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The Equaliser

DAILY TRIXIE

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@Kingmambo. One thing I will say is that no matter how one selects their bets you will find that the horses just do not perform as they should do.  I can still remember backing Mustashary in a op class race.  All it had to do was replicate what it did in its last recent race to win.  It did not.  I wasted too much money on selecting just 3 runners for my Trixies in July.  I have now found it much better to have a wider range of selections in the hope that at least some of these beasts go and do what they should do according to form.  I purposely choose what are deemed to be "trappy" or "open" races because I believe that the bookies have the races with short priced favourites sewn up.

I am beginning to have real fun with my strategy now and will continue in this vein as I feel that it will come good very soon.

Best of luck with your strategy.  Do you have any results that I can look at so as to compare with my selection and betting method?

 

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FIVE DOUBLES AND TWO TREBLES TODAY

AN INTERESTING DAY TODAY. I HAVE MIXED UP MY BETS A LITTLE BUT THE OVERALL STAKE IS STILL £20

(A)   2.10 LING (5) VISIONARA 9/4, 6.25 YAR (8) THE CORPORAL 9/4 = £4 V £63.36

(B)   2.30 BEV (2) LAND OF THE ALPS 9/4 3.50 SAL 4 FLASHCARD 5/2 = £4 V £45.48

(C)   5.0 CHEP 10 PERFECT GRACE  5/1, 5.35 CHEP SO NEAR SO FARHH 10/3 = £4 V £104

(D)   5.0 CHEP 6 KINGFAST 4/1 5.35 CHEP 5 ATOMIC JACK 4/1 = £2 V £50

(E)    3.30 BEV 13 BURNTWOOD 9/1 4.30 BEV 2 NORTHERN LYTE 9/4 = £2 V £130

TREBLES:

(1)    2.10 LING VISIONARA, 2.30 BEV LAND OF THE ALPS AND 6.25 YAR THE CORPORAL = £2 V £63.36

(2)    3.50 SAL FLASHCARD, 5.0 CHEP KINGFAST AND 5.35 CHEP ATOMIC JACK =£2 V £175

RESULTS UPDATE:

FOUR SECONDS, TWO WINNERS AND A NON RUNNER YESTERDAY.  THE NON RUNNER WAS FOLLOWED BY A WINNER WHICH PAID £15.33 HENCE A £4.67 LOSS ON THE DAY

Original Bank £2,538.61 LESS 100.94 = £2,437.67 C/Fwd ROI N/A

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Four doubles and two trebles today

(A)   2.45 Wolv (6) Fairy Fast 11/4, 3.40 Nott (6) Polyphony 3/1 = £4 V £60.00

(B)   3.30 NB (2) AL Raya 10/3, 7.000Thrsk Hawaam 11/2 = £4 V £112.64

(C)   2.05 NB (3) Daddys Daughter 3/1, 6.50 NM  (2) Moxy Mares 4/1 = £4 V £80

(D)   3.30 NB (1) Good Vibes 9/2, 4.0 NB (4) Shammah 4/1 = £4 V £110.00

TREBLES:

(1)    2.45 Wolv Fairy Fast, 3.30 NB Al Raya and 3.40 Nott Polyphony = £2 V £130.00

(2)    2.25 NB Daddys Daughter, 6.50 NM Moxy Mares, 7.0 Thrsk Hawaam =£2 V £260.00

Results Update:

Two winners in a double yesterday paid £52.50 (instead of £42.24) hence a £32.50 profit on the day.  This was my strongest double and it was a pity that Lord Of The Alps came second as I would have had at least another £63.36 treble

Original Bank £2,538.61 LESS 68.44 = £2,470.17 C/Fwd ROI N/A

 

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Two doubles and a treble today.

