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CzechPunter

US Open 2019

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3 hours ago, kedbet said:

well, sinner is a much better player than lorenzi. anyways i don't like betting on straight-sets victories respectively minus games handicaps at all. 
in the end the players just need to win their matches to advance. they don't care about our bets. in germany we got a proverb that goes like this:
a good horse jumps only as high as it needs to.

Das stimmt wohl, selbst bei djokovic oder Federer würde ich nie auf einen 3-0 Sieg Wetten, weil es denen eben nichts bedeutet, wenn die mal einen Satz abgeben.

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9 hours ago, Anaxagoras said:

What do you guys think of Stan today ? 

37 year old Lorenzi won two 5 setters, so many missed opportunities for Kecmanovic. 

24 hrs later facing Wawrinka, I believe it will be too tough for him. I have doubts that he could finish the game today.

-2.5 sets handicap 1.59 odds on betsson.

This one came through but nothing like what I expected. Have to give credit to Lorenzi's fighting spirit.

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Andrey Rublev to beat Nick Kyrgios at 2.62 with bet365

Incredible odds for the victory of Rublev who is playing very well the last weeks. Nothing much to say. We all know Kyrgios, he is very good but his mentally not and im almost sure that he will have some of his typical mad moments. Personally I think that Rublev should be payed at 1.80-2.00 not at 2.62 so lets try. Rublev won against Tsitsipas in the first round 3-1 and then just played one set against Simon so he will be rested. Kyrgios has won against Steve Johnson and Hoang in straight sets so this will be his first tough test.

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Nadal destroyed Chung as i expected, i will post 2 more bets for today:

Cori Gauff (+1,5 Sets) to beat Naomi Osaka at 2.04 with Marathonbet

Diego Schwartzman vs Tennys Sandgren Over 36.0 Games at 1.76 with Marathonbet

I still think that Osaka is not at her best and I think that Cori can get 1 set at least.

I also expect Tennys to give some more fight than the odds suggest so I like the over for this match. If Tennys get 1 set the bet will be almost won so let's try.

 

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I'm starting to think that all that really matters in tennis is saving break points. Isner is about to lose to Cilic and he's going to lose - at least as far as the stats are now - having failed to save any of two break points faced, whilst Cilic has saved nine out of ten. Never mind any other stats - break point stats are king :eyes

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Four more BP's come and go for Big John. Granted he's not known for the strength of his return game but Cilic has now saved 13 out of 14 break points faced. Isner is going to lose and the only reason is his inability to convert break points.

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I‘m definetly betting on the winner of the match between kyrgios and rublev in the quarter finals although I think that kyrgios will win. Both of them would be superior i guess. 

Edited by cialivinci

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Hi Czech punter

Why are the bookies making Johanna Konta an outsider against Pliskova when she has been playing great at this tournament. I always have my doubts about her opponent when she tries to go far in a Grand slam and then fails. So i think Konta at 11/8 paddy power to win is great value 

Also what do you guys think of Svitolina beating Keys as she is playing a lot better at these big events and I can see the match going to three sets at 7/4 paddy power

Edited by owenclass

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10 hours ago, owenclass said:

Hi Czech punter

Why are the bookies making Johanna Konta an outsider against Pliskova when she has been playing great at this tournament. I always have my doubts about her opponent when she tries to go far in a Grand slam and then fails. So i think Konta at 11/8 paddy power to win is great value 

Also what do you guys think of Svitolina beating Keys as she is playing a lot better at these big events and I can see the match going to three sets at 7/4 paddy power

Both players are playing so well but I think Pliskova is a little better than Konta and she dominates the h2h by a huge 6-1 so that's why the odds are like these. 

I have not watched Svitolina so i can not talk about her but i have watched Madison a lot and i can say to you that she's in an excellent level. In Cincinnati she won against Muguruza, Kasatkina, Halep, Venus Williams, Kenin and Kuznetsova... that's impressive. She comes from another win against Kenin in straight sets. I repeat that i have not watched Svitolina but if i was forced to bet here will be Madison because she's playing excellent.

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Kristie Ahn (+1.5 sets) to beat Elise Mertens at 2.09 with Pinnacle

I have no idea what these odds are all about. Sure, Mertens is the better player of the two, but they've met four times and Ahn has managed to win two of those encounters, so I think that she's going to be biting hard given her form.

Rafael Nadal (-2.5 sets) to beat Marin Cilic at 1.91 with Pinnacle

Fine margins here obviously, but Cilic doesn't seem to be in any sort of form to trouble Nadal. He's given up many break points against Isner and he's going to give up many more against Nadal, who I still see as the main favorite for the title.

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On eurosportplayer.com you can buy access to all courts; ca. 18 euro (when tournament started). Everything on Eurosport for one month. At least 1 min delayed.You can buy at euspl. access to all GS. I'm not sure about Wimbledon.

Edited by lelit

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17 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

Kristie Ahn (+1.5 sets) to beat Elise Mertens at 2.09 with Pinnacle

I have no idea what these odds are all about. Sure, Mertens is the better player of the two, but they've met four times and Ahn has managed to win two of those encounters, so I think that she's going to be biting hard given her form.

I bet on her as well and take Schwartzman tonight

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I'm going to take Rublev -1.5 sets. I can't see the match going to a 5th set. Rublev already beaten Berrettini this year in straight sets on the hard-court. I feel like he's beaten far better players than Berrettini also and to be honest I was suprised by the offering of evens on this.

5pts A.Rublev (-1.5 sets) to beat M.Berrettini evens betfair

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Zverev vs Schwartzmann no one to win in straight sets @1.53 with bet365 

I took this bet the three previous games of Zverev because of the certainty that he‘ll screw up at somepoint in the game. His game lacks consistency which is his biggest problem now while Schwartzmann for me plays a good season with some aggressive tennis. I expect many unforced errors and double faults of zverev but getting the job done to win at least one set... 

 

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None of the tennis "scientists" here have noticed value in 3 for Bencic win? Osaka without Bajin is maybe 70% Osaka from 2018 and AO 19 :) 

Bencic leads h/h 3-1, won last 3 matches and she can't be scared by Osaka's force.

Edited by lelit

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