A pattern i observed

[dopeness]

I discovered this pattern or should i call it system some months ago

here is how it goes __ I observed that if a match scoreline is 0-1 or 1-0 in halftime  the final score is usually under 5.5, same if the halftime score is 0-0 the final score is usually under 4.5  

it only works if the scoreline is what i wrote above and this system is not effective on reserve league, under 17 18 19 21 matches, women matches and of course any very high goal scoring team and league matches. 

 

you can go check today games results and see for yourself, and let me know if you read any other insight to the system as a whole. 

[froment]

On 12/10/2019 at 8:34 PM, dopeness said:

if a match scoreline is 0-1 or 1-0 in halftime  the final score is usually under 5.5, same if the halftime score is 0-0 the final score is usually under 4.5  

you can go check today games results and see for yourself

Your observation is totally correct, you are absolutely right!

You only need to pay a bit of attention to your words that I emphasized above. If you check, you will see for yourself that odds for under 5.5 if one goal is scored at HT, and under 4.5 if no goals at HT, are barely 1.05 or even less. And if you check this year games, not a dozen of today games, but thousands of this year games, you will find that usually 5 out of 100 such a matches go over 5.5 or over 4.5. So, if you bet 100 units each time, you will win 5 units 95 times, add or take two or three times, and lose 100 units 5 times, add or take two or three times. Now do the math, and you will see where does your system go.

Though, if you are able to select games, not to bet on all today games or all this year games, but to select matches so that you hot over 4.5 or over 5.5 less than (100-100/odds) out of 100 matches, where "odds" are average winning odds you get, after commission, then indeed you have a profitable system. So, all you need is to find such a matches.

[paparainbow]

Try to understand what odds are and their connection to implied probabilities and true probabilities.

 

then check what value bet is

Edited December 25, 2019 by paparainbow