Not enough time for full research.  I really like Hortzadar in the 4.25 Ripon

(A)   3.0 NB Rip Orf 3/1, 3.20 NM Graceful Magic 11/4 = £4 V £60.00

(B)   3.25 Don Orvar 3/1, 4.25 Rip Hortzadar 7/2 = £4 V £72

TREBLE:

(1)    3.0 NB Ripp Orf , 3.20 NM Graceful Magic and 4.25 Rip Hortzadar  = £2 V £135.00

Results Update:

No winners today. Two seconds that traded at less than 1.40 but still got beat.  Losss for the day = £20

Original Bank £2,538.61 LESS 88.44 = £2,450.17 C/Fwd ROI N/A

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Three doubles and two trebles today.

I was going to take a day off today but just couldn’t help myself from having another go.

Doubles:

(A)   3.20 Sou (3) Royal Village 4/1, 5.0 Pont (1) Magical Effect 15/8 (steamed into from 3/1, should have taken 3/1 last night = £4 v £57.48

(B)   3.30 Pont ( 2) Perfection 9/2 (did take the price last night; now 7/2), 5.30 Pont( 8) Springwood Drive 11/4 = £4 V £82.48

(C)   2.50 Sou ( (1) Capital Force 5/2, 5.20 Sou Nemean Lion 6/1 = £4 V £98

Trebles:

(1)    3.20 Sou Royal Village, 3.30 Pont Perfection and 5.0 Pont Magical Effect  = £2 V £129.36

(2)    2.50 Sou Capital Force, 5.20 Sou Nemean Lion and 5.30 Pont Springwood Drive = £2 v £196.86

This equals £16 staked in total today.  Incidentally, should one of my first leg doubles blow out and I’m around I will place a £2 win double using the second leg selection with the next strongest selection available.  This is part of my overall strategy.  I am able to do this twice today to make up my full £20 wager for the day.  For obvious reasons any wins or losses have to be off the book figures as I cannot give the revised selections out properly in advance

Results Update:

One double; should have paid more but for a withdrawn horse = £68.90 less £10 = £58.90

Original Bank £2,538.61 LESS £29.54 = £2,509.07 C/Fwd ROI N/A

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Two doubles and one treble today.

Only four selections today.  I do like Mauricio 5.35 Catt 3.33 and 6.30 Win Indian Raj 3.0 but I don’t like their prices so I won’t be backing them.

 Doubles:

(A)   2.15 Ling (5) Zappiness 11/4, 6.10 Bang(5) Red Inca 9/2 = £4 v £82.48

(B)   5.30 Win ((6) Tone The Baron 7/2, 7.0 Win (8) High Acclaim 3/1 = £4 V £72.00

Treble:

(1)    2.15 Ling Zappiness, 5.30 Win Tone The Barone and  6.10 Bang High Acclaim = £2 V £185.62

Total = £10 staked today.

Results Update:

Well, now you know why I don’t put great store by short-priced favourites.  Magical Effect was sent off 13/8F. It could only finish 3rd beaten 1.75 lengths.  As Jenny Pitman used to say “It doesn’t matter how much money you put on a horse, it won’t make it run any faster”. Had it won I would have received £57.50 for the double and £129.38 for the treble = £186.88.  Not to be  though

I’m not complaining as I did at least get yet another double in for £82.50 less £16 = £66.50 on the day. Guess what I am now in accumulated profit and having a great run in August after allowing for a brought forward loss of £320 from July. This is an equivalent of £356.96/£2538.61 = 14% ROI.  Not bad for mug punters bets eh?

Original Bank £2,538.61 ADD £36.96 = £2,575.57 C/Fwd ROI N/A

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@pirate53  I once read about the principle ingredients for intelligence, persistence was the only one I felt I qualified for.

You make a very valid point though.  Although I got it all wrong with Trixies back in July.  I didn't really give up on them but the wins were so infrequent that I found it depressing.  I was then committed to doubles and trebles throughout August and will continue to do so.  Unfortunately too many people give up too soon on a strategy.  Spreading my £20 among more than three selections seems to yield better results than just pinning my hopes on three.  The problem is that although all my selections are meant to run well the fact is that a lot of horses seem to have off days when they just do not live up to their reputations. Once I accepted this phenomenon I just increased my number of selections when and where possible in the belief that at least some of these animals would perform as they were supposed to do so.     

