Liga Predictions > Jan 30th - Feb 2nd

[StevieDay1983]

[StevieDay1983]

Check out the latest odds and ratings for the Portuguese Primeira Liga matches coming up this weekend. Share your tips and bets with us so we can pool our thoughts to take down the bookies! 

[StefanBB]

Sporting vs Benfica

Sporting is waiting for almost two decades to lift the title, and it seems they have never been closer. They won the Primeira Liga last time back in 2002, and during that period, Benfica and Porto were much more successful. However, the Lions are enjoying an excellent campaign in the domestic championship. They are the only undefeated team in the competition, and Sporting missed the chance to win only three times. Ruben Amorim’s side is four points ahead of Porto and six clear from their upcoming rivals. Sebastian Coates and the lads are excellent in the back. Their rock-solid defense conceded only nine goals so far. On the other hand, Pedro Goncalves is clinical in front of the oppositions’ net with 12 goals scored in 13 appearances. Sporting allowed only two points to their visitors this season, making them one of the league’s best hosts. Three points from this match would increase their chances of winning the title, although we are halfway through the season.

Benfica sits in 3^rd spot, being six points behind Sporting. The Eagles spilled too many points in draws lately. The visitors booked three draws in the last four rounds, which saw them declining on the table. Haris Seferovic and the lads are doing very well in the final third, while Benfica could have been tighter in the back. Jorge Jesus’s side conceded 15 times, which is unusual for the team of that quality. Benfica managed to snatch a point in Porto two rounds ago but didn’t capitalize that against Nacional at home. Their away performances haven’t been too confident as the visitors celebrated only twice in the last five outings. Jorge Jesus faces severe selection issues since some players have been tested positive for Covid-19. First-choice goalkeeper Odisseas Vlachodimos, defenders Nicolas Otamendi and Nuno Tavares, and striker Everton will be sidelined for this clash.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

These derbies are always hard to predict, and anything can happen in this one as well. Sporting is full of confidence, while Benfica has had a few hiccups lately. The visitors cannot count on some vital players, and the home side can take advantage of that to win the clash.

Goals Market Prediction

Their matches at Estadio Jose Alvalade have been pretty tight lately. Since Sporting is very hard to crack in the back, this game might stay under a 2.5 margin.

Sporting to win @ 2.60

Under 2.5 FT @ 1.80

Correct score 1:0 @ 8.50

[harry_rag]

Sporting Lisbon v Benfica

Bookings a sell for me in this one, which is on Freesports tonight.

Sell for 1 point at 69 with SX (68 with SPIN).

Also taken 4-6 cards shown at 11/8 with Hills.

Both of these are effectively system bets for me, with the spread bet falling into the "tried and tested" category but the fixed odds bet being more "still on trial".

If you look at the last 10 league meetings then 69 is bang on the average and half of the games saw 4-6 cards. A high total is very much a possibility but, as that's what most punters will want to bet on I think there's value in going low on the spread and in the middle on the fixed odds.

Edited February 1, 2021 by harry_rag
Hadn't said which game it was!