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A mish-mash to..............Millions??


only1woz
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A new system from me which I haven't tested before. A total mixed bag of backs, lays, draws etc. although I will record how each "mini-system" performs individually. Qualifying selections are based on info gleaned from the fantastic CGM Bet tool. The only issue I have is that the tool takes it's odds from the usual bookmakers, so the lay prices for my lay bets will often be higher from Betfair which may distort my figures for the lays. I'll take  each lay bet individually, and will note if the bet was unmatched, if I look for a better price and look to let the bet go in-running in order to reach my desired price.

Each bet will be either a £10.00 back, or £10.00 lay (with higher liability obviously than the £10.00, depending on the odds). Odds are from Betfair. I'm not staking any money on this as it's just a test, but will put small 10p bets on the lays so I can know for definite if I would have been matched in running or not. As ever, I STRONGLY ADVISE AGAINST  putting any money on these selections until it has proven beyond doubt that it will make me a millionaire! (I was going to say billionaire, but let's not be greedy, eh?

As ever, any questions/comments are always welcome. Edited to add, all profits posted are after 2% betfair commission has been taken off.

Selections to follow .........

Edited by only1woz
Added note re betfair comms
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Selections for Friday 16th..... First set of odds are CGM bet (desired odds) - 2nd set is Betfair odds. Matches with "unm" are unmatched but will go in-play if not matched before kick off. If a goal happens and I don't get matched, I will update in the results as a void bet.  

16.10. dijon rennes home 4.33 5.00  
  nimes psg home 8.50 10.50  
  dundalk bohemians lay away 3.40 3.50 unm
  shamrock derry lay away 7.50 8.00 unm
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Have been matched in the 2 bets for tonight. Derry actually came down to 6.6 to lay so that's a little disappointing, but win some/lose some I suppose.

 

Tomorrows selections are here. A lot of games for Saturday but this system is actually 15 individual systems for each selected league rolled into one, so that's to be expected. All back bets unless otherwise stated.

17.10. everton liverpool home 4.20 4.00  
  newcastle Man utd home 4.50 5.10  
  sampdoria lazio away 1.95 2.28  
  crotone juventus away 1.28 1.46  
  augsburg leipzig home 5.25 6.20  
  mainz leverkusen home 5.25 5.60  
  hoffenheim dortmund home 4.33 4.20  
  bielefeld b munich home 12.00 16.00  
  portsmouth doncaster draw 3.40 3.50  
  peterboro oxford draw 3.50 4.00  
  plymouth northampton draw 3.50 3.90  
  ipswich accrington draw 3.80 3.70  
  charlton wigan draw 3.40 3.70  
  fleetwood lincoln draw 3.30 3.65  
  reims lorient lay away 3.60 3.70 unm
  marseille bordeaux lay away 3.75 4.00 unm
  hertha stuttgart home 2.05 2.14  
  gladbach wolfsburg home 1.90 1.91  
  shelbourne sligo lay away 2.90 2.90 unm
  heracles waalwijk lay away 5.75 6.00 unm
  alkmaar venlo lay away 12.00 12.50 unm
  willem twente lay away 4.00 4.00 unm
  celtic rangers lay away 3.10 2.86  
  rizespor ankaragucu lay away 3.75 4.20 unm
  konyaspor malatyaspor lay away 4.00 4.40 unm
  trabzonspor basaksehir lay away 3.10 3.30  

 Fingers crossed for a good opening weekend 

 

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Tomorrows bets....

18.10. bologna sassulo away 2.20 2.80  
  spezia fiorentina away 1.66 1.67  
  strasbourg lyon home 4.00 4.00  
  cologne frankfurt home 3.00 3.30  
  monaco montpellier lay away 3.75 5.20 no bet
  angers metz lay away 3.75 3.90 unm
  saint etienne nice lay away 3.25 3.10  
  nantes brest lay away 3.40 3.50  
  lille lens lay away 4.00 4.50 unm
  feyenoord sparta lay away 7.00 7.40 unm
  ajax heerenveen lay away 7.00 7.40 unm
  emmen sittard lay away 3.40 3.45 unm
  stromsgodset start lay away 3.90 3.90 unm
  stabaek aalesund lay away 4.75 4.50 unm
  elfsborg kalmar lay away 4.50 4.50 unm
  sirius ostersunds lay away 4.50 5.00 unm
  hammarby mjallby lay away 4.20 4.70 unm
  AIK gothenburg lay away 3.50 3.75 unm
  hatayspor buyuksehir lay away 3.40 2.04  
  antalyaspor gaziantep lay away 3.60 4.00 unm
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A difficult first weekend, but it's often the way. Onwards and upwards...

