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Racing Chat - Tuesday 1st December


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Evening all,  
Ive gone through tomorrow's cards and heres some fun fancies for me  prices are Bet365

Lingfield
1250  -  5 Gracies Order     7/2   -  Non Runner
1320  -  3 Legal Oak          9/2  -  unplaced
1350  -  5 Hang Tough       2/1  - unplaced
1453  - 5 Away From Slates   7/2  - Non Runner
1523  - 4 Twenty Twenty      10/3  -  unplaced

Newcastle
1410  -  1 Thawry     13/2   -  3rd
1440  -  2 Castlebar   7/2   -  WON 5/1
1540  -  1 Kentucky Connection   5/1  - WON 11/1

Southwell
1300  -  3 Getariver   10/3  - unplaced
1400  -  5 Gylo    9/4  -  unplaced
1502  - 4 Fantastikas   4/1  -  2nd

Wolves
1600  - 1 Griggy   9/2   -  unplaced
1630  - 7 De Little Engine  5/1   - WON
1800  -  1 Quoteline Direct   4/1  -  2nd
1830   - 4 Masked Identity  4/1 - unplaced

Limerick
1340  -  4 More Info   9/2  -  unplaced
1415  - 6 Live Every Day   8/1  -  unplaced
1515  - 6 Spencil Hill   13/2  -  unplaced
1545  - 6 Sit Down Lucy  5/2  - unplaced

Deauville
1225  - 10 Northern Fox  7/2  - unplaced
1342  - 10 Dream For All  15/2  - 3rd
1452  - 5 Ucel      6/1  - 2nd

Edited by ipswich45
results being added
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10 hours ago, MCLARKE said:

Nicky Henderson has 1 runner tomorrow in the 12.20 at Lingfield.

BRILLIANT PRESENT

Looks like The Brigadier has taken the early value but I'll take the skinny 10/11 on offer, any winner will be welcome at the moment.

Not sure about that one; but what I can't understand is how PL (in their Nap) got 100/30 about Taravara in the 3.10 at Newcastle when I could only see 13/8 bets price last night?

 

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One Trixie today

1.50 Lin Hang tough 6/4
2.10 Nc Ravenscar 7/4
4.15 Nc Love Of Zoffany 9/4

One Trixie at £2 = £8 v poss return of £44.68

Other bets:

2.32 Sou Fortunate George £1 win at 11/1

3.40 Nc Great Colaci 50p win at 3/1 (cover bet)
3.40 Nc VIvre La Difference £1 win at 11/2

5.15 Nc Fendale £1 win at 16/1

Multiple £8

Win bets £3.50

Have not looked at Wolves yet.

Poss back later on a rescue mission

4.15 Nc Love of Zoffany £5.50 win at 9/4 = poss return of £17.88

Not much wiggle room if this one loses, only £3 to play with for today to keep within £20 cap so I'll pass on Wolverhampton later

====================================================================================================

I made a mistake on the multiple bet today.  I only placed a treble for £2.  I thought that the Poss return of £44.68 was a bit low.  Anyway, as none of the horses won I saved £6.  Had I have realised it I need not have risked £5.50 on Love Of Zoffany that came second

Multiples is a loss of £2 balance c/fwd £606.04 (Bank £800).  Top rated multiples is a loss of £2 and has a cumulative loss of - £17.65

The singles loss was £9 hence the Balance c/fwd is £145.68 (£400 Bank)

Four meetings again tomorrow with heavy going forecast at Haydock.  More fodder for thought

 

 

Edited by The Equaliser
Results Update
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All prices Bet365:

2.00 Southwell - 1pt e/w George of Naunton @ 25/1

Shaped well on his debut in a bumper but was less good next time out. Was given time off afterwards however and resumed with a solid debut run over hurdles last time despite doing plenty wrong and looking in need of the outing. Should improve plenty now and at a big price I can see him outrunning his odds.

2.10 Newcastle - 1pt e/w Karasheni @ 18/1

Is generally pretty poor but two best recent runs have come over c&d and is edging down the weights. Runs in a worse race too than last time and with 3 places on offer I think this one has a solid enough chance of making the frame.

2.32 Southwell - 2pts win Brummie Boys @ 11/2

Looks very interesting upped to 3 miles here as I think there should be plenty more to come now his stamina is stretched further. Pedigree screams a stayer and has shaped that way so far when running sound races over shorter trips. On track evidence, the better ground can suit if anything and I think he's a huge player today.

4.15 Newcastle - 1pt e/w Emulate Rose @ 11/1

Has been a bit in and out of form but won at Wolverhampton not too long back and also was a solid 3rd at Kempton off this mark recently. 7f on the all-weather suits and although not able to get involved at Wolverhampton last time, this straight track promises to suit and I think is interesting at an each-way price.

