Announcements
*** New Last Man Standing Competition - Win up to £1500 Annually - See Competitions Forum ***
CzechPunter

Tennis Tips - August 12 - August 18

Recommended Posts

Pablo Carreno-Busta (+6) to beat Novak Djokovic at 1.72 with Pinnacle

This looks like a rather generous line to me, Djokovic wasn't very convincing against Querrey, just doing enough to allow the American to self-destruct. PCB should have more to offer in rallies and he rarely gives up, so I fancy him to go reasonably close. Given that even 6-2 6-4 is a push, I have to take this.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

@CzechPunter I took the +4.5 Games Handicap on Querrey and that match was frustrating for me because Novak did nothing. The first set did not end bad considering my bet but then the 2nd set was absolutely frustrating. 2 BP for Querrey in the first game of Novak on serve that he did not convert and then 2 more that also did not convert. And after that Sam did say bye to the match, very frustrating. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

@darko08 Yep, I saw that second set, really frustrating and I think PCB will cope better. I'm also taking Diego Schwartzman to beat Richard Gasquet at 1.83 with local, I want to play the Argentinian at everything above 1.70. Didn't get to oppose Gasquet today, but I will be opposing him tomorrow.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

What do you think about Kyrgios - Khachanov? I have Kyrgios as the last pair in my parlay. I was thinking that Kyrgios will be superb on the serve and better on the return, but I dont't know enough about tennis. What are your thoughts?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

@CzechPunter Yep, it’s interesting. Gasquet has not really been tested in this tournament. Murray is still far from been competitive in singles and Delbonis doesn’t feel comfortable on this surface while Schwartzman had on Albot a very dangerous test (I did not watch that match but his win in straight sets against him is impressive). He won in Los Cabos so he’s definitely in a better form than Gasquet.

I’m impressed with the level of Struff today against Tsitsipas. Did you see that match? The statistics are impressive. Struff only conceded 1 Break Point in 3 sets and produced 5! He did 52 of 61 points on first serves (85%) and 23 of 37 on second serves (62%)! The result doesn’t reflect how superior Struff really has been today against Tsitsipas. I’m telling this because I’m thinking to bet for Struff in his match against Medvedev (is paid almost at 3.00). This guy has played 12 matches in 16 days, so my question is where is his limit¿? The main problem is that today Paire only has played the first set and has gifted the second one so I’m not sure how much energy the Russian still has. Anyway, I think that if Struff plays like he did today even with Medvedev playing good he still will have a change. What u think?

@MMABetting97 With Kyrgios is impossible to know. In Washington he was 100% implicated. Then in Toronto he was not interest and now looks like he's interested again (the numbers of his first match against Sonego are impressive). His problem is that he will have a very tough test now so let's see if he plays with the right mentality the whole match because he will need to do to win this one.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

@darko08 There might be some value in Struff based on that, the only issue that I have with him is his mentality. He's not a born winner and, although he's improved in the last year or two on that front, he's going to have a tough time facing someone who's the complete opposite right now. If he starts strongly, he should have a chance, but I don't see him coming back if he's asked to do that. My strategy would be to look at the odds if Struff wins the first set. If they are at least somewhat solid, I'd take them. If he loses the first set, however, I reckon that you can just close the live betting and not bother.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:

@darko08 There might be some value in Struff based on that, the only issue that I have with him is his mentality. He's not a born winner and, although he's improved in the last year or two on that front, he's going to have a tough time facing someone who's the complete opposite right now. If he starts strongly, he should have a chance, but I don't see him coming back if he's asked to do that.

Yep, that scares me a lot. Today he was leading the second set 5-4 and serving for the win. He was up 30-0 but then came the break and then lost the set in TB... 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'd agree with backing Struff if he wins the first set, as I don't have Medvedev down as much of a fighter. He's fine if he's leading and he's generally sound at closing out but if he has to really fight my observation of him is that's not one of his strengths. If Struff does manage to win the first set and gets into a winning position in the second it's possible he could choke but that depends on Medvedev to a degree. Against Tsitsipas, Struff was always going to have to win every point as Tsitsipas isn't the type to give up and fights to the end whereas Medvedev, at least when I've watched him, sometimes looks like he's given up when he gets behind and that would make it easier for Struff to get over the line and get the win.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Novak Djoković to beat Pablo Carenno-Busta 2:1 at 5.50 with Betway

Novak started the tournament very relaxed and struggled in the first set against Query. It was his first match in the tournament and the first play since winning the Wimbledon and he looked quite sluggish. If he plays like this against Pablo, he is in  a danger of loosing the set. Overall he is however more complete and more superior player than the Spaniard and should therefore win this match. At 5.50 it is worth having a punt on this score.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Sabalenka looks on fire from highlight i saw.. massive serving and adequate moving. I disagree with Czech about Gasquet.. Looks like a 50/50 match to me. Have not seen videos of either player recent matches.. I smell something with Rebecca Peterson.. She is hitting the ball well from the baseline, and these courts really exxagerate the spin of the ball. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Really good price on Kontaveit right now after taking the first set .. I have her winning this.. She looks physically fitter than Barty, and she's serving better also. .. i was going to post live on this first set but I'm really on a bad run here.. Anyways.. Hope that she wins.. I've taken her @ +250.. Obviously u can't get those odds now, but she looks really confident, and Barty is making alot of errors .. I guess really good price is inaccurate description, but I still believe she can do it after watching almost the entire first set.. Main reason is because of Barty's fitness level this match.. She looks slow 

Edited by money44

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yea as Czech mentioned that Rublev (after  Federer, Waw, Basi, Kukush, Tomic) gonna lose its kinda hard to say.

maybe im gonna try the bet what they talked about yesterday, if Rublev wins the 1st set then im going to place some money on him around 1.8-2.00, its a "must-bet" value for me, and Medvedev is a person who can easily lose if he gets behind the opponent!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Agree about Rublev

@3.30 

He's on the rise and full of confidence. The same could be said about Medvedev, but his fatigue has already been discussed in this thread, so no need to repeat it. 

 

Also Czech's Sakkari bet looks good in my eyes.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

@Bandiii That looks really good in theory, but I guess that the odds are going to be around 1.57 in that case or something like that, not 1.80 and most definitely not 2.00 (unless he gets injured in the process). That still looks alright given the fatigue factor, but it might not be value. No criticism intended or anything, I just feel that this is worth saying.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.