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Correct Scores (second shift)

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From today until the end of the English season I'll be setting out Excel Solver selections for correct scores from the English leagues and putting a notional £10 bet on each one (that will run into one hellofa stake total by the end).
Experience this season has shown that the National league is not a happy hunting ground for correct score picks so this exercise will concentrate on Premier, Championship, League One & League Two.
I'll publish the National League picks anyway (I have it all set up so no hassle) but they'll be just for curiosity value and not part of the betting returns.

Starting Profit/Loss £0.00

Predictions for 7/8 February 2020

8.2.20 12:30 Everton   Crystal Palace     0~1
8.2.20 17:30 Brighton   Watford     1~0
9.2.20 14:00 Sheffield United   Bournemouth     1~0
9.2.20 16:30 Manchester City   West Ham     3~0
               
7.2.20 19:45 Bristol City   Birmingham     1~1
8.2.20 12:30 Wigan   Preston     0~0
8.2.20 13:30 Barnsley   Sheffield Wednesday     1~2
8.2.20 15:00 Blackburn   Fulham     1~1
8.2.20 15:00 Brentford   Middlesbrough     1~1
8.2.20 15:00 Huddersfield   Q.P.R.     1~1
8.2.20 15:00 Luton   Cardiff     2~1
8.2.20 15:00 Reading   Hull     1~1
8.2.20 15:00 Stoke   Charlton     1~2
8.2.20 15:00 Swansea   Derby     2~0
8.2.20 17:30 Nottingham   Leeds     1~1
9.2.20 13:30 Millwall   West Bromwich     1~1
               
7.2.20 19:45 Lincoln   Rotherham     2~1
8.2.20 15:00 AFC Wimbledon   Fleetwood Town     2~2
8.2.20 15:00 Blackpool   Southend     2~2
8.2.20 15:00 Burton   Gillingham     0~0
8.2.20 15:00 Coventry   Bolton     3~0
8.2.20 15:00 Doncaster   Rochdale     2~1
8.2.20 15:00 Peterborough   Oxford     1~1
8.2.20 15:00 Shrewsbury   Milton Keynes     1~1
8.2.20 15:00 Sunderland   Ipswich     1~1
8.2.20 15:00 Tranmere   Portsmouth     1~1
8.2.20 15:00 Wycombe   Bristol Rovers     2~0
               
8.2.20 15:00 Bradford   Grimsby     1~1
8.2.20 15:00 Carlisle   Swindon     1~2
8.2.20 15:00 Colchester   Plymouth     0~2
8.2.20 15:00 Crewe   Oldham     2~1
8.2.20 15:00 Exeter   Stevenage     1~0
8.2.20 15:00 Forest Green   Walsall     1~1
8.2.20 15:00 Leyton   Macclesfield     1~1
8.2.20 15:00 Morecambe   Mansfield     1~1
8.2.20 15:00 Newport   Cambridge     1~0
8.2.20 15:00 Northampton   Port Vale     2~0
8.2.20 15:00 Salford City   Crawley Town     1~1
8.2.20 15:00 Scnuthorpe   Cheltenham     1~1

for info only

           

 

8.2.20 13:00 Chesterfield   Wrexham     0~1
8.2.20 15:00 Bromley   Solihull     1~1
8.2.20 15:00 Dagenham & Redbridge Stockport     1~1
8.2.20 15:00 Hartlepool   Aldershot     1~1

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The first tranche of fixtures brings with it a happy & profitable return.

The £380 staked yields a healthy return of £495. The winning bets with Bet365 odds are indicated below in the full listing.

            result     pred CS odds
8.2.20 12:30   Everton   Crystal Palace 3 1   0~1  
8.2.20 17:30   Brighton   Watford 1 1   1~0  
9.2.20 14:00   Sheffield United   Bournemouth 2 1   1~0  
9.2.20 16:30   Manchester City   West Ham postp     3~0  
                     
7.2.20 19:45   Bristol City   Birmingham 1 3   1~1  
8.2.20 12:30   Wigan   Preston 1 2   0~0  
8.2.20 13:30   Barnsley   Sheffield Wednesday 1 1   1~2  
8.2.20 15:00   Blackburn   Fulham 0 1   1~1  
8.2.20 15:00   Brentford   Middlesbrough 3 2   1~1  
8.2.20 15:00   Huddersfield   Q.P.R. 2 0   1~1  
8.2.20 15:00   Luton   Cardiff 0 1   2~1  
8.2.20 15:00   Reading   Hull 1 1   1~1 7.0
8.2.20 15:00   Stoke   Charlton 3 1   1~2  
8.2.20 15:00   Swansea   Derby 2 3   2~0  
8.2.20 17:30   Nottingham   Leeds 2 0   1~1  
9.2.20 13:30   Millwall   West Bromwich 0 2   1~1  
                     
7.2.20 19:45   Lincoln   Rotherham 0 1   2~1  
8.2.20 15:00   AFC Wimbledon   Fleetwood Town 1 2   2~2  
8.2.20 15:00   Blackpool   Southend 2 1   2~2  
8.2.20 15:00   Burton   Gillingham 0 0   0~0 8.5
8.2.20 15:00   Coventry   Bolton 2 1   3~0  
8.2.20 15:00   Doncaster   Rochdale 1 1   2~1  
8.2.20 15:00   Peterborough   Oxford 4 0   1~1  
8.2.20 15:00   Shrewsbury   Milton Keynes 1 1   1~1 6.5
8.2.20 15:00   Sunderland   Ipswich 1 0   1~1  
8.2.20 15:00   Tranmere   Portsmouth 0 2   1~1  
8.2.20 15:00   Wycombe   Bristol Rovers 3 1   2~0  
                     
8.2.20 15:00   Bradford   Grimsby 1 1   1~1 6.0
8.2.20 15:00   Carlisle   Swindon 1 1   1~2  
8.2.20 15:00   Colchester   Plymouth 3 0   0~2  
8.2.20 15:00   Crewe   Oldham 2 1   2~1 8.5
8.2.20 15:00   Exeter   Stevenage 2 1   1~0  
8.2.20 15:00   Forest Green   Walsall 1 2   1~1  
8.2.20 15:00   Leyton   Macclesfield 1 1   1~1 7.0
8.2.20 15:00   Morecambe   Mansfield 1 1   1~1 6.0
8.2.20 15:00   Newport   Cambridge 0 1   1~0  
8.2.20 15:00   Northampton   Port Vale 0 1   2~0  
8.2.20 15:00   Salford City   Crawley Town 0 0   1~1  
8.2.20 15:00   Scnuthorpe   Cheltenham 1 0   1~1  

Shrewd betting or just lucky? Who knows, the next bunch of fixtures may well reverse the early trend.

National League, ignored as far as this betting regime goes had only four fixtures this weekend and bucking the evidence I'd seen since January 1st, a single winning score showed a profit. £40 stake returned £65.

