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Ok...

I have 4 (speculative) entries in 4 different comps as follows:

BMW - Jorge Campillo 80/1, 8 Shriners - Pat Perez 100/1, 8
KPMG - In Gee Chun - 66/1, 6

SAS - Bob Estes - 55/1, 6

4 e/w singles

6 e/w doubles

‘Pre-tournament start’ betting is always highly speculative of course, but small affordable stakes as in this case can have decent returns.

Ill keep a record of my bets for the next 10 weeks worth of competitions that I enter, whether it be ‘pre tournament start’ bets or after the cut etc. 

Cheers for now

 

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A week to forget from my pov!

2 of my 4 selections didn’t even make the cut, and the other 2 made no challenge.

I think this highlights the danger of ‘pre tournament start’ betting, where the biggest odds and the most places being available is clearly offset by not knowing how a player is going to perform in the actual competition.

I will deal with that in this coming weeks events with bets being placed after the completion of the 2nd round, accepting the fact that there will obviously be reduced odds and places. More on that during the week.

So far, for record/accountancy purposes I am 1 stake down ie

-1

cheers for now

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Golf betting, as with all sports betting, is guided by the ‘form’ book of course. The problem before a golf tournament starts though is we don’t know who is going to ‘show up’ to the party.

Often, as the last week demonstrated, the money was burned for many just 2 days into a tournament (well it was for me anyway).

So, I’ll be countering that this week by ignoring a players ‘form’ reputation and instead looking at a players ‘in play’ form within the current competition after 2 rounds have been completed. This way I’ll know who’s ‘turned up’ and who hasn’t.

It doesn’t guarantee a winner but  with a bit of thought regarding criteria to use at that stage to make a selection, I think will at least give more of a fighting chance of a profitable outcome.

We will see.

On that simple basis, I’ll post my bets after round 2.

Cheers for now

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No luck for me this week, which given how the total scores of the winner down to 10th for example generally fall within a small window of less than half a percent usually, should come as no real surprise, and indicates how tough it is to find winners.

I’ll continue with my approach nevertheless and just like everyone else I need a little bit of luck to find that elusive winner.

- 1

Cheers

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No selections for me just yet. I’ll wait until I see which players are looking to be competitive out of the 50 odd realistic possibilities first which for me will be after 2 rounds have been completed.

Anything before then is an extreme gamble in my book as results have clearly shown and I’m not keen personally on the scattergun approach with numerous selections being made, but good luck to those that are able to make a profit that way...after all, profit is the name of the game!

Cheers for now

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Would be great to have confidence in just one selection in such a big field. The way I see it it's like having the Grand National every week. I'd always pick a few for that, and sure you might lose a couple over the first few fences, but hopefully you'll get a good run for your money. 

Obviously your approach is more sensible, with potentially a better strike rate. But I find the odds and places on offer at the start are much more enticing. Sometimes after a couple of rounds you'll do well to get double figures and 4 places on someone that was 3 figures and 8 places at the start. 

Anyway, good luck for this week. Let's hope the gambling gods are on our side. 🤞🏻

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Everything you’ve said is correct, but big odds and lots of places unfortunately doesn’t count for much if you don’t get a run for your money, hence my own approach instead.

And yes...we definitely need the gods and any good luck charm you can think of if it helps us all to pick a winner now and again.

And good luck to you too mate...see you on the other side.

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