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Pricing your own race


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22 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said:

2.40Ascot

I've gone for rank outsider old boy  Sub Lieutant can't let it go unbacked at 40/1 4places bog with boyles i think thats a crazy price. Interesting Cloudy lane has been well backed. Both not in you guys radar interest 12 runner handicap  can't wait to see what happens!

Seen Perfect Candidate is running at Haydock and thought of you. 20/1 who loves Haydock . Getting on now mind. 

Edited by Villa Chris
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12 hours ago, Villa Chris said:

Seen Perfect Candidate is running at Haydock and thought of you. 20/1 who loves Haydock . Getting on now mind. 

Not for me today 8lb higher for win lto  racing post have tipped it up,  I backed Lord Du Mesnil  17/2 in the race e/w but hope i don't regret not backing Potters Legend at 16's think its a chance but not backing 2 in the race.

Edited by Tedthewolf
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17 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said:

Not for me today 8lb higher for win lto  racing post have tipped it up,  I backed Lord Du Mesnil  17/2 in the race e/w but hope i don't regret not backing Potters Legend at 16's think its a chance but not backing 2 in the race.

Can see Lord Du Mensil running a big race today from the front. Nice mark, everything to suit. Tough race to predict. Some good stayers racing.

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21 hours ago, richard-westwood said:

2.00 ling sat

Lethal lunch 8.1 7/1 5/1 no value 

Total commitment 8.1 11/2 no value 

Alnasherat 7.2 17/2 6/1 no value 

My ratings 

Lethal     377 

Total 399

Alnersherat 385

Total commitment 10pt ew at 11/2 looks the bet 

First one in ....c'mon my beauty's!!!

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22 hours ago, Villa Chris said:

Ascot 2.25 

Captain Chaos 8.3, 7/1(9/1) no value 

Cobolobo 8.2, 6/1(9/1) no value 

Yalltari 7.7, 9/1(10/1) about right 

Not a lot of value in this at the top end of the ratings . Like the look of Notachance so will play him . 
 

Notachance 10 points win 11/2 providing he runs here and not Haydock . If so then I’ll play Captain Chaos e/w at 7/1, paying 4 places .

Captain Chaos wins.....just 

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5 hours ago, Tedthewolf said:

Not for me today 8lb higher for win lto  racing post have tipped it up,  I backed Lord Du Mesnil  17/2 in the race e/w but hope i don't regret not backing Potters Legend at 16's think its a chance but not backing 2 in the race.

Nice one . He’s a cracking horse isn’t he.  Proper relentless stayer. 

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22 hours ago, Villa Chris said:

3.00 Ascot 

Good Man Pat 8.75, 9/1(11/1) no value 

Dan’s Le Vent 8.7, 7/1(11/1) no value 

Arrivederci 8.05, 5/1(12/1-13/1) no value 

Kateson 8, 9/1(12/1-13/1) no value 

L’ Ami Serge 8, 16/1(12/1-13/1) value 

L’Ami Serge is value but he’s coming back off a lengthy break so is probably best watched. I’ll play top two. 
 

Good Man Pat 4 points ew 9/1

Dan’s Le Vent 4 points ew 7/1

paying 6 places 

EW money on Dan’s Le Vent. 

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22 hours ago, richard-westwood said:

225 ascot 

Cobolobo 8.3 9/1 9/1 value ok 

Yaltari 8.1 10/1 11/1 value 

Regal encore 8.0 10/1 12/1 value 

Hill sixteen 7.6 11/1 14/1 value 

My ratings 

Regal 447 

Cobo 459

Hill 441 

Yaltari 455 

Cobolobo and yaltari 10pts ew both looks the bets 

Regal encore 2nd ...cobo 5th 

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1.50 Newbury (16 runners)

Southfield Harvest 7.75, 4/1(9/1) no value 3rd 

Vive Le Roi 7.4, 25/1(10/1) value 6th

Dell Arca 7.25, 18/1(10/1) value 

Sirobbie 6.25, 14/1(11/1) value 

Tricky race where a few younger horses could quite easily run well upped in distance. Top rated looks a strong bet but skinny odds. Dell Arca looks a touch high on his mark and isn’t getting any younger. I think Vive still has the ability to win off 130 and looks a cracking ew play. 
 