8.2.20 13:00   Chesterfield   Wrexham 3 2   0~1  
8.2.20 15:00   Bromley   Solihull 2 2   1~1  
8.2.20 15:00   Dagenham & Redbridge Stockport 1 1   1~1 6.5
8.2.20 15:00   Hartlepool   Aldershot 2 0   1~1  

Sod's law might dictate that fortunes are completely reversed by the season end, National League with a profit, Prem - L2 a loss?
Such is betting . . .

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Thirty five midweek games to process, at £10 per bet we have a £350 investment, they are ...

Date Time   Home - Away        
11.2.20 19:45   Barnsley   Birmingham       2~2
11.2.20 19:45   Blackburn   Hull       1~1
11.2.20 19:45   Brentford   Leeds       1~0
11.2.20 19:45   Nottingham   Charlton       2~1
11.2.20 19:45   Swansea   Q.P.R.       1~1
11.2.20 19:45   Wigan   Middlesbrough       1~1
12.2.20 19:45   Bristol City   Derby       2~1
12.2.20 19:45   Huddersfield   Cardiff       1~1
12.2.20 19:45   Luton   Sheffield Wednesday       2~1
12.2.20 19:45   Millwall   Fulham       1~0
12.2.20 20:00   Reading   West Bromwich       0~1
12.2.20 20:00   Stoke   Preston       1~1
                   
11.2.20 19:45   AFC Wimbledon   Ipswich       1~1
11.2.20 19:45   Blackpool   Gillingham       1~1
11.2.20 19:45   Burton   Oxford       1~0
11.2.20 19:45   Coventry   Portsmouth       1~1
11.2.20 19:45   Doncaster   Bolton       2~1
11.2.20 19:45   Lincoln   Milton Keynes       1~1
11.2.20 19:45   Peterborough   Southend       2~1
11.2.20 19:45   Shrewsbury   Accrington Stanley       1~1
11.2.20 19:45   Sunderland   Rochdale       1~1
11.2.20 19:45   Tranmere   Bristol Rovers       1~1
11.2.20 19:45   Wycombe   Fleetwood Town       3~1
                   
11.2.20 19:45   Bradford   Stevenage       1~0
11.2.20 19:45   Carlisle   Cheltenham       0~1
11.2.20 19:45   Colchester   Grimsby       2~0
11.2.20 19:45   Crewe   Crawley Town       2~1
11.2.20 19:45   Exeter   Oldham       1~0
11.2.20 19:45   Forest Green   Port Vale       1~1
11.2.20 19:45   Leyton   Mansfield       1~1
11.2.20 19:45   Morecambe   Macclesfield       1~0
11.2.20 19:45   Newport   Walsall       1~0
11.2.20 19:45   Northampton   Swindon       2~1
11.2.20 19:45   Salford City   Plymouth       1~1
11.2.20 19:45   Scnuthorpe   Cambridge       1~1

 

And for information only three National League games NOT included in this project.

11.2.20 19:45   Solihull   Barnet       1~1
11.2.20 19:45   Eastleigh   Fylde       2~1
11.2.20 19:45   Harrogate Town   Yeovil       1~1

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Midweek games saw a £350 stake return £310 winnings for a net -£40.

Bringing our total stake / return to £730 staked with £805 winnings, a 10% ROI

The synopsis below;

            result     pred CS odds
11.2.20 19:45   Barnsley   Birmingham 0 1   2~2  
11.2.20 19:45   Blackburn   Hull 3 0   1~1  
11.2.20 19:45   Brentford   Leeds 1 1   1~0  
11.2.20 19:45   Nottingham   Charlton 0 1   2~1  
11.2.20 19:45   Swansea   Q.P.R. 0 0   1~1  
11.2.20 19:45   Wigan   Middlesbrough 2 2   1~1  
12.2.20 19:45   Bristol City   Derby 3 2   2~1  
12.2.20 19:45   Huddersfield   Cardiff 0 3   1~1  
12.2.20 19:45   Luton   Sheffield Wednesday 1 0   2~1  
12.2.20 19:45   Millwall   Fulham 1 1   1~0  
12.2.20 20:00   Reading   West Bromwich 1 2   0~1  
12.2.20 20:00   Stoke   Preston 0 2   1~1  
                     
11.2.20 19:45   AFC Wimbledon   Ipswich 0 0   1~1  
11.2.20 19:45   Blackpool   Gillingham 2 3   1~1  
11.2.20 19:45   Burton   Oxford 2 2   1~0  
11.2.20 19:45   Coventry   Portsmouth 1 0   1~1  
11.2.20 19:45   Doncaster   Bolton 2 1   2~1 8.5
11.2.20 19:45   Lincoln   Milton Keynes 1 1   1~1 6.5
11.2.20 19:45   Peterborough   Southend 4 0   2~1  
11.2.20 19:45   Shrewsbury   Accrington Stanley 0 2   1~1  
11.2.20 19:45   Sunderland   Rochdale 3 0   1~1  
11.2.20 19:45   Tranmere   Bristol Rovers 0 0   1~1  
11.2.20 19:45   Wycombe   Fleetwood Town 0 1   3~1  
                     
11.2.20 19:45   Bradford   Stevenage 3 1   1~0  
11.2.20 19:45   Carlisle   Cheltenham 0 1   0~1 7.5
11.2.20 19:45   Colchester   Grimsby 2 3   2~0  
11.2.20 19:45   Crewe   Crawley Town 2 1   2~1 8.5
11.2.20 19:45   Exeter   Oldham 5 1   1~0  
11.2.20 19:45   Forest Green   Port Vale 2 3   1~1  
11.2.20 19:45   Leyton   Mansfield 2 1   1~1  
11.2.20 19:45   Morecambe   Macclesfield 2 0   1~0  
11.2.20 19:45   Newport   Walsall 0 0   1~0  
11.2.20 19:45   Northampton   Swindon 0 1   2~1  
11.2.20 19:45   Salford City   Plymouth 2 3   1~1  
11.2.20 19:45   Scnuthorpe   Cambridge 0 2   1~1  

 

National League results were unspectacular;

11.2.20 19:45   Solihull   Barnet 1 0   1~1
11.2.20 19:45   Eastleigh   Fylde 2 2   2~1
11.2.20 19:45   Harrogate Town   Yeovil 3 0   1~1

NL ongoing account now reads staked £70, winnings £65 for a £5 overall loss.

 

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At £10 per correct score bet, this weekend is costing £410 to cover, the bets are ...

