Villa Chris Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 (edited) Altered my ratings slightly. See how we do. Paper money only . 1.50 Ascot Danny Kirwan 13, 8/1 (7/1) Paddys Motorbike 10, 5/1 (9/1) Janika 10, 11/2 (9/1) Lightly Squeeze 9, 11/2 (10/1) Kateson 9, 10/1 (10/1) Nordano 9, 33/1 (10/1) These are the top 6 rated . My price is in brackets . I’d say the bookies have Danny Kirwan and Kateson priced right. Nordano is the obvious value bet. Cannot see him winning as just don’t think he’s good enough , but the placed money is good. Danny Kirwan E/W 8/1 Nordano E/W 33/1 Edited January 23, 2021 by Villa Chris richard-westwood and Wildgarden 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 225 ascot De forgotten 7.6 8/1 4/1 novalue Yaltari 7.4 8/1 6/1 no value Cobolobo 8.0 15/2 9.2 value Crossley tender 7.9 15/2 9.2 value Favourite bucks 8.0 7/1 13.5 value Cobo ...crossley...and favorita are all value prices so I'll try 2pt wins on all 3 for a bit of fun in this Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 2.25 Ascot Townshend 13, 20/1 (15/2) Favorito Bucks 12, 11/1 (8/1) Classic Ben 11, 7/1 (9/1) Cobolobo 11, 7/1 (9/1) Crossley Tender 11, 15/2 (9/1 plenty offer value in a tight looking race. There’s 2-3 rated 10, but these are the top 5. Top two look best value , especially my top rated Townshend E/W 20/1 Favorito Bucks E/W 11/1 although not playing with real money I’ll use 5 points E/W or 10 points win only. Wildgarden and richard-westwood 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 3.00 Ascot Dashel Drasher 14, 13/2 (8/1) Bennys King 13, 11/2, (9/1) Espoir De Guys 12, 5/1 (10/1) Domaine De L’Isle 12, 11/1 (10/1) Jerry’s back 11, 15/2( 11/1) Good Boy Bobby 10, 7/2 (12/1) Windsor Avenue 10, 17/2(12/1) Acting Lass 10, 14/1, (12/1) Domaine , and Acting Lass are only two to give any kind of value, but even then the bookies have them about right . Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 2.05 Haydock Chef D’Ouevre 13, 13/2(9/2) Clyne 11, 8/1(11/2) Donnas Diamond 11, 12/1(11/2) Diger Daudie 9, 28/1(7/1) Plenty of value on offer here. Can’t have em’ all, so... Chef 13/2 Donnas Diamond E/W 12/1 Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Last one of the day 2.45 Taunton Air Horse One 13, 12/1(5/1) Amour De Nuet 11, 7/2(13/2) Gortroe Joe 9, 7/1(8/1) West end Story 9, 22/1(8/1) Air Horse One E/W 12/1 West End Story E/W 22/1 Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 17 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 150 ascot Paddysmoterbike 8.0 17/2 6/1 no val Craigniche 8.0 9.5 /1 8/1 no value Dan's le vent 8.0 17/2 18.5 good value War lord 8.0 17/2 19.0 goid value Kateson 7.4 9.5 5/1 13/2 no value Light squeeze 7.4 9.5 11/2 no value Value bets Dan's le vent 5pt win 18.5 5pt place 4.6 betfair War lord 5pt win 19.0 ..5pt place 4.9 betfair Craigniche won, and ended up 14/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Villa Chris said: Craigniche won, and ended up 14/1 Yeah and Dan's le vent ran on for 4th ?...but yes he became a value bet later Edited January 23, 2021 by richard-westwood Villa Chris, vikki37 and Wildgarden 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 5 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 225 ascot De forgotten 7.6 8/1 4/1 novalue Yaltari 7.4 8/1 6/1 no value Cobolobo 8.0 15/2 9.2 value Crossley tender 7.9 15/2 9.2 value Favourite bucks 8.0 7/1 13.5 value Cobo ...crossley...and favorita are all value prices so I'll try 2pt wins on all 3 for a bit of fun in this 2nd and 3rd ?? Wildgarden, vikki37 and Villa Chris 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 I’d have trouble rating a one horse race ?? . Back to the drawing board I think, because whatever I’m doing isn’t working. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 19 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 240 hay peter marsh Royal pigalle 7.6 7/1 3/1 no value Sam brown 7.4 7/1 3/1 no value Crievehill 6.7 17/2 20/1 ..outstanding value Sam's,adventure 7.4 7/1 11/2 no value Value bet crievehill.....10pt ew 20/1 Royal pigalle won... crievehill 4th ....gonna be one of those near miss days I think vikki37 and Wildgarden 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: Royal pigalle won... crievehill 4th ....gonna be one of those near miss days I think The winner looks a very good horse. Has an entry in the Gold Cup. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, Villa Chris said: The winner looks a very good horse. Has an entry in the Gold Cup. Well that was one of the best weight carrying performances I've seen in this race ever so the skys the limit Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 (edited) 19 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 3.00 ascot Benny king 8.0 10/1 5/1 no value Capeland 8.6 9/1 15.5 good value Dashel drasher 8.2 9.5/1 7/1 no value Jonniesofa 9.0 17/2 26.0 outstanding value Value bets capeland 5pts win 15.5 5pts place 3.55 betfair Jonniesifa 5pts win 26.0 5pts place 5.3 betfair Dashel drasher wins ...from Benny's king .......the ratings are fine so I'm happy with that ....the rest is just luck on the day ....it'll come Top 4 rated in each race today produced ..... 