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Racing Chat - Sunday 17th January


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Awful day's racing today.  The only graded race in the UK is the 1.35 at Southwell where Ghost Rider is around 4/6.  Not my idea of a value bet.

Unusually, I have selected a horse in the 1.20 Punchestown.  This is Magic Tricks.  I left a bet open on the Betfair Exchange of £4.21 at 4.4 and it got matched overnight.  If it wins I will receive a profit of £14.03.  Compare this with staking £12.50 at 1.66 on ghost Rider at 1.66 with a possible profit of £8.09! 

Magic Tricks is currently trading between 9/4 to 5/2 so at least I have achieved some value in market terms.  Having nothing else to find I have included the horse as my Nap at 3/1 (last night).

Good luck to other value finders today

 

 

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A few outsiders 

1.20 punchestown fire attack 13/2:wall

1.50 punchestown excelsior 12/1:wall

2.20 strong roots 20/1 4places:wall

2.50 punchestown owl creek bridge 22/1 4places:nana:nanawinner

3.50 punchestown out sam 10-1:wall

1.35 Southwell Johnny boom 11/1:wall

2.05 Southwell hotspur Harry 10/1 3places:wall

3.35 Southwell katheefa 7/1:nana

all bets 50p e/w bet365 

 

 

Edited by LEE-GRAYS
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Who knows 🤷‍♂️(Bet365 prices) 
 

1.05 Southwell Fast Emma 3/1 WON

1.35 Southwell Ghost Rider 8/15 WON

2.05 Southwell My Boy Lewis 13/2 unplaced!!

2.35 Southwell Notation 6/5 WON

2.35 Arabian King 5/1 unplaced!!

3.05 Southwell Grimthorpe Castle 7/1 4th

3.35 Southwell Zylan 3/1 unplaced!!

4.05 Southwell Nordic Fire 11/2 2nd

50p e/w 

Edited by Wild20
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Jan +36

14.20 Pun Klassy Kay 5/2 Won

16.05 Sou Western Dawn 33/1 Lost

Prices as of now b365 .

+1,5

Jan +37.5

 

Just posted on syndicates thread.

Dear Dramatista Owner

Dramatista runs today at Southwell and Jason Hart takes the ride.

Dramatista came out of her last race well and has been fine at home since.

It wasn't a straightforward decision to run here but given Dramatista's date at the sales we felt it was a good opportunity and if she was to win well today the race on 21st January at Newcastle would be a possible chance to follow up.

Maykir sets the standard today on a surface which is very much a specialist surface and four of his five victories came at Southwell.

We will aim to ride Dramatista prominently today and out of the kickback.

I think we are priced about right today and expect her to run a big race.

--
Thanks
Nick Bradley

Once again a disappointing run 

Edited by roger2256
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4 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

Awful day's racing today.  The only graded race in the UK is the 1.35 at Southwell where Ghost Rider is around 4/6.  Not my idea of a value bet.

Unusually, I have selected a horse in the 1.20 Punchestown.  This is Magic Tricks.  I left a bet open on the Betfair Exchange of £4.21 at 4.4 and it got matched overnight.  If it wins I will receive a profit of £14.03.  Compare this with staking £12.50 at 1.66 on ghost Rider at 1.66 with a possible profit of £8.09! 

Magic Tricks is currently trading between 9/4 to 5/2 so at least I have achieved some value in market terms.  Having nothing else to find I have included the horse as my Nap at 3/1 (last night).

Good luck to other value finders today

 

 

Terrible race ran by Magic Tricks.  Gone for £6.20 on Colonel Mustard in the 1.50 at Punchestown.  £13.06 Profit if win.

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6 hours ago, LEE-GRAYS said:

A few outsiders 

1.20 punchestown fire attack 13/2:wall

1.50 punchestown excelsior 12/1:wall

2.20 strong roots 20/1 4places:wall

2.50 punchestown owl creek bridge 22/1 4places:nana:nanawinner

3.50 punchestown out sam 10-1:wall

1.35 Southwell Johnny boom 11/1:wall

2.05 Southwell hotspur Harry 10/1 3places:wall

3.35 Southwell katheefa 7/1:nana

all bets 50p e/w bet365 

 

 

that winner got hammerd ended up 7/1 better day

out £8

in £15.20

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8 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

Last go today.  2.50 Punch Hell On Earth £3 win at 4/1 with bet365

 

I feel a little unlucky with Hell On Earth.  It was travelling strongly when a loose horse drove it out with another in contention right through a side rail.  Loads of incidents at Punchestown; Didn't enjoy my foray into Irish racing.  Probably best left alone in future.  Anyway a loss of £13.41 leaves with a new balance of £544.97 (Bank £500)

Loads of graded racing at Lingfield and Ayr tomorrow so let's hope I can find more reliable beasts to invest in

 

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