OCT                
16.10. dijon rennes home 4.33 5.00 1 1 -£10.00  
  nimes psg home 8.50 10.50 0 4 -£10.00  
  dundalk bohemians lay away 3.40 3.50 0 0 £9.80  
  shamrock derry lay away 7.50 8.00 pp £0.00  
17.10. everton liverpool home 4.20 4.00 2 2 -£10.00  
  newcastle Man utd home 4.50 5.10 1 4 -£10.00  
  sampdoria lazio away 1.95 2.28 3 0 -£10.00  
  crotone juventus away 1.28 1.46 1 1 -£10.00  
  augsburg leipzig home 5.25 6.20 0 2 -£10.00  
  mainz leverkusen home 5.25 5.60 0 1 -£10.00  
  hoffenheim dortmund home 4.33 4.20 0 1 -£10.00  
  bielefeld b munich home 12.00 16.00 1 4 -£10.00  
  portsmouth doncaster draw 3.40 3.50 0 1 -£10.00  
  peterboro oxford draw 3.50 4.00 2 0 -£10.00  
  plymouth northampton draw 3.50 3.90 2 1 -£10.00  
  ipswich accrington draw 3.80 3.70 2 0 -£10.00  
  charlton wigan draw 3.40 3.70 1 0 -£10.00  
  fleetwood lincoln draw 3.30 3.65 0 0 £25.97  
  reims lorient lay away 3.60 3.70 1 3 -£27.00  
  marseille bordeaux lay away 3.75 4.00 3 1 £9.80  
  hertha stuttgart home 2.05 2.14 0 2 -£10.00  
  gladbach wolfsburg home 1.90 1.91 1 1 -£10.00  
  shelbourne sligo lay away 2.90 2.90 1 0 £9.80  
  heracles waalwijk lay away 5.75 6.00 0 1 -£50.00  
  alkmaar venlo lay away 12.00 12.50 2 2 £9.80  
  willem twente lay away 4.00 4.00 0 3 -£30.00  
  celtic rangers lay away 3.10 2.86 0 2 -£18.60  
  rizespor ankaragucu lay away 3.75 4.20 5 3 £9.80  
  konyaspor malatyaspor lay away 4.00 4.40 1 1 £9.80  
  trabzonspor basaksehir lay away 3.10 3.30 0 2 -£23.00  
18.10. bologna sassulo away 2.20 2.80 3 4 £17.64  
  spezia fiorentina away 1.66 1.67 2 2 -£10.00  
  strasbourg lyon home 4.00 4.00 2 3 -£10.00  
  cologne frankfurt home 3.00 3.30 1 1 -£10.00  
  monaco montpellier lay away 3.75 5.20 no bet £0.00  
  angers metz lay away 3.75 3.90 1 1 £9.80  
  saint etienne nice lay away 3.25 3.10 1 3 -£21.00  
  nantes brest lay away 3.40 3.50 3 1 £9.80  
  lille lens lay away 4.00 4.50 4 0 £9.80  
  feyenoord sparta lay away 7.00 7.40 1 1 unm  
  ajax heerenveen lay away 7.00 7.40 5 1 unm  
  emmen sittard lay away 3.40 3.45 2 2 £9.80  
  stromsgodset start lay away 3.90 3.90 1 1 £9.80  
  stabaek aalesund lay away 4.75 4.50 4 0 £9.80  
  elfsborg kalmar lay away 4.50 4.50 3 1 £9.80  
  sirius ostersunds lay away 4.50 5.00 2 3 -£40.00  
  hammarby mjallby lay away 4.20 4.70 4 2 unm  
  AIK gothenburg lay away 3.50 3.75 2 0 £9.80  
  hatayspor buyuksehir lay away 3.40 2.04 1 1 £9.80  
  antalyaspor gaziantep lay away 3.60 4.00 pp £0.00  
              weekly overall
              total total
              -£218.99 -£218.99
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This has not started brilliantly at all, but that means it can only get better, right? 😜

A lot of bets over next 2 days, and a few points to make. I forgot to post up the 3 matches from last night, so will include them in todays list of bets. The 3 matches made a loss anyway, 2 losers and 1 winner.

Also, in the last column, "unm" means unmatched yet, but I have placed the bet. However, "unm*" with an * asterisk means I have NOT placed a bet yet, and will only do so if the odds change massively in my favour in-game. This will be mostly away lays, where there is a big difference in desired odds and odds being offered. If the away team takes the lead, I'll then lay them at much better odds.  