 

Edited by Villa Chris
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20 hours ago, Tedthewolf said:

2.40Ascot

I've gone for rank outsider old boy  Sub Lieutant can't let it go unbacked at 40/1 4places bog with boyles i think thats a crazy price. Interesting Cloudy lane has been well backed. Both not in you guys radar interest 12 runner handicap  can't wait to see what happens!

I didn't get settled for this bet  the horse was 4th been on to boylesports chat  and they said the bet it is settled as lost  as it is an extra place special race and will be in my account in 24hrs  seems strange other bookies don't  do that its settled straight away is this normal from boyles anyone enlighten me? Ta

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Bet fair Hurdle Newbury 3.35

Shakem Up Arry 8.5, 16/1(17/1) Not far off 8th

Buzz 8.2, 10/1(18/1) no value 5th

Milkwood 7.5, 12/1(20/1) no value 11th

Mister Coffey 7.5, 17/2(20/1) no value 7th

For Pleasure 7.5, 18/1(20/1) no value 14th

Night Edition 7.45, 28/1(20/1) value 15th

Soaring Glory 7.2, 6/1(21/1) no value won 

 

Top rated looks a good bet. Buzz seems a very classy horse. Night Edition looks a good bet . I’ll play all 3 ew .

Edited by Villa Chris
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1 hour ago, Wildgarden said:

730 newcastle pearl of qatar and buy me back and fashion advice and rockley point. Put on racing chat this is the rating. Pearl of qatar just cos it's knocking on door and improving as cover, not for value...

Screenshot_20210220-183535.png

Top rated wins, with others 2nd and 3rd and 5th.

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150 newb sunday

Dell arca  8.8  420 8/1 28/1 excellent value 

Southfield harvest 7.7 380 10/1 4/1 poor value 

Everglow   7.5 400 12/1 16/1 value 

Polish   7.4 404 13/1 25/1 excellent value 

Limited reserve  7.2 380 13/1 25/1 excellent value 

Dunno what the hell has gone on here ......huge prices on offer on dell arca ....polish and everglow .....I'll try ew on all 3 ......if dell arca wins now I'll run for the hills lol 

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11 minutes ago, richard-westwood said:

150 newb sunday

Dell arca  8.8  420 8/1 28/1 excellent value 

Southfield harvest 7.7 380 10/1 4/1 poor value 

Everglow   7.5 400 12/1 16/1 value 

Polish   7.4 404 13/1 25/1 excellent value 

Limited reserve  7.2 380 13/1 25/1 excellent value 

Dunno what the hell has gone on here ......huge prices on offer on dell arca ....polish and everglow .....I'll try ew on all 3 ......if dell arca wins now I'll run for the hills lol 

I have Everglow & Limited Reserve not sure the former will go as ran today if it's a NR ill stick Present Value 28/1 in while that later i really like Robbie Power will be on top.

Edited by Tedthewolf
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Keep up the great work guys!

@Tedthewolf i had something similar this week with Boyle Sports. They had marked a 4th placed horse (where they were offering extra places) as unplaced on an ew lucky 15 and acca. The acca was settled as a loser with a leg to go. After the last horse was placed it was then resettled as a winner within about an hour. Very peculiar practice in my book.

One other thing with Boyle sports is they do apply a rule 4 of 5p which a lot of the big boys seem to waive.

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58 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said:

I have Everglow & Limited Reserve not sure the former will go as ran today if it's a NR ill stick Present Value 28/1 in while that later i really like Robbie Power will be on top.

I hadn't realised that lol ...I'll swap to limited reserve ew then .......even if everglow ran after 1 day he isnt gonna reach the first fence ?