14.2.20 20:00   Wolverhampton Wanderers Leicester       1~2
15.2.20 12:30   Southampton   Burnley       1~2
15.2.20 17:30   Norwich   Liverpool       0~2
16.2.20 14:00   Aston Villa   Tottenham       2~2
16.2.20 16:30   Arsenal   Newcastle       1~0
17.2.20 20:00   Chelsea   Manchester United       2~0
                   
14.2.20 19:45   Hull   Swansea       1~1
15.2.20 12:30   West Bromwich   Nottingham       1~1
15.2.20 15:00   Birmingham   Brentford       0~1
15.2.20 15:00   Cardiff   Wigan       2~1
15.2.20 15:00   Charlton   Blackburn       2~1
15.2.20 15:00   Derby   Huddersfield       1~1
15.2.20 15:00   Fulham   Barnsley       2~2
15.2.20 15:00   Leeds   Bristol City       1~1
15.2.20 15:00   Middlesbrough   Luton       2~1
15.2.20 15:00   Preston   Millwall       2~1
15.2.20 15:00   Q.P.R.   Stoke       2~2
15.2.20 15:00   Sheffield Wednesday   Reading       1~0
                   
15.2.20 15:00   Accrington Stanley   Lincoln       1~1
15.2.20 15:00   Bolton   Wycombe       0~1
15.2.20 15:00   Bristol Rovers   Blackpool       0~0
15.2.20 15:00   Fleetwood Town   Peterborough       1~1
15.2.20 15:00   Gillingham   Doncaster       1~1
15.2.20 15:00   Ipswich   Burton       1~2
15.2.20 15:00   Oxford   Sunderland       1~0
15.2.20 15:00   Portsmouth   Shrewsbury       1~0
15.2.20 15:00   Rochdale   Tranmere       2~1
15.2.20 15:00   Rotherham   AFC Wimbledon       2~1
15.2.20 15:00   Southend   Coventry       1~3
                   
15.2.20 15:00   Cambridge   Bradford       2~1
15.2.20 15:00   Cheltenham   Leyton       1~1
15.2.20 15:00   Crawley Town   Carlisle       2~0
15.2.20 15:00   Grimsby   Morecambe       1~0
15.2.20 15:00   Macclesfield   Exeter       1~0
15.2.20 15:00   Mansfield   Newport       1~1
15.2.20 15:00   Oldham   Forest Green       1~1
15.2.20 15:00   Plymouth   Crewe       2~1
15.2.20 15:00   Port Vale   Colchester       2~1
15.2.20 15:00   Stevenage   Salford City       0~1
15.2.20 15:00   Swindon   Scnuthorpe       2~1
15.2.20 15:00   Walsall   Northampton       1~1

 

... and the National League games, no bets, for info only, are;

15.2.20 15:00   Aldershot   Boreham Wood     1~2
15.2.20 15:00   Barnet   Harrogate Town     1~1
15.2.20 15:00   Barrow   Dagenham & Redbridge   1~0
15.2.20 15:00   Eastleigh   Dover Athletic     0~1
15.2.20 15:00   Ebbsfleet United Chorley       1~2
15.2.20 15:00   Fylde   Maidenhead United     1~1
15.2.20 15:00   Halifax   Sutton UTD     1~1
15.2.20 15:00   Notts County Woking       1~0
15.2.20 15:00   Solihull   Hartlepool       2~1
15.2.20 15:00   Stockport   Bromley       1~1
15.2.20 15:00   Wrexham   Torquay       1~1
15.2.20 17:20   Yeovil   Chesterfield     2~1

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The luck continues ... Weekend games had £410 staked, £555 winnings and £20 returned from 2 postponed games.

Running total now after 112 bets is £1,120 staked, £1,360 returns for a phenomenal 21% ROI !!

            result     pred CS odds
14.2.20 20:00   Wolverhampton Wanderers Leicester 0 0   1~2  
15.2.20 12:30   Southampton   Burnley 1 2   1~2 17
15.2.20 17:30   Norwich   Liverpool 0 1   0~2  
16.2.20 14:00   Aston Villa   Tottenham 2 3   2~2  
16.2.20 16:30   Arsenal   Newcastle 4 0   1~0  
17.2.20 20:00   Chelsea   Manchester United 0 2   2~0  
                     
14.2.20 19:45   Hull   Swansea 4 4   1~1  
15.2.20 12:30   West Bromwich   Nottingham 2 2   1~1  
15.2.20 15:00   Birmingham   Brentford 1 1   0~1  
15.2.20 15:00   Cardiff   Wigan 2 2   2~1  
15.2.20 15:00   Charlton   Blackburn 0 2   2~1  
15.2.20 15:00   Derby   Huddersfield 1 1   1~1 6
15.2.20 15:00   Fulham   Barnsley 0 3   2~2  
15.2.20 15:00   Leeds   Bristol City 1 0   1~1  
15.2.20 15:00   Middlesbrough   Luton 0 1   2~1  
15.2.20 15:00   Preston   Millwall 0 1   2~1  
15.2.20 15:00   Q.P.R.   Stoke 4 2   2~2  
15.2.20 15:00   Sheffield Wednesday   Reading 0 3   1~0  
                     
15.2.20 15:00   Accrington Stanley   Lincoln 4 3   1~1  
15.2.20 15:00   Bolton   Wycombe 0 2   0~1  
15.2.20 15:00   Bristol Rovers   Blackpool 2 1   0~0  
15.2.20 15:00   Fleetwood Town   Peterborough 2 1   1~1  
15.2.20 15:00   Gillingham   Doncaster 2 1   1~1  
15.2.20 15:00   Ipswich   Burton 4 1   1~2  
15.2.20 15:00   Oxford   Sunderland 0 1   1~0  
15.2.20 15:00   Portsmouth   Shrewsbury 2 0   1~0  
15.2.20 15:00   Rochdale   Tranmere post     2~1  
15.2.20 15:00   Rotherham   AFC Wimbledon 2 2   2~1  
15.2.20 15:00   Southend   Coventry 0 2   1~3  
                     
15.2.20 15:00   Cambridge   Bradford 2 1   2~1 10
15.2.20 15:00   Cheltenham   Leyton 2 1   1~1  
15.2.20 15:00   Crawley Town   Carlisle 0 0   2~0  
15.2.20 15:00   Grimsby   Morecambe 2 1   1~0  
15.2.20 15:00   Macclesfield   Exeter 2 3   1~0  
15.2.20 15:00   Mansfield   Newport 1 0   1~1  
15.2.20 15:00   Oldham   Forest Green 1 1   1~1 5.5
15.2.20 15:00   Plymouth   Crewe 2 1   2~1 10
15.2.20 15:00   Port Vale   Colchester 3 0   2~1  
15.2.20 15:00   Stevenage   Salford City 0 1   0~1 7
15.2.20 15:00   Swindon   Scnuthorpe post     2~1  
15.2.20 15:00   Walsall   Northampton 3 2   1~1  

A good yield there, without bemoaning the fact that our 2~2 prediction for the Villa v Spurs game was a winner up until the 4th minute of added time at the end of the game.
But as every wise punter knows in betting there is no room for "nearly" or "almost", bets have only two outcomes, one is win, EVERYTHING else is LOSE.

