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Pick of the Day (by Professor MJ)


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Hello folks!

I have developed 19 MLB betting systems that have proven to work well over a 7-year span.

Thus far in 2019: +34.23 units from 599 bets (ROI = 5.7%).

I'm going to present one of them every day and keep track of the record.

Today's pick of the day:

Orioles (at -129 or 1.775) vs Royals

This pick is based on "The Cold Teams Matchup" betting angle:

"Bet a home team coming off at least 4 straight losses when facing a road team coming off 1-2-3 losses in a row."

This strategy yielded +24.04 units from 162 games over 7 years (ROI = 14.8%).

Thus far in 2019: +5.16 units from 18 bets (ROI = 28.6%).

Since Baltimore has lost its past 7 games, while KC is undergoing a 2-game losing streak, we are backing the Orioles.

Good luck!

Professor MJ

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Baltimore almost staged a 9th inning comeback last night, but fell just short. That's okay, let's rebound today!

Bets won = 0
Bets lost = 1
Profit = -1.00$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day:

Nationals (at -146 or 1.685) at Pirates

This pick is based on "The Blowout Effect" betting angle:

"Suppose Team A beats Team B by 8+ runs, and they meet again the next day. Bet Team A."

This strategy yielded +49.17 units from 930 games over a 7-year span (ROI = 5.3%).

Thus far in 2019: +11.82 units from 99 bets (ROI = 11.9%).

Since Washigton beat Pittsburgh by 13 runs yesterday, we are taking Washington.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

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After scoring 13 runs the day before, the Nationals were held to just one last night! So unfortunately, we lost our bet.

RECORD:

Bets won = 0
Bets lost = 2
Profit = -$2.00 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day:

Indians (at +133 or 2.33) at Mets

This pick is based on "The Hot Bats" betting angle #1 (which has been the most lucrative in 2019 BY FAR!!!)

"Suppose a team wins 2 straight games, while scoring 6+ runs in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing at home."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +47.56 units from 1140 bets (ROI = 4.2%)
In 2019: +32.87 units from 129 bets (ROI = 25.5%)

Since the Mets have won their past two games 9-2 and 11-5, we are going to bet against them.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

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Astonishing facts I read on ESPN.com:

Over the past 15 years, there have been 19 teams whose closing lines were +345 or more. Guess what their record was?

Theoretically, you would expect them to win about 20% of those games, so perhaps a 4-15 record.

These huge underdogs went on to go 10-9!! They have been huge moneymakers, including the Tigers at +435 last night.

By the way, Detroit's money line tonight is at +428 with Pinnacle. I'm not suggesting you should bet them, but if you were considering betting your house on the Astros, perhaps you should hold off...

RECORD:

Bets won = 0
Bets lost = 3
Profit = -$3.00 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day:

Indians (at +125 or 2.25) at Mets (yes, I'm picking them for the second consecutive day!)

This pick is based on "The Cold Team versus Hot Team Matchup" betting angle:

"Bet a road team coming off a loss when facing a home team coming off 4+ straight wins."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +66.51 units from 993 bets (ROI = 6.7%)
In 2019: +6.20 units from 99 bets (ROI = 6.3%)

Since the Indians have lost their past two games while the Mets are riding a 4-game winning streak, we are betting Cleveland!

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

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I'm officially on tilt.

From using my 19 betting strategies, we have experienced winnings in April, May, June and July.

Now that I decided to run this series of "Free Pick of the Day" in August, that's when the losing got started.

We are down roughly 10 units in August. Since the start of 2019, we are still up by 30 units, but this losing skid is pissing me off.

RECORD:

Bets won = 0
Bets lost = 4
Profit = -$4.00 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day:

Indians (at -180 or 1.556) vs Royals

This pick is based on "The Scoring Drought" betting angle:

"Suppose a team loses 2 straight games, while scoring 0-1-2 run(s) in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing on the road and their money line is greater than 2.50 (so you bet a home favorite)."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +26.99 units from 332 bets (ROI = 8.1%)
In 2019: +2.88 units from 30 bets (ROI = 9.6%)

Since the Royals have lost their past two games by scoring just one run in each meeting (8-1 and 4-1) and they are indeed on the road with a money line above 2.50, we are betting the Indians.

