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2019 Shergar Cup - Ascot Saturday - Tips & Trends


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Shergar Cup - Ascot Saturday
 

Shergar Cup Teams

Each team has three riders, stellar international names. Every jockey is guaranteed five rides for their team. The teams are divided into: Europe, Great Britain & Ireland, The Girls & Rest of the World.

Tadhg O’Shea, Filip Minarik, Yuga Kawada and Hayley Turner have been confirmed as team captains for the 2019 Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup. 

Girls :Hayley Turner, the most successful female jockey in Britain ever, is back, and will be joined by Jamie Kah, who recently set a new record for the most wins by a female rider in an Australian season, and Women Jockeys' World Cup winner, Nanako Fujita.  

The Great Britain & Ireland team is made up of seven-time Champion Jockey in the UAE, Tadhg O'Shea, Danny Tudhope, who had a tremendous Royal Ascot 2019 and is current leader of the Stobart Champion Flat Jockey's Championship and multiple Group One winnning jockey Jamie Spencer. 

The Rest of the World team is captained by Japanese jockey Yuga Kawada - with over 1,200 winners to his name, he is one of only eight riders in JRA history to win all five Classic races in Japan. His fellow team-mate, Vincent Chak-Yiu Ho, was Hong Kong Champion Apprentice and finished fourth in last season's Jockey standings. Australian Mark Zahra also joins the team. 

Four-time Champion Jockey in Germany, Filip Minarik leads the European team and is joined by globe-trotting French jockey Gerald Mosse and twelve-time Dutch Champion Jockey, Adrie de Vries. 

Previous Winners

Screen Shot 2019-08-07 at 10.09.52.png

 

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Screen Shot 2019-08-09 at 09.45.56.png

 

 

 

 

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The Races - Previous Winners

 

1.05: DUBAI DUTY FREE SHERGAR CUP DASH (HANDICAP) (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 

Screen Shot 2019-08-07 at 10.13.52.png

 

Trends
11/11 Ran within a month
We lose Final Venture, Foolaad, Lancelot Du Lac, Tropics
10/11 Aged 4 or 5
We lose Danzeno, Caspian Prince, Encore D'Or
9/11 Ran 4 times + that season
None

8/11 Drawn 7 or higher
We lose Recon Mission, Stone Of Destiny, Street Parade

8/11 Rated below 100
7/11 Carried 9-6 or more
6/11 Won at the trip before
5/11 Placed last time out

 

 

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1.40 DUBAI DUTY FREE SHERGAR CUP STAYERS (HANDICAP) 0-100

Screen Shot 2019-08-07 at 10.14.57.png

Trends 
10/10 Ran within 50 days
We lose Alfredo
9/10 Aged 5 or less
We lose Lorelina, Eddystone Rock
9/10 Rated 94 or less
We lose Aircraft Carrier, What A Welcome
9/10 carried 9-3 or more
We lose Al Kout, Diocletian
6/10 Drawn top half
We lose Grandee, Blue Laureate
10/18 First 4 last time
We lose Time To Study, The Glasgowwarrior
12/18 Ran at least 4 times
14/18 ran over trip previously (8 won)


 

 

 

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2.15 DUBAI DUTY FREE SHERGAR CUP CHALLENGE (HANDICAP) (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-95) 

Screen Shot 2019-08-07 at 10.15.45.png

 

Trends  

10/10 Ran within 53 days
None
9/10 Aged 6 or less
We lose Restorer
7/10 Rated 91 or less
None
6/10 Drawn 6 or less
We lose Indianapolis, Koeman, Badenscoth, Mandarin, Hyanna, Temple Church
8/17 placed last time (9 were not)
We lose Genetics, Breath Caught
16/17 ran at least twice this season
None
17/17 had ran over 1m4f previously (11 won)
Melting Dew, Big Kitten (not won at trip)

 

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2.50:  DUBAI DUTY FREE SHERGAR CUP MILE (HANDICAP) (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-100) 

Screen Shot 2019-08-07 at 10.16.40.png

Trends

10/10 Ran within 35 days
We lose Zwayaan, Power of Darkness
9/10 Aged 5 or under
We lose Breden, Waarif, Zhui Feng, Nicholas T, War Glory
10/17 drawn top half
We lose Another Batt, Via Serendipity
6/10 Carried 9-5 or more
We lose Enigmatic
13/17 ran at least 3 times this season
None
14/17 Won at the trip
 


 

 

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3.25: DUBAI DUTY FREE SHERGAR CUP CLASSIC (HANDICAP) (Class 3) (3yo 0-95) 

Screen Shot 2019-08-07 at 10.17.11.png

Trends

10/10 Ran within 30 days
None
10/10 ran at least 3 times this season
None
9/10 Ran over 1m4f previously (3 won)
Aspire Tower not won
7/10 drawn top half
None
7/10 rated less than 90
We lose Boeran, Vivid Diamond
7/10 placed last time (only 1 won)
We lose Asian Angel, Yellow Tiger, Amber Spark, Gray D'Ars
6/10 Carried 9-5 or more
We lose Zuba. Sophosc, Rowland Ward

 

 

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4.00: DUBAI DUTY FREE SHERGAR CUP SPRINT (HANDICAP) (Class 2) (3yo 0-100) 

Screen Shot 2019-08-07 at 10.17.18.png

 

Trends

9/10 Ran within 35 days
We lose Junius Brutus, Victory Day, Hero Hero
9/10 carried 9-6 or more
We lose Buckingham
7/10 rated 94 or higher
We lose Yousini, Woven
9/14 had ran at least 3 times this season
None
7/10 Drawn lower than 8
None
12/14 Won at 6f
We lose The Cruising Lord, Barbill, Jacks Point
14/14 Ran over trip previously
None

 

 

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Based on Trends only these are my selections:

105 Dash : Corinthia Knight 6/1 bet365 (Green Power is a res)
140 Stayers : Billy Ray 7/2 bet365
215 Challenge: Reshoun EW 10/1 Hills
250 Mile: Original Choice EW 12/1 bet365 (Nicklaus as a res)
325 Classic: Never Do Nothing 9/2 & Sepa Inca 11/2 bet365
400 Sprint: Pass The Vino 5/1 bet365 & Kinks 7/1 bet365

 

:ok

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Classy racing ....lets go for it and attempt a big win again 

Dash ...

Corinthia knight has come out top on both ratings so an ew bet seems fab value at 13/2 with betfred 10pts ew 

Cup mile 

Original choice has come out top on both ratings ...looks a huge price at 12/1 which is a little worrying but hey ..dont look a gift horse 10pts ew 12/1 b365 

And a 10pt ew double  

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Rating Selections

Top Jockey : M Zahra EW 9/1

1.05 Ascot Final Venture 7/1
1.40 Ascot Eddystone Rock (IRE) 9/1
2.15 Ascot Indianapolis (IRE) 13/2
2.50 Ascot Breden (IRE) 12/1 EW
3.25 Ascot Boerhan 8/1 EW
4.00 Ascot Barbill (IRE)

16/1 EW

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