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Championship League Snooker


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It's another bout of Championship League Snooker starting today. Now it's ranked though, so it should provide abit more competitiveness and perhaps may slow down the big scorers at the latter stages. I like this tournament, I've managed to get both winners in Donaldson and Brecel at huge prices of 66 and 125/1 as it's normally a wide open event.

128 players in this, split into groups of four. There are 32 groups. You can win, lose or draw in the group matches which are a "first to 4" structure. 

picks (10pts staked)

0.5pts E/W G.Wilson to win CL 50/1 paddypower
0.5pts E/W A.McGill to win CL 50/1 paddypower
0.5pts E/W Un-Nooh to win CL 50/1 paddypower 
0.5pts E/W S.Donaldson to win CL 75/1 paddypower
0.5pts E/W L.Brecel to win CL 75/1 paddypower
0.5pts E/W Xintong to win CL 75/1 paddypower
0.5pts E/W K.Maflin to win CL 125/1 paddypower 
0.5pts E/W Yuelong to win CL 150/1 paddypower 
0.5pts E/W Holt to win CL 175/1 paddypower
0.5pts E/W E.Slessor to win CL 225/1 paddypower 

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I'll put up the groups and winners in here also as there won't be much match betting in these small formats :

Winner Group 1 - J.Trump
Winner Group 2 - R.Day
Winner Group 3 - R.Milkins
Winner Group 4 - B.Hawkins
Winner Group 5 - D.Dale
Winner Group 6 - Z.Yuelong
Winner Group 7 - M.Selt
Winner Group 8 - S.Murphy
Winner Group 9 - L.Honghao
Winner Group 10 - Z. Xintong
Winner Group 11 - A.Ursenbacher
Winner Group 12 - S.Bingham
Winner Group 13 - R.McLeod
Winner Group 14 - G.Dott
Winner Group 15 - J.O'Neill
Winner Group 16 - M.Selby
Winner Group 17 - K.Doherty
Winner Group 18 - X.Guodong
Winner Group 19 - T.Un-Nooh
Winner Group 20 - J.Brown
Winner Group 21 - D.Gilbert
Winner Group 22 - S.Donaldson
Winner Group 23 - M.King
Winner Group 24 - K.WIlson
Winner Group 25 - J.Higgins
Winner Group 26 - M.Gould
Winner Group 27 - T.Ford
Winner Group 28 - J.Clarke
Winner Group 29 - J.Perry
Winner Group 30 - M.Davis

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I'm going to take Heathcote to win group 5. He has the easiest of his matches are the start and plays Maguire last and Maguire is very much a hit and miss kind of player so if he isn't up for this, I think Heath has a great chance at a big price.

In the other group i will take outright pick, Yuelong. A player I rate quite highly.

5pts Yuelong to win Group 6 7/5 bet365
2pts L.Heathcote to win Group 5 6/1 paddypower
1pt double on both above 14/1 bet365

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I'm going to take Ben Woollaston to win Group 7 tomorrow. He is in a group with Gao Yang (16yr old from China), Jiahui (18yr old from China) and Matthew Selt, who is bang out of form. Selt has only won 1 from his last 6 whilst Woollaston managed to get to the final group in the last Championship League event. 

In the other group, I'm going to take a gamble on Jimmy White. I'm not sure what Murphy will turn up for this but even when he is playing well this kind of event isn't really suited to his style. In reality, even O'Donnell is more likely than Jimmy to qualify, but when you don't need to win every match in these groups anything can happen. We've seen players top the group with just one win. 

5pts B.Woollaston to win Group 7 7/5 bet365
2pts J.White to win Group 8 10/1 betfred

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Gilbert and Xintong through. Groups 12 and 18 get going this morning. I like Guodong in group 18. Vafaei is a good player but we haven't seen him win since October 2019. He's had a couple of tough opponents but that's a 9 match losing streak. We saw Guodong make the semi-finals in his last event and push Trump to a decider. He also made the Last 16 of the Grand Prix.

In the other group, you'd have to think Bingham should get through that group but it's a tricky one. Sijun is a really good player and although Cahill is bang out of form he could easily strike up some form for this. I think it's worth a small punt on Cahill.

5pts X.Guodong to win group 12 11/10 unibet
1.5pts J.Cahill to win group 18 7/1 betfred

 

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Nothing I really liked yesterday. I was tempted by Ian Burns and he ended up 2nd so glad I left that alone. McLeod wins the group along with Dott. Wenbo was also tempting but the favourite wins the group. It's similar today in that I think Haotian is tempting but it's a no bet for me today

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Straight back into this tomorrow morning and Group 11 & 17 play. Group 11 has Ant McGill as a favourite and I feel he is probably playing well enough to win that group. It's one of the reasons I've put him up as an outright tip for the whole competition. However, I thought in the European Masters that McGill looked abit tired when he lamely went out to Kyren Wilson and I think at 33/1 Riley Parsons is worth a cover bet. 

