Announcements
*** New Last Man Standing Competition - Win up to £1500 Annually - See Competitions Forum ***
*** August Competition Winners: Well done to Bymatrix (NAPS), Daisychain (KO Cup), YSM (York Festival), Saddlesore (Doncaster Festival) & Like2Fish (Poker) ***
Sign in to follow this  
ProfessorMJ

Pick of the Day (by Professor MJ)

Recommended Posts

Nice upset win by the Marlins in Pittsburgh last night!

Miguel Rojas homered to tie the game up when Miami was down to its final out.

Then, Garrett Cooper delivered the game-winning homerun in extra innings. Good job!

RECORD:

Bets won = 8
Bets lost = 8
Profit = +$2.44 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Despite a .500 record, we have netted some winnings thanks to many underdogs hitting.

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time):

Nationals (at -120 or 1.833) vs Mets

This pick is based on "The Comeback" betting angle:

"Suppose Team A comes back from a deficit of 4+ runs against Team B. If they meet again the next day, bet Team A if their money line is greater than 1.5714 (-175 in American format)."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +38.13 units from 344 bets (ROI = 11.1%)
In 2019 (not good thus far, but small sample size): -5.41 units from 38 bets

Since Washington overcame a 6-run deficit in the 9th inning yesterday, we are betting them.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Too bad the Nationals lost yesterday, but we are still showing a profit thus far. Let's get back on our feet quickly!

RECORD:

  • Bets won = 8
  • Bets lost = 9
  • Profit = +$1.44 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9:30am Eastern Time):

Nationals (at -108 or 1.926) at Braves

The Nationals pick is based on 3 different betting systems.

As of August 28, 2019:

  • Picks based on just one betting system: +$23.69 over 531 bets (ROI = 4.5%)
  • Picks based on 2+ betting systems: +$18.64 over 110 bets (ROI = 16.9%)

In other words, the ROI more than triples when many betting angles are pointing in the same direction.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The last two picks of the day turned out to be losers; we are still hanging on to some slight winnings thus far!

RECORD:

Bets won = 8
Bets lost = 10
Profit = +$0.44 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9:30 AM Eastern Time):

Reds (at +106 or 2.06) vs D-Backs

This pick is based on "The Stingy Pitchers" betting angle:

"Suppose a team wins 2 straight games, while allowing just 0 or 1 run in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing on the road and their money line is 2.50 or less."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +26.54 units from 375 bets (ROI = 7.1%)
In 2019: -$4.63 units from 20 bets (small sample size!!)

Since Arizona's past two games both ended with a win while allowing just one run in each meeting (4-1 and 2-1 victories), we are betting against them.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Dammit, we are now in the red following a three-game losing skid!

RECORD:

Bets won = 8
Bets lost = 11
Profit = -$0.56 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time):

Tigers (at +264 or 3.64) at A's

This pick is based on "The Comeback" betting angle:

"Suppose Team A comes back from a deficit of 4+ runs against Team B. If they meet again the next day, bet Team A if their money line is greater than 1.5714 (-175 in American format)."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +38.13 units from 344 bets (ROI = 11.1%)

Since Detroit overcame a four-run deficit yesterday and their money line today is indeed much greater than 1.5714, we are betting them. It's a long shot, but let's see how it plays out!

Have a good Saturday!

Professor MJ
 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

RECORD:

Bets won = 8
Bets lost = 12
Profit = -$1.56 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time):

Mets (at -221 or 1.452) vs Diamondbacks

This pick is based on "The Snapped Winning Streak" betting angle:

"Fade a road team whose winning streak of length 5+ was just snapped in their previous game (so you bet the HOME team)."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +22.06 units from 281 bets (ROI = 7.9%)
In 2019: -2.21 units from 27 bets

Since Arizona's five-game winning streak was just snapped yesterday, we are fading them today.

Good Monday all!

