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BillyHills

Racing Chat - Cheltenham Festival Day 2

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We will have a separate thread for each day of the Cheltenham Festival

If you have a fancy for any of the races for this day then this is the place to post them

Don't forget we have Ante Post Previews for each race plus daily detailed racecards 

The PL Rating Tips will be published 48hrs prior to race-day

 

 

Day 2 action

Screen Shot 2020-03-06 at 09.55.57.png

 

 

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Going to look at the trends for 2 handicaps each day

 

2.50: 2m5f0y Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Screen Shot 2020-03-06 at 10.51.30.png

Ratings Record

Screen Shot 2020-03-06 at 10.51.47.png

 

Trends

9/10 started at 12/1 or more
9/10 Aged 8 or less
9/10 had at 39 days off since last run
8/10 Carried 10st 12lbs or more
8/10 IRE of FR Bred
8/10 rated 140 or more
13/22 first 4 last time (9 won)
15/22 Had at least 3 starts this season
19/22 Had ran over 2m4f + before (12 won)


 

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4.50 2m0f87y Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Fred Winter) (Grade 3) (Class 1) (4yo)

Previous Winners

Screen Shot 2020-03-06 at 10.51.35.png

 

Ratings Record

Screen Shot 2020-03-06 at 10.51.52.png

 

Trends

10/10 IRE of FR Bred
8/10 Rated between 127-134
8/10 ran within 32 days (+ 1 won first time out)
7/10 Carried 11st or more
9/15 first 4 last time (7 won)
11/15 Ran at least 3 times
13/15 won a race
11/15 Started at 8/1 or higher


 

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2 hours ago, Trotter said:

Nicky Henderson has tweeted this morning that Altior is lame .......... must put his participation in the Champion Chase into doubt

 

You just love Cheltenham dont you with all the late drama, hope he runs but it has be a doubt now.

 

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2.50: Coral Cup Trends Selection

9/10 Aged 8 or less
We lose 4, 17,18, 26

9/10 had at least 39 days off since last run
We lose 1,2,11, 15,16,17,18,26

8/10 Carried 10st 12lbs or more
We lose 21 downwards

8/10 IRE of FR Bred
12,19
13/22 first 4 last time (9 won)
we lose 5,7,9,10,14,16,

15/22 Had at least 3 starts this season
We lose 8

19/22 Had ran over 2m4f + before (12 won)
we lose 6
9/10 started at 12/1 or more
we lose 13

Selections
1pt EW Champagne Well 20/1 bet365
1pt EW Eglantine Du Seuil 20/1 bet365

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4.50: Boodles Handicap Trends

10/10 IRE of FR Bred
We lose 3,6,16,17

8/10 ran within 32 days (+ 1 won first time out)
We lose 1,4,5,7,8,10,15,18,19,21,22

7/10 Carried 11st or more
We lose 23,24

9/15 first 4 last time (7 won)
we lose 12 also 13,14 209 didn't win last time

13/15 won a race
we lose 18
8/10 Rated between 127-134
we lose top 5

Selections

1pt EW Saint D'Oroux 18/1 Hills
1pt EW  Night Edition 18/1 Hills

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16 hours ago, richard-westwood said:

Coral cup .....I've narrowed to 2 horses ..

Bachasson

Honest Vic 

Hugely open race but big prices so what the he'll let's have a big shot at a decent payout

Bachasson 10pts ew 16/1 lads

Honest  Vic 10pts ew 33/1 bet365 

 

Added eglatine du seuil win bet at 22.0 Betfair I just think he's overpriced given his level of form 

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Relatively good day yesterday with a decent enough profit so hopefully that can continue into today.

Ballymore Hurdle

Envoi Allen         154

Sporting John      152

Easywork            147

Longhouse Poet   147

The Big Getaway  145

The Big Breakaway 145

Decor Irlandais        145

 

Given how well the form was boosted yesterday is is very hard to see past Envoi Allen in this race. He is somewhat of a bulletproof horse as it is as I can see no way to crab what he has done in his short career. Sporting John is the danger and he too is a very solid horse without too many chinks. I can see him and EA having a right set to up the hill without getting past. The likely improver out of the rest could be the Tizzard horse but his ran disappointingly yesterday and he still has a fair bit to find.I will probably both the first two and maybe even in a forecast.

 

RSA

Allaho               164

Copperhead       160

Easy Game       160

Battleoverdoyen 158

Champ              157

Slate House       157

Minella Indo       156 (Hurdles) 149 (Fences)

 

I'm not a huge fan of this race this year but I can rule a few out. Minella Indo hasn't run to this level over fences yet and is short enough with that in mind. Slate House didnt get the ideal prep when pulling up last time out. Champ and Battleoverdoyen both fell last time out and Easy Game has to prove himself over this trip. I have a slight doubt over Copperheads last run, the race looked to fall apart a bit and also as to whether the stable are fully flying, however I will give him a chance to prove himself with my money on him, as well as Allaho who Ruby admits would have got closer to MI last season with a better ride in the Albert Bartlett. This step up in trip on soft ground is set to suit him and he could get the rest at it off the home turn.

 

 

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Coral Cup

Really tough race to call and plenty with chances. In the end I have sided with the following:

Bachasson 25/1 Bet365 EW

Top Moon 18/1 Unibet EW

Dame De Compagne 9/2 Bet365

Alfa Mix 14/1 Bet365

I do have to say that the Henderson mare is now very short and I wouldn't touch her at those prices in such a competitive race.

 

Boodles Juvenile

I admit that I have a terrible record in this race, my only winner in recent memory being Flying Tiger (albeit at 33/1) but I don't often go that close. I have changed my approach this season and hopefully it will help! Definitely a small stakes job.

Blacko 6/1 Hills (also now a bit short - Was bigger than 20's in the week)

Repetitio 16/1 Unibet EW

Paladium 13/2 Bet365

 

Champion Bumper

I like the favourite but he is short enough for me in a race like this. I have backed:

Israel Champ 12/1 EW Bet365 (really solid form at Ascot and a good figure)

Queens Brook 7/1 Bet365

 

 

 

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