Anyway, here is todays bets.....

23.10. rennes angers lay away 4.50 4.10 1 2
  stuttgart cologne home 2.20 1.95 1 1
  kasimpasa goztepe lay away 3.10 3.40 0 0
24.10. west ham man city home 8.00 7.80 unm
  genoa inter away 1.36 1.44  
  mainz gladbach home 4.20 4.70  
  wigan plymouth draw 3.50 3.50  
  sunderland portsmouth draw 3.25 3.25  
  shrewsbury rochdale draw 3.50 3.50  
  blackpool MK dons draw 3.40 3.30  
  doncaster crewe draw 3.60 3.65  
  burton wimbledon draw 3.50 3.50  
  psg dijon lay away 30.00 30.00  
  leipzig hertha home 1.40 1.51  
  b munich frankfurt home 1.12 1.20  
  dortmund schalke home 1.20 1.26  
  altach admira draw 3.50 4.00  
  utrecht twente lay away 5.75 5.10  
  heerenveen emmen lay away 5.00 4.60  
  start sandefjord lay away 3.60 3.40  
  brann stabaek lay away 3.80 3.70  
  motherwell ross cty lay away 4.20 5.50 unm*
  st johnstone dundee utd lay away 4.00 4.50  
  hacken mjallby lay away 4.75 7.00 unm*
  djurgarden sirius lay away 4.00 3.90  
  basaksehir antalyaspor lay away 4.75    
25.10. southampton everton home 3.10 3.00  
  benevento napoli away 1.28 1.38  
  waterford dundalk home 4.00 4.60  
  lens nantes lay away 4.50 4.00  
  montpellier reims lay away 4.20 4.50  
  bordeaux nimes lay away 4.00 4.50  
  lyon monaco lay away 4.50 5.00  
  wolfsburg bielefeld home 1.66 1.74  
  linz st polten draw 5.00 5.30  
  wsg tirol hartberg draw 3.40 3.90  
  sparta amlelo lay away 3.40 3.60  
  molde stromsgodset lay away 8.00 8.40  
  valerenga kristiansund lay away 4.50 4.30  
  bodo glimt mjondalen lay away 10.00 10.50  
  rangers livingston lay away 13.00 20.00 unm*
  kalmar falkenbergs lay away 3.60 3.40  
  orebro helsingborg lay away 3.20 2.96  
  malmo gothenburg lay away 6.00 7.80 unm*
  malatyaspor genclerbirligi lay away 3.60 4.40 unm*
  alanyaspor karugumruk lay away 6.60 7.00 unm
  fenerbahce trabzonspor lay away 4.20 5.30 unm*

 

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Slight profit this week, better than last week so moving in the right direction at least

