Squirrel Nutkin Posted October 5, 2020 Share Posted October 5, 2020 Reasoning: There are some really good tipsters out there. They know the sport inside out and they have time on their hands to do the research. Method: If I follow 10+ tipsters, who would most likely tip 4-5 selections, I'd probably end up with 30+ different picks. Based on the previews, and available value, I will narrow this down and choose 3 or 4 bets. Aim: First and foremost, to make a profit! Also I hope to become more disciplined when placing my own bets. My staking can be up and down, and I tend to throw money at silly longshots. So hopefully this thread will encourage me to keep things sensible. And in time maybe I will learn more about the sport, the different courses and the players, making bets with my own knowledge. I fully expect a slow start. I'll start the bank at 0 points. If it gets to -100 I'll knock it on the head! I don't suppose I will bet more than 10 points a week. Fader, Zico10, Torque and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted October 6, 2020 Author Share Posted October 6, 2020 BMW Championship Shane Lowry 1pt win @ 22/1 Shriners Open Scottie Scheffler 2pt ew @ 30/1 hills 8 places Possibly another tip or 2 to come. Bank: -5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted October 7, 2020 Author Share Posted October 7, 2020 Last one before the BMW Championship starts: John Catlin 1pt ew @ 66/1 sky 8 places Bank: -7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted October 12, 2020 Author Share Posted October 12, 2020 No joy on week 1. Lowry was looking good for a couple of rounds before falling away. Not one of the 'tipsters' picked the winner. The closest they came was 4 places (out of a possible 21, including ties) across the 2 main tournaments. Better luck this weekend ?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted October 14, 2020 Author Share Posted October 14, 2020 CJ Cup Louis Oosthuizen 1pt ew @ 40/1 sky 7 places Joaquin Niemann 1pt ew @ 50/1 sky Scottish Championship Matthew Southgate 1pt ew @ 30/1 pp 7 places Jack Senior 1pt ew @ 60/1 pp Brandon Stone 1pt ew @ 33/1 pp Scott Hend 0.5pt ew @ 80/1 sky 6 places I considered the above picks to be the best value. However, the most tipped went to Justin Thomas and Eddie Pepperell. So I'll have them in a double. Thomas/Pepperell 0.5pt ew double @ 200/1 B365 5 places 12 points staked Bank: -19 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted October 19, 2020 Author Share Posted October 19, 2020 Only a 1 point loss over the weekend with Niemann getting a place, returning 11 points. Bank: -8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted October 19, 2020 Author Share Posted October 19, 2020 A bit earlier than planned, but had to get 1 bet on before the price goes. Already a few previews done for the Italian Open and a couple of strong tips for Adri Arnaus 1pt ew @ 33/1 Betfred 7 places Bank: -10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted October 21, 2020 Author Share Posted October 21, 2020 (edited) Glad I got Arnaus @ 33's, continued to be tipped/backed and is now 25's. Although last time there was such a strong selection, I think it was Lowry a few weeks ago, he didn't make the cut! Three more for the Italian Open: Laurie Canter 1pt ew @ 45/1 pp Joachim Hansen 1pt ew @ 45/1 betfred Justin Walters 0.5pt ew @ 125/1 pp And three for the ZOZO Championship: Collin Morikawa 1pt win @ 20/1 hills Bubba Watson 1pt ew @ 33/1 sky Russell Henley 1pt ew @ 45/1 pp Bank: -20 ?? All each way are 7 places, 1/5 of the odds. Edited October 21, 2020 by Squirrel Nutkin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted October 25, 2020 Author Share Posted October 25, 2020 (edited) Bitterly disappointed that Canter didn't get the win. Had a chance to cash out for about 30pts, but let it run and just the 10pt return from him. Also 4.5pt return from Arnaus getting T5. Not all bad, but feel it should have been a 60pt return. I don't expect anything from ZOZO. Bubba could potentially get a place, and