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Two doubles and one treble today.

There are loads of short-priced favourites running in class 5 races and below today.  I have found four selections today which was a struggle.  I have to post these up now as I have no time tomorrow morning.  I am hoping that I have got some good early prices.

 Doubles:

(A)   7.05 N.Abb (6) Don’t Look Here 3/1, 7.35 N Abb (1) Bermeo  = £4 v £56.00

(B)   7.25 Yar (1) Sir Titan 10/3, 8.05 N Abb (11) Polar Chance 6/1 = £4 V £121.32

Treble:

(1)    7.05 N Abb Don’t Look Here, 7.25 Yar Sir Titan and 7.35 N Abb Bermeo 5/2 = £2 V £121.32

Total = £10 staked today.

Results Update:

Two-thirds today; even the short priced favourites lost.  Hence a £10 hit today

Original Bank £2,538.61 Less £320 July  Tirxies add £346.96 August Doubles and trebles = £2,565.57 C/Fwd ROI N/A

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Four doubles and two trebles today.

A lot of selections to choose from today so I am spoilt for choice

Doubles:

(A)   2.25 YK (6) Persuasion 9/4, 3.10 Carl (1) Ugo Gregory 5/2 = £4 v £45.48

(B)   5.25 Carl (8) Sootability 5/1, 6.45 Km (5) Lapidary 3/1  = £4 V £96.00

(C)   3.45 Carl(7) Four Wheel drive 4/1, 5.0 Worc (1) Isle Road 9/2 = £4 v £99.00

(D)   2.50 Bath (9) Gallatin 9/2, 4.25 Carl (3) Navajo Pass 3/1 = £4 v £88.00

Treble:

(1)    2.25 YK Persuasion, 3.20 Carl Ugo Gregory and 5.25 Carl Sootability = £2 V £136.50

(2)    2.50 Bath Gallatin, 4.25 Carl Navajo Pass and 5.0 Worc Isle Road = £2 v £264.00

Total = £20 staked today.

Results Update:

Two seconds yesterday so nothing to show for my efforts.  Hence a £10 loss

Original Bank £2,538.61 Less £320 July  Tirxies add £336.96 August Doubles and trebles = £2,555.57 C/Fwd ROI N/A

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Four doubles and two trebles today.

Let's see if a few of our four-legged friends will run to form today.  Not a lot of strong contenders today but just like the bookies, I need turnover to make money.

Doubles:

(A)   4.15 YK (8) Search For A Song 2/1 (yuk!) 5.0 Stra (4) Grenardy 3/1 = £4 v £48.00

(B)   3.0 YK (5) Kynren 9/2, 4.50 YK (11) Salayel 10/3 = £4 V £95.32

(C)   2.25 Yk (1) Mums Tipple 9/2, 6.30 Leic (6) Baalbek 10/3 = £4 v £104.00

(D)   2.15 Chp (5) Amorously 5/1, 2.40 Str (4) Meldrum Lad 5/1= £4 v £144.00

Treble:

(1)    3.00 YK Kynren, 4.15 Yk Search For A Song and 5.0 Str Grenardy = £2 V £132.00

(2)    2.25 YK Mums Tipple, 4.50 Yk Salayel and 6.30 Leic Baalbek  = £2 v £225.32

Total = £20 staked today.

Results Update:

Two winners but not in a double today.  My class 1 runner Persuasion could only finish 6th, something not right there being beaten by 25/1 & 28/1 shots.  It shouldn’t have run should it?                        £20 loss on the day

Original Bank £2,538.61 Less £320 July  Trrxies add £316.96 August Doubles and trebles = £2,535.57 C/Fwd ROI N/A

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Four doubles and two trebles today.

