Jump to content
Announcements
** October Nap's Competition Result: 1st Zilzalian, 2nd Mickyftm32, 3rd Joales, 4th internetmails KO Cup: redno2009, Most Winners: Xtc12**
**October Poker League Result : 1st muttley £75, 2nd ian309 £45, 3rd thebestthere £30**
** Last Man Standing Result - Ivailobg/Cookro split 1st £125 / Larking22 1st Consolation Cup £50 **

Recommended Posts

@South_African_Punter that 2.25 was only because he played two five setters, otherwise we would have undoubtedly seen him as a favourite and he would start around his opening odds, around 1.70. It’s hard court, he is definitely the more talented and better player. I think he’s a bit special, if it was any other player, the cumulative tiredness after two 5 setters would play a big role in my decision, but with him it’s different. He seems to stop trying, so the two lost sets don’t cost him that much energy and that he can win in 5, says to me he is a bit more serious about his business. But that is only my opinion. I have a soft spot for him as he is incredibly fun to watch. If he wins this one, he plays Sandgren, who seems to brought a very good form. Would love to see the odds.

 

 

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
  • Replies 271
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

This is probably the trickiest Grand Slam we've had to deal with so far in terms of conditions, because this is very different from having some rainy weeks. It's also hard to know how good the air qua

Gauff/Mcnally to beat Shibahara/Aoyama at 1.64 with Marathonbet I repeat with Gauff/Mcnally. The first time these Japanese players played together was 6 months before in San Jose where they reach

WTA Australian Open S Hsieh / B Strycova - T Babos / K Mladenovic 2@1.81 pinnacle /flat 10u/ I thought I am done with AO, but this one is simply too good. Babos/Mladenovic are the best pair for

Posted Images

48 minutes ago, Jves said:

@South_African_Punter that 2.25 was only because he played two five setters, otherwise we would have undoubtedly seen him as a favourite and he would start around his opening odds, around 1.70. It’s hard court, he is definitely the more talented and better player. I think he’s a bit special, if it was any other player, the cumulative tiredness after two 5 setters would play a big role in my decision, but with him it’s different. He seems to stop trying, so the two lost sets don’t cost him that much energy and that he can win in 5, says to me he is a bit more serious about his business. But that is only my opinion. I have a soft spot for him as he is incredibly fun to watch. If he wins this one, he plays Sandgren, who seems to brought a very good form. Would love to see the odds.

 

 

 

Yeah, thought the odds were kind of the wrong way round given Fognini's pedigree on hard. Took the bet in the end, happy it paid off.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Anyways, so many weird and surprising results tonight, such as Serena, Jabeur, Tsitsipas. Glad to get on 1 winner and 1 loser only. And now Fedex starting 5th set. Interesting.

Edited by Jves
Link to post
Share on other sites

WTA Australian Open:
Elise Mertens - Catherine Bellis 1@1.47 pinnacle /flat 10u/


Bellis WTA 600 is back after two surgeries and more than a year and half without tennis. She is surely talented player, but after the break, she still needs more time to compete with top players. In Houston last year she played very soft tennis with no power. This year its little better, but still lost easily to Kudermetova and Pegula. Here she had great draw, as Maria is really poor rcently and Muchova lost her form. I would rate her tennis to between 60-70th spot currently.

Mertens WTA 17 is tough player, she is not only great in defence, but started to push as well. She played well in Shenzen and Hobart, despite loosing to Rybakina and Waton, but both matches had high quality. Here she won easily with Kovinic and revenge with Watson.

Both met yesterday in doubles and Elise was clearly better from the baseline. I know its diffrenet game, but I simply expect the same scenario today, with Mertens better in all aspects of the game. GL 

Link to post
Share on other sites

WTA Australian Open:
Belinda Bencic - Anett Kontaveit
 1@1.74 pinnacle /flat 10u/

Bencic (WTA 7) is improving here in every match and slowly reaching her last year form after the average start of the season. In Shenzen she didnt really tried hard, but in Adeleide she did, and after solid wins with Kasatkina and Goerges she had no chance with Collins, and really not played so well there. Here she really played a lot better and especially with Ostapenko I saw many great moments.

I really like Kontaveits (WTA 31) game style, but she is doing too many mistakes this year. I saw both her losses with Bertens and Pavlyuchenkova, and she simply wasnt good enough. Here she had a lot of troubles with Sorribes.

