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BillyHills

2019 Monaco Grand Prix

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Monaco GP (2.10pm Sunday)

  • 11 of the last 13 races have been won from the front row
  • 9 pole sitters have won the race since 2006
  • 10 out of the last 13 years have seen a Safety Car (virtual last year)
  • Monaco is Red Bull Racing's most successful track with 5 wins since 2010
  • Ferrari have only won here once in the 15 years
  • Average number of retirements per race since 2006 is 5.7

 

Stats

Screen Shot 2019-05-20 at 20.02.18.png

 

 

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Early betting @ bet365

Screen Shot 2019-05-20 at 20.22.45.png

 

Screen Shot 2019-05-20 at 20.23.05.png

 

Screen Shot 2019-05-20 at 20.23.24.png

 

Under 15.5 looks a reasonable bet at 5/6 although last year we only had one retirement before the 90% cut off period. I think that was a one off to be honest and this bet looks the value to me.

Max Verstappen is backable at 7/2 considering he is 8/15 to get on the podium.

A Safety Car is 1/8 this year, again last year was a fluke.

:ok

 

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Monaco GP

So Hamilton pulls a rabbit out of the hat and grabs pole for yet another Mercedes front row lockout.
Lewis is an unbackable 1/3 shot to lead all of the way and this 78 lap traffic jam.
I feel for Bottas as he was going quickest for most of the session and now finds himself stuck behind the best driver at Monaco in the race. He's a 4/1 shot to get past Hamilton so basically your betting 4/1 for Hamilton to retire??

Max Verstappen is now a 6/1 shot but is as short as 4/11 to finish on the podium so maybe the value has swung towards Vettel in this market who is a tempting 6/5 shot. H surely cant have another bad day like today, can he??

I'm struggling to see how Pierre Gasly is 4/7 to finish in the top 6 when Riccardo is 11/8, Gasly has a 3 place grid penalty to starts 8th while the Aussie starts 6th?? Leclerc who starts 16th is 13/8, that will be worth seeing if he finishes 6th!!!

Lance Stroll struggles here and his car is pretty slow so backing him at 2/1 not to finish is worth a small bet to keep me interested in what could be a dull race.

Bets

Verstappen 7/2
Under 15.5 5/6

Vettel Top 3 6/5
Ricciardo Top 6 11/8
Stroll DNF 2/1
 

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