Squirrel Nutkin Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 I'm not one for researching the course, the players it suits, or the weather etc. I let the experts do all that, and then I'll compile it all and see what it throws up. Early picks are all about Schauffele. To be honest I don't think the 18/1 is good enough value so I've done him as Wire to wire winner 1pt @ 90/1 Round 1 leader and outright 1pt @ 40/1 Hovland is also popular, so 2pt ew @ 35/1 Skybet, Paddy, Betfred all doing 7 places 1/5 Will probably add a couple more before Thursday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 The second installment of the Fedex Play-offs on Thursday, with the BMW Championship. Just 70 players this week and although I think we'll see -20+ again this weekend come Sunday, I'm sure we will not see -30 again anytime soon. I like somebody who can putt this weekend. I don't think smashing it long is as important as it was last week. Hitting fairways and good GIR is also very important also and basically great course management. The only real exception to that seems to be the last hole on the front and back, where perhaps you'd like abit more length. Im looking at players that performed decent last week but also have the right stats in those key areas. I'm also looking at players on the bubble in the standings or players that will be looking at needing a big weekend. I like Rahm this week but 10/1 is a joke and I've quickly forgot about him. I thought about Xander but much like Finau, I'm not sure when push comes to shove that Xander will go on and win with confidence. His stats are in the right place but I would also like to see some better driving accuracy from him and he also tends to start badly in tournaments. My first will be Webb Simpson. High GIR and accuracy stats and a very good putter, not to mention a top 10 position 2 out of the last 3 years in this event. Berger is 2nd, smashing it out the park for putting and driving accuracy. Not to mention Berger now has a 1st, 2nd and two 3rds in his last 6 tournaments. Morikawa is my third bet. Number 1 for Driving accuracy recently and in the top 10 for GIR, if the putter behaves then I see no reason why Morikawa can't be up there again. Kisner is the next. Kisner is hitting some hot form right now. His approach play and putting have been on fire but even when he isn't in the ideal spot, his scrambling game has been up-to scratch. Of the outsiders I am taking Henley this weekend. Hitting is beautiful at the moment with high GIR and accuracy. Much like Kisner though, he is getting out of trouble well too. I'm going to give Conners another shot this week after leaving him out for a few weeks. In a week you need driving accuracy, and good approach play I feel 100/1 for Conners is too big. Will he win the event? No. He could make top 7 though for a potential 20/1 payout. 2pts W.Simpson to win BMW Championship 20/1 bet365 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1pt E/W D.Berger to win BMW Championship 20/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) 1pt E/W C.Morikawa to win BMW Championship 20/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) 1pt E/W K.Kisner to win BMW Champiosnhip 35/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) 1pt E/W V.Hovland to win BMW Champiosnhip 35/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1pt E/W R.Henley to win BMW Champiosnhip 70/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) 0.5pts E/W C.Conners to win BMW Championship 100/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) vikki37 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vikki37 Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 5 hours ago, Fader said: The second installment of the Fedex Play-offs on Thursday, with the BMW Championship. Just 70 players this week and although I think we'll see -20+ again this weekend come Sunday, I'm sure we will not see -30 again anytime soon. I like somebody who can putt this weekend. I don't think smashing it long is as important as it was last week. Hitting fairways and good GIR is also very important also and basically great course management. The only real exception to that seems to be the last hole on the front and back, where perhaps you'd like abit more length. Im looking at players that performed decent last week but also have the right stats in those key areas. I'm also looking at players on the bubble in the standings or players that will be looking at needing a big weekend. I like Rahm this week but 10/1 is a joke and I've quickly forgot about him. I thought about Xander but much like Finau, I'm not sure when push comes to shove that Xander will go on and win with confidence. His stats are in the right place but I would also like to see some better driving accuracy from him and he also tends to start badly in tournaments. My first will be Webb Simpson. High GIR and accuracy stats and a very good putter, not to mention a top 10 position 2 out of the last 3 years in this event. Berger is 2nd, smashing it out the park for putting and driving accuracy. Not to mention Berger now has a 1st, 2nd and two 3rds in his last 6 tournaments. Morikawa is my third bet. Number 1 for Driving accuracy recently and in the top 10 for GIR, if the putter behaves then I see no reason why Morikawa can't be up there again. Kisner is the next. Kisner is hitting some hot form right now. His approach play and putting have been on fire but even when he isn't in the ideal spot, his scrambling game has been up-to scratch. Of the outsiders I am taking Henley this weekend. Hitting is beautiful at the moment with high GIR and accuracy. Much like Kisner though, he is getting out of trouble well too. I'm going to give Conners another shot this week after leaving him out for a few weeks. In a week you need driving accuracy, and good approach play I feel 100/1 for Conners is too big. Will he win the event? No. He could make top 7 though for a potential 20/1 payout. 