 

The National League predictions, most fixtures of which were postponed and in any case are ignored, only published for reference were as follows ...

15.2.20 15:00   Aldershot   Boreham Wood post     1~2
15.2.20 15:00   Barnet   Harrogate Town post     1~1
15.2.20 15:00   Barrow   Dagenham & Redbridge post     1~0
15.2.20 15:00   Eastleigh   Dover Athletic post     0~1
15.2.20 15:00   Ebbsfleet United   Chorley 1 0   1~2
15.2.20 15:00   Fylde   Maidenhead United post     1~1
15.2.20 15:00   Halifax   Sutton UTD post     1~1
15.2.20 15:00   Notts County   Woking 1 1   1~0
15.2.20 15:00   Solihull   Hartlepool post     2~1
15.2.20 15:00   Stockport   Bromley 1 0   1~1
15.2.20 15:00   Wrexham   Torquay post     1~1
15.2.20 17:20   Yeovil   Chesterfield post     2~1

Now standing at £100 staked, £65 returned. Maybe a wise decision to have left this league alone?

 


 

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Only half a dozen league games today & tomorrow, so £60 total stake of correct scores on the following;

19.2.20 19:30   Manchester City   West Ham       3~1
                   
18.2.20 19:45   Southend   Gillingham       0~3
18.2.20 19:45   Oxford   AFC Wimbledon       2~0
                   
18.2.20 19:45   Macclesfield   Plymouth       1~1
                   
18.2.20 19:45   Barrow   Dover Athletic       1~1
18.2.20 19:45   Barnet   Harrogate Town       2~1

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16 hours ago, thecurlyone1 said:

Why not use the exchange for better odds ? 

This is an exercise to see if a profit can be made from correct scores and in order to maintain a level playing field I'm using a single, easily accessible bookmaker. Occasionally you'll see research where using "best odds" shows a profit, whereas "average odds" do not.

Although I take your point that better prices would be available on Betfair, etc., it is difficult if not impossible to use variable and somewhat intangible prices. Final Bet365 odds ensure that if a profit can be turned using such an arbitrary measure, anyone could repeat it and even improve on it by shopping around.

However, nobody can get best odds all of the time, so using them as a measure is disingenuous.  

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19.2.20 19:30   Manchester City   West Ham 2 0   3~1  
                     
18.2.20 19:45   Southend   Gillingham 0 1   0~3  
18.2.20 19:45   Oxford   AFC Wimbledon 5 0   2~0  
                     
18.2.20 19:45   Macclesfield   Plymouth 1 1   1~1 6.5

One correct from the midweek four at 6.5

Ongoing account now showing stakes £1,160 returning £1,425 for an ROI of 22.84%

Onwards & upwars eh?

 

National League, both games incorrect, now £120 staked, £65 returns. Best left alone!

 

 

Edited by Data
Added National League summary

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Something for the weekend Sir?
At £10 per bet the outlay would be £450, will it bring in a profit? !??!

22.2.20 12:30   Chelsea   Tottenham       2~1
22.2.20 15:00   Burnley   Bournemouth       1~0
22.2.20 15:00   Crystal Palace   Newcastle       1~0
22.2.20 15:00   Liverpool   West Ham       3~0
22.2.20 15:00   Sheffield United   Brighton       1~0
22.2.20 15:00   Southampton   Aston Villa       1~2
22.2.20 17:30   Leicester   Manchester City       1~2
23.2.20 14:00   Manchester United   Watford       2~1
23.2.20 14:00   Wolverhampton Wanderers Norwich       2~0
23.2.20 16:30   Arsenal   Everton       2~1
                   
21.2.20 19:45   Derby   Fulham       0~1
22.2.20 12:30   Brentford   Blackburn       1~2
22.2.20 15:00   Barnsley   Middlesbrough       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Birmingham   Sheffield Wednesday       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Bristol City   West Bromwich       1~2
22.2.20 15:00   Charlton   Luton       2~1
22.2.20 15:00   Leeds   Reading       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Nottingham   Q.P.R.       2~1
22.2.20 15:00   Preston   Hull       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Stoke   Cardiff       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Swansea   Huddersfield       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Wigan   Millwall       1~2
                   
22.2.20 15:00   Accrington Stanley   Rotherham       1~2
22.2.20 15:00   AFC Wimbledon   Blackpool       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Fleetwood Town   Portsmouth       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Ipswich   Oxford       0~1
22.2.20 15:00   Lincoln   Gillingham       0~0
22.2.20 15:00   Milton Keynes   Bolton       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Rochdale   Coventry       0~1
22.2.20 15:00   Shrewsbury   Doncaster       0~1
22.2.20 15:00   Southend   Burton       2~3
22.2.20 15:00   Sunderland   Bristol Rovers       2~0
22.2.20 15:00   Wycombe   Tranmere       2~1
                   
22.2.20 15:00   Carlisle   Morecambe       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Cheltenham   Mansfield       1~0
22.2.20 15:00   Crawley Town   Stevenage       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Crewe   Macclesfield       2~0
22.2.20 15:00   Leyton   Oldham       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Newport   Bradford       0~0
22.2.20 15:00   Northampton   Exeter       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Plymouth   Cambridge       2~1
22.2.20 15:00   Salford City   Colchester       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Scnuthorpe   Forest Green       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Swindon   Grimsby       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Walsall   Port Vale       1~1

Happy hunting!

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National League correct scores, for comparative interest only;

22.2.20 15:00   Boreham Wood Yeovil       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Bromley   Wrexham       3~1
22.2.20 15:00   Chesterfield Ebbsfleet United     1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Chorley   Barnet       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Dag & Redbridge Solihull       1~0
22.2.20 15:00   Dover Athletic Fylde       1~2
22.2.20 15:00   Harrogate Town Eastleigh       2~0
22.2.20 15:00   Hartlepool   Notts County     2~1
22.2.20 15:00   Maidenhead United Aldershot       1~1
22.2.20 15:00   Torquay   Halifax       1~2
22.2.20 15:00   Woking   Stockport       1~1
22.2.20 17:20   Sutton UTD Barrow       1~2

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Ignoring the National League games for this exercise because of negative returns is okay, but I can't help wondering just why, and is there anything I can do to flag up no-go areas earlier?

This season the Premier League games thus far have produced 29 different score variants, is there any wonder that correct score betting is so difficult?

The Championship has had 32 different scorelines, League One 33, League Two 28 and National League 31. Little there then to indicate much to trigger further investigation.

The vast majority of these different scores though will be one-offs, Southampton 0-9 Leicester can maybe be regarded as a freak event for example. So what if I examine the most frequent scores in each division? Checking out the proportion taken by the 5 most common scores in each of the English leagues there are small differences;

Prem  49%
Cham  53%
Lg One 51%
Lg Two 52%
National  47%

So, the five most frequent scores in this season's National League shows the lowest proportion of all the leagues, is this significant? However, the best figure is with the Championship which is certainly not the best performing using my prediction methods.

