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2 NHL Picks for Wednesday August 5 (by University Statistics Professor)


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2 OFFICIAL PICKS

PICK #1: Under 6.5 Blackhawks-Oilers @ -109 odds (1.91 decimal)
PICK #2: Avalanche @ -127 odds (1.79 decimal) vs Stars

Some explanations about the under 6.5 Chicago-Edmonton pick. The odds on "under 6" was -107 in Game #1, then +102 in Game #2 and now +124 in Game #3. Line clearly inflated due to overreaction to recent results, in my humble opinion. As a contrarian, I'm taking the "under".

As for the Avs, they should be favored with a -150 line at least. Much stronger team. +46 goal differential this year versus just +3 for the Stars. Give me Colorado in this one.

2 LEANS (unofficial picks that I like, but maybe not enough to bet)

LEAN #1: Under 5.5 Bruins-Lightning @ -104 odds (1.96 decimal)
LEAN #2: Coyotes @ +115 odds (2.15 decimal) vs Predators

Best of luck fellows!

Professor MJ

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