Professor MJ
 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

RECORD:

Bets won = 9
Bets lost = 12
Profit = -$1.11 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):

Rockies (at +131 or 2.31) vs Cards

This pick is based on "The Stingy Pitchers" betting angle:

"Suppose a team wins 2 straight games, while allowing just 0 or 1 run in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing on the road and their money line is 2.50 or less."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +26.54 units from 375 bets (ROI = 7.1%)
In 2019: -4.63 units from 20 bets

Since St. Louis has won its previous two meetings by 2-0 and 10-1 scores, we are betting against them.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Good job Rockies for a nice 2-1 upset win against the Cards yesterday, thanks to a 482-foot two-run homer by Nolan Arenado! We're now back in the black!

RECORD:

Bets won = 10
Bets lost = 12
Profit = +0.20 $ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time):

Reds (at -143 or 1.70) at Mariners

This pick is based on "The Snapped Losing Streak" betting angle #2:

"Fade a team whose losing streak of length 4+ was just snapped in their previous game. Bet only if they are at home, facing the same opponent and their money line is greater than 1.50."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +27.36 units from 388 bets (ROI = 7.1%)
In 2019: +9.79 units from 27 bets (ROI = 36.3%)

Since Seattle just snapped their 6-game losing skid yesterday against those same Reds and they are playing at home, we are betting Cincy.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Tough loss last night as the Mariners came back in the seventh, thanks to a 3-run Home run by Kyle Lewis.

 

RECORD:

Bets won = 10
Bets lost = 13
Profit = -0,80$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time):

Rangers (at +143 or 2.43) vs Rays

This pick is based on "The Snapped Winning Streak" betting angle:

"Fade a road team whose winning streak of length 5+ was just snapped in their previous game (so you bet the HOME team)."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +22.06 units from 281 bets (ROI = 7.9%)
In 2019: -2.21 units from 27 bets

Since Tampa Bay got its 6-game winning streak snapped last night, we are betting against them today.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

Edited by ProfessorMJ

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It's Friday the 13th!!! Hopefully it won't bring us some bad luck.

RECORD:

Bets won = 11
Bets lost = 13
Profit = +0.63$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day is the strongest play by far since I've got 3 different betting angles pointing in their direction (odds from Pinnacle):

Dodgers (at -125 or 1.80) at Mets

This pick is based on "The Blowout Effect" (system #2):

"Suppose Team A beats Team B by 7+ runs. If Team A's next game is against Team C, bet Team C."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +20.39 units from 590 bets (ROI = 3.5%)
In 2019: -0.10 units from 61 bets (ROI = 1.8%)

Since the Mets crushed the D-Backs by a 10-run margin yesterday, we are betting against them today.

It is also based on the "Hot Teams Matchup" and "The Hot Bats" systems.

Enjoy your day!

Professor MJ

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

We have won 4 of our past 5 picks of the day, let's keep it up!

RECORD:

Bets won = 12
Bets lost = 13
Profit = +1.43$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):

Giants (at -215 or 1.465) vs Marlins

This pick is based on "The Scoring Drought" betting angle:

"Suppose a team loses 2 straight games, while scoring 0-1-2 run(s) in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing on the road and their money line is greater than 2.50 (so you bet a home favorite)."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +26.99 units from 332 bets (ROI = 8.1%)
In 2019: +2.72 units from 33 bets (ROI = 8.2%)

Since Miami has lost its past two games by scoring just 0 and 2 runs respectively, and they are fairly big road underdogs, we are betting against them.

Have a good Saturday!

Professor MJ

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

RECORD:

Bets won = 12
Bets lost = 14
Profit = +0.43$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):

Padres (at +100 or 2.00) at Rockies

This play meets the criteria of 2 betting angles at a time. Under such circumstances, our ROI (Return On Investment) tripled in 2019 compared to the case where a pick met the criteria of a single betting strategy.