19.10. derry dundalk home 3.80 3.20 1 2 -£10.00  
  genclerbirligi denizlispor lay away 3.60 4.00 1 2 -£30.00  
  galatasaray alanyaspor lay away 4.00 4.20 1 2 -£32.00  
20.10. shrewsbury bristol rvs draw 3.50 3.50 0 1 -£10.00  
  sunderland crewe draw 4.10 4.20 1 0 -£10.00  
  oxford MK dons draw 3.60 3.40 3 2 -£10.00  
  lincoln plymouth draw 3.40 3.50 2 0 -£10.00  
  hull wilbledon draw 3.75 3.90 1 0 -£10.00  
  burton rochdale draw 3.60 3.60 0 1 -£10.00  
23.10. rennes angers lay away 4.50 4.10 1 2 -£31.00  
  stuttgart cologne home 2.20 1.95 1 1 -£10.00  
  kasimpasa goztepe lay away 3.10 3.40 0 0 £9.80  
24.10. west ham man city home 8.00 7.80 1 1 -£10.00  
  genoa inter away 1.36 1.44 0 2 £4.31  
  mainz gladbach home 4.20 4.70 2 3 -£10.00  
  wigan plymouth draw 3.50 3.50 1 1 £24.50  
  sunderland portsmouth draw 3.25 3.25 1 3 -£10.00  
  shrewsbury rochdale draw 3.50 3.50 1 2 -£10.00  
  blackpool MK dons draw 3.40 3.30 1 0 -£10.00  
  doncaster crewe draw 3.60 3.65 1 2 -£10.00  
  burton wimbledon draw 3.50 3.50 1 1 £24.50  
  psg dijon lay away 30.00 30.00 4 0 £9.80  
  leipzig hertha home 1.40 1.51 2 1 £5.00  
  b munich frankfurt home 1.12 1.20 5 0 £1.96  
  dortmund schalke home 1.20 1.26 3 0 £2.55  
  altach admira draw 3.50 4.00 4 2 -£10.00  
  utrecht twente lay away 5.75 5.10 2 1 £9.80  
  heerenveen emmen lay away 5.00 4.60 4 0 £9.80  
  start sandefjord lay away 3.60 3.40 0 1 -£24.00  
  brann stabaek lay away 3.80 3.70 1 1 £9.80  
  motherwell ross cty lay away 4.20 5.50 unm* £0.00  
  st johnstone dundee utd lay away 4.00 4.50 0 0 £9.80  
  hacken mjallby lay away 4.75 7.00 2 2 £9.80  
  djurgarden sirius lay away 4.00 3.90 4 0 £9.80  
  basaksehir antalyaspor lay away 4.75 6.00 unm* £0.00  
25.10. southampton everton home 3.10 3.00 2 0 £19.60  
  benevento napoli away 1.28 1.38 1 2 £3.72  
  waterford dundalk home 4.00 4.60 1 0 £35.28  
  lens nantes lay away 4.50 4.00 p p £0.00  
  montpellier reims lay away 4.20 4.50 0 4 -£35.00  
  bordeaux nimes lay away 4.00 4.50 2 0 £9.80  
  lyon monaco lay away 4.50 5.00 4 1 £9.80  
  wolfsburg bielefeld home 1.66 1.74 2 1 £7.25  
  linz st polten draw 5.00 5.30 4 0 -£10.00  
  wsg tirol hartberg draw 3.40 3.90 1 1 £28.42  
  sparta amlelo lay away 3.40 3.60 1 1 £9.80  
  molde stromsgodset lay away 8.00 8.40 2 1 £9.80  
  valerenga kristiansund lay away 4.50 4.30 1 1 £9.80  
  bodo glimt mjondalen lay away 10.00 10.50 unm £0.00  
  rangers livingston lay away 13.00 20.00 unm* £0.00  
  kalmar falkenbergs lay away 3.60 3.40 0 0 £9.80  
  orebro helsingborg lay away 3.20 2.96 3 2 £9.80  
  malmo gothenburg lay away 6.00 7.80 unm* £0.00  
  malatyaspor genclerbirligi lay away 3.60 4.40 2 1 £9.80  
  alanyaspor karugumruk lay away 6.60 7.00 unm £0.00  
  fenerbahce trabzonspor lay away 4.20 5.30 3 1 £9.80  
                 
              £11.69 £11.69
                OVERALL
                TOTAL
                -£207.30
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Tonights and tomorrows bets - not confident that AIK will go as low as 3.4 so will leave that to g in play and lay of AIK takes the lead

26.10. burnley tottenham home 5.50 6.60  
  leverkusen augsburg home 1.61 1.65  
  norrkoping aik lay away 3.40 4.10 unm*
  sivasspor rizespor lay away 4.50 4.40  
27.10. viking haugesund lay away 4.00 4.00 unm
  peterboro burton draw 3.80 4.70  
  ipswich gillingham draw 3.80 3.90  
  mk dons wigan draw 3.30 3.85  
  portsmouth northampton draw 3.80 4.90  
  fleetwood shrewsbury draw 3.30 3.70  
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Today and tomorrows selections, Schalke have just taken the lead in tonights match, which I'm a bit late with, due to work

 

30.10. schalke stuttgart home 3.00 3.25  
31.10. sheff utd man city home 11.00 10.50  
  burnley chelsea home 5.50 6.20  
  crotone atalanta away 1.44 1.50  
  nantes psg home 8.00 8.40  
  bielefeld dortmund home 6.50 8.00  
  cologne b munich home 10.00 17.00  
  gladbach leipzig home 2.90 3.15  
  mk dons wimbledon draw 3.40 3.80  
  portsmouth charlton draw 3.60 3.70  
  peterboro shrewsbury draw 3.80 3.90  
  wigan northampton draw 3.40 3.60  
  ipswich crewe draw 3.40 3.60  
  fleetwood oxford draw 3.40 3.40  
  doncaster lincoln draw 3.40 3.35  
  rennes brest lay away 4.33 3.95  
  augsburg mainz home 1.90 2.14  
  frankfurt bremen home 1.80 1.76  
  st polten ried draw 4.00 4.10  
  salzburg wsg tirol draw 9.50 10.00  
  twente zwolle lay away 3.60 4.00 unm
  ajax sittard lay away 6.00 29.00 unm*
  groningen venlo lay away 6.50 8.60 unm*
  odd sarpsborg lay away 3.75 3.80  
  haugesund aalesund lay away 8.00 11.00 unm*
  dundee utd ross cty lay away 3.60 3.85  
  galatasaray ankaragucu lay away 6.00 12.00 unm*
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Slight loss overall this week.

