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The Ashes 2019

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The summer of cricket continues on Thursday as we get The Ashes underway. After winning the World Cup, England looked dreadful against Ireland but then I think that was expected as the team was alot different and to be fair it just didn't matter. I think the intensity changes here and they will "switch back on"

England showed weakness in their top order and if they cannot bat freely against the likes of Murtagh then you wonder how they will do against somebody like Starc who bowls "alittle bit faster" shall we say.

The truth of the matter though with these ashes series is that it's "most of the time" won on the home soil. Infact 8 of the last 9 were won by the home team. Australia struggle with the moving ball and if you get past their first 3 they look weak. You would have to say England have a stronger line-up after the top order.

I think England will win this series. I can't see any draws atall unless it p*sses it down all day for a couple of days. This will very much be a bowlers series. Is that because of how good the bowlers are or how poor the batsman are? hmm...

I'll take England for the win and also a sneaky bet on the outcome score. As I say, I don't see a draw here so for me, it's either 4-1 England or 3-2 England. I'm also going to take a batsman for England that is NOT top order and is NOT Root (with this recent form) I think everything points to Stokes. After his fantastic performance in the final and top scoring there (also tipped) I'm sticking with him being our man of the tournament.

5.5pts England to win The Ashes 10/11 bet365
2pts B.Stokes top England batsman 15/2 betway
1pt England to win 3-2 7/1 betfair
1pt England to win 4-1 9/1 coral
1pt B.Stokes (Player of the series) 10/1 unibet
0.5pts M.Wade top Australia batsman 33/1 ladbrokes

 

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I agree that it's unlikely there'll be any draws unles the weather intervenes (which is quite likely it will)

But I'm wondering if waiting might be a good idea if you want to back England 

If England bat first they're likely to be 58-4 at lunch and the odds on England will have rocketed

If the Aussies bat first bet they'll be 80-1 at lunch and the odds on England will have rocketed

In other words it looks like Australia are always going to be ahead after the first session so if you want to back England wait until lunch

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Trotter, every chance of that I suppose but then it could go the other way and Australia are just as likely to be 58-4 at lunch. Also, I would expect England to win at Edgebaston.

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The 2nd test gets underway tomorrow but the weather report does it no favours atall. So much so that now most places are offering the draw at odds-on. I do think that there is abit of value on England. I think they'll perform alot better in this next test. It's a huge match, as a loss pretty much finishes any chance of getting the Ashes. We'd need 3 in a row and I'm not sure we have that kind of consistency. 

But the bet I like more is Woakes top England bowler. Woakes was one of a couple of players to come out of the 1st test with any kind of positivity. Playing on his home ground, you'd of have certainly had him as a man of the match (for England atleast). I think he will bring that form to Lords. I also think he could have another MOTM performance in him and so I'll take that too, at small stakes ofcourse.

2pts C.Woakes top england bowler 11/4 boylesports
1pt C.Woakes MOTM 14/1 ladbrokes

 

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The 3rd test gets underway tomorrow and England must feel this is the best chance for a win and to square the innings up with 2 to play. No Smith really helps England as he has had strong showings throughout.

I fancy England here but the price has gone from Evens to 4/6 after the news of Smith not playing came out.

I'll instead look at top batsman for Australia, as there is abit of value now that Smith isn't there. I like the look of Labaschagne and Head but I must take one because I want a little outsider on Wade too. Head has the better batting record and I think Archer can do some damage tomorrow so I'l stick to Head and Wade.

I'm also having a punt on Archer as Man Of The Match. We all know the damage he can do and with the pressure building without Smith, who knows what kind of score we could be looking at on Day 1, Lunch.

2pts T.Head top Australia Batsman 11/2 betfred
1pt J.Archer MOTM 9/1 bet365

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