I like this odds a lot, despite it dropped a bit already before I got to the writeup. Still enough value. Bencic is more stable currently with smart game, which will work well against Kontaveit, who really doesnt like the rythm changes. GL 

Link to post
Share on other sites

WTA Australian Open:
Camila Giorgi - Angelique Kerber 1@2.35 pinnacle /flat 10u/


Giorgi (WTA 102) is back in form finally. Last year after the succesful Australian Open, she didnt win a match for 6 months, including 3 months break for back problems after Miami. After that, she was outside top100, but finals in Washington and NY brought her back. This season she started solid and here she is playing best tennis since last AO. Easily overcame Lottner, who was in good mood here, and Kuznetsova, who was also surprisingly dangerous and eliminated Vondrousova. Giorgi was doing only few mistakes in both matches.

Kerber WTA 18 is only shadow of Kerber from past years.  She is weak mostly in her confidence, as she lost with many average players. Only results from Australian Open and Indian Wells are keeping her in top20. Since Toronto she is just on 7W-11L  record and this year looks not much better, as she lost with Stosur and retired to Yastremska while being down in the match. Here she played quite ok on her current level, but both Cocciaretto and Hon made tons of errors.

I see this match as equal one. Camile impressed me in the match with Kuznetsova and with the low number of errors. I think she will be able to keep her shots in court again and defeat Kerbers defence. GL

Link to post
Share on other sites

I like Fucsovics against Federer on sunday. Roger must be tired after that 4-hour match against Millman who fought really hard but in some ways choked in the end. Fucsovics has played his best tennis here in a while and has been liking the conditions too. Best odds around 5.50 @William Hill

 

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

WTA Australian Open:
Cori Gauff - Sofia Kenin 2@1.69 pinnacle /flat 10u/


Gauff is the biggest talent in women tennis for sure, but for me, she is still not compareable to top level players. In Auckland she lost with claycourter Siegemund and here she won with career ending Venus, overturned being 0-3 down in third set vs Cirstea, and today the biggest upset, easy win over Osaka. But those who were watching the game could see, that Gauff didnt win, Osaka gifted the match to her, as I never saw such bad Osaka ever, really ever. She didnt hit a single shot. But thanks to this result (not performance) we have a huge value on Kenin.

I wrote about Kenin many times last year (on other platform) and she is going up step by step. Here she didn't lose a set yet and after easy opening rounds, she played good match today with, in great form playing, Zhang.

If I compare both players perfomances this year, Cori is far from Sofia at the moment. The only aspect of the game, where Gauff is better, is 1st serve and that wont be enough. Those odds are too much affected by todays win, and 1.7 seems really as a gift to me. (Osaka was 1,15 today and Kenin 1,7? No way. Osaka is only little better than Kenin in my books) GL

Link to post
Share on other sites

Monfils - Gulbis  1

I simply can not ignore Monfils here. He`s like a box of chocolates...You never know what you`re going to get. He is also a player who is always a joy to watch, one of the players I would always pay for the ticket just to see him in action. Tennis avant-garde. He`s definitely past his prime  but I`ve always thought that he deserved a bit more in his career - especially on Grand Slam tournaments. Gulbis has risen from the dead here but I doubt he can take something out of this match. Last year he had 8-30 (?!) record. When Gulbis was younger everbody was talking (including Niki Pilic) that there is a great career ahead of him  but it simply didn`t happen. I don`t want to call Ernests a spoiled brat but he threw his talent away. By the way, the record between these two is 3-0 in Mofils` favour.

So...We have a guy who deserves a lot more on the Grand Slam level and a guy who doesn`t deserve anything. Monfils all the way for me.

Mertens - C.C. Bellis  over 20,5

Those who follow the tennis section here could`ve read what I said about Bellis. I`ve read what you guys wrote about the match and I can not but to agree with you though I think Mertens will have a bit more difficult task here. I watched Mertens in Wimbledon last year and was impressed with her ability to endure long rallies and powerful shots she is able to produce. Bellis`s style is different - shorter rallies, change of pace and not-so-powerful but precise and delicate shots. That`s why I think she`ll give Mertens a bit of a headache - at least in one the sets. I agree with you that Bellis`s chances to win this are not big simply because she hasn`t played for a long time on this level and that`s why I`ll also try the correct score: 2-1 Mertens.