it was a great round from Henley yesterday. But i can't see past Thomas or Rahm. Returns: 14.5 Bank: -5.5 Edited October 25, 2020 by Squirrel Nutkin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted October 26, 2020 Author Share Posted October 26, 2020 (edited) Surprised to see Bubba and Henley both get a place. They return 17.5 points. That's 4 places out of 7 selections this weekend. Still gutted to miss out on the win in the Italian ? but after 3 weeks we're in profit ? Bank: 12 points And Skybet were refunding on J B Hansen after he withdrew. But not Betfred ?? Edited October 26, 2020 by Squirrel Nutkin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted October 27, 2020 Author Share Posted October 27, 2020 (edited) It seems the tipsters are getting their write-ups done earlier and earlier. The Cyprus Open is the preferred betting option this week, not so much for the Bermuda Championship which apart from 2 clear favourites appears to be wide open. Cyprus Open Joakim Lagergren 1.5pt ew @ 45/1 Sami Valimaki 1pt ew @ 28/1 Antoine Rozner 1pt ew @ 35/1 All 7 places 1/5 odds pp ------- Bermuda Championship Brendan Todd 1pt win @ 14/1 pp Paddy are doing 8 places in this, so possibly an outsider pick to come. 8 points staked. Bank: 4 points Edited October 27, 2020 by Squirrel Nutkin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted October 28, 2020 Author Share Posted October 28, 2020 Not too confident in Todd now. The most tipped are Zalatoris, Suh and Redman. But I'm going for a popular longshot in: Kramer Hickok 0.5pt ew @ 100/1 Took 7 places on Betfred, as pp 8 places was only 80/1. Bank: 3 points ?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted November 1, 2020 Author Share Posted November 1, 2020 A disappointing finish for Valimaki, a 2 shot lead squandered on the back nine. Still, a 4.5 point return. In the Bermuda there's only 3 shots separating the top 15. Hickok currently T1. Would be a great win, but a place is more realistic. Anyway, will possibly hedge bets in running if there's value. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted November 2, 2020 Author Share Posted November 2, 2020 Well Hickok blew it. And maybe I should have taken 8 places, which would have returned 5 or 6 points. Not planning on doing much for this week, probably just a couple of picks. The Masters next week and there'll be loads of tips out there to get stuck in to. Bank: 7.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted November 4, 2020 Author Share Posted November 4, 2020 I've not looked at too many previews for this week. But I've seen enough to make me follow a few tips. Not going mad, will do that next week! Houston Open Beau Hossler 0.5pt ew @ 100/1 pp 8 places Si Woo Kim 1pt ew @ 45/1 pp Cyprus Showdown Wilco Nienbar 1pt ew @ 55/1 b365 5 places Bank: 2.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted November 10, 2020 Author Share Posted November 10, 2020 I won't dwell on last week! Full steam ahead for The Masters. As expected there are tons of previews out there. But most are looking for some value, with DJ and BDC not that popular because of their skinny price. I feel the 6 most tipped players are a good mix of value, ranging from 16/1 to 70/1. Schauffele 1pt win @ 16/1 pp Finau 1pt ew @ 25/1 Hatton 1pt ew @ 22/1 B Watson 1pt ew @ 25/1 C Smith 1pt ew @ 66/1 Kokrak 0.5pt ew @ 70/1 All each way are with Sky, 11 places. Bank: -7.5 ?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted November 15, 2020 Author Share Posted November 15, 2020 Not a bad result. 10 points staked and 14 returned courtesy of C Smith getting T2. Bank: 6.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted November 17, 2020 Author Share Posted November 17, 2020 Only 1 name getting mentioned more than any other in the Joburg Open. M Armitage 1pt ew @ 22/1 pp 7 places And a couple of popular choices in the RSM Classic. P Kizzire 0.5pt ew @ 150/1 pp 8 places D Redman 1pt ew @ 66/1 pp 8 places Will likely add another 1 tomorrow, probably Henley, but a few more previews to go over yet. Bank: 1.