2020 Spanish Grand Prix

[BillyHills]

This week we move to Barcelona for the Spanish Grand Prix

Stats

Grid

 

 

[BillyHills]

Bet365

 

 

 

 

[BillyHills]

I was reading some of the press reports after qualifying and everyone is getting excited about the chances of Max Verstappen upsetting the Mercedes again. Personally, I think he has a much harder job here around Barcelona than most places, the chances to overtake are few and its going to be a tough job getting past one Merc never mind two. 
The betting is Hamilton 4/9, Verstappen 11/4 and Bottas 5/1. Of the three I would still want to be on the pole sitter here at Barcelona and unfortunately the EW value has been strangled this week.

Talking of value, it's hard to find anything odds-against this week worth betting but one that might surprise a few is to back both Ferraris' to finish in the top 10. Normally this would be a certainty but the bookies have really fallen out with Vettel and anything concerning him is probably bigger than it should be. Bet365 are going 11/10 for both to finish in the points and I think that's too big to ignore.

As the races stack up with very little time for recovery i'm expecting more and more retirements as the season progresses due to reliability issues, the record at Barcelona is not great anyway for classified drivers so the Under 17.5 looks a safe bet to me. Although the stats for the Safety Car are 50/50 we have had one for last 4 years so the 4/6 looks decent enough and of course one will help the other.

One last attempt at backing a winner at a fair price and i'm going for Magnussen to come out on top of the 'slow' drivers group. He's 9/4 to beat team mate Grosjean (2/1), Kimmi Raikkonen (5/4) and George Russell (8/1).

 

Bets:

L.Hamilton 4/9 bet365
Ferrari both Points Finish 11/10 bet365
Safety Car YES 4/6 bet365
Under 17.5 Finishers 4/7 bet365
Group 4: Magnussen 9/4 bet365