Time to search out another "competitive" league to see how their figures stack up. The German Budesliga . . .
It shows 30 different scores from 198 games this season, rather a high number considering their number of games played is less than half those played in English L1 & L2.
The most frequent 5 games in Germany account for only 40% of games played. I check out this league by adopting my same correct score method from Jan 1st to date. Very low strike rate of winners and a substantial loss so far!

Mmmm, What top 5 proportions are displayed by the top division in say, France, Italy & Spain?
France 51%
Italy  48%
Spain  53%

If these figures do indicate which leagues are better suited to this variety of correct score betting then LaLiga would be a good place to start looking.
Think again, since Jan 1st using my procedure on the Spanish league produced a substantial loss. So, work in progress  :unsure

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BOL with this @Data Seems to me that at the odds it's going to take probably five figures of bets to get an idea either way about this - the bigger the odds the greater the variance and the longer it takes for definite correlations to appear.

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On 2/21/2020 at 6:22 PM, Torque said:

BOL with this @Data Seems to me that at the odds it's going to take probably five figures of bets to get an idea either way about this - the bigger the odds the greater the variance and the longer it takes for definite correlations to appear.

You're right, but it's fun finding out isn't it?

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On 2/21/2020 at 8:13 PM, Zico10 said:

Also worth remembering you get a full refund of stake on any 0-0 with 365. How does that affect your returns?

I'm aware of that, and 8 games have ended 0-0, but one of them was a correct prediction. And an additional £70 returned would add another 5% to the total.

But I'm using Bet365 merely as a reference to generally available odds as a benchmark for the profitability of the process

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The weekend £450 stake returned a juicy £780 for a £330.00 profit, this fairy tale cannot continue . . . can it?

Since the start of this second shift the balance sheet shows £1,610.00 staked yielding a nice £2,205.00 in returns for a £595.00 profit, representing a 37% ROI

Full results as shown;

22.2.20 12:30   Chelsea   Tottenham 2 1   2~1 9.50
22.2.20 15:00   Burnley   Bournemouth 3 0   1~0  
22.2.20 15:00   Crystal Palace   Newcastle 1 0   1~0 7.50
22.2.20 15:00   Liverpool   West Ham 3 2   3~0  
22.2.20 15:00   Sheffield United   Brighton 1 1   1~0  
22.2.20 15:00   Southampton   Aston Villa 2 0   1~2  
22.2.20 17:30   Leicester   Manchester City 0 1   1~2  
23.2.20 14:00   Manchester United   Watford 3 0   2~1  
23.2.20 14:00   Wolverhampton Wanderers Norwich 3 0   2~0  
23.2.20 16:30   Arsenal   Everton 3 2   2~1  
                     
21.2.20 19:45   Derby   Fulham 1 1   0~1  
22.2.20 12:30   Brentford   Blackburn 2 2   1~2  
22.2.20 15:00   Barnsley   Middlesbrough 1 0   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Birmingham   Sheffield Wednesday 3 3   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Bristol City   West Bromwich 0 3   1~2  
22.2.20 15:00   Charlton   Luton 3 1   2~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Leeds   Reading 1 0   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Nottingham   Q.P.R. 0 0   2~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Preston   Hull 2 1   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Stoke   Cardiff 2 0   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Swansea   Huddersfield 3 1   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Wigan   Millwall 1 0   1~2  
                     
22.2.20 15:00   Accrington Stanley   Rotherham 1 2   1~2 9.00
22.2.20 15:00   AFC Wimbledon   Blackpool 0 0   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Fleetwood Town   Portsmouth 1 0   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Ipswich   Oxford 0 1   0~1 9.50
22.2.20 15:00   Lincoln   Gillingham 0 0   0~0 6.50
22.2.20 15:00   Milton Keynes   Bolton 1 0   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Rochdale   Coventry 1 2   0~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Shrewsbury   Doncaster 1 0   0~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Southend   Burton 2 3   2~3 21.00
22.2.20 15:00   Sunderland   Bristol Rovers 3 0   2~0  
22.2.20 15:00   Wycombe   Tranmere 3 1   2~1  
                     
22.2.20 15:00   Carlisle   Morecambe 2 2   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Cheltenham   Mansfield 1 0   1~0 7.50
22.2.20 15:00   Crawley Town   Stevenage 2 0   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Crewe   Macclesfield 2 0   2~0 7.50
22.2.20 15:00   Leyton   Oldham 2 2   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Newport   Bradford 2 1   0~0  
22.2.20 15:00   Northampton   Exeter 2 0   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Plymouth   Cambridge 0 0   2~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Salford City   Colchester 1 2   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Scnuthorpe   Forest Green 1 0   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Swindon   Grimsby 3 1   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Walsall   Port Vale 2 2   1~1  

 

 

The "only looking" National League continued to disappoint, much as expected;

22.2.20 15:00   Boreham Wood   Yeovil 1 0   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Bromley   Wrexham 0 2   3~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Chesterfield   Ebbsfleet United 4 0   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Chorley   Barnet 0 1   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Dagenham & Redbridge Solihull 2 0   1~0  
22.2.20 15:00   Dover Athletic   Fylde 5 1   1~2  
22.2.20 15:00   Harrogate Town   Eastleigh 3 0   2~0  
22.2.20 15:00   Hartlepool   Notts County 2 0   2~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Maidenhead United   Aldershot 1 2   1~1  
22.2.20 15:00   Torquay   Halifax 1 0   1~2  
22.2.20 15:00   Woking   Stockport 1 1   1~1 6.50
22.2.20 17:20   Sutton UTD   Barrow 2 2   1~2  

Since the start, £240.00 staked have returned a meagre £130 to collect. ROI minus 46%

 

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There's 20 midweek games to go with, for a total stake of £200. This might well be the first reversal of this current series because more than half of the fixtures are Championship which seems to have a long history of a poor conversion rate for correct scores using this particular method.
Ah well, even if we draw a complete wipe out from these 20 the series still leaves us with with healthy winnings.

