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Ascot Handicaps - Saturday - Tips & Trends


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2 decent handicaps on Saturday at Ascot

The meeting was lost to the weather in 2009 and 2010 so only 9 races for the trends this week.

300 Ascot
3m (2m7f180y) Dave Dawes Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Screen Shot 2019-12-16 at 21.55.19.png

Trends

8/9 Rated 144 or above
8/9 Aged 8 or below
8/9 Ran within 6 weeks
7/9 carried 11st or more
11/19 Placed first 4 last time
11/19 Never won at 3m previously
16/19 Had ran over 3m or above before.
 

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335 Ascot

1m7½f (1m7f152y) Betfair Exchange Trophy (A Handicap Hurdle) (Grade 3) (Class 1) (4yo+)

**Dead Heat in 2015

Screen Shot 2019-12-16 at 21.55.14.png

Trends

9/10 Aged 6 or below
9/10 Rated 146 or below
8/10 Ran within 50 days
8/10 Carried 11st 5 or less
15/17 Placed first 4 last time ( 8 won)
12/17 Won at 2m previously
15/17 ran no more than 3 times this season

 


 

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Wow ...some incredibly tough races 

3.00 ascot 

Mister malarkey   245 +5 

Bennys king  243 +2 

Give me a copper 242 +2 

Regal encore  242 +1 

Really tough race to weigh up ....give me a copper only just won last time and up 6 lb in a tough race I think a career best needed so opposed for win ...regal encore is looking a very well hcapped horse but runs stinkers sometimes ...and aged 11 is well beyond the profile for this race so opposed again .

Bennys king is an interesting horse ...has an upward improving profile and won easily last time ...hcaaper smashed him 11lb so into unknown territory now but he won by 6 lengths easily which equates to 12lbs plus .....so it's feasible he's still one step ahead of the hcapoer so at 8/1 he's on the team 

Mister malarkey I really like ...took a step forward last time and now only 1lb higher than when 2nd in grade 3 ..this is listed so he's looking very well treated now ....9/1 looks very good value 

Bennys king 10pts ew 8/1 pp

Mister malarkey 10pts ew 9/1 bet365 

 

 

Edited by richard-westwood
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Betfair exchange trophy 

Mohayyed  233 +4 

Sofia rock 233 +2 

Crooks peak  232 +1 

Countister   229 +2 

Very difficult race to rate ...countister looks a little exposed at this level so I'm opposing .....Dan Skelton seems to be going to war here with both the top 2 trained by him and big prices ....crooks peak also looks to be coming to hand ..well weighted and improving I can't ignore ....Top 3 in this race ....forecasts and doubles with other race for a last shot at big Xmas bonus 

Mohayyed 5pts ew  20/1 bet365

Sofias rock 5pts ew 20/1 corals 

Crooks peak 5pts ew 12/1 lads 

6x1pt rev forecast 

6x2pt ew doubles with above race 

 

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335 Ascot

9/10 Aged 6 or below
We lose Mohaayed, Remiluc, Countister, Not So Sleepy
9/10 Rated 146 or below
We lose Mons Lecoq
8/10 Ran within 50 days
All qualify
8/10 Carried 11st 5 or less
We lose Turnpike Trip, Scaramanga
14/17 Placed first 3 last time ( 8 won)
We lose Umbrigado, Zanza, Crooks Peak
12/17 Won at 2m previously
We lose Quoi De Neuf
Only 2 4 yo's have won in 21 runnings
We lose Tamaroc Du Mathan

Cant split 3

1pt EW French Crusader 9/1 Laddies
1pt EW  Whoshotthesheriff 12/1 Hills
1pt EW Sir Valentine 16/1 bet365

 

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300 Ascot

8/9 Rated 144 or above
we lose Jerrysback, Regal Encore, Azzerti

8/9 Aged 8 or below
We lose Give Me A Copper

8/9 Ran within 6 weeks
We lose Yaltari, Kildisart

7/9 carried 11st or more
We lose Mister Malarky, Acting Lass

Selections
1pt EW Black Corton 10/1 Coral
1pt Crievehill 7/1 PP

 

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