One of these two systems is called "The Pummeled Pitchers" betting angle:

"Bet the road team if it has lost... a) its past 2 games by allowing 9+ runs in each meeting; b) its past 3 games by allowing 7+ runs in each meeting (unless their money line is greater than 3.0); c) its past 4 games by allowing 6+ runs in each meeting."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +37.58 units from 253 bets (ROI = 14.9%)

Since San Diego is on the road and has lost its past two games by allowing 11 and 10 runs respectively, we are betting them this afternoon.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

Edited by ProfessorMJ

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

RECORD:

Bets won = 12
Bets lost = 15
Profit = -0.57$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):

Reds (at ) at Cubs (+250 or 2.50)

This play meets the criteria of 3 betting systems at a time, including the most lucrative in 2019 called "The Hot Bats":

"Suppose a team wins 2 straight games, while scoring 6+ runs in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing at home."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +47.56 units from 1140 bets (ROI = 4.2%)
In 2019: +33.64 units from 147 bets (ROI = 22.9%)

Since Chicago's last two games were both wins by scoring 16 and 14 runs respectively, we are fading them today.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

Edited by ProfessorMJ

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

RECORD:

Bets won = 12
Bets lost = 16
Profit = -1.57$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

I'm gonna do something special today by providing 2 picks instead of just one. They both meet the criteria of 3 betting systems at a time!!! This has proven to triple the ROI in 2019.

Reds (at +141 or 2.41) at Cubs
Mets (at -143 or 1.699) at Rockies

One of the betting angles recommending these picks is called "The Cold Team versus Hot Team Matchup":

"Bet a road team coming off a loss when facing a home team coming off 4+ straight wins."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +66.51 units from 993 bets (ROI = 6.7%)
In 2019: +14.24 units from 121 bets (ROI = 11.8%)

Since Cincinnati has lost its last game while the Cubs are riding a 5-game winning streak, we are betting the Reds.

Also, considering the Mets have lost their past two games while the Rockies are on a 4-game winning streak, we are betting New York.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

Edited by ProfessorMJ

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

For the very first time I provided 2 picks of the day because I felt both were very strong plays. And both won! Good job Reds & Mets!!

RECORD:

Bets won = 14
Bets lost = 16
Profit = +0.54$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time):

Padres (at +135 or 2.35) at Brewers

This play is based on the same betting angle as yesterday: "The Cold Team versus Hot Team Matchup" betting angle:

Since San Diego is undergoing a 6-game losing streak while Milwaukee is riding a 4-game winning streak, we are going against the grain by betting the "cold" team: the Padres!

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

Edited by ProfessorMJ

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The last 3 picks have been winners, hopefully the good run continues today!

RECORD:

Bets won = 15
Bets lost = 16
Profit = +1.89$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):

Twins (at -250 or 1.40) vs Royals

This play meets the criteria of 2 betting systems, including "The Scoring Drought" betting angle:

"Suppose a team loses 2 straight games, while scoring 0-1-2 run(s) in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing on the road and their money line is greater than 2.50 (so you bet a home favorite)."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +26.99 units from 332 bets (ROI = 8.1%)

Since Kansas City has lots its past two games by scoring 0 and 1 run respectively (and they are indeed on the road with large odds), we are fading them.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Now 4 straight bets won, and also 8 of the past 12. Let's finish the season strong!

RECORD:

Bets won = 16
Bets lost = 16
Profit = +$2.29 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):

Phillies (at +170 or 2.70) at Indians

This pick is based on 2 betting systems, one of them being "The Blowout Effect" betting angle #2:

"Suppose Team A beats Team B by 7+ runs. If Team A's next game is against Team C, bet Team C."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +20.39 units from 590 bets (ROI = 3.5%)
In 2019: +1.35 units from 65 bets (ROI = 2.1%)

Since Cleveland won its last game by a 7-run margin and they are facing a new opponent today, we are fading them.

Have a good Friday!

Professor MJ

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this