The bookies are taking minimum risks today with loads of short-priced favourites.  I have found 8 selections and the only adjustment that I have made is to back Beyond the Clouds instead of Fox Vardy that has been smashed into.  The only worry about Beyond the Clouds is the going, but Hey, if the trainer isn’t worried why should I be.

Doubles:

(A)   2.15 Ffos (8) Tritonic 4/1, 4.55 Nm (2) Mina Vagente 10/3  = £4 v £86.64

(B)   1.55 YK (14) Mandarin 7/1, 6.35 (2) Geen Power 4/1 = £4 V £180.00

(C)   2.50 Ffos (7) Breath of Air 4/1, 6.05 Gdwd (4) Qaadim 5/2 = £4 v £70.00

(D)   4.25 Nm (2) Beyond The Clouds 4/1, 4.50 Nm (15) Irv 9/1 = £4 v £200.00

Treble:

(1)    1.55 YK Mandarin, 2.15 Ffos Tritonic and 4.55 Nm Mina Vagante  = £2 V £346.66

(2)    2.50 Ffos Breath of Air, 6.05 Gdwd Qaadim and 6.35 Gdwd Green Power  = £2 v £175.00

Total = £20 staked today.

Results Update:

Three winners yesterday but no coupled double.  I missed out on two winning doubles because I was swayed by what I thought to be superior professional advice.  I don’t believe in hard luck stories but I shall be very guarded in the future about opposing my top-rated selections.  As it happened I did not lose on the day as I laid Gennady for £21.05 @ 1.47 which somehow got matched  (I do this for all my 2nd leg doubles candidates. I don’t mind shaving £9.89 off a winning double). Anyway, it doesn’t count for my published figures.   

Hence, £20 loss on the day

Original Bank £2,538.61 Less £320 July  Trrxies add £296.96 August Doubles and trebles = £2,515.57 C/Fwd ROI N/A

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Four doubles and two trebles today.

A lot of racing today so I’m spoilt for choice.  I have only backed one at York in the 5.20.  I would love to see Kings Advice win the Ebor, but sentimentality doesn’t go hand in hand with professional betting does it?

Doubles:

(A)   5.05 Nm ((1) Equitation 3/1, 7.20 Win (4) Rock The Cradle 11/4  = £4 v £60.00

(B)   2.50 Cart (3) River Icon 9/4 (yuk), 5.10 Cart(2) Beano 6/1 = £4 V £91.00

(C)   3.15 Gdwd(2) Oh This Is Us 5/1, 4.35 Cart (4) Nortonthorpelegend 3/1 = £4 v £96.00

(D)   5.00 Gdwd( 6) Never surrender 4/1, 5.20 Yk (14) Moss Gill 11/4 = £4 v £75.00

Trebles:

(1)    2.50 Cart River Icon, 5.05 Nm Equitation and 7.20 Win Rock the cradle = £2 V £97.50

(2)    3.15 Gdwd Oh this is Us, 4.35 Cart Nortonthorpe legend and 5.20 Cart Beano = £2 v £336.00

Total = £20 staked today.

Results Update:

Two winners but no double yesterday.  I did get my money back on a back/lay bet on Green Power.  I had a bit of a shock when the race went to a photo.  I wasn’t quick enough to back the other horse but luckily my horse won by a nose.  It doesn’t count for my published figures but it means a lot to me.   

Hence, £20 loss on the day

Original Bank £2,538.61 Less £320 July  Trrxies add £276.96 August Doubles and trebles = £2,495.57 C/Fwd ROI N/A

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On 8/18/2019 at 10:01 AM, The Equaliser said:

This equals £16 staked in total today.  Incidentally, should one of my first leg doubles blow out and I’m around I will place a £2 win double using the second leg selection with the next strongest selection available.  This is part of my overall strategy.  I am able to do this twice today to make up my full £20 wager for the day.  For obvious reasons any wins or losses have to be off the book figures as I cannot give the revised selections out properly in advance

 

On 8/23/2019 at 11:49 AM, The Equaliser said:

As it happened I did not lose on the day as I laid Gennady for £21.05 @ 1.47 which somehow got matched  (I do this for all my 2nd leg doubles candidates. I don’t mind shaving £9.89 off a winning double). Anyway, it doesn’t count for my published figures.   

