Smiles Tennis Posted July 9, 2019 Author Share Posted July 9, 2019 Some early picks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 9, 2019 Author Share Posted July 9, 2019 two more Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 9, 2019 Author Share Posted July 9, 2019 Four more picks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 9, 2019 Author Share Posted July 9, 2019 1 more pick. Looks like a couple of points loss for the day unless Rybakina and Sousa can pull it out the bag. A few short price faves losing that took a hit. I did then think maybe I should avoid the lower priced faves, sub 1.5, but only two have lost so far so I am hoping just a random day where faves wanted to be crap. 1 more for the evening match, maybe another pick for about 10pm games (UK time) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 9, 2019 Author Share Posted July 9, 2019 Few more for this evening, that's it now though until the morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 In your real bets, are you still matching at the 10-15 ticks more? Keep up the good work. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 10, 2019 Author Share Posted July 10, 2019 5 hours ago, anaconda69 said: In your real bets, are you still matching at the 10-15 ticks more? Keep up the good work. No, my real bets are being made at the price in the spreadsheet. Sometimes 2-3 ticks higher if there's a space but on the first day of restarting this I missed a winner by trying to get 15 ticks higher so cancelled that tactic. Maybe with underdogs I go a bit higher but the spreadsheet shows the price I bet at as this is my personal record of how it's going. thecurlyone1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 10, 2019 Author Share Posted July 10, 2019 £146 loss yesterday. Two matches still to play and Ebden was injured and retired, luckily he retired at 0-5 in the first set. If he played one more game and lost the set it would have been a losing bet. Quite a few picks up to the early afternoon matches. I have increased stakes to 2% per bet. Even with a fair amount of picks, there hasn't been too much of the bank used up. Saying this, on a day when I increase stakes I almost ALWAYS lose. I think it's the law lol. thecurlyone1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 10, 2019 Author Share Posted July 10, 2019 4 more Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OddsPredictor Posted July 10, 2019 Share Posted July 10, 2019 Impressive profits - can you show the total of your stakes and percentage yield please. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 10, 2019 Author Share Posted July 10, 2019 1 more, might also be one more later on at 22.45. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 10, 2019 Author Share Posted July 10, 2019 2 hours ago, OddsPredictor said: Impressive profits - can you show the total of your stakes and percentage yield please. Sure, i will sort it when i have time. I was going to do it monthly but can do it a bit more regularly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anaconda69 Posted July 10, 2019 Share Posted July 10, 2019 13 hours ago, Tennis Picks said: No, my real bets are being made at the price in the spreadsheet. Sometimes 2-3 ticks higher if there's a space but on the first day of restarting this I missed a winner by trying to get 15 ticks higher so cancelled that tactic. Maybe with underdogs I go a bit higher but the spreadsheet shows the price I bet at as this is my personal record of how it's going. Don't let one missed dictate the whole thing. U we're doing well on the last thread with inplay odds they made it more profitable Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 10, 2019 Author Share Posted July 10, 2019 5 minutes ago, anaconda69 said: Don't let one missed dictate the whole thing. U we're doing well on the last thread with inplay odds they made it more profitable There were quite a few missed ones on the last thread. All where they were quick easy wins. This seems to be going OK taking SP. Really, with the algorithm, the prices should be value anyway. anaconda69 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 10, 2019 Author Share Posted July 10, 2019 (edited) 1 more for this evening. @OddsPredictor, i have checked the ROI etc, i keep updating it but there are bets outstanding and winning so will do a proper total in the morning but it's basically £6590 total staked, £850 profit and ROI of just under 13%. Actually that's with the stakes included for the three matches not currently finished. So slightly higher ROI. Edited July 10, 2019 by Tennis Picks anaconda69 and thecurlyone1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 11, 2019 Author Share Posted July 11, 2019 £186 yesterday in the end. A few nice priced underdogs winning early on gave it a good start. Total staked: £6592 Profit: £721.24 ROI: 10.9% TheEdge and anaconda69 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 11, 2019 Author Share Posted July 11, 2019 First picks today. thecurlyone1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 11, 2019 Author Share Posted July 11, 2019 4 more. Some are higher than SP to be matched in play, the value isn't there at SP. It might mean some don't get matched but it's not every pick so better to have it sit there waiting at value rather than not place the bet. Hopefully with an edge, the increased turnover can increase the ROI (which is high at the moment for long term so I expect it to drop) TheEdge 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 11, 2019 Author Share Posted July 11, 2019 2 more picks added. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 11, 2019 Author Share Posted July 11, 2019 3 more picks. thecurlyone1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 11, 2019 Author Share Posted July 11, 2019 (edited) EDIT: 5 more actually, 1 starting soon. Edited July 11, 2019 by Tennis Picks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 11, 2019 Author Share Posted July 11, 2019 Eubanks is the last one for tonights matches. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 12, 2019 Author Share Posted July 12, 2019 £583 from yesterdays matches. Some really niced priced dogs winning. Also I was on the wrong side of two retirements which is always frustrating. Doi wasn't fully matched in play, i left it unmatched so Ive changed the stake to £71.97 to reflect that. Moriya was an interesting one too, I left it at 2.96 to be matched in play. He drifted to 2.96, I had only £1 of the full stake matched and then he won the first set and I think was a break up in the second and down to about 1.2. I thought I had missed out on a nice win. Then he started losing, got fully matched and left it late to grab the win. Got there in the end. July Total: Staked: £8606.97 Profit: £1304.77 ROI: 15.1% anaconda69 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 12, 2019 Author Share Posted July 12, 2019 Some to start the day. thecurlyone1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 12, 2019 Author Share Posted July 12, 2019 4 more picks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 12, 2019 Author Share Posted July 12, 2019 3 more Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 12, 2019 Author Share Posted July 12, 2019 Update: The Gombos bet was left earlier to match at 1.69. He has now shortened all the way to 1.42 and after checking stats again with the new parameters, Li is now the value bet at 3.4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 12, 2019 Author Share Posted July 12, 2019 Kokkinakis is the last bet for the over night matches. thecurlyone1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 13, 2019 Author Share Posted July 13, 2019 at a wedding today so no more picks. Tried to check most matches. about £150 i think yesterday. one of these might have started already, sorry. More important things to focus on TheEdge, thecurlyone1 and anaconda69 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted July 14, 2019 Author Share Posted July 14, 2019 £432 yesterday. On the right side of a couple of retirements this time as well which balances out from the other day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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