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3 hours ago, Villa Chris said:

Bet fair Hurdle Newbury 3.35

Shakem Up Arry 8.5, 16/1(17/1) Not far off 

Buzz 8.2, 10/1(18/1) no value 

Milkwood 7.5, 12/1(20/1) no value 

Mister Coffey 7.5, 17/2(20/1) no value 

For Pleasure 7.5, 18/1(20/1) no value 

Night Edition 7.45, 28/1(20/1) value 

Soaring Glory 7.2, 6/1(21/1) no value 

 

Top rated looks a good bet. Buzz seems a very classy horse. Night Edition looks a good bet . I’ll play all 3 ew .

I like Night Edition too got 25/1 6places bog so happy with that Pipe horses starting to run well. Milkwood was in my final 4 but not backed  it . I have  Ballinsker  66/1  7 places  not bog  Highway one o two 40/1 7places not bog.

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9 hours ago, Tedthewolf said:

I like Night Edition too got 25/1 6places bog so happy with that Pipe horses starting to run well. Milkwood was in my final 4 but not backed  it . I have  Ballinsker  66/1  7 places  not bog  Highway one o two 40/1 7places not bog.

Night Addition 18/1 now. He’s ran well in competitive races before and may have needed his last run.  Whoever gets the winner in this fair play to them. Worth pointing out that Buzz is actually a pound better off today for his superb run behind Not So Sleepy lto, so with his class you’d expect him to go very close. 

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19 minutes ago, Villa Chris said:

Night Addition 18/1 now. He’s ran well in competitive races before and may have needed his last run.  Whoever gets the winner in this fair play to them. Worth pointing out that Buzz is actually a pound better off today for his superb run behind Not So Sleepy lto, so with his class you’d expect him to go very close. 

Still available at 28's with bet365 5places 1/4 odds.

I think there is some cracking e/w value  to be had in these 2 big handicaps at Newbury today some bookies paying 7places and for me i'm not interested in anything at a single figure price indeed  can't force myself to back Milkwood at 12's i do like it but would want 16's at least and 6or7 places to invest in it.

These 2 races are good testers for you guys  ratings.

On a football note Chris i see there are rumours Grealish is injured  probably slipped and fell on  the grease from his hair! 

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4 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said:

Still available at 28's with bet365 5places 1/4 odds.

I think there is some cracking e/w value  to be had in these 2 big handicaps at Newbury today some bookies paying 7places and for me i'm not interested in anything at a single figure price indeed  can't force myself to back Milkwood at 12's i do like it but would want 16's at least and 6or7 places to invest in it.

These 2 races are good testers for you guys  ratings.

On a football note Chris i see there are rumours Grealish is injured  probably slipped and fell on  the grease from his hair! 

Hopefully we can all profit in some way. 

Well we usually go to shit when he’s out, but at least we’ve got off to a decent start so relegation is out of the question. Be a shame though, because we’ve got an outside chance of grabbing 6th if we can carry on way we are. Like him or hate him, the lad is a natural . Pure class. Surprised we’ve managed to keep hold of him , but I think the price tag put a few off. Bet they wished they would have paid it now, mind. My first game was in 1989, and the 90s was great, too. Unfortunately the game is unwatchable for me now. 

 

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13 hours ago, BBBC said:

Keep up the great work guys!

@Tedthewolf i had something similar this week with Boyle Sports. They had marked a 4th placed horse (where they were offering extra places) as unplaced on an ew lucky 15 and acca. The acca was settled as a loser with a leg to go. After the last horse was placed it was then resettled as a winner within about an hour. Very peculiar practice in my book.

One other thing with Boyle sports is they do apply a rule 4 of 5p which a lot of the big boys seem to waive.

Didn't get paid out as they said the field was reduced to 10 runners my only consilation is i also  had a very small bit of 33's with skybet and got paid out by them. Yeah the rule 4 is a pain although would have happliy taken that and got paid out on 4 places i won't be in a hurry to use boylesports again. 

Cheers for your help.

 

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