Vekic - Swiatek     1

As I`ve said before, Donna is completely focused on tennis and will do her best to reach the final stages of AO. Reaching the 3rd round is her best result ever. I believe Swiatek is an ideal opponent for Donna and I have to say that the draw has been rather kind to her this year. She`s definitely aware of that and I think she won`t miss this chance to confirm herself as a player capable of performing well on the biggest of tournaments.

 

 

Edited by ivanhoe
Link to post
Share on other sites

Gauff/Mcnally to beat Peschke/Schuurs at 1.88 with 888

I barely bet on doubles but I like the odds for this one. Gauff and Mcnally are good friends and very good doubles players. They always play together and despite their age they won in Washington (without dropping a single set) and Luxembourg. Peschke and Schuurs are playing together for the first time for this Australian season. They lost against Jurak/Rosolska (6-4, 6-3) in the first round in Brisbane and they retired in Adelaide in the second round after winning against Halep/Olaru (7-6, 4-6, 10-3). Gauff/Mcnally won against Arruaberrena/Voracova (6-1, 7-6) and Moore/Rodionova (6-3, 6-2) in Auckland. Schuurs is the most dangerous player but Peschke's age (44) and the fact they have never played together before are the reasons I think there is value on the young pair.
 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Also thinking about Diego stealing a set off Djokovic, the odds are certainly juicy and, even though he doesn't have any big weapons, he'll be there as he was against Rafa in 2018. Hasn't even dropped a set yet, which is sort of incredible given that he doesn't have a serve to fall back on, while Djokovic has. I'm not saying it's going to happen, but yeah, I'm going to go for it at 2.89 with PinnacleDiego just sort of has this habit of not falling apart and he can run all day long, while his groundstrokes are as good as they are when it comes to the big guys. Having no serve means that he just can't be among the top guys, but he's not Nishioka-like if you want to make comparisons, he's much hardier and mentally apt. He took a set of Medvedev in the ATP Cup, so I am going to have a sporting play based on the odds alone.

Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:

Also thinking about Diego stealing a set off Djokovic, the odds are certainly juicy and, even though he doesn't have any big weapons, he'll be there as he was against Rafa in 2018. Hasn't even dropped a set yet, which is sort of incredible given that he doesn't have a serve to fall back on, while Djokovic has. I'm not saying it's going to happen, but yeah, I'm going to go for it at 2.89 with PinnacleDiego just sort of has this habit of not falling apart and he can run all day long, while his groundstrokes are as good as they are when it comes to the big guys. Having no serve means that he just can't be among the top guys, but he's not Nishioka-like if you want to make comparisons, he's much hardier and mentally apt. He took a set of Medvedev in the ATP Cup, so I am going to have a sporting play based on the odds alone.

I watched him yesterday vs Lajovic. Even the commentators said that playing vs Schwatrzman is like playing against a brick wall.🧱🧱🧱 He`s defensively one of of the best players on the tour together with Djokovic. These odds are certainly inviting and definitely worth a risk.

Link to post
Share on other sites

I am having another bet: 
Gauff - Kenin: Kenin - 1.71 @ Unibet (min. 1.62)
Reasons already mentioned by @Toptipsters and I would just add that on hard courts, she has lost only 4 out of 21 matches against players ranked between 35 - 80 since the beginning of 2019 and only 3 matches to any lower ranked players since the end of July 2019 and that shows incredible consistency. 

Edited by Jves
added min. price + bold
Link to post
Share on other sites

Is the serve what is saving her. She's playing against a player that has win only 1 set in 7 matches against her. Pavlyuchenkova is playing a bad match and she's even winning the match. Pliskova won the title in Brisbane beating Tomjlanovic, Riske, Osaka and Keys. She destroyed Mladenovic and Siegemund in her first two rounds... and now is playing with most passive attitude i have ever seen in her. There's something wrong with her, believe me (even if she finally wins the match, i dont care). 

Link to post
Share on other sites

I won't be speculating about her health 🤷‍♂️ She can say whatever she wants, obviously she is not gonna say, I could not be arsed to move. She will probably say something like I did not feel well today and court was too small for me :D
Very poor match quality wise considering it was 4th round.
 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


×
×
  • Create New...