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Premier League Predictions > Aug 31st & Sep 1st


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man utd cannot be trusted at all after previous two games. the players cannot handle the pressure or expectation and it seems solskjaer is putting a lot of faith on rashford scoring goals but he is young player and still needs a lot of experience. i think from now on man utd is going to bust a lot of coupons. i don't see them winning many games. pogba is also playing defensive role which will limit their chances to create in front of goal. 

chelsea has got a lot of youth with plenty of energy and that's their good asset however they don't convince me that they can keep a clean sheet in matches which is a problem. the promotion side like sheff utd typical like to play open games and that could mean goals in this match. i also think sheff utd has maturity in them to get something like a draw

it was shock to me that crystal palace won last week but then i knew they are deadly on counter attack. it's only when they need to boss the match they are useless. they sat back and beat man utd in the end but honestly if zaha leaves this teams is heading for relegation.

i think bournemouth are overpriced. you can always rely on bournemouth scoring at least once. leicester is a lot weaker this season. their only saving grace is vardy and his pace but if he doesn't get the service they don't win. it will be close but bournemouth to claim a score draw seems to me like a good bet

i hated watching newcastle beat tottenham last week. they won't it after defending very deep when they got ahead. they will be back to their useless self here. i like watford and i think they have a lot of creative ability and energy. the cup game will give them the boost and could win this

norwich had a flying start this season but i feel west ham are coming into form right now. they've had two decent results on their travels and 3 goals in the back of the net of brighton last week will give them confidence. i think this when they go on unbeaten run and have some consistency. they fact they are playing this match at home suggests to me a solid three point in the bag

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Leicester vs Bournemouth

This round of Premier League matches throws up a fair amount of hard-to-call fixtures with teams fairly evenly matched heading into their games. One game where I think the home team certainly has a bit of value of this clash between Leicester and Bournemouth that's scheduled to take place at the King Power Stadium this Saturday afternoon at 3pm BST.

Leicester were tipped by many before the season started to do well in their first full campaign under Brendan Rodgers. The Foxes had a cracking pre-season and haven't started too badly in the league. Two draws against Wolves and Chelsea were satisfactory and then the 2-1 win away to new boys Sheffield United was a potential banana skin averted. It also saw Jamie Vardy finally open his tally for the season. Rodgers getting the best out of his striker will be key if the club is to build on last season.

Bournemouth have become a solid top flight side under Eddie Howe. I watched some video footage of their pre-season training camp and it was impressive stuff. A mixed bag of results in pre-season have continued into the league campaign. The Cherries were held to a 1-1 draw at home in their opening game to a dogged Sheffield United. A 2-1 win away to Aston Villa secured their first win of the season but then the 3-1 loss to Manchester City was anticipated but still disappointing.

Coming into this game, the home side are just one of four teams, alongside Liverpool, Manchester City, and Wolves, to remain undefeated so far. However, they've only won 1 of their last 4 league games at home. On the flip side, Bournemouth have only lost 1 of their previous 4 away league games. The advantage is certainly with Leicester in the head-to-head as they have won 5, drawn 5, and lost just 2 of the previous 12 meetings. I think Leicester will capitalise on home advantage but I'd be surprised if more than one goal separates the two teams.

Leicester to Win @ 1.74 with Marathonbet

Leicester HT/FT @ 2.70 with Betfair

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West Ham - Norwich

I expect nothing but goals here. Over 3 goals @ 1.81 with Pinnacle and over 3,5 goals @ 2.31 with Pinnacle. Norwich are playing very attacking-minded football at the moment and players like Pukki and Cantwell are in red hot form. Norwich seem very shaky at the back though, and I expect their defence to get a bit better as the season goes on but at the moment they are searching for the right defensive tactics. West Ham on the other hand have Haller back from an injury who already scored 2 goals against Watford (who were quite weak to be honest, but still). The Hammers have plenty of attacking potential in Lanzini, Anderson etc so they can cause problems to that Norwich defence. West Ham have had their problems in defence also so this match-up looks to be perfect for goals.

Edited by Judeksi
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Not an official bet as I won't bet against my own team, but I couldn't put anyone off taking Arsenal at 2.4 (bet365) to beat spurs.  Arsenal were OK in defeat at Liverpool, while spurs were dreadful at home to Newcastle, and to some extent are lucky to have 4 points on the board already having not played well in all 3 PL games to date.  Taking form and home advantage into account, i'm not sure why Arsenal are as big a price as they are. 

 

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I quite the look of Burnley +2 at 1.8 (Ladbrokes).  Ignoring the carabao cup game, Burnley have been in good PL form this season.  They are capable of scoring goals, and Liverpool are conceding goals at the moment.  Burnley are quite strong defensively (probably the best defence Liverpool have faced so far) and Barnes and Wood are a handful for any PL team. 