 

27 minutes ago, The Equaliser said:

I did get my money back on a back/lay bet on Green Power.  I had a bit of a shock when the race went to a photo.  I wasn’t quick enough to back the other horse but luckily my horse won by a nose.  It doesn’t count for my published figures but it means a lot to me.   

 

 

On 8/23/2019 at 11:49 AM, The Equaliser said:

I do this for all my 2nd leg doubles candidates.

I'm a bit confused mate, you really should not mention the extra bets that are not in the figures. It makes your profit and loss a bit of a waste of time to be honest.
On one hand you had a lay bet on your second horse and then all of a sudden you backed one the next time? Both luckily ending up in your favour.

You said you do this on all your second leg candidates? so does this mean all of the ones you don't mention are losers??

I'm not being funny but if your going to publish P/L figures they have to be accurate on this site as other members may decide to follow you and it can be a bit misleading.

We all know Multiple bets are tricky and create losing runs, it looks from the outside that you are trying to justify your losing days, good luck.

:ok

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@BillyHills Hi Billy, I am sure you are a busy guy but I need to emphasise that ALL my P&L figures are accurate because I do not include the profits or losses on my side bets.  If you care to look you will see this even from my latest result where I say I got my money back BUT still showed the doubles and trebles bets as a £20 loss and deducted it from my August profit figures.

Fair enough that my sideline chat may be causing confusion but I am only human after all and was just letting people know that I did not lose out on the day.

However, the comments that you picked up on are indeed part of my overall strategy.  I don't like losing just as much as anyone else doesn't like losing and so when things go wrong I try to redress a losing situation.  In effect what this means is that I will add up to a maximum of 50% investment stakes if necessary so as to either make a small profit or break even on the day.

I will include a standard paragraph in future underneath the results figures to show how I manage my multiples when things start to go wrong.  I will not report on any of the results associated with my recovery bets as this seems to be confusing.  I do feel that readers of my page should be aware that I don't just leave things as they are when things go wrong and that I am trying to still get out with either a small profit or break even on the day in a very managed way by limiting my efforts to just 50% stakes of my initial multiples investment.

I hope that you will find thsi acceptable 

PS Does anyone do your £20 daily challenge; it looked like I was the only one when I had a go last week?

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1 hour ago, The Equaliser said:

@BillyHills Hi Billy, I am sure you are a busy guy but I need to emphasise that ALL my P&L figures are accurate because I do not include the profits or losses on my side bets.  If you care to look you will see this even from my latest result where I say I got my money back BUT still showed the doubles and trebles bets as a £20 loss and deducted it from my August profit figures.

PS Does anyone do your £20 daily challenge; it looked like I was the only one when I had a go last week?

I know you dont include the winnings but you only tell us you had a side bet when they win it seems. I'm sure you have had others that didn't come off so i think its unfair to say anything about them, that was my point. Unless of course they are the only side bets you have had this month? But somewhere you said you do it all the time?

You dont understand that people will follow your bets on a public forum and will feel hacked off when they have lost and then see you claim to have had a secret bet to get back your losses.

Anyway im not going to argue about it just stick to the point mate:ok

 

*If you look plenty have a go in the challenge throughout the week.:ok

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@BillyHills Point taken.  I will not comment on my side bets in future; I will just highlight the strategy.

