Announcements
** July Nap's Competition Result : 1st Rainbow, 2nd Trainmad091, 3rd Zidane123, 4th Internetmails, KO Cup Bathtime For Rupert, Most Winners Alastair**
**July Poker League Result : 1st Craggwood £75, 2nd Like2Fish £45, 3rd Rivrd £30**
Sign in to follow this  
StevieDay1983

Premier League 2019/20 Ante-Post Betting

Recommended Posts

On 8/3/2019 at 5:52 PM, harry_rag said:

Can't argue with that. Toyed with opting for his season goal minutes at 300 (logic being he might score a few late goal if he is used as a sub) but decided to keep it simple and follow you. Hopefully he's first choice given he's their record signing (so far).

@waynecoyne So McBurnie's goal yesterday sees him cover the spread so any more goals sees us in profit on the buy at 6. But... had I gone with the buy of his goal minutes I mentioned as a possible alternative, I'd already be 45 points in front! :eyes

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 7/12/2020 at 5:49 PM, harry_rag said:

@waynecoyne So McBurnie's goal yesterday sees him cover the spread so any more goals sees us in profit on the buy at 6. But... had I gone with the buy of his goal minutes I mentioned as a possible alternative, I'd already be 45 points in front! :eyes

i've been a bit disappointed @harry_rag, i thought he'd score more. I also bought mcginn at 3.5 and he scored 3 early on then got injured. Greenwood was one i was looking at also, with hindsight that would have been profitable. I think he was about 6 to buy.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 7/30/2019 at 6:02 PM, harry_rag said:

Gone for a sell of total penalties awarded at 132 with SX (had to sell converted at 102 and unconverted at 30 as they're not quoting a combined price). I'm going with the "sell hype" theory which tends to do well more often than not, I just don't think the combined effect of VAR and the new handball rule should have pushed the figure anywhere near as high as that.

Over the last 10 years, the number awarded has ranged from 80 to 106 and averaged 94. There's no indication of VAR alone having much effect on penalties in the other 4 major leagues and the suggestion seems to be it will be used sparingly here, only where there's believed to have been a clear error made. There's also signs that the interpretation of the handball rule will not be as strict as we have seen elsewhere with Mike RIley saying he doesn't think there will be much of a change to how it has been interpreted for the past few seasons.

We'll see what happens but I'm happy to be short of that price.

87 penalties in total so far (67 scored and 20 missed). I've taken the opportunity to close out penalties scored at 68.75 as there's so little downside to doing so. Profit on that element of the bet 33.25 times stake. No option to close out the missed penalties element so I've had small doubles on penalty missed across all 10 games! :loon

Happy enough to have called it right, and to avoid the potential mild discomfort of a penalty glut on the last day of the season!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this