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2000 guineas rating 

St Mark's basilica  9.4 

Van Gogh's    9.2 

Master of seas   9.1 

Poetic flare    9.0 

Lucky vega     8.9

Naval crown   8.8 

Wembley     8.4 

As youd expect ...very very competitive ...but some nice prices in there...van gogh is 16/1!!!....that would be a nice winner !!...but st Mark's...van gogh and Wembley are all o Brien....I doubt he will run all 3 ??

Edited by richard-westwood
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Mother earth wins 10/1 !!....that better  Back up to +511.00

Rough Tide ........ WON 40/1 think I'll retire now ....... 😃

1st and 2nd ......but no forecast again 🤪.......76pts here plus 90 from other race ....that's 166 minus 40 (stake ) ....is 126pts profit on day  Total 24 races   +446.00 pts ....that's unreal 

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16 minutes ago, richard-westwood said:

2000 guineas rating 

St Mark's basilica  9.4 

Van Gogh's    9.2 

Master of seas   9.1 

Poetic flare    9.0 

Lucky vega     8.9

Naval crown   8.8 

Wembley     8.4 

As youd expect ...very very competitive ...but some nice prices in there...van gogh is 16/1!!!....that would be a nice winner !!...but st Mark's...van gogh and Wembley are all o Brien....I doubt he will run all 3 ??

He had 4 in the race last year, so probably .

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St Mark's basilica  9.4 

Van Gogh's    9.2 

Master of seas   9.1 

Poetic flare    9.0 

Naval crown   8.8 

Wembley     8.4 

Chindit     8.2 

I'm happy to lose lucky vega who very much looks a sprinter .....wembley although 8.4 ...only lost to st Mark's by 0.5 lengths so is probably better than his 8.4 rating and warrants respect as such 

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14 hours ago, Ironjoe said:

Love this thread ive started doing my own ratings because of it dapper man came out top on mine as well and interestingly from what i can see he has run 3 times in a week twice before in the past and each time won on the third run

Ill start posting some of my ratings in the future

The crowd still looks uninformed about the 14:10 - the wcim is below 0.13 - so I might take a punt.

This is the betfair column from odds checker ~10 mins ago:


image.png.db2ff0f5981852ddf8869453b540193e.png
 

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45 minutes ago, Villa Chris said:

What’s this mean then? 

Wisdom Of Crowd Market Index (WCMI)

TL;DR "In sports markets, the probabilities implied by the prices on offer are a proxy for the wisdom of the crowd for that particular event. By adapting Shannon's Entropy formula, we can generate our own "Wisdom Of Crowd Market Index" (WCMI) to represent this information on a scale from 0 - 1."

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16 minutes ago, richard-westwood said:

430 donc friday 

Frow   6.7 

Lasting legacy   6.7 

Arranmore    6.3 

Bit of an unusual race for me ....I really like the look of all 3 here and really dont want to leave arranmore out as hes well hcapped ....so I'll have 10pts win lasting legacy 11/4 ....5pts each frow at 10/1 and arranmore at 9/1   

just finished mine... some low ratings with what i like... blessed and frow and the fav my picksScreenshot_20210422-183505.thumb.png.8e7a5a90dfbde1493ba861dcd462b8b3.png

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Just posting this early because I'm at work and prices on betfair are so good currently 

340 sand saturday gold cup 

The young master  8.5 27.0

Enrilo   8.2  7.6

Potterman  7.8  13.5 

Again ....very very tight up top but some good prices ...so I'll go 10pt win enrilo ....5pt win each the other 2 ...prices on betfair

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On 4/21/2021 at 10:25 AM, richard-westwood said:

Heres an interesting race to discuss...I e just finished rating fridays esher cup 

Dingle 8.8.