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted November 18, 2020 Author Share Posted November 18, 2020 (edited) Final bet for the RSM Classic: R Henley 1pt ew @ 22/1 sky 8 places Bank: -0.5 ?? Edited November 18, 2020 by Squirrel Nutkin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted November 25, 2020 Author Share Posted November 25, 2020 Close again last week, makes me feel that a good win is not far away. There are 3 picks for the Alfred Dunhill: Z Lombard 1pt ew @ 40/1 J Campillo 1pt ew @ 40/1 J Donaldson 1pt ew @ 45/1 Bank: -6.5 ?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 No joy last week. And I missed the early start in Dubai this morning! Had Sullivan on the list ??♂️ also Kinhult and Valimaki. No value now so next on the list was: Niklas Lemke 1pt ew @ 66/1 sky 5 places Over to Mexico in the Mayakoba Classic: C Connors 1pt ew @ 28/1 pp 8 places A Long 1pt ew @ 55/1 sky 8 places Bank: -12.5 ?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted December 9, 2020 Author Share Posted December 9, 2020 Got a 12 point return on Long getting T3. Off to Dubai again, which I believe is the last one of the year. McIntyre 1pt ew @ 25/1 sky 7 places Burmester 1pt ew @ 70/1 pp 7 places Also seen a couple of tips for the US Women's Open: Jin Young Ko 1pt ew @ 16/1 sky 7 places Maybe one more pick to come for Dubai. Bank: -6.5 ?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted December 9, 2020 Author Share Posted December 9, 2020 Weisberger 1.75 ew @ 25/1 sky 7 places Bank: -10 ?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted December 15, 2020 Author Share Posted December 15, 2020 Close again. J Y Ko finished 2nd and returned 4 points. That's it for this year. Only kept track of P/L since October, and ended up 6 points down. Quite pleased that it didn't go horribly wrong, and definitely feel that next year could be a profitable one. I'll take this up again in January. ?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 No waffle, straight in to the first tournament of the year. Top 3 tipped players for the Sentry ToC: P Reed 1 point ew @ 16/1 Hills 6 places H Matsuyama 1 point ew @ 18/1 Hills j Niemann 1 point we @ 35/1 sky 6 places Bank: -12 ?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 I'm gutted that Niemann lost in a playoff, would have been the perfect start to the year. However, Reed also got a place so a total return of just over 12 points. That puts the bank level. Onwards and upwards. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 Haha, my mistake. I didn't stay up to watch it, and just had a blurry-eyed look at standings this morning! Probably would have noticed when I check my Hills account and see it empty! ? What I saw was excellent from Niemann. Felt like he deserved it, but credit to English Revised Bank : -4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted January 13, 2021 Author Share Posted January 13, 2021 Sony Open. Lots of support for Todd and Kisner. Also Sunjae Im, but I'll miss him out at only 16/1. B Todd 2 points ew @ 45/1 K Kisner 1 point ew @ 30/1 C Smith 1 point ew @ 28/1 S Munoz 1 point ew @ 50/1 All 8 places 1/5 odds Bank: -14 ?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted January 20, 2021 Author Share Posted January 20, 2021 (edited) No returns last week. Going with the top 3 picks in the Abu Dhabi Championship and American Express Championship. Amex S Burns 1.25 points ew @ 50/1 S Straka 1 point ew @ 70/1 R Henley 1 point ew @ 30/1 Abu Dhabi B Wiesberger 1 point ew @ 33/1 R MacIntyre 1 point ew @ 33/1 M Kaymer 1 point ew @ 28/1 All 8 places 1/5 odds. Bank: -26.5 ?? Edited January 20, 2021 by Squirrel Nutkin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted January 26, 2021 Author Share Posted January 26, 2021 Dubai Classic: Bezuidenhout 1point ew @ 20/1 M Wallace 1 point ew @ 20/1 Farmers Open: A Scott 1 point ew @ 40/1 G Woodland 1.5 ew @ 60/1 Bank: -35.5 ?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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