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Fader

Champions League 2019

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This gets started tomorrow. Gould somehow won it again last year and although nobody "really" takes it that seriously, the value is high because as usual the top of the market is dominated by players who perhaps are out of form or even less bothered. I'm going to take 3 in the outright market and then look into each outright group market on a week-by-week basis.

In the full outright market I'll take Bingham first. I said it in the Grand Prix thread but I see Bingham having a good period now and he may use this as a platform. He's done well here in the past, getting to the Semi-final CL3 and winning CL4 and he will go into this in week 2 where he will face the likes of Gary Wilson and Kyren Wilson along with losers from Week 1 that could include the likes of Jimmy Robertson and Day so you'd expect him to qualify for the finals.

Second up I'll go for Lisowski. This kind of tournament is perfect for pure talented potters. Lisowski got to the final of this last year and i really see him having a good chance of going well. Id of liked him to come into this in week 2 but perhaps he will play week 2 anyway (2-4th from week 1 go into week 2)

Finally, Maguire is a silly price for this. He didn't qualify last year but he made 3 semi-finals in a row (CL3/CL4/CL5) and he obviously has the break building ability to qualify. Anybody in the finals has a chance and at 66/1 it's overpriced

2pts S.Bingham to win Snooker Champions League 16/1 betfred
2pts J.Lisowski to win Snooker Champions League 18/1 coral
1pt E/W S.Maguire to win Snooker Champions League 66/1 ladbrokes

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Just looking through Group A today/tomorrow. Neil Robetson, Selby, Lisowski, Jimmy Robertson, Hawkins, Brecel & Day. I get the feeling that Neil Robertson is going to be up for this as he hasn't got alot of snooker in recently. He's either been out due to sickness or he is driving to the wrong location. These next couple of days may see him open up abit and really put his foot on the throats. Unfortunetely, he is a 5/2 favourite and that's enough to put me off as he could also easily be quite rusty. Selby always does well in this event and I would imagine he would atleast make the Semi-finals tomorrow. He is a general 4/1 shot. Not for me.

Hawkins has played too much for my liking. Brecel and Day just not in the right potting form and Jimmy Robertson isn't in any kind of form atall so that leads me to take a risk with Lisowski (Despite having him on the outright also). I think if he can take the pressure off today and have fun then he could make the semi-finals along with Selby, Robertson etc and then who knows? these matches are a couple of hundred quid each for a win. Nobody should have any nerves atall. Purely for reasons of silly prices, I'll also take a small punt on Jimmy. Ultimately, you can lose a couple of matches here and still sneak through to the Semi-finals and at 25/1 that's just barmy.

1pt E/W J.Lisowski to win Group A 7/1 betway
0.5pts E/W J.Robertson to win Group A 25/1 ladbrokes

 

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Bingham wins Group B to get into the finals (in March) N.Robertson won Group A. Great result for outright bet on Bingham.

Champions League finals line-up
N.Robertson (Grp1)
S.Bingham (Grp2)
G.Wilson (Grp3)
S.Donaldson (Grp4)

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Back to this over the next 4 days. Group 3 is today and tomorrow. Here are the entrants :

Woollaston
Dott
Guodong
Ford

K.Wilson
G.Wilson
Selt

I think Kyren Wilson gets through this group with ease. There is no way he isn't making the Semi-Finals tomorrow. The problem is, once it gets to the Semi-finals anybody can beat anybody and that's where the value is, on the outsiders. I'll take Kyren at a pretty average price and an outsider each-way in Ben Woollaston. Tom Ford and Guodong are both tempting at big prices but both have been involved in the latter stages of the English Open and both have been pretty awful in this event. Woollaston at 10/1 is pretty big value for me.

4pts K.Wilson to win Group 3 11/4 betfred
2pts E/W B.Woollaston to win Group 3 10/1 bet365

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Good call on Gary Wilson :) beats Kyren in the final. Kyren is looking really poor right now. His control of the cue ball is non-existant. I'm going to take Tom Ford in Group 4 which starts today and also Donaldson. We have Kyren Wilson in Grp 4 along with Perry, Dott, Ford, Selt, Ali Carter and Scott Donaldson. Of Those, I can't take Kyren Wilson again after that display. Perry has never performed well here. Selt and Carter are not in good enough form. So, Ford and Donaldson at big prices.

2pts T.Ford to win Grp 4 11/2 ladbrokes
1pt S.Donaldson to win Grp 4 12/1 betfred

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6 minutes ago, notanotherdonkey said:

Gary Wilson was the stand out player in the group Stages and duly beat Kyren Wilson in the final 3-0.Unlucky Fader and a good solid selection but was beat by the better player on the day.

Yeah, this event suits gary wilsons game to a tee. I'll be looking at him for the main event if the price is right. Kyren was rubbish and still got to the final. His only good performances ironically was the 3-1 win against Gary Wilson in the group stage.

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On 10/23/2019 at 8:38 AM, Fader said:

Good call on Gary Wilson :) beats Kyren in the final. Kyren is looking really poor right now. His control of the cue ball is non-existant. I'm going to take Tom Ford in Group 4 which starts today and also Donaldson. We have Kyren Wilson in Grp 4 along with Perry, Dott, Ford, Selt, Ali Carter and Scott Donaldson. Of Those, I can't take Kyren Wilson again after that display. Perry has never performed well here. Selt and Carter are not in good enough form. So, Ford and Donaldson at big prices.

2pts T.Ford to win Grp 4 11/2 ladbrokes
1pt S.Donaldson to win Grp 4 12/1 betfred

BOOM! Scottie Donaldson wins group 4 at 12/1. Fair play to Dott, who waited patiently for Donaldson. He got sick and they had to stop for about 30mins whilst at 2-0. Beautiful price.

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