Announcements
*** June Competition Winners: Well done to Le Male (NAPS), Coco69 (KO Cup), Saddlesore (Royal Ascot) & Like2Fish (Poker) ***
*** New Last Man Standing Competition - Win up to £1500 Annually - See Competitions Forum ***
Sign in to follow this  
Darran

Point-To-Point Bumper - 8.50 Aintree

Recommended Posts

Dino Bay won the race at Woodford last month that he was 2nd in on debut last year. His jumping isn't the best so no jumps will be a help here.
 
Durouyn is in the sales next week so a bold showing here will help the price. Won well on debut in a bumper at Hereford and was a second quicker than You Too Bonny Lass carrying 13lbs more so he is clearly useful.
 
Eden Collonges isn't the best of jumpers and did win his maiden over 2m4f. Most exposed of these though and others should improve past him.
 
Merchant House won the Exeter version of these and he clearly enjoys the lack of fences given he won a bumper at Barbury in December, but failed to win over fences in points. Stayed on strongly that day and I just wonder if this flat track will pay to his strengths as much. I also have the suspicion this is a stronger race, but you certainly have to respect his claims.
 
Bird On The Wire went for £50k at the sales, but his winning time at Brafield was nothing special given he was getting 18lbs in allowances. Only just beat Mount Nelly on debut in a bumper at Barbury and that suggest he will have to find more improvement to land this.
 
Garry Clermont went for a huge £150k at the sales and he was an impressive winner at Bangor over 3m on debut. Was getting 21lbs that day though and the 2nd who was beaten 15L was 3rd in the Heart Of All England at Hexham so the form is OK. This obviously a very different test, but he clearly has to be respected.
 
Quinta Do Mar won in a time 4 seconds quicker than the other division of the bumper on the card, but it doesn't look the strongest heat he won. Respect connections though, but I prefer the chances of others.
 
Tom O'Roughley was left alone to win last time and even then he refused at the last. He shouldn't be winning this.
 
Granny's Secret won on debut at Bangor and in a 5 second quicker time than the other division of the bumper which was won by Whenhellbrokeloose. Went unsold at the sales and if we use Whenhellbrokeloose as a guide it suggests she has a bit to find. Gave her jockey his first winner in that victory.
 
Mount Nelly was solid enough at Exeter, but hard to see her turning tables on the winner let alone winning this.
 
Roseisaroseisarose made a good debut at Barbury when a mistake 2 out cost her the race. The winner was a fairly exposed one though so the form doesn't look anything special.
 
Ever since You Too Bonny Lass won on her debut at Hereford I have been hoping she would get entered in this. As I mentioned above she did win in a slightly slower time than Duroyn, but for me she was way more impressive. First of all she won by a massive 28L hard held and the way she quickened clear of the rest about 2 furlongs out was really eye-catching. Two more key things. First of all I know connections of the 2nd home think a lot about their horse and I think they were expecting to win that day. He has won since. Secondly connections of this one suspected they had a very good horse on their hands. She gets all the allowances here plus Bryan Carver gets to take 5 more pounds off her back.
 
Garry Clermont is certainly respected and no doubt Merchant House will give it a good go to follow up the Exeter win, but I have to be with You Too Bonny Lass after her really impressive display at Hereford. She proved that day she has a turn of foot and I really like her for this. It is worth having a saver on the other Hereford winner Durouyn as well given he did clock a quicker time and is clearly decent as well.
 
You Too Bonny Lass 2pts e/w @ 10/1 with Betfair and Paddy Power
Durouyn 0.5pts e/w @ 12/1 with Bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, yossa6133 said:

Come in a lot already, I've done a win bet @ 11/2.

Yes knew it would so had to post earlier than ideal tonight. Still think the current price is too big and I would suggest 2.5pts win now for anyone still wanting a bet.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this