Namooos 8.8 

Rifleman  8.4 

Quintillus   7.2

On paper I'd back dingle and namooos now  but dingle didnt seem to stay last time ..  whereas namoos and rifleman are easy milers .....with thex1pt bonus for dist the ratings become 

Namooos 9.8

Rifleman 9.4 

Dingle 8.8 

So what do I do ..... play the original or dist adjusted ....its not always straightforward 🤣

My gut is telling me to play the dist adjusted one 

Should have played ....😫😭😭😭....didny play in the end ffs 11/2 namoos wins 

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On 4/22/2021 at 2:51 PM, richard-westwood said:

335 sand friday 

Lone eagle  9.9 

Recovery run  8.5 

Alenquer   7.7 

Trailer man  7.3

Yibir    7.0 

Yibir is very short priced to win this ....presumably on trainer form ....but I'll stick with ratings and top 2 at 5/1 and 11/1 ....2x10pt wins 

3rd rated won  at 25/1 ...omg gutted 

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On 4/22/2021 at 2:51 PM, richard-westwood said:

335 sand friday 

Lone eagle  9.9 

Recovery run  8.5 

Alenquer   7.7   WON

Trailer man  7.3

Yibir    7.0 

Yibir is very short priced to win this ....presumably on trainer form ....but I'll stick with ratings and top 2 at 5/1 and 11/1 ....2x10pt wins 

 

22 hours ago, richard-westwood said:

430 donc friday 

Frow   6.7    3RD 16/1

Lasting legacy   6.7 

Arranmore    6.3 

Bit of an unusual race for me ....I really like the look of all 3 here and really dont want to leave arranmore out as hes well hcapped ....so I'll have 10pts win lasting legacy 11/4 ....5pts each frow at 10/1 and arranmore at 9/1   

A day of nearly.....race I didnt back won....3rd rated won (I'd backed top 2 )

And frow finished 3rd at 16/1 ....still ran well .....22 races +320.00

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23 minutes ago, richard-westwood said:

2nd last time......speed 73 ....pm  89 ....combined 209 .....put it in 3rd place overall 

thanks very simple as u say. i will see how i can incorporate speed to mine perhaps... maybe instead of the handicap like u have see how it works. i had 2nd 3rd 4th rated pretty well.

Edited by Wildgarden
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I don't know if any of you guys happen to subscribe to the Racing Post but, if so, any chance you could let me know Kevin Pullein's selection for this week? Not sure if it's accidental or not but it's behind the paywall this week, for some reason.

 

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42 minutes ago, Wildgarden said:

thanks very simple as u say. i will see how i can incorporate speed to mine perhaps... maybe instead of the handicap like u have see how it works. i had 2nd 3rd 4th rated pretty well.

speed adjusted... gave it few more points on others.Screenshot_20210423-202050.png.0647eb1ca4b78e05cb9e35cfd9dbf125.png

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On 4/23/2021 at 8:13 AM, richard-westwood said:

Just posting this early because I'm at work and prices on betfair are so good currently 

340 sand saturday gold cup 

The young master  8.5 27.0

Enrilo   8.2  7.6

Potterman  7.8  13.5 

Again ....very very tight up top but some good prices ...so I'll go 10pt win enrilo ....5pt win each the other 2 ...prices on betfair

1st and 2nd ......but no forecast again 🤪.......76pts here plus 90 from other race ....that's 166 minus 40 (stake ) ....is 126pts profit on day 

Total 24 races   +446.00 pts ....that's unreal 

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240 weth sunday

Hoofs happy now 8.4 12/1 

Cosmos raj    8.2 9/2 

Storm dreamer   7.2 33/1 

Tricky little race ...at first glance I should just back top 2 as rules suggest but top rated has only form at 6f whereas this is a mile.....cosmos has form at 7f as has storm who looks an absolutely massive ew price at 33/1!!....got to chance the 2nd and 3rd and hope the biggy goes in !!

Cosmos rJ 10pt win 9/2 

Storm dreamer 10pt win 33/1 

If hoofs wins now 2f further I'll throw myself off a  cliff 🤣certainly wont be "happy now "

Oh ....and I'm backing 6x 1pt forecasts myself ....no Included in running total cos I'll be sick if this forecast goes in 

Edited by richard-westwood
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