25.2.20 19:45   Cardiff   Nottingham       1~1
25.2.20 19:45   Huddersfield   Bristol City       1~1
25.2.20 19:45   Luton   Brentford       1~1
25.2.20 19:45   Q.P.R.   Derby       2~2
25.2.20 20:00   West Bromwich   Preston       1~0
26.2.20 19:45   Blackburn   Stoke       1~0
26.2.20 19:45   Fulham   Swansea       2~2
26.2.20 19:45   Hull   Barnsley       2~2
26.2.20 19:45   Middlesbrough   Leeds       1~1
26.2.20 19:45   Millwall   Birmingham       2~1
26.2.20 19:45   Sheffield Wednesday   Charlton       1~0
26.2.20 20:00   Reading   Wigan       2~1
                   
25.2.20 19:45   Sunderland   Fleetwood Town       2~1
25.2.20 19:45   Blackpool   Bolton       2~1
25.2.20 19:45   Coventry   Rotherham       2~1
25.2.20 19:45   Oxford   Accrington Stanley       2~0
25.2.20 19:45   Shrewsbury   Tranmere       2~1
25.2.20 19:45   Portsmouth   Milton Keynes       2~0
                   
25.2.20 19:45   Grimsby   Newport       0~1
25.2.20 19:45   Cheltenham   Northampton       1~0

 

 

. . . and the no-bet National Leage fixtures and score predictions for reference are;

25.2.20 19:45   Fylde   Notts County       1~0
25.2.20 19:45   Barnet   Dagenham & Redbridge       1~1
25.2.20 19:45   Maidenhead United   Ebbsfleet United       1~1
25.2.20 19:45   Aldershot   Boreham Wood       1~2

 

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As I suspected, let down by the accuracy of this approach when applied to the Championship.
Midweek then £200 staked, £150 returns for a £50.00 loss.

Carried forward we're taking a summary of £1,810 staked producing £2,355 of winnings. Still showing a 30% ROI

25.2.20 19:45   Cardiff   Nottingham 0 1   1~1  
25.2.20 19:45   Huddersfield   Bristol City 2 1   1~1  
25.2.20 19:45   Luton   Brentford 2 1   1~1  
25.2.20 19:45   Q.P.R.   Derby 2 1   2~2  
25.2.20 20:00   West Bromwich   Preston 2 0   1~0  
26.2.20 19:45   Blackburn   Stoke 0 0   1~0  
26.2.20 19:45   Fulham   Swansea 1 0   2~2  
26.2.20 19:45   Hull   Barnsley 0 1   2~2  
26.2.20 19:45   Middlesbrough   Leeds 0 1   1~1  
26.2.20 19:45   Millwall   Birmingham 0 0   2~1  
26.2.20 19:45   Sheffield Wednesday   Charlton 1 0   1~0 6.5
26.2.20 20:00   Reading   Wigan 0 3   2~1  
                     
25.2.20 19:45   Sunderland   Fleetwood Town 1 1   2~1  
25.2.20 19:45   Blackpool   Bolton 2 1   2~1 8.5
25.2.20 19:45   Coventry   Rotherham 1 1   2~1  
25.2.20 19:45   Oxford   Accrington Stanley 3 0   2~0  
25.2.20 19:45   Shrewsbury   Tranmere 2 3   2~1  
25.2.20 19:45   Portsmouth   Milton Keynes 3 1   2~0  
                     
25.2.20 19:45   Grimsby   Newport 4 2   0~1  
25.2.20 19:45   Cheltenham   Northampton 2 1   1~0  

 

 

Two postponements in the National left only two games, neither of which gave a winning correct score. £20 stake, zero return. Overall £260 staked, £130 of winnings for a minus 50% ROI

25.2.20 19:45   Fylde   Notts County post     1~0
25.2.20 19:45   Barnet   Dagenham & Redbridge post     1~1
25.2.20 19:45   Maidenhead United   Ebbsfleet United 1 3   1~1
25.2.20 19:45   Aldershot   Boreham Wood 3 2   1~2

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43 games for the weekend, will the success continue?

28.2.20 20:00   Norwich   Leicester       1~2
29.2.20 12:30   Brighton   Crystal Palace       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   Bournemouth   Chelsea       2~1
29.2.20 15:00   Newcastle   Burnley       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   West Ham   Southampton       1~2
29.2.20 17:30   Watford   Liverpool       1~1
1.3.20 14:00   Everton   Manchester United       1~0
1.3.20 14:00   Tottenham   Wolverhampton Wanderers       1~2
                   
29.2.20 12:30   Hull   Leeds       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   Blackburn   Swansea       0~0
29.2.20 15:00   Cardiff   Brentford       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   Fulham   Preston       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   Huddersfield   Charlton       2~1
29.2.20 15:00   Luton   Stoke       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   Millwall   Bristol City       1~2
29.2.20 15:00   Q.P.R.   Birmingham       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   Reading   Barnsley       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   Sheffield Wednesday   Derby       1~0
29.2.20 15:00   West Bromwich   Wigan       2~1
2.3.20 19:45   Middlesbrough   Nottingham       1~1
                   
28.2.20 19:45   Portsmouth   Rochdale       2~1
29.2.20 15:00   Blackpool   Ipswich       2~1
29.2.20 15:00   Bolton   Accrington Stanley       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   Bristol Rovers   Shrewsbury       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   Burton   Peterborough       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   Doncaster   Wycombe       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   Gillingham   AFC Wimbledon       2~0
29.2.20 15:00   Oxford   Southend       2~1
29.2.20 15:00   Rotherham   Milton Keynes       0~0
29.2.20 15:00   Tranmere   Fleetwood Town       1~1
1.3.20 12:00   Coventry   Sunderland       1~1
                   
29.2.20 15:00   Bradford   Plymouth       1~0
29.2.20 15:00   Cambridge   Carlisle       1~0
29.2.20 15:00   Colchester   Cheltenham       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   Exeter   Crawley Town       1~0
29.2.20 15:00   Forest Green   Leyton       0~0
29.2.20 15:00   Grimsby   Northampton       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   Macclesfield   Salford City       0~2
29.2.20 15:00   Mansfield   Swindon       1~2
29.2.20 15:00   Morecambe   Crewe       1~2
29.2.20 15:00   Oldham   Newport       1~0
29.2.20 15:00   Port Vale   Scnuthorpe       2~1
29.2.20 15:00   Stevenage   Walsall       0~1

 

 

. . . and the league we don't bother with, but publish the predictions anyway for their curiosity value . . .

29.2.20 15:00   Barrow   Dagenham & Redbridge       1~0
29.2.20 15:00   Boreham Wood   Hartlepool       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   Bromley   Sutton UTD       2~1
29.2.20 15:00   Eastleigh   Halifax       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   Ebbsfleet United   Stockport       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   Solihull   Dover Athletic       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   Torquay   Chorley       1~1
29.2.20 15:00   Woking   Maidenhead United       0~2
29.2.20 15:00   Yeovil   Wrexham       2~1

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The weekend saw £405.00 returned from a £390.00 total stakes, a greatly reduced profit from what we have been experiencing thus far.
But . . . if the only thing you can complain of is that the profit this weekend is lower than usual, then you've no gripe at all!  A profit is a profit is a profit.