1st and 4th 2and and 3rd 1st and 4th 1st and 2nd Gottabe happy with that from rating perspective so that's definately where the winner finding shoukd come from...top 4 rated only....learnt a lot today Edited January 23, 2021 by richard-westwood BBBC, vikki37 and Villa Chris 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 3 hours ago, Villa Chris said: 3.00 Ascot Dashel Drasher 14, 13/2 (8/1) Bennys King 13, 11/2, (9/1) Espoir De Guys 12, 5/1 (10/1) Domaine De L’Isle 12, 11/1 (10/1) Jerry’s back 11, 15/2( 11/1) Good Boy Bobby 10, 7/2 (12/1) Windsor Avenue 10, 17/2(12/1) Acting Lass 10, 14/1, (12/1) Domaine , and Acting Lass are only two to give any kind of value, but even then the bookies have them about right . Got the first two, but it’s the only race today I’ve managed to get spot on Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 19 hours ago, Wildgarden said: My ratings picks are on racing chat guys. All Newcastle all weather my main area until turf season Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 2 hours ago, Villa Chris said: Last one of the day 2.45 Taunton Air Horse One 13, 12/1(5/1) Amour De Nuet 11, 7/2(13/2) Gortroe Joe 9, 7/1(8/1) West end Story 9, 22/1(8/1) Air Horse One E/W 12/1 West End Story E/W 22/1 3rd and 4th came 3rd and 4th richard-westwood 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 1240 ling sunday Violets lad 8.1 13/2 8/1 value Narjes 7.2 15/2 5/1 no value Megale msjeure 6.7 9/1 7/2 no value Violets lad value bet ew 8/1 pp CarlosUK and Wildgarden 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 Don’t like the AW, but there’s a class 2 I’ll have a go at Lingfield tomorrow. May as well keep practising. Wildgarden and richard-westwood 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 4 hours ago, Wildgarden said: My ratings picks are on racing chat guys. All Newcastle all weather my main area until turf season Two winners today 10-1 and 5-1. richard-westwood, Villa Chris, vikki37 and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 (edited) Just developed my longer distance (1m 2f or over) all weather ratings a bit further with some additions to increase profit predicted by another 15% for these longer races ? let's test it on Lingfield tomorrow ... Posting on here Edited January 23, 2021 by Wildgarden Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 (edited) 1240 Lingfield rating what you think guys.... Violet lad 12.5 and British lion 15, delyll 14.5 plus look obvious picks... Butterfield is bit too high with fact it's down in distance so much. Edit may give Butterfield a chance if it sticks at similar odds... Edited January 23, 2021 by Wildgarden Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 I've had a go at the 1.10 Lingfield: Genuine Approval 20.35 My odds 13/2 9/2 No value Zayriyan 18.65 My odds 8/1 9/2 No value Lady Of York 18.25 My odds 17/2 15/2 No value Famous Dynasty 18.15 My odds 17/2 9/2 No value Socru 17.25 My odds 9/1 11/1 Value Bet. Global Style 16.70 My odds 9/1 11/4 No value Blairlogie is 14/1 and I have 10/1 but looks a dog too. Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 (edited) My 110 Lingfield! Fav no 4 has a lot of negatives for me. Blairelogie 16.0 is currently my pick with others prices not fully levelled to.make a commitment. Edited January 23, 2021 by Wildgarden Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted January 23, 2021 Share Posted January 23, 2021 18 minutes ago, Pirate53 said: I've had a go at the 1.10 Lingfield: Genuine Approval 20.35 My odds 13/2 9/2 No value Zayriyan 18.65 My odds 8/1 9/2 No value Lady Of York 18.25 My odds 17/2 15/2 No value Famous Dynasty 18.15 My odds 17/2 9/2 No value Socru 17.25 My odds 9/1 11/1 Value Bet. Global Style 16.70 My odds 9/1 11/4 No value Blairlogie is 14/1 and I have 10/1 but looks a dog too. Blairelogie 7lb claimer on with recent 4th at distance I like it's chances more and more looking properly at it. Zico10 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 @Wildgarden It's interesting isn't it. You could argue why bother to rate if you aren't going to act on the results! I'll have a dabble on Blairelogie too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pirate53 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 10 hours ago, Wildgarden said: Blairelogie 7lb claimer on with recent 4th at distance I like it's chances more and more looking properly at it. @Wildgarden It's interesting isn't it. You could argue why bother to rate if you aren't going to act on the results! I'll have a dabble on Blairelogie too. Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 12 hours ago, Wildgarden said: 1240 Lingfield rating what you think guys.... Violet lad 12.5 and British lion 15, delyll 14.5 plus look obvious picks... Butterfield is bit too high with fact it's down in distance so much. Edit may give Butterfield a chance if it sticks at similar odds... Also adding music major at 15.0! With British lion non runner. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just a,quick race for monday 545 Kemp Vitaline 9.4 11/2 11/2 value Iesha 8.6 6/1 6/1 value Both currently on value threshold so I'll back now while it's there Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 140 Lingfield furzig is pick 4.8 Betfair exchange Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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