I'm sure I won one of your daily challenge bets about a week ago, however I was the only one who wrote up on that day.  It seemed to me that it was unfair to win your £20 when there were no other challengers.  If I did win it I would like you to send the money to a charity for the benefit of gamblers with addiction to gambling.  It would only be a fun rivalry thing for me to do.

 

 

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23 minutes ago, The Equaliser said:

@BillyHills Point taken.  I will not comment on my side bets in future; I will just highlight the strategy.

Its not a competition mate, its just a fun thread where people have different ways in using £20 for a bet.
Its not a challenge against each other, just for a bit of fun to see how much you could win for a £20 outlay.

:ok

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Two doubles and one treble today.

Not a lot of my type of races today.  Too many short-priced favourites and, as you know, I don’t bet in class 6 or above races.  I am posting up my bets very early as I believe that the likes of “Country” and others will be shortened up too much by our beloved layers come tomorrow morning.

Doubles:

(A)   2.20 Yar (5) Sudona 3/1, 3.00 Gdwd (5) Country 11/4  = £4 v £60.00

(B)   5.20 Gdwd (2) Zac Brown 10/3, 5.50 Gdwd (3) Lightening Dance = £4 V £56.32

Treble:

(1)    2.20 Yar Sudona, 3.0 Gdwd Country and 5.20 Gdwd Zac Brown = £2 V £130.00

Total = £10 staked today.

Results Update:

One winner and no doubles which are not good results for a Saturday   

Hence, £20 loss on the day

Original Bank £2,538.61 Less £320 July  Trrxies add £256.96 August Doubles and trebles = £2,475.57 C/Fwd ROI N/A

 

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11 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

@BillyHills Ah OK,  I didn't understand.  I will post my £20 selections up from Monday.  Do I leave you to work out returns or can I just post up my returns based upon my pre-published figures?

Its a DIY thread mate, I dont admin that thread.

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An extra double today.

I see that Country is a non-runner today.  I had 5 selections last night so I am adding another double so as to include 2.20 Yar (5) Sudona 10/3 and 5.40 Yar (3) Global Hope 10/3 = £4 v £75.08.

My initial double has now become a single bet with a potential return of £16

Total = £14 staked today.

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Four doubles and two trebles today.

After dismissing class 6 races where horses seem to take it turns to win their races I struggled to find 8 selections from a total of 35 races.  The bookies seem to want it all ways.  They shorten up the prices on favourites in a lot of races which means that if you lay the favourites they win and if you back them they lose.  My history of laying favourites is not good, however, I can’t see Teaser winning the 3.15 at Cartmel.  It doesn’t jump that well and it quite often jumps to the right.  Not a clever thing to do on a sharp left-handed track.

 I placed my bets last night and all my selections have drifted in price.  Thank God for BOG.

Doubles:

(A)   2.45 Rip (5) Highwaygrey 5/1, 4.25 Cart (2) Double Treasure 11/4  = £4 v £90.00

(B)   2.25 Sou (7) Gorgeous General  7/2. 3.35 S(4) Fantasy Keeper 5/2 = £4 V £63.00

(C)   2.0 Chep (6) Gambon 3/1, 3.15 Cart (5) Nietzsche 3/1 = £4 v £64

(D)   4.30 Rip (4) Alfred Richardson, 5.0 Cart (5) Justatenner 7/2 = £4 v £117.00

Treble:

(1)    2.25 Sou Gorgeous General, 2.45 Rip Highwaygrey and 4.25 Cart Double Treasure = £2 v £202.50

(2)    2.0 Chep Gambon, 3.15 Cart Nietzsche and 3.35 Sou Fantasy Keeper = £2 v £112.00

Total = £20 stakes

Results Update:

Three seconds and a third with one non-runner yesterday so a little unlucky.  I was going to criticise Hayley Turner for not winning on Lightening Dance but after watching the race I don’t think that the way the horse ran that she did anything wrong

Hence, £14 loss on the day

riginal Bank £2,538.61 Less £320 July  Trrxies add £242.96 August Doubles and trebles

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