The results and Bet365 correct score closing odds where we were correct are as follows;

28.2.20 20:00   Norwich   Leicester 1 0   1~2  
29.2.20 12:30   Brighton   Crystal Palace 0 1   1~1  
29.2.20 15:00   Bournemouth   Chelsea 2 2   2~1  
29.2.20 15:00   Newcastle   Burnley 0 0   1~1  
29.2.20 15:00   West Ham   Southampton 3 1   1~2  
29.2.20 17:30   Watford   Liverpool 3 0   1~1  
1.3.20 14:00   Everton   Manchester United 1 1   1~0  
1.3.20 14:00   Tottenham   Wolverhampton Wanderers 2 3   1~2  
                     
29.2.20 12:30   Hull   Leeds 0 4   1~1  
29.2.20 15:00   Blackburn   Swansea 2 2   0~0  
29.2.20 15:00   Cardiff   Brentford 2 2   1~1  
29.2.20 15:00   Fulham   Preston 2 0   1~1  
29.2.20 15:00   Huddersfield   Charlton 4 0   2~1  
29.2.20 15:00   Luton   Stoke 1 1   1~1 6
29.2.20 15:00   Millwall   Bristol City 1 1   1~2  
29.2.20 15:00   Q.P.R.   Birmingham 2 2   1~1  
29.2.20 15:00   Reading   Barnsley 2 0   1~1  
29.2.20 15:00   Sheffield Wednesday   Derby 1 3   1~0  
29.2.20 15:00   West Bromwich   Wigan 0 1   2~1  
2.3.20 19:45   Middlesbrough   Nottingham 2 2   1~1  
                     
28.2.20 19:45   Portsmouth   Rochdale 3 0   2~1  
29.2.20 15:00   Blackpool   Ipswich 2 1   2~1 11
29.2.20 15:00   Bolton   Accrington Stanley 0 0   1~1  
29.2.20 15:00   Bristol Rovers   Shrewsbury 0 1   1~1  
29.2.20 15:00   Burton   Peterborough 1 1   1~1 6.5
29.2.20 15:00   Doncaster   Wycombe 3 1   1~1  
29.2.20 15:00   Gillingham   AFC Wimbledon 1 2   2~0  
29.2.20 15:00   Oxford   Southend 2 1   2~1 8
29.2.20 15:00   Rotherham   Milton Keynes 1 1   0~0  
1.3.20 12:00   Coventry   Sunderland 1 0   1~1  
                     
29.2.20 15:00   Bradford   Plymouth 2 1   1~0  
29.2.20 15:00   Cambridge   Carlisle 1 2   1~0  
29.2.20 15:00   Colchester   Cheltenham 0 2   1~1  
29.2.20 15:00   Exeter   Crawley Town 1 1   1~0  
29.2.20 15:00   Grimsby   Northampton 0 3   1~1  
29.2.20 15:00   Macclesfield   Salford City 0 2   0~2 9
29.2.20 15:00   Morecambe   Crewe 1 1   1~2  
29.2.20 15:00   Oldham   Newport 5 0   1~0  
29.2.20 15:00   Port Vale   Scnuthorpe 2 2   2~1  

 

The National League not-to-follow results returned their usual loss;

29.2.20 15:00   Barrow   Dagenham & Redbridge 2 1   1~0  
29.2.20 15:00   Boreham Wood   Hartlepool 1 1   1~1 6.5
29.2.20 15:00   Bromley   Sutton UTD 0 1   2~1  
29.2.20 15:00   Ebbsfleet United   Stockport 0 1   1~1  
29.2.20 15:00   Solihull   Dover Athletic 3 0   1~1  
29.2.20 15:00   Torquay   Chorley 2 0   1~1  
29.2.20 15:00   Woking   Maidenhead United 2 0   0~2  
29.2.20 15:00   Yeovil   Wrexham 3 0   2~1  

 

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Only four midweek games to look at;

3.3.20 19:45   Ipswich   Fleetwood Town       1~1
                   
3.3.20 19:45   Plymouth   Grimsby       1~0
3.3.20 19:45   Exeter   Crewe       2~1
3.3.20 19:45   Swindon   Scnuthorpe       1~1

 

 

The National League has more fixtures but they're not counting for our ongoing correct score accounting;

3.3.20 19:45   Fylde   Notts County       1~1
3.3.20 19:45   Barnet   Boreham Wood       1~2
3.3.20 19:45   Chorley   Eastleigh       1~0
3.3.20 19:45   Halifax   Sutton UTD       1~1
3.3.20 19:45   Solihull   Hartlepool       2~1
3.3.20 19:45   Chesterfield   Harrogate Town       1~2

 

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Total wipe out from yesterday's games leaves our accounts standing at:  total invested £2,240, total returns of £2,760. A ROI of 23.2%

This weekend's games up a little earlier this week due to me being under the knife and general anesthetic in hospital tomorrow, I'll be back whenever ...

The £520.00 profit in hand means even a total blank on this lot will still keep our heads above water;

7.3.20 12:30   Liverpool   Bournemouth       3~1
7.3.20 15:00   Arsenal   West Ham       3~2
7.3.20 15:00   Crystal Palace   Watford       1~0
7.3.20 15:00   Sheffield United   Norwich       2~0
7.3.20 15:00   Southampton   Newcastle       1~1
7.3.20 15:00   Wolverhampton Wanderers Brighton       2~1
7.3.20 17:30   Burnley   Tottenham       1~0
8.3.20 14:00   Chelsea   Everton       2~1
8.3.20 16:30   Manchester United   Manchester City       1~2
9.3.20 20:00   Leicester   Aston Villa       2~0
                   
6.3.20 19:45   Nottingham   Millwall       1~1
7.3.20 12:30   Bristol City   Fulham       1~1
7.3.20 15:00   Barnsley   Cardiff       2~2
7.3.20 15:00   Birmingham   Reading       2~1
7.3.20 15:00   Brentford   Sheffield Wednesday       1~1
7.3.20 15:00   Charlton   Middlesbrough       1~1
7.3.20 15:00   Leeds   Huddersfield       1~1
7.3.20 15:00   Preston   Q.P.R.       2~1
7.3.20 15:00   Stoke   Hull       1~1
7.3.20 15:00   Swansea   West Bromwich       0~1
7.3.20 15:00   Wigan   Luton       1~1
8.3.20 15:00   Derby   Blackburn       1~1
                   
7.3.20 15:00   Accrington Stanley   Tranmere       2~1
7.3.20 15:00   AFC Wimbledon   Bolton       1~0
7.3.20 15:00   Fleetwood Town   Blackpool       1~0
7.3.20 15:00   Ipswich   Coventry       1~1
7.3.20 15:00   Lincoln   Burton       1~1
7.3.20 15:00   Milton Keynes   Doncaster       1~0
7.3.20 15:00   Peterborough   Portsmouth       2~0
7.3.20 15:00   Rochdale   Rotherham       1~2
7.3.20 15:00   Shrewsbury   Oxford       0~2
7.3.20 15:00   Southend   Bristol Rovers       0~2
7.3.20 15:00   Sunderland   Gillingham       1~0
                   
7.3.20 13:00   Scnuthorpe   Grimsby       1~1
7.3.20 15:00   Carlisle   Colchester       0~1
7.3.20 15:00   Cheltenham   Port Vale       1~1
7.3.20 15:00   Crawley Town   Oldham       0~0
7.3.20 15:00   Crewe   Stevenage       1~1
7.3.20 15:00   Leyton   Cambridge       1~1
7.3.20 15:00   Newport   Morecambe       2~1
7.3.20 15:00   Northampton   Mansfield       1~1
7.3.20 15:00   Plymouth   Macclesfield       2~0
7.3.20 15:00   Salford City   Bradford       1~1
7.3.20 15:00   Swindon   Forest Green       3~0
7.3.20 15:00   Walsall   Exeter       0~2

 

 

. . . and the ones to ignore, but published anyhow are . . .