In the other group Neil Robertson will be the big favourite to win the group and he's playing well enough to justify that but I do think Ken Doherty could cause abit of an upset. He is playing really well at the moment and you really can't look at the 5-0 loss to Mark Allen. Mark Allen scored 4 centuries in that match. Doherty was 2-1 up against Neil Robertson in their last Championship League match and it ended up 2-2. I'll take the 8/1 on another outsiders chance.

1pt R.Parsons to win Group 11 33/1 paddypower boosted
1pt K.Doherty to win Group 17 8/1 betfred

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Stage 2 (so far) - basically, if you're following this, winner of each group goes into these 8 groups. Winner of each group makes up two "final groups" in which the top 2 qualify for the final. Winner of that wins the event. Simplez!

Group A :               

  • Trump                        
  • Day                            
  • Milkins
  • Hawkins

Group B :

  • Dale
  • Yuelong
  • Selt
  • Murphy

Group C :

  • Xintong
  • Bingham
  • Ursenbacher
  • Honghao


Group D :

  • McLeod
  • Dott
  • O'Neill
  • Selby


Group E :

  • Guodong
  • Doherty
  • Un-Nooh
  • Brown

Group F :

  • Gilbert
  • King
  • Donaldson
  • K.Wilson


Group G :

  • Higgins
  • Gould
  • Clarke
  • Ford


Group H :

  • Perry
  • Davis
  • X
  • X
     
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Ken Doherty wins the group with a game to spare for an 8/1 winner. Parsons has given us a run for our money. If McGill beats Ursenbacher 3-0 and Parsons wins 3-0 or 3-1 then he can nick it or Ursenbacher loses 3-1 and Parsons wins 3-0 then could also steal it but assuming that wont happen. +7pts

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Groups 9 and 19 play today. Mark Allen and Un-Nooh being the two short odds favourites. Mark Allen looked in top nick last week and I'm not interested in that group. The other group, also, has no value for me. Perhaps Akani vs Un-Nooh final match will be the decider but the value just isn't there today. No bet

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Allen goes out as Honghao wins 2 and draws. Good to see Un-Nooh make it through as he is on the outright bets. I like an outsider in both groups today. It's group 22 and 23 today. I've got outright bets on Donaldson for group 22 and I think he should see that through but I do like Ash Carty as a player and I think he is worth an outsider punt today. I also think Taylor is worth a shot in the other group after his good form at the European event. Grace is another that is tempting at a similar price.

Group 22 - Donaldson / Carty / Wakelin / Pinches
Group 23 - J.Robertson / Taylor / Grace / King

2pts A.Carty to win Group 22 5/1 betfred
2pts A.Taylor to win Group 23 5/1 betfred

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No winner yesterday but atlleast it's Donaldson through who we've got on the outright, if you followed. Today's groups have quite small value. I like Gould in his group as he will be full of confidence but him and Maflin are both pretty much evens and that price doesn't interest me. In the other group Higgins is the favourite but there could be some value with O'Connor. He's 3/1 thought and it's probably just alittle bit skinny for me. Higgins played well in the Euro event, when he was leading Gould for much of the match. It's a no bet today, for me.

cl bets +3pts

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Gould through along with Higgins. No big shocks there. Today we have a group with an outright pick in Luca Brecel along with Tom Ford, Mann and Ashley Hugill. I can't see any value in it as Ford and Brecel are both close to evens. In the other group though, I will take the favourite in Jamie Clarke. He has a group with Mark Joyce, Lei Peifan and Pinhey. 

I'll take a double with Brecel to etch some value

1pt L.Brecel to win his group & J.Clarke to win his group 4/1 bet365

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Tomorrow sees group 24 and 30. Group 24 involves favourite Kyren Wilson. Also in the group is Daniel Wells, who missed the European Championships, Kudesh Johal and Duane Jones. In the other group Ali Carter is the favourite along with Mark Davis, who was going well in the European Championships until his cue got nicked, Jamie Curtis-Barrett and Chang Bingyu. 

I'm taking a couple of outsiders once again here. I'm going to take Duane Jones in group 24. He is a big price thanks to big favourite Kyren Wilson. Kyren played really well in the European Championships but that doesn't always move over to these kind of events. Duane Jones played well in beating Higginson. If Kyren Wilson isn't on song, I feel like 9/1 is decent value.

In Group 30, I'll take a chance on Bingyu. He scored well last time we saw him and players who are scoring well is key.

1pt D.Jones to win Group 24 9/1 paddypower
1pt C.Bingyu to win Group 30 4/1 paddypower

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No luck with Jones or Bingyu. Just two more groups to play in Phase One. Both of those groups are played tomorrow. Group 31 and 32. Pengfei, Saengkham, Oliver Lines & Robbie Williams in one group and Boiko, Borg and Li Hang in the other,

Group 31 has Saengkham as a favourite. I can see why as his form is pretty good. I'm going to take a punt on Pengfei though. He has a good record against Saengkham and has won all 3 of the head-2-heads. I like Li Hang as a favourite in the other group. The other two players are pretty weak.

2pts T.Pengfei to win Group 31 9/4 betfred
7pts Li Hang to win group 32 4/7 bet365

 

 

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