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35 minutes ago, vvararu said:

Could you guys, give your versions of "100 percent", "reinforced concrete" games for tomorrow, regardless of the value and the odds? I need a ±2.00 parlay and I have several games in my mind but wanted to see others' ideas.

 

No certainties in this sport, but if I was looking for a parlay around Evs, I'd go with

a treble of Wawrinka / Monfils / Edmund   (pays around 10/11) 

 

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7 hours ago, darko08 said:

Katie Swan to beat Laura Siegemund at 1.90 with bet365

Laura is a pure claycourter. Her W/L record on grass is 5-6 and this will be her first match on grass this season so she comes here without preparation. Katie has a W/L record of 8-17 and she has already played 4 matches on this surface. She only won one of those matches (against Parmentier in straight sets) but the other ones were so close. 

I was thinking to bet Shelby Rogers (vs Kontaveit) at 3.00 but I'm not sure how she will be physically after retiring in the third set of her last match against Bencic. If she's fit I'm sure she will have high chances for winning this but I will not take the risk.

Marcos Giron to beat Feliciano Lopez at 4.00 with William Hill

I have to prove this. I think Feli has become absolutely overrated after his wins in Queens. He's 37 years old and i have a lot of doubts that he's body is prepared for 4/5 set matches. Its true that he played so well in Queens but don't forget that he played one less match because Delpo's injury. Giron has already win 3 matches here (De Greef, Hoang and Galovic) dropping only 1 set.

 

It will be her first match on grass since Wimbledon 2016!

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4 hours ago, owenclass said:

What does anyone here think of Venus losing to the fifteen year old kid in the first round 

Can't see it myself. I expected Venus to be about this price. Like @CzechPunter says it comes down to her nerves. She said after a recent win she didn't feel any nerves but she was playing a player ranked #251 I think. 

Now she's playing her idol, on her favourite surface at one of the biggest tournaments. I think she will feel nerves. If she doesn't she's a freak lol

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See? That's exactly what I'm talking about - Hercog drops from 1.90 to about 1.55 and she's losing smoothly at the moment. I don't know that's happening in 2019, but this occurrence seems to be more common than ever before for some reason that I just can't identify. Obviously still hoping that she can turn things around, but this is one of those things that have always seriously bugged me. I should just become a trader I guess.

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I definitely think it's worth going with Lajovac against Hurkacz, today @3.75 @uni or more. His movement on grass is bad and Lajovic is able to make him move... Value of the day for me. Lajovic didn't have luck with Wimbledon draws in recent years (Federer in 1st rnd 2018 and 2nd rnd 2017 - beat "previous" Tsitsipas before that), but this 1st round opponent is a chance for him. This is all based mainly on Hurkacz's bad movement on this surface, but with this price - I'm on it!

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Unfortunately I see good chances for all my fellow countrymen to be out of the tournement before the day ends. 

Verdasco shouldn't be an underdog vs Majchrzak - it must be sth with health issues of the Spaniard, but nevertheless - @2.06 unibet is okay for me for a good server (I saw him vs grass specialist Mannarino lately and I liked what I saw)

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2 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

See? That's exactly what I'm talking about - Hercog drops from 1.90 to about 1.55 and she's losing smoothly at the moment. I don't know that's happening in 2019, but this occurrence seems to be more common than ever before for some reason that I just can't identify. Obviously still hoping that she can turn things around, but this is one of those things that have always seriously bugged me. I should just become a trader I guess.

Easy win for Hercog :lol On a separate note, if anyone wanted or needed proof that tennis betting is an absolute minefield then look no further than Pliskova's match taking place now. She's into a second set tie-break and has been caused all kinds of problems by a player she was 1.03, at best, to beat. And that's after she took the title at Eastbourne where she destroyed reigning Wimbledon champion Kerber in the final.

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Cori Gauff to beat Venus Wiliams at 4.30 with Betfair

This is the second time I back Cori to win and I know this girl got game. It's a huge game she has that can carry her a long way. Maybe to the top of the game beating even Serena Williams in number of Grand slam titles. If she's that good, she'll easily beat Venus today.

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Parlay at 8.38 with Betfair

Cori Gauff to beat Venus Williams at 4.30

Go Coco go!

Miomir Kecmanovic/Roberto Carballes Baena, Miomir to win first set and win the match 1.95

Let's hope Miomir comes into this with full speed ahead because I don't know what to expect from him or his opponent RCB. Miomir could be like in Antalya and go unbroken for 6 sets so if that's the case he should find a break to win first set. The match he should also win ofcourse but how I got no clue.

Edited by four-leaf

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4 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:

Unreal from Gauff! And I officially hate Mr. Granollers.

Agree an unreal performance from Gauff considering her age - but an awful performance from Venus. So many unforced errors. Without those I don't think Gauff would have won.

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Lorenzo Musetti to beat Yosuke Watanuki at 2.70 with Betfair

In Recanati there's a challenger going on and Lorenzo has a match that looks like a tough draw for him but I honestly don't think so and can't understand the odds on this one. Lorenzo won Junior Aussie open so he can play on hardcourt. He may have played on clay last week but I'm not so worried about his change of surface because the guy is allround and his opponent the japanese Yosuke doesn't scare me at all.

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Zidansek to beat Bouchard 2-0 at 2.25 with Bet365

I know Bouchard is capable of a big performance but i dont see it here. Her fitness is always questionable and on top of that she is on a 5 match losing streak with her last two performances being dreadful. Straight set win is always a risk but i think the odds are worth a try.

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6 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

Well, apparently the players are saying that it's among the slowest ever. Shouldn't have rushed to take so many bets without knowing that, obviously someone like Sonego is going to suffer from that. Should help Garin and Schwartzman though.

and Basilashvili,  not that he'll need much help beating the woeful Ward.

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22 hours ago, Tennis Picks said:

It will be her first match on grass since Wimbledon 2016!

Not playing on grass didnt seem to hurt Collins. Siegemund can play great defense and has a nice BH slice, likes to attack and has power. GL but I'm going the other way on this one. 

I also think with the courts playing slower Parmentier is going to play Smashova close and even win. I'm going for the upset! +385

 

Also think Bouchard is being written off against an overrated Zidansek. 

These early rounds it's smarter to parlay favorites but these are just a couple of the upsets that I like. I'm parlaying several pairs, will try and post when I finish organizing them.

 

Bouchard

Parmentier

Two extremely unpopular plays.

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