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money44

Moscow Liga Pro June tips

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Rahkmanov to beat Pinkovskiy @ odds -165 

Rahkmanov has played a close match recently vs this opponent.. I think he won 11-9 in the fifth set.. He also holds atleast 2/1 h2h advantage.. Rahkmanov is a player that i'm very impressed by, and he's for sure undervalued... he gets plenty of spin on his shots, and hits them consistently well.  This will be his second match of the day... so his first warm up match should get him ready to win vs underrated player Pinkovskiy who rivaled him recently.. I think Pinkovskiy is a good player somewhat, but Rahkmanov is one of the more impressive players i've seen, and he should be able to attack the backhand of Pinkovskiy at some point during the match.

 

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Crazy match that nearly lost.. the player is down a set twice in the match, and wins another very tight one for 11 match win streak now vs Pinkovskiy who really showed up and played his best performance.. I have other match today with odds 2.9.. This wins extremely easily.. Of course I picked wrong match for the big bet with -165... Huge difference in profit that I am not happy about, and also huge chance to lose all the money but maybe its luck.. I am not sure.. who knows.. we'll see next tip soon.. I like this forum because its quiet.. just me and the mice crawling in the walls i guess.. no jerks etc... u know the deal already with that maybe.. So on to the next one then. I will go cry and celebrate heart attack win. 🌎

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Alexei Yanshaev to beat Vakar @2.25

This match is rated at closer to 50/50 if not yanshaev being favored.. he leads in h2h, and is on a winning streak as well.. i haven't seen tape on his recent matches, but i like the chances. 

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Backing the play with 40% risk on Pinkovskii @ +240 odds to beat Zhasur(first name)

both of these matches start in 11 minutes. So hoping to break even atleast if one of the matches catch win. 

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As I mentioned before Pinkovskii is an underrated player, and its hard to determine who is showing up in any day or match.  He has beaten two very high quality opponents back to back in his last two matches. 6-1 in sets also.  Maybe he is tired now, and having bad performance but his opponent has been in some marginable form recently going on a massive losing streak against the top tier players, and then also winning his last two. 

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Matches are now complete.  Results were breaking even. Pinkovskii won the first two sets, dropped a razor close third set, and dominated the 4th set 11-3 with a somewhat easy win for a large underdog. More importantly to comment about the Yanshaev match.. I was not impressed with Alexei. This is the first time i watched his full match. Vakar i think is the more talented player. Alexei is very technical, but I think he lacks some athletic ability to compete with more talented players. Vakar seems to be good defensively similar to Alexei, and returns alot of balls. So overall, I think I'd rated him slightly higher than Yanshaev heading forwards.

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edit (Flat Stakes on both matches)

Molodstov to beat Serebennikov @ 2.75

Kuzmin to beat Zhulyabin @ 2.10

This is a fade of Sere" Has no topspin backhand, and working hard all day just playing poorly.. I seen a little bit good from Molodstov earlier, and maybe he's fresh enough to win... h2h in favor Sere hence the odds.. Just like Kuzmin's abilities.. Zhulyabin first match can be rusty sometimes. I'll report results tomorrow - getting some rest for now.. not gonna watch these. 

Edited by money44

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Pavel Pinkovskii to beat Zhasur @ 2.4

Pavel has won last two matches 6 sets to 2. I am concerned this streak will swing for this match, but i have to bet based on the current form of zhasur.. He seems to be struggling, and Pavel should have the confidence to beat him with recent form.  I think the odds are off, and they are also indicated by drastic book difference.. 5dimes has this match listed with a 40 point reduction. should be interesting.. i may go to the casino, and not watch it.. There isn't alot of matches that i like today. so i listed the best one i had, and maybe thats it for today.. 

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40% backing above play Ying Demic to beat Zhasur @ 2.9

demic is slowly improving his form, and given current form of opponent.. he may be able to take advantage of tired pushing style after two early matches

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Vladimir Shirokov +290 to beat Eliastratov

Here's match with two top quality players.. Shirikov on a massive losing streak due for some success.. Eliastratov is fantastic player we've seen with a dip in form over the past few matches.. opponent has large h2h advantage, but Shirikov has been playing competitive matches vs him recently including a win couple of days ago. 

10% stake backing parlay Andreev -115 to beat Pinkovskii, Merzlikin -220 to beat Aliiev ,Vakar -130 to beat Nikiforov, Nikiforov +170 to beat Yanshaev.  odds is around +1100

Edited by money44
spelling error

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Sergey Kuzmin to beat Zhulaybin with odds Even @ William Hill

Kuzmin has won 11 or 12 matches in a row now, and winning most of these quite easily.. He has struggled vs Zhulaybin, and most likely it will be a close match.. I prefer Kuzmin's current form, and think he was losing alot of matches he shouldn't recently. I believe he is super talented, and hot right now clearly. Just hope he will be warmed up and ready to go in the first match. 

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