I can see this potentially being a draw, but if Liverpool win I don't see it being by a big margin, so happy to take the +2 to cover a 1 goal win for Liverpool. 

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Final one for me and i'm going to back Man Utd at 2.1 (betfred).  Southampton are nothing special, and I've read that Redmond and Djenpro are out of this game.  Both scored in the last game vs Brighton and Redmond in particular is an important loss that won't be easily replaced. 

Arguably, Utd are nothing special either, but they are still a class above Southampton, especially with a couple of key saints injuries.  I was surprised to see them a bit above evens for this one.  I was expecting something like 1.8- 1.9, so to get 2.1 I have to chance Utd getting back to winning ways against a team weakened by injuries, and one that is likely to finish bottom 8 of the PL.

 

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West Ham vs Norwich

OK, so as I said earlier there's a lot of games this weekend in the Premier League that are tough to call a winner but one of the hardest ones has to be at the London Stadium at 3pm BST on Saturday afternoon when West Ham play Norwich. It's still difficult to ascertain how well these two teams will manage this season but I'm expecting us to know a lot more at the full-time whistle.

West Ham were one of my tips to have a good season. I rate Manuel Pellegrini as a manager and I thought their summer transfer business including bringing the likes of Pablo Fornals and Sebastien Haller was very productive. The 5-0 hammering at home to Manchester City was disappointing but not unexpected. The 1-1 draw away to Brighton could have gone better but any point in the top flight is one gained. Then the 3-1 away demolition against Watford showed the potential of what this Hammers side can achieve.

Norwich have also had more to smile about than frown about this season. The opening game 4-1 humbling away to Liverpool was harsh but probably anticipated even by their own fans. The 3-1 win at home to Newcastle was a superb display of attacking prowess from the man of the moment Teemu Pukki. Most recently, the 3-2 loss at home to Chelsea could have gone another way on another day. The fighting spirit by Daniel Farke's team was impressive.

It's hard to separate these two sides. West Ham arguably have the more talented squad on paper but Norwich's high intensity and work ethic compensates for that. There's not a lot of evidence at this early stage in the season to suggest either side will win. The Hammers are obvious favourites with the bookies but I still think they have their own demons and feel more pressure playing at home. So I'm going to back a draw with Pukki to score in what could be a thrilling game.

Draw @ 4.00 with Betfair

Anytime Scorer: Teemu Pukki @ 2.40 with Betfair

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Last week was one of my best in a while.  I had West Ham at +250 in a number of acca's and my biggest bet was the Liverpool/Arsenal over.  Only game that really cost me money was United losing, but that's going to happen.  Their expected goals were nearly 3 and the expected goals against was the second lowest for the weekend.  It happens.

I've only made one bet for the weekend and its a big one. Man United +110.  This is just nuts.  I've stated for weeks I have Southampton tipped for the drop.  United isn't great, no.  But they are miles better here.  They've played a very pleasing brand of soccer (yes I'm a yank) the past few weeks, and I just can't imagine how I'm getting +odds in this game.  And if for no other reason there is absolutely no way United can afford to drop any more points after this start.  I'll be back tomorrow night to post the rest of my thoughts, but this one is just a bad line in my eyes.

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Saints v Man United  .... Arsenal v Spurs

Really not sure what to expect from Man United this weekend. I think that Arsenal, Chelsea, Spurs and United will have a lot of weird weekends between them.

Arsenal are an unbalanced team. Very strong at the sharp end but so weak defensively. However, they are a good home side, and I expect them to beat Spurs in this game.

Chelsea have plenty of promise, probably the best of the 4 over the season. They have shape to their game, just need to tighten up defensively. Their structures and pssing is good, and they could get better quickly.

Spurs look like a team at the end of a cycle, that is on the verge of breaking down as it splits apart. 

United look half baked, and so lacking anything in the middle of the park. They were almost useless against Crystal Palace last weekend, and showed a complete inability to pass the ball quickly, and really stretch their opponent. I think teams that sit back and counter them on the break will do well this season, as it stops United from playing their own counter attack game. If Saints attack United down their left (United's right), it nullifies Bissaka and forces him to play as a right back, rather than a wing back. The United midfield is totally bare. Fred not getting a chance, Matic on the bench, Mata too small and slow, Pogba playing deeper, when he is their only midfield creative threat. It's not a good look.

Even as a United fan, I can't see them winning here, and would be going Southampton double chance.

I think this experiment with Solksjaer will fail badly. At the momnent there is not enough craft and guile in this Man United team. This season could go really pear shaped pretty quickly. I think Solksjaer will be done by January, and Potch will finally become manager.