7.3.20 15:00   Aldershot   Dagenham & Redbridge       1~1
7.3.20 15:00   Barrow   Notts County       2~0
7.3.20 15:00   Chorley   Chesterfield       1~0
7.3.20 15:00   Dover Athletic   Yeovil       1~1
7.3.20 15:00   Fylde   Solihull       1~2
7.3.20 15:00   Halifax   Woking       1~1
7.3.20 15:00   Hartlepool   Ebbsfleet United       2~1
7.3.20 15:00   Maidenhead United   Boreham Wood       1~2
7.3.20 15:00   Stockport   Barnet       1~1
7.3.20 15:00   Sutton UTD   Torquay       1~2
7.3.20 15:00   Wrexham   Eastleigh       1~0
7.3.20 17:20   Harrogate Town   Bromley       2~0

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Well back home after short hospital stay, although I think they're far from finished with me yet.
Poor return from the weekend picks, only 3 correct scores from the 45 attempts, £450.00 staked returned a paltry £255.00.

Is this the wake up call that begins the downfall of this project? A sign of things to come, or simply a hiccup?
All 269 bets so far leaves an accounting sheet showing £2,690 staked returning £3,015 in winnings a 12% ROI

Full results with correct score odds where appropriate were;

7.3.20 12:30   Liverpool   Bournemouth 2 1   3~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Arsenal   West Ham 1 0   3~2  
7.3.20 15:00   Crystal Palace   Watford 1 0   1~0 8.00
7.3.20 15:00   Sheffield United   Norwich 1 0   2~0  
7.3.20 15:00   Southampton   Newcastle 0 1   1~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Wolverhampton Wanderers Brighton 0 0   2~1  
7.3.20 17:30   Burnley   Tottenham 1 1   1~0  
8.3.20 14:00   Chelsea   Everton 4 0   2~1  
8.3.20 16:30   Manchester United   Manchester City 2 0   1~2  
9.3.20 20:00   Leicester   Aston Villa 4 0   2~0  
                     
6.3.20 19:45   Nottingham   Millwall 0 3   1~1  
7.3.20 12:30   Bristol City   Fulham 1 1   1~1 6.5
7.3.20 15:00   Barnsley   Cardiff 0 2   2~2  
7.3.20 15:00   Birmingham   Reading 1 3   2~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Brentford   Sheffield Wednesday 5 0   1~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Charlton   Middlesbrough 0 1   1~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Leeds   Huddersfield 2 0   1~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Preston   Q.P.R. 1 3   2~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Stoke   Hull 5 1   1~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Swansea   West Bromwich 0 0   0~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Wigan   Luton 0 0   1~1  
8.3.20 15:00   Derby   Blackburn 3 0   1~1  
                     
7.3.20 15:00   Accrington Stanley   Tranmere 1 2   2~1  
7.3.20 15:00   AFC Wimbledon   Bolton 0 0   1~0  
7.3.20 15:00   Fleetwood Town   Blackpool 0 0   1~0  
7.3.20 15:00   Ipswich   Coventry 0 1   1~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Lincoln   Burton 3 2   1~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Milton Keynes   Doncaster 0 1   1~0  
7.3.20 15:00   Peterborough   Portsmouth 2 0   2~0 11.00
7.3.20 15:00   Rochdale   Rotherham 3 1   1~2  
7.3.20 15:00   Shrewsbury   Oxford 2 3   0~2  
7.3.20 15:00   Southend   Bristol Rovers 3 1   0~2  
7.3.20 15:00   Sunderland   Gillingham 2 2   1~0  
                     
7.3.20 13:00   Scnuthorpe   Grimsby 0 2   1~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Carlisle   Colchester 0 3   0~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Cheltenham   Port Vale 0 0   1~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Crawley Town   Oldham 3 0   0~0  
7.3.20 15:00   Crewe   Stevenage 3 1   1~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Leyton   Cambridge 2 1   1~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Newport   Morecambe 1 0   2~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Northampton   Mansfield 1 2   1~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Plymouth   Macclesfield 3 0   2~0  
7.3.20 15:00   Salford City   Bradford 2 0   1~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Swindon   Forest Green 0 2   3~0  
7.3.20 15:00   Walsall   Exeter 3 1   0~2  

 

 

And the National League that we ignore (just as well another losing Saturday!)

7.3.20 15:00   Aldershot   Dagenham & Redbridge 0 1   1~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Barrow   Notts County 0 2   2~0  
7.3.20 15:00   Chorley   Chesterfield 1 2   1~0  
7.3.20 15:00   Dover Athletic   Yeovil 0 1   1~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Fylde   Solihull 0 0   1~2  
7.3.20 15:00   Halifax   Woking 0 2   1~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Hartlepool   Ebbsfleet United 0 1   2~1  
7.3.20 15:00   Maidenhead United   Boreham Wood 0 1   1~2  
7.3.20 15:00   Stockport   Barnet 1 1   1~1 6.5
7.3.20 15:00   Sutton UTD   Torquay 2 0   1~2  
7.3.20 15:00   Wrexham   Eastleigh 0 0   1~0  
7.3.20 17:20   Harrogate Town   Bromley 1 1   2~0  

The National League account now stands at £520 staked, £260 returned. A regime that loses £5 for every £10 staked.

 

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Just a handful of midweek league fixtures ...

11.3.20 19:30   Manchester City   Arsenal       2~0
                   
10.3.20 19:45   Burton   Bolton       1~0
10.3.20 19:45   Bristol Rovers   Sunderland       1~1
10.3.20 19:45   Portsmouth   Fleetwood Town       2~1
10.3.20 19:45   Blackpool   Tranmere       3~1
                   
10.3.20 19:45   Carlisle   Newport       0~1

 

And the league we don't bother with . . .

10.3.20 19:45   Woking   Barnet       1~1
10.3.20 19:45   Dagenham & Redbridge Fylde       2~1
10.3.20 19:45   Notts County   Aldershot       1~0

 

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