26.10. burnley tottenham home 5.50 6.60 0 1 -£10.00  
  leverkusen augsburg home 1.61 1.65 3 1 £6.37  
  norrkoping aik lay away 3.40 4.10 2 2 £9.80  
  sivasspor rizespor lay away 4.50 4.40 0 2 -£34.00  
27.10. viking haugesund lay away 4.00 4.00 0 1 -£30.00  
  peterboro burton draw 3.80 4.70 2 2 £36.26  
  ipswich gillingham draw 3.80 3.90 1 0 -£10.00  
  mk dons wigan draw 3.30 3.85 2 0 -£10.00  
  portsmouth northampton draw 3.80 4.90 4 0 -£10.00  
  fleetwood shrewsbury draw 3.30 3.70 1 0 -£10.00  
28.10. shamrock derry lay away 7.50 7.00 no bet    
30.10. schalke stuttgart home 3.00 3.25 1 1 -£10.00  
31.10. sheff utd man city home 11.00 10.50 0 1 -£10.00  
  burnley chelsea home 5.50 6.20 0 3 -£10.00  
  crotone atalanta away 1.44 1.50 1 2 £4.90  
  nantes psg home 8.00 8.40 0 3 -£10.00  
  bielefeld dortmund home 6.50 8.00 0 2 -£10.00  
  cologne b munich home 10.00 17.00 1 2 -£10.00  
  gladbach leipzig home 2.90 3.15 1 0 £21.07  
  mk dons wimbledon draw 3.40 3.80 1 1 £27.44  
  portsmouth charlton draw 3.60 3.70 0 2 -£10.00  
  peterboro shrewsbury draw 3.80 3.90 5 1 -£10.00  
  wigan northampton draw 3.40 3.60 2 3 -£10.00  
  ipswich crewe draw 3.40 3.60 1 0 -£10.00  
  fleetwood oxford draw 3.40 3.40 2 0 -£10.00  
  doncaster lincoln draw 3.40 3.35 1 0 -£10.00  
  rennes brest lay away 4.33 3.95 2 1 £9.80  
  augsburg mainz home 1.90 2.14 3 1 £11.17  
  frankfurt bremen home 1.80 1.76 1 1 -£10.00  
  st polten ried draw 4.00 4.10 4 0 -£10.00  
  salzburg wsg tirol draw 9.50 10.00 5 0 -£10.00  
  twente zwolle lay away 3.60 4.00 5 1 £9.80  
  ajax sittard lay away 6.00 29.00 5.20 £9.80  
  groningen venlo lay away 6.50 8.60 unm £0.00  
  odd sarpsborg lay away 3.75 3.80 1 1 £9.80  
  haugesund aalesund lay away 8.00 11.00 unm £0.00  
  dundee utd ross cty lay away 3.60 3.85 2 1 £9.80  
  galatasaray ankaragucu lay away 6.00 12.00 unm £0.00  
01.11. newcastle everton home 4.20 3.75 2 0 £26.95  
  udinese milan away 1.75 1.80 1 2 £7.84  
  torino lazio away 1.83 2.88 3 4 £18.42  
  spezia juventus away 1.36 1.33 1 4 £3.23  
  freiburg leverkusen home 3.75 3.85 2 4 -£10.00  
  st patricks dundalk home 3.50 2.30 1 1 -£10.00  
  reims strasbourg lay away 3.25 3.20 2 1 £9.80  
  nimes metz lay away 3.40 3.00 0 1 -£20.00  
  monaco bordeaux lay away 3.75 4.00 unm £0.00  
  rapid wien altach draw 4.75 5.00 3 1 -£10.00  
  PSV den haag lay away 17.00 18.00 4 0 £9.80  
  alkmaar waalwijk lay away 12.00 13.50 3 0 £9.80  
  rosenborg start lay away 8.50 9.00 1 0 £9.80  
  sirius kalmar lay away 4.50 4.80 2 2 £9.80  
  mjallby ostersunds lay away 3.80 4.00 3 0 £9.80  
  gothenburg orebro lay away 4.20 2.50 0 1 -£15.00  
  rizespor kayserispor lay away 4.00 4.20 unm £0.00  
  besiktas malatyaspor lay away 4.75 4.75 unm £0.00 OVERALL
                TOTAL
          Weekly Total -£47.75 -£255.05
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