Have a good weekend!

Professor MJ

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8 hours ago, notanotherdonkey said:

Thank you for the convincing winner, not a sport I take much notice of really but always interested in new investments.

Thanks buddy, I'm hoping to do better in the future on this forum! Let's get the ball rolling and get on a winning streak!

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Finally the first bet won on this forum. Let's keep it up!

RECORD:

Bets won = 1
Bets lost = 4
Profit = -$3.44 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day:

Yankees (at +129 or 2.29) at Dodgers

This pick is based on "The Blowout Effect" betting angle #1:

"Suppose Team A beats Team B by 8+ runs, and they meet again the next day. Bet Team A."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +49.17 units from 930 bets (ROI = 5.3%)
In 2019: +10.56 units from 103 bets (ROI = 10.3%)

Since the Yankees beat those same Dodgers 10-2 last night, we are betting New York.

Have a good weekend!

Professor MJ

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RECORD:
Bets won = 1
Bets lost = 5
Profit = -$4.44 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day:

Pirates (at +122 or 2.22) vs Reds

This pick is based on "The Blowout Effect" betting angle #1:

"Suppose Team A beats Team B by 8+ runs, and they meet again the next day. Bet Team A."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +49.17 units from 930 bets (ROI = 5.3%)
In 2019: +11.82 units from 99 bets (ROI = 11.9%)

Since Pittsburgh beat Cincy 14-0 last night, we are betting the Pirates today.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

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Good job Pirates for pulling off the upset win yesterday!

RECORD:

Bets won = 2
Bets lost = 5
Profit = -$3.22 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day:

Reds (at -156 or 1.641) at Marlins

This pick is based on "The Pummeled Pitchers" betting angle:

"Bet the road team if it has lost... a) its past 2 games by allowing 9+ runs in each meeting; b) its past 3 games by allowing 7+ runs in each meeting (unless their money line is greater than 3.0); c) its past 4 games by allowing 6+ runs in each meeting."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +37.58 units from 253 bets (ROI = 14.9%)
In 2019: -5.83 units from 40 bets

Since the Reds have allowed 9+ runs in each of their past two meetings (9-8 and 14-0 losses), we are betting them tonight.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

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Great! We have now won our past 2 bets, and today we are going to swing for the fences with a big underdog!

RECORD:

Bets won = 3
Bets lost = 5
Profit = -$2.58 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day:

Orioles (at +288 or 3.88) at Nationals

We have 3 betting systems indicating to bet Baltimore (one of them being the most lucrative in 2019 BY FAR)!

Let's review quickly two of them.

"The Hot Teams Matchup" betting angle #1:

"Bet a road team coming off a win when facing a home team coming off 4+ straight wins."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +10.57 units from 163 bets (ROI = 6.5%)
In 2019: +0.67 units from 17 bets

"The Hot Bats" betting angle #1:

"Suppose a team wins 2 straight games, while scoring 6+ runs in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing at home."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +47.56 units from 1140 bets (ROI = 4.2%)
In 2019: +32.72 units from 132 bets

Since Baltimore is riding a 2-game winning streak while the Nationals are on a 5-game winning streak, we are betting the Orioles.

Also, the Nationals have indeed won their past two games by scoring 6+ runs in each (7-5 and 7-2) so we must fade them.

Have a great day savvy sports investors!

Professor MJ

Edited by ProfessorMJ
typo
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KABOOM!!!!!!!!

The Orioles pulled off a huge upset win in Washington last night.

After starting this series of daily picks 0-4, we have gone 4-1 since then. The best part: we are now in profit territory, thanks to yesterday's juicy return.

RECORD:

  • Bets won = 4
  • Bets lost = 5
  • Profit = +$0.30 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day:

Indians (at -172 or 1.581) at Tigers

This pick is based on "The Blowout Effect" betting angle #1:

"Suppose Team A beats Team B by 8+ runs, and they meet again the next day. Bet Team A."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +49.17 units from 930 bets (ROI = 5.3%)
In 2019: +11.82 units from 99 bets (ROI = 11.9%)

Since Cleveland beat those same Tigers 10-1 last night, we are betting the Indians today.

