Announcements
*** New Last Man Standing Competition - Win up to £1500 Annually - See Competitions Forum ***
*** July Competition Winners: Well done to Pete1971 (NAPS), Barnsley Chop (KO Cup), bluemal (Goodwood) & Rivrd (Poker) ***
Sign in to follow this  
BillyHills

2019 July Festival Handicaps - Tips & Trends

Recommended Posts

Newmarket starts on Thursday for 3 tremendous days of racing

On Day 1 we have a tricky handicap over 6f and on Saturday we have the Bunbury Cup over 7f.
 

15:00 Newmarket Thursday

Bet365 Handicap (Class 2 | 3YO only)

Previous Winners
Screen Shot 2019-07-08 at 13.07.50.png

Trends
10/10 Ran within 4 weeks
9/10 rated 96 or below
9/10 carried 9st 2lbs or less
7/10 drawn double figures
14/22 finsihed in first 6 last time (9 in first 3)
15/22 Had won at the trip
22/22 Had run over 6f+
 

 

15:30 Newmarket Saturday

Bet365 Bunbury Cup (heritage Handicap | Class 2 | 3YO plus)

Previous Winners

Screen Shot 2019-07-08 at 13.07.57.png

Trends
10/10 4,5 or 6yo's
9/10 Ran within 4 weeks
8/10 Rated 98 or more
7/10 Carried less than 9st 7lbs
7/10 Drawn double figures
18/22 finished outside the first 2 lto
20/22 had won at 7f previously
 

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Bet365 Handicap 6f

Trends
10/10 Ran within 4 weeks
We lose Top Breeze, Almufti, Pass The Vino


9/10 rated 96 or below
We lose Blown By Wind, Street Parade, Barbill, Dazzling Dan


7/10 drawn double figures
We lose Jacks Point, Magical Wish, Aplomb, Princess Power, Moss Gill, Benny And The Jets, Phillipine Cobra


14/22 finished in first 6 last time (9 in first 3)
We lose Rathbone


15/22 Had won at the trip
We lose Woven, Gabrial The Wire, KInks, Alfie Solomons


Selection:
1pt EW Look Out Louis 25/1 BetVic (5 places)

(20/1 6 places PP)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Very tricky 3yo handicap. Have backed 2 small  e/w bets  6 places  1/5 odds

Alfie Solomons 22/1 & Barbill  50/1  for Channon  his 2nd stringin this  but way overpriced imo 50/1 also think Top Breeze for Richard Hughes can go well but 2 is enough to back in very open looking race.

Best Of Luck All

 

Edited by Tedthewolf
forgot to put price

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
23 hours ago, BillyHills said:

Very decent run from 50/1 shot Barbill 5th may be worth keeping an eye on!

15 hours ago, Tedthewolf said:

Very tricky 3yo handicap. Have backed 2 small  e/w bets  6 places  1/5 odds

Alfie Solomons 22/1 & Barbill  50/1  for Channon  his 2nd stringin this  but way overpriced imo 50/1 also think Top Breeze for Richard Hughes can go well but 2 is enough to back in very open looking race.

Best Of Luck All

 

 

 

Edited by Tedthewolf

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

3.00  NEWMARKET BET 365 HANDICAP (20 RUN)

Hot race again small e/w stakes for me & i wouldnt back anything under a double figure price. The Frankie ridden fav is ridiculuously short 3/1-5/2  not proven over todays trip no way hosay  ain't for me at those odds. Will probably hack up now ! Secert Advisor ran a shocker lto and aint value in my book at around 13/2. Caliburn 8/1 & Collide  9/1 have stamina to prove .

My three small e/w  5 places 1/5 odds WHAT A WELCOME 16/1 TIME TO STUDY 28/1 DESERT SKYLINE 33/1 (just missed 40's damn it)

Best of luck we will need it!!!.....but a cracking handicap

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Saturday Bunbury Cup

Trends
10/10 4,5 or 6yo's
We lose So Beloved, Burnt Sugar, Aces, Shady McCoy


9/10 Ran within 4 weeks
We lose Keyser Soze, Spanish City, Good Effort, Alemaratalyoum, Sanaadh, Ripp Orf


8/10 Rated 98 or more
We lose Zap, Hajjam, Admirality, Ambassadorial, Solar Gold


7/10 Carried less than 9st 7lbs
We lose Lake Volta


7/10 Drawn double figures
We lose Crossing The Line, Kynren


Selections
1pt EW Three Saints Bay 33/1 Ladbrokes
1pt EW Vale Of Kent 14/1 PP

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

My early thoughts on  the BUNBURY CUP  are that at only 3lb higher than last year Burnt Sugar must have a hell of a chance of  a repeat win hasn't been running well but will get ideal ground on Sat most likely 14/1 wont last. If  grumpy old  git Shady McCoy turns up on a going day he will out run his odds currently 25's may even go bigger! He is on a good mark and ran a cracker in this last year.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Fri 3.00 - bet365 Trophy

My tried & trusted method for whittling down big fields ........ youngest 2 ages which in this case is 4 and 5 year olds, a Distance win, race fit ............ and then if I still have too many, trainers in form and whim

Left me with 3

Secret Advisor 13/2

Kings Advice 12/1

Time To Study 20/1

all prices bet365

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Bunbury Cup

Usual method for big field handicaps ....... youngest two ages, D winner, race fit and for this race the draw....... left me with about 4 or 5 but I've settled on .......

Admiralty 14/1 ew

Zap 25/1 ew

bet365 prices

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

1.45 ASCOT-  5f Heritage Handicap 20 runners

Blink and you will miss it! They will go a a scorching pace from the off wide open 11/2 the field loads of e/w chances in this but anything could win this so low e/w stakes x3 for me. MUTHMIR 14/1  6places 1/5 odds WH- BLUE DE VEGA 25/1 5places 1/5 odds B/FAIR -MARINE JAMES 40/1 5places  1/5odds B/FAIR all 3 are much better than there last runs suggest if i could only have one bet it would be Blue De Vega as he looks way overpriced on past form imo.

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

3.50 YORK -JOHN SMITH's CUP

Very decent pot up for grabs and i think my 3 picks have really decent e/w chances all with skybet paying 6places 1/5odds 

MY LORD AND MASTER 14/1 - EXEC CHEF 18/1 - AASHEQ 20/1

Some top handiaps today lads, get stuck in!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 hours ago, richard-westwood said:

Bunbury cup 

Alemaratayoum +4

Admiralty +4

Vale of kent +2 

Only 3 with positive figures so ill try 10pt wins at 10/1 ...14/1 and 22/1 

1st and 3rd .....ordinarily id split bank 55 and carry 55 over to next week but with bad run of horses recently ive recouped all recent losses so ill start afresh next week  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this