4.45 Newcastle - 1pt e/w Dusk Art @ 18/1

Has run okay the last twice but doesn't stay 7f so I'm glad they return to 6f here as it was an unlucky runner up at Leicester when last seen over this trip. Looks a huge price back down in trip to me. 

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2 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

Very well done with that price; I'm not playing at 7/4

Think you'd have done well to get 10/3, but out to 9/4 with 888 now. If you go to oddschecker and click on the horse name them click 'all history' it shows every price that it's been https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/newcastle/15:10/winner/bet-history/taravara

 

I backed it last time, finished like a train!

Edited by yossa6133
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2 hours ago, yossa6133 said:

Think you'd have done well to get 10/3, but out to 9/4 with 888 now. If you go to oddschecker and click on the horse name them click 'all history' it shows every price that it's been https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/newcastle/15:10/winner/bet-history/taravara

Many thanks Yossa, all that money didn't help it get home though.  Glad I left it alone 🙂

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1 hour ago, richard-westwood said:

530 wolv

Zulu zander  288

Chitra  286 

Mutabaahy 283 

Mutabbahy is well fancied fav here but has a penalty for recent win so I think is worth taking on tonight with the top 2 here at decent prices 

Zulu zander 5pts ew 11/1 888

Chitra 5pts ew 12/1 bet365 

I thought I'd got it .....chitra pipped by the fav on the line...nooooo.....ew money ...good try 

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21 hours ago, ipswich45 said:

Evening all,  
Ive gone through tomorrow's cards and heres some fun fancies for me  prices are Bet365

Lingfield
1250  -  5 Gracies Order     7/2   -  Non Runner
1320  -  3 Legal Oak          9/2  -  unplaced
1350  -  5 Hang Tough       2/1  - unplaced
1453  - 5 Away From Slates   7/2  - Non Runner
1523  - 4 Twenty Twenty      10/3  -  unplaced

Newcastle
1410  -  1 Thawry     13/2   -  3rd
1440  -  2 Castlebar   7/2   -  WON 5/1
1540  -  1 Kentucky Connection   5/1  - WON 11/1

Southwell
1300  -  3 Getariver   10/3  - unplaced
1400  -  5 Gylo    9/4  -  unplaced
1502  - 4 Fantastikas   4/1  -  2nd

Wolves
1600  - 1 Griggy   9/2   -  unplaced
1630  - 7 De Little Engine  5/1   - WON
1800  -  1 Quoteline Direct   4/1  -  2nd
1830   - 4 Masked Identity  4/1 - unplaced

Limerick
1340  -  4 More Info   9/2  -  unplaced
1415  - 6 Live Every Day   8/1  -  unplaced
1515  - 6 Spencil Hill   13/2  -  unplaced
1545  - 6 Sit Down Lucy  5/2  - unplaced

Deauville
1225  - 10 Northern Fox  7/2  - unplaced
1342  - 10 Dream For All  15/2  - 3rd
1452  - 5 Ucel      6/1  - 2nd

decent result out of Newcastle today   5/1 out to 11/1    just amoyned didnt chose it for NAP competition 

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13 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

One Trixie today

1.50 Lin Hang tough 6/4
2.10 Nc Ravenscar 7/4
4.15 Nc Love Of Zoffany 9/4

One Trixie at £2 = £8 v poss return of £44.68

Other bets:

2.32 Sou Fortunate George £1 win at 11/1

3.40 Nc Great Colaci 50p win at 3/1 (cover bet)
3.40 Nc VIvre La Difference £1 win at 11/2

5.15 Nc Fendale £1 win at 16/1

Multiple £8

Win bets £3.50

Have not looked at Wolves yet.

Poss back later on a rescue mission

4.15 Nc Love of Zoffany £5.50 win at 9/4 = poss return of £17.88

Not much wiggle room if this one loses, only £3 to play with for today to keep within £20 cap so I'll pass on Wolverhampton later

====================================================================================================

I made a mistake on the multiple bet today.  I only placed a treble for £2.  I thought that the Poss return of £44.68 was a bit low.  Anyway, as none of the horses won I saved £6.  Had I have realised it I need not have risked £5.50 on Love Of Zoffany that came second

Multiples is a loss of £2 balance c/fwd £606.04 (Bank £800).  Top rated multiples is a loss of £2 and has a cumulative loss of - £17.65

The singles loss was £9 hence the Balance c/fwd is £145.68 (£400 Bank)

Four meetings again tomorrow with heavy going forecast at Haydock.  More fodder for thought

 

 

This isn't the £20 thread so why the cap ? 

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13 hours ago, roger2256 said:

This isn't the £20 thread so why the cap ? 

Hey, you're the guy who told me not to chase losses.  The cap is to prevent me from going over board on my recovery bets.  If I cap them then I limit my liabilities.  Btw I love your selections, always practical' I can't understand why you don't win the most winners comp.  You should do it each and every month 🙂

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