Edited by neilovan
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Southampton vs Manchester United

Southampton

Doubtful: Ryan Bertrand (2/0 d)

Out (injuries/other): Moussa Djenepo (2/1 m), Michael Obafemi (1/0 f), Nathan Redmond (3/1 m)

Suspended: -

 

Manchester United

Doubtful: -

Out (injuries/other): Luke Shaw (3/0 d), Anthony Martial (3/2 f), Diogo Dalot (0/0 d), Eric Bertrand Bailly (0/0 d), Timothy Fosu-Mensah (0/0 d)

Suspended: -

 

 

Chelsea FC vs Sheffield Utd

Chelsea FC

Doubtful: -

Out (injuries/other): N'Golo Kante (2/0 m), Pedro Rodriguez (2/0 f), Antonio Rudiger (0/0 d), Marco van Ginkel (0/0 m), Reece James (0/0 d), Ruben Loftus-Cheek (0/0 m), Callum Hudson-Odoi (0/0 f)

Suspended: -

 

Sheffield Utd

Doubtful: John Fleck (2/0 m)

Out (injuries/other): Kean Bryan (0/0 d)

Suspended: -

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

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Southampton x Man United

Manchester United comes from defeat to Crystal Palace at home where we hit the bet here, the team has a lot of difficulty against closed teams and I don't see it being the case of Southampton in today's game, which is a team that despite defending well, It has a style very similar to that of United itself, of building faster moves and fewer passes.

The house is much more aware of the weakness of Manchester United and Chelsea that are giving ML line just away from home, and I think it's time to turn the key, the English teams do not have such a high field command, the fans they don't scream so much, and the crowds can make it, facing Southampton away is only worse because you're away from your fans, but otherwise it remains the same, I see United in a lot of conditions to win this game, despite finding a team too limited to do much this season, still has much better pieces than Saints, and has been playing much better than the table shows too, so I see value in Red Devils ML

Man United -0,5 @2.05 2 units

 

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Man City x Brighton

Manchester City are even better than the team that scored 100 points and what made 98 last season and were champions above Liverpool. The team continues to have the same dominance as ever, and are increasingly managing to create chances for clear goal goals, and Kevin De Bruyne's fit form, who is the team's best technical player giving many goal passes and giving a very high speed in midfield.

Sterling is a very solid player and a world football star, as is Bernardo Silva who has turned into a top player and probably a top 5 season in the world. I see this Manchester City increasingly able to win the Premier League and Champions, has depth and has an increasingly squad cast and have better plays like Rodri and Joao Cancelo who comes to add much as a side, and Phil Foden who is a potential replacement for Silva in the coming years.

This line of -2.5 is very wrong, Manchester City against Bournemouth away, had a -2.25 paying just over 1.8, against a Brighton that is a weaker team with much less offensive capacity, I do not see a scenario that not a thrashing for the Manchester team here, so -2.5 at City looks like a pretty quiet bet.

Man City -2.5 @1.86 Pinnacle 3 units

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Arsenal vs Tottenham

The first North London Derby of the season is coming up this weekend when Arsenal play Tottenham in a 4:30pm BST kick-off at the Emirates Stadium. There is a general feeling that the gap between these two clubs is beginning to close as Unai Emery continues to evolve this Gunners side but are they in a position to rival Spurs in the league just yet or is it too soon?

Arsenal look like they are making steps in the right direction as Emery progresses with his work on the post-Wenger era squad. It's hard to tell how the new signings are going to perform over the course of the season. Two wins in their opening two games hardly got the pundits talking about a potential title chase and the 3-1 loss at the hands of Liverpool in their last game left many feeling there is still a long way to go. It's early days though.

Tottenham are also suffering from their own struggles right now. 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their opening three league matches so far has seen Mauricio Pochettino come under fire for not approaching their games in the correct manner. It's already left Spurs 8 points off the title pace after Liverpool beat Burnley this evening. Is Pochettino's desire after last season's Champions League disappointment dying?

One of the stand-out statistics here is Tottenham's horrendous away form in the league. It's now 7 league matches on the road without a win. That is a run that includes them conceding two or more goals in 5 of those matches. It's a long way off the staunch defence Pochettino had created in previous seasons. This is a dodgy defence that will be up against an Arsenal attack that has scored at least 2 goals in 10 of their last 11 home league games. I think this could be the game where Arsenal get one over on their local rivals.

Arsenal to Win @ 2.40 with BetVictor

Anytime Scorer: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang @ 2.25 with Coral

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The first London derby is a fact this year and Arsenal are welcoming Tottenham to the Emirates. The two teams are coming off their first defeat in the league, with the Lakers losing 3-1 to Liverpool, while Tottenham lost unexpectedly to Newcastle 1-0. Both teams clearly want to compare these results to each other, but they all point to the point. It is preferable for both teams to score
ARSENAL FC vs TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR @@ Both team to score, odds 1.57

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