2pts W.Simpson to win BMW Championship 20/1 bet365 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1pt E/W D.Berger to win BMW Championship 20/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) 1pt E/W C.Morikawa to win BMW Championship 20/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) 1pt E/W K.Kisner to win BMW Champiosnhip 35/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) 1pt E/W V.Hovland to win BMW Champiosnhip 35/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1pt E/W R.Henley to win BMW Champiosnhip 70/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) 0.5pts E/W C.Conners to win BMW Championship 100/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) Simpson has withdrawn. https://www.pgatour.com/news/2020/08/25/webb-simpson-wd-rest-bmw-championship-fedexcup-playoffs.html Fader 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 Webb Simpson has pulled out i assume as my bet has been voided on him. I may come back with another main bet but as for now it's just the 11pts staked on the BMW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted August 26, 2020 Author Share Posted August 26, 2020 I'm adding 3 more selections. Tony Finau 3pts ew @ 33/1 and 1st round leader 1pt ew @ 35/1 Russell Henley 1pt ew @ 60/1 Cameron Champ 1pt ew @ 70/1 Sportwetten 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 18 hours ago, Fader said: The second installment of the Fedex Play-offs on Thursday, with the BMW Championship. Just 70 players this week and although I think we'll see -20+ again this weekend come Sunday, I'm sure we will not see -30 again anytime soon. I like somebody who can putt this weekend. I don't think smashing it long is as important as it was last week. Hitting fairways and good GIR is also very important also and basically great course management. The only real exception to that seems to be the last hole on the front and back, where perhaps you'd like abit more length. Im looking at players that performed decent last week but also have the right stats in those key areas. I'm also looking at players on the bubble in the standings or players that will be looking at needing a big weekend. I like Rahm this week but 10/1 is a joke and I've quickly forgot about him. I thought about Xander but much like Finau, I'm not sure when push comes to shove that Xander will go on and win with confidence. His stats are in the right place but I would also like to see some better driving accuracy from him and he also tends to start badly in tournaments. My first will be Webb Simpson. High GIR and accuracy stats and a very good putter, not to mention a top 10 position 2 out of the last 3 years in this event. Berger is 2nd, smashing it out the park for putting and driving accuracy. Not to mention Berger now has a 1st, 2nd and two 3rds in his last 6 tournaments. Morikawa is my third bet. Number 1 for Driving accuracy recently and in the top 10 for GIR, if the putter behaves then I see no reason why Morikawa can't be up there again. Kisner is the next. Kisner is hitting some hot form right now. His approach play and putting have been on fire but even when he isn't in the ideal spot, his scrambling game has been up-to scratch. Of the outsiders I am taking Henley this weekend. Hitting is beautiful at the moment with high GIR and accuracy. Much like Kisner though, he is getting out of trouble well too. I'm going to give Conners another shot this week after leaving him out for a few weeks. In a week you need driving accuracy, and good approach play I feel 100/1 for Conners is too big. Will he win the event? No. He could make top 7 though for a potential 20/1 payout. 2pts W.Simpson to win BMW Championship 20/1 bet365 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1pt E/W D.Berger to win BMW Championship 20/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) 1pt E/W C.Morikawa to win BMW Championship 20/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) 1pt E/W K.Kisner to win BMW Champiosnhip 35/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) 1pt E/W V.Hovland to win BMW Champiosnhip 35/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1pt E/W R.Henley to win BMW Champiosnhip 70/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) 0.5pts E/W C.Conners to win BMW Championship 100/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) revised bets for tomorrow. Out goes Simpson. Morikawa becomes main bet and in comes Na as an outsider. Also thrown a couple of first round leader bets in. 2pts E/W C.Morikawa to win BMW Championship 20/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1pt E/W D.Berger to win BMW Championship 20/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) 1pt E/W K.Kisner to win BMW Champiosnhip 35/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) 1pt E/W V.Hovland to win BMW Champiosnhip 35/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1pt E/W R.Henley to win BMW Champiosnhip 70/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) 0.5pts E/W C.Conners to win BMW Championship 100/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) 0.5pts E/W K.Na to win BMW Championship 125/1 paddypower (7 places, 1/5th) First round leader bets 0.5pts E/W T.Woods first round leader 33/1 paddypower (6 places, 1/5th) 0.5pts E/W M.Wolff first round leader 40/1 paddypower ((6 places, 1/5th) Sportwetten and vikki37 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bookiebasher Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Im on BERGER at 20/1 and CANTLAY 1ST Round Leader at 33/1 .. Good luck all Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirrel Nutkin Posted September 1, 2020 Author Share Posted September 1, 2020 Made a small profit thanks to Finau getting a place. Not a lot else went right, was a tough few days but the quality seemed to come through on the Sunday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 yeah strange tournament. Rather annoying it be Rahm who i fancied most but 10s come on Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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