WARNING: you might believe that you should bet the Astros tonight, since they CRUSHED the Rays 15-1 yesterday. However, I've got a record-high 4 betting systems recommending to bet Tampa Bay. Since we have conflicting information I am going to stay away from that game. But if I was forced to bet it, I'd go with the Rays as fairly big underdogs.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

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The good streak continued last night with another winner!

RECORD:

Bets won = 5
Bets lost = 5
Profit = +$0.88 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day:

Rays (at +209 or 3.09) at Astros

PAY ATTENTION!! Today's play meets the criteria of a record-setting FOUR betting systems at a time (out of my 19 different betting strategies). That's the highest number I've ever seen.

Let me tell you about just one of those four betting angles:

"The Cold Team versus Hot Team Matchup": Bet a road team coming off a loss when facing a home team coming off 4+ straight wins.

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +66.51 units from 993 bets (ROI = 6.7%)
In 2019: +7.07 units from 103 bets (ROI = 6.9%)

Since Tampa Bay is coming off 4 straight losses while Houston is riding a 6-game winning streak, we are betting the Rays tonight.

Cheers!

Professor MJ

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Oh. My. God!

We have won our past 5 bets, including two HUGE underdogs (yesterday's Rays at +209 and the Orioles at +288 three days ago).

I guess it's fair to say we are ON FIRE!!!

RECORD:

  • Bets won = 6
  • Bets lost = 5
  • Profit = +$2.97 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 11am Eastern Time):

Mariners (at +101 or 2.01) at Rangers

This pick is based on "The Big Upset" betting angle #1:

"Suppose Team A upsets Team B with odds greater than 2.50. If they meet again the next day, bet Team A if its money line is 2.25 or less."

PERFORMANCE:

  • Over 7 years: +37.79 units from 261 bets (ROI = 14.5%)
  • In 2019: +2.42 units from 35 bets (ROI = 6.9%)

Since Seattle upset those same Rangers last night despite 2.69 odds and because today's odds are indeed lower than 2.25, we are betting the Mariners.

Have a great Labor Day weekend!

Professor MJ

Edited by ProfessorMJ
typo
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All good things must come to an end, as our 5-game winning streak was halted yesterday.

RECORD:

Bets won = 6
Bets lost = 6
Profit = +$1.97 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time):

White Sox (at +183 or 2.83) at Braves

This pick is based on "The Hot Bats" betting angle #1:

"Suppose a team wins 2 straight games, while scoring 6+ runs in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing at home."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +47.56 units from 1140 bets (ROI = 4.2%)
In 2019: +34.82 units from 136 bets (ROI = 25.6%)

Since the Braves has won their past two games by scoring 10 and 9 runs respectively, we are betting the White Sox.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

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After riding a 5-game winning streak, we have lost our past 2. Let's get back on the winning track!

RECORD:

Bets won = 6
Bets lost = 7
Profit = +$0.97 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time):

White Sox (at +132 or 2.32) at Braves

This pick is based on "The Pummeled Pitchers" betting angle:

"Bet the road team if it has lost... a) its past 2 games by allowing 9+ runs in each meeting; b) its past 3 games by allowing 7+ runs in each meeting (unless their money line is greater than 3.0); c) its past 4 games by allowing 6+ runs in each meeting."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +37.58 units from 253 bets (ROI = 14.9%)
In 2019: -4.26 units from 42 bets

Since the White Sox have lost their past 2 games while allowing 11 and 10 runs respectively in those meetings, we are betting them to rebound in Atlanta. They also meet the criteria for betting based on their past 3 or 4 games.

NOTE: The White Sox also satisfy the betting angle called "The Hot Bats", which has been the most lucrative in 2019. The system plays have done even better when more than one system suggested betting a specific team (a ROI of 10%+ so far).

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

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We gotta stop this 3-game losing streak NOW!

RECORD:

Bets won = 6
Bets lost = 8
Profit = -$0.03 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time):

Mets (at -108 or 1.926) at Nationals

This pick is based on "The Hot Teams Matchup" betting angle #1:

"Bet a road team coming off a win when facing a home team coming off 4+ straight wins."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +10.57 units from 163 bets (ROI = 6.5%)
In 2019: +34.82 units from 136 bets (ROI = 25.6%)

Since Washington won its past two meetings by 9-3 and 7-0 scores, we are betting against them.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

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Nice hit with the Mets last night. Let's keep rolling!

