Xtc12 Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 3rd yesterday Straiouttacompton 13.50 Southwell @ 2\1 (bog) 3-time C&D winner. Three wins from 7 runs last year. Won 5-runner handicap (13/2) at this C&D 10 days ago, readily. Shortlist material. Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 15, 2021 Author Share Posted February 15, 2021 1st @ 9\4 yesterday Ange Endormi 13.40 Lingfield @ 15\8 (bog) Leading Light gelding. Dam, winning pointer, half-sister to useful chaser Conrad Hastings. Finished with running left when an encouraging third on debut at Doncaster a month ago. Treble - Leg 2 - 3.25 Pts WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 4th yesterday Jack Valentine 13.15 Catterick @ 11\10 (bog) Bumper winner/hurdles winner who showed improved form to make a successful chase debut at Leicester. 6 lb rise fair (had a bit in hand that day) and there may well be better to come from this 8-y-o. Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 3rd yesterday Raphael 14.20 Dundalk @ 2\1 (bog) Useful gelding. 1m claimer winner here in January. Last of 4 in minor event at Dundalk (10.7f, 4/1) 5 days ago, again taking keen hold. Good chance on form. Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 2nd yesterday Overworkdunderpaid 12.30 Leicester @ 11\4 (bog) Made it 2-3 over fences for new yard when landing handicap chase at Warwick (20f) 15 days ago. Up another 8 lb but he's still weighted to go in again. Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 19, 2021 Author Share Posted February 19, 2021 Won @ 3\1 yesterday Lakota Warrior 16.52 Kelso @ 6\4 (bog) Beaten a head in a point by very promising subsequent bumper winner for Gordon Elliott and shaped well in Warwick event in December (caught quite far back). More to come. Treble - Leg 2 - 4 Pts WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 21, 2021 Author Share Posted February 21, 2021 6th on Friday Good Ball 13.15 Newbury @ 5\2 (bog) Promising second over hurdles at Auteuil in October and went one better on his British/yard debut in introductory event over C&D 54 days ago. Remains open to improvement. Tongue tie on. Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 22, 2021 Author Share Posted February 22, 2021 2nd Yesterday Scottish Accent 13.35 Carlisle @ 5\2 (bog) Yet to win but largely consistent and best not judged harshly on his well held Musselburgh third recently, returning from 8 weeks off/with competition for the lead. One to consider. Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 23, 2021 Author Share Posted February 23, 2021 1st @ 3\1 yesterday Ring the Moon 14.00 Taunton @ 5\4 Right back on song since fitted with tongue strap and impressively bagged 2m4f Leicester handicap chase only 5 days ago. The one to beat under 7 lb penalty. Treble - Leg 2 - 4 Pts WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 23, 2021 Author Share Posted February 23, 2021 1st @ 13\8 today Patroclus 14.55 Doncaster @ Evens (bog) Bought for £150,000 after finishing second in Irish point. Promise when runner-up in a Warwick maiden on Rules debut in December and duly went one better at Exeter last month. Should improve further. Treble - Leg 3 - 10.5 Pts WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 25, 2021 Author Share Posted February 25, 2021 1st @ Evens treble Up paying 21\1 Quiana 15.05 Huntingdon @ 5\2 (bog) Promise over hurdles for new yard, including on return at Plumpton in December and good second in a jumpers bumper at Kempton a fortnight ago. Open to improvement now handicapping. Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 25, 2021 Author Share Posted February 25, 2021 Update : Singles : Trebles : harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 26, 2021 Author Share Posted February 26, 2021 6th yesterday Swooper 17.10 Lingfield @ 15\8 (bog) Career best when winning 9-runner handicap at Chelmsford City (5f, 18/1) 8 days ago by 1¼ lengths from the reopposing Mehmo, keeping on well. Carries penalty. Not taken lightly. Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 27, 2021 Author Share Posted February 27, 2021 4th yesterday Atholl Street 15.00 Kempton @ 7\4 (bog) Well held sole start in bumpers but a different proposition over hurdles, winning both starts at Taunton (16.4f) in good style, looking much more professional last time. Open to further improvement. Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 28, 2021 Author Share Posted February 28, 2021 Pulled Up yesterday High Up in the Air 14.40 Fontwell @ 5\4 (bog) Progressing in leaps and bounds sent chasing this season and found extra to complete 4-timer at Sandown 3 weeks ago. Bold-jumping front runner who hasn't finished improving yet. Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 1, 2021 Author Share Posted March 1, 2021 1st @ 11\8 yesterday Reivers Lad 15.05 Ayr @ 7\4 (bog) Good strike rate over hurdles and successful on chase debut at Newcastle in December 2018. First run since when falling 5 out at Haydock (15.7f, heavy) last month and a bold show is anticipated. Treble - Leg 2 - 2.38 Pts WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 2, 2021 Author Share Posted March 2, 2021 Faller yesterday Auckland 14.50 Gowran Park @ 2\1 (bog) Fairly useful Flat winner, making jumps debut. 26/1, won 12-runner minor event at Hoppegarten (10.9f, soft). First run for yard after leaving S. Richter. Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 3, 2021 Author Share Posted March 3, 2021 9th yesterday Get the Appeal 16.05 Musselburgh @ 10\11 (bog) Ran well to hit the frame at Ludlow/Taunton and back to winning ways over 22f here last month, allowed the run of the race but responding well when tackled. Claims upped further in trip. Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 3, 2021 Author Share Posted March 3, 2021 2nd today My Footsteps 18.50 Chelmsford @ 5\2 (bog) C&D winner in January who has continued in good form, fifth of 9 in 1m handicap here 14 days ago. Merits serious consideration. Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 4, 2021 Author Share Posted March 4, 2021 Another 2nd today One More Fleurie 16.30 Doncaster @ 11\4 (bog) Gained breakthrough win in 2m4f handicap chase at Warwick 7 days ago, the first two well clear in a good time. Expected to be bang there again turned out under 7 lb penalty. Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 6, 2021 Author Share Posted March 6, 2021 (edited) 1st @ 11\4 yesterday My Drogo 13.30 Kelso @ 6\4 (bog) Good looking son of Milan who made the perfect start over hurdles at Newbury before following up in Grade 2 Kennel Gate Novices' Hurdle at Ascot. Smart prospect who can go on improving. Treble - Leg 2 - 3.75 Pts WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Edited March 6, 2021 by Xtc12 Add Stake Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 7, 2021 Author Share Posted March 7, 2021 1st @ 2\1 yesterday Midnight Aurora 16.40 Huntingdon @ 10\11 (bog) Hinted at a revival at Mussleburgh (23.8f) on New Year's Day and, well backed, duly confirmed promise of that run when bolting up at Plumpton (25f) 6 days ago. Leading claims under a penalty. Treble - Leg 3 - 11.25 Pts WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 7, 2021 Author Share Posted March 7, 2021 8th today Dexcite 14.45 Wetherby @ 5\2 (bog) Fair 17f winner over hurdles who returned after 16 months off with good second at Catterick. About 3 lengths down on winner when falling at last there since. Remains of interest off same mark. Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 8, 2021 Author Share Posted March 8, 2021 Faller today Boghlone Honey 15.30 Clonmel @ 5\2 (bog) Good second of 13 in handicap hurdle at Gowran (16f, heavy, 4/1) 40 days ago. Has good chance on form. Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 9, 2021 Author Share Posted March 9, 2021 NR today Calthor 14.25 Wexford @ 6\4 (bog) Encouraging Galway debut hurdling fourth but hasn't gone on since over fences, seventh of 14 in novice chase (9/2) at Gowran (16f) 41 days ago. Back over hurdles now and rates the form pick. Treble - Leg 2 - 1 Pt WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 11, 2021 Author Share Posted March 11, 2021 3rd yesterday Admiral Balko 16.30 Wincanton @ 15\8 (bog) Showed plenty when second in Bangor juvenile on debut in November. Unable to build on that twice since but a likely improver now handicapping up in trip. Treble - Leg 1 - 1 Pt WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 11, 2021 Author Share Posted March 11, 2021 1st @ 2\1 today Whatsnotoknow 16.30 Gowran Park @ 5\4 (bog) Useful chaser. Respectable third of 13 in novice chase at Thurles (16.4f, heavy, 2/5) 25 days ago. Back up in trip. Stands out on form. Treble - Leg 2 - 3 Pts WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 13, 2021 Author Share Posted March 13, 2021 Non Runner yesterday Nells Son 17.30 Ayr @ 8\11 (bog) Built on promising debut when readily off the over C&D in December under this rider. Form has been boosted and he's got obvious claims under a penalty. Treble - Leg 3 - 3 Pts WIn Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 13, 2021 Author Share Posted March 13, 2021 On 3/14/2020 at 2:07 PM, Xtc12 said: What are my expectations : for the trebles,in about 12 months I hope to be somewhere about 45.5% ROI and the singles about 5% . As we are chasing trebles we will have "Long Losing Runs" Well one year ago I started this thread hoping that I would show a profit today. As you can see I was a bit optimistic when it came to the trebles but I did have a "Longest Losing Run" of 42 bets. Finished the year today with a small treble which paid £5.40 for a profit of £4.40 Trebles For a Strike Rate of 6.45% we ended up with a ROI of 9.27% On the other hand the Singles performed excellently with a SR of 35.07% for a ROI of 10.63%, over 5% higher than what was expected. While looking at the results I checked to see what the result would have been if I had done doubles. It would of had a ROI of 28.50% for a profit of just under £60 for £1 bets. Because of this I will also do doubles this year and see how it goes. Expectations for Year 2 : Singles 5% profit, Doubles 14% and the Trebles 9% Lady Breffni 14.15 Limerick @ 2\1 (bog) Fairly useful hurdler. Good fourth of 20 in handicap hurdle (7/1) at Leopardstown (18f, soft) 35 days ago, running on. Back up in trip. Yard in good form. Sure to go well. Treble - 1st Leg - 1 Pt Win Double - 1st Leg - 1 Pt Win Single - 1 Pt WIn harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 14, 2021 Author Share Posted March 14, 2021 4th today Shut the Box 13.00 Stratford @ 15\8 (bog) Fairly useful winning hurdler who has made a good start chasing, again running well when second of 8 to Editeur du Gite in handicap at Newbury 10 days ago. Can win one of these. Treble - 1st Leg - 1 Pt Win Double - 1st Leg - 1 Pt Win Single - 1 Pt WIn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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