RECORD:

Bets won = 7
Bets lost = 8
Profit = +$0.90 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time):

Marlins (at +154 or 2.54) at Pirates

This is definitely the most promising pick for today because it meets the criteria of 4 different betting systems.

One of them is "The Cold Team versus Hot Team Matchup" betting angle.

"Bet a road team coming off a loss when facing a home team coming off 4+ straight wins."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +66.51 units from 993 bets (ROI = 6.7%)
In 2019: +7.07 units from 103 bets (ROI = 6.9%)

Since Miami is undergoing a 3-game losing streak while Pittsburgh is riding a 4-game winning streak, we are betting the Marlins (according to the strategy described above).

Have a great day!

Professor MJ

Edited by ProfessorMJ
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4 hours ago, notanotherdonkey said:

Well done,Keep up the good work as you will always get losing runs but as long as more winning runs the better.Keep the faith.Good Luck.

Thanks buddy, you are right, losing streaks are inevitable! Good bettors learn to go through them and keep grinding, until the winning streaks are back!

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Nice upset win by the Marlins in Pittsburgh last night!

Miguel Rojas homered to tie the game up when Miami was down to its final out.

Then, Garrett Cooper delivered the game-winning homerun in extra innings. Good job!

RECORD:

Bets won = 8
Bets lost = 8
Profit = +$2.44 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Despite a .500 record, we have netted some winnings thanks to many underdogs hitting.

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time):

Nationals (at -120 or 1.833) vs Mets

This pick is based on "The Comeback" betting angle:

"Suppose Team A comes back from a deficit of 4+ runs against Team B. If they meet again the next day, bet Team A if their money line is greater than 1.5714 (-175 in American format)."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +38.13 units from 344 bets (ROI = 11.1%)
In 2019 (not good thus far, but small sample size): -5.41 units from 38 bets

Since Washington overcame a 6-run deficit in the 9th inning yesterday, we are betting them.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

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Too bad the Nationals lost yesterday, but we are still showing a profit thus far. Let's get back on our feet quickly!

RECORD:

  • Bets won = 8
  • Bets lost = 9
  • Profit = +$1.44 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9:30am Eastern Time):

Nationals (at -108 or 1.926) at Braves

The Nationals pick is based on 3 different betting systems.

As of August 28, 2019:

  • Picks based on just one betting system: +$23.69 over 531 bets (ROI = 4.5%)
  • Picks based on 2+ betting systems: +$18.64 over 110 bets (ROI = 16.9%)

In other words, the ROI more than triples when many betting angles are pointing in the same direction.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

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The last two picks of the day turned out to be losers; we are still hanging on to some slight winnings thus far!

RECORD:

Bets won = 8
Bets lost = 10
Profit = +$0.44 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9:30 AM Eastern Time):

Reds (at +106 or 2.06) vs D-Backs

This pick is based on "The Stingy Pitchers" betting angle:

"Suppose a team wins 2 straight games, while allowing just 0 or 1 run in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing on the road and their money line is 2.50 or less."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +26.54 units from 375 bets (ROI = 7.1%)
In 2019: -$4.63 units from 20 bets (small sample size!!)

Since Arizona's past two games both ended with a win while allowing just one run in each meeting (4-1 and 2-1 victories), we are betting against them.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

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Dammit, we are now in the red following a three-game losing skid!

RECORD:

Bets won = 8
Bets lost = 11
Profit = -$0.56 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time):

Tigers (at +264 or 3.64) at A's

This pick is based on "The Comeback" betting angle:

"Suppose Team A comes back from a deficit of 4+ runs against Team B. If they meet again the next day, bet Team A if their money line is greater than 1.5714 (-175 in American format)."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +38.13 units from 344 bets (ROI = 11.1%)

Since Detroit overcame a four-run deficit yesterday and their money line today is indeed much greater than 1.5714, we are betting them. It's a long shot, but let's see how it plays out!

Have a good Saturday!

Professor MJ
 

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