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harry_rag

100 Value Bets

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Wakefield v Huddersfield:

9 points on Frawley to score a try at 5/1 with Lads

10 points on Caton-Brown to score 2 or more tries at 9/2 with Lads

10 points on McGillvary to score 2 or more tries at 4/1 with Lads

2 points each on the last 2 players to score a hat trick, both 25/1 with Hills

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Warrington v St Helens:

18 points on Lomax to score a try at 2/1 with 365

10 points on Costello to score a try at 4/1 with Skybet

10 points each on Charnley and Makinson to score 1st half tries, both 4/1 with Lads

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As updates go, not the most pleasant! Costello and McGillvary didn't feature but the rest all lost so 0/10.

1 winner from 15 bets (6.67%)

178 points staked, 50 points returned

-128 points

ROI -71.91%

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Nice early winner, might as well update now as that's it for today.

2 winner from 16 bets (12.5%)

198 points staked, 100 points returned

-98 points

ROI -49.49%

Edited by harry_rag
Corrected win %

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England Women v USA Women:

10 points on a header to be scored at 4/1 with Hills

This is listed as a "Double #Your Odds" bet (so requested by a customer and the odds have been doubled), but no suggestion of it being limited in time or stakes. I'd have been surprised to see anyone offer this at as big as 2/1 in the first place so am very happy to take 4/1.

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One for the early hours, Haiti v Mexico:

14 points on Antuna to score at 11/4 with PP/Sportsbook

Sub 2/1 elswhere, I'd say the true odds are somewhere in the middle. Has 4 goals so far (including a hat trick) and has started all 4 of Mexico's Gold Cup games so should, hopefully, start this game.

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Holland Women v Sweden Women:

12 points on Holland to score a headed goal at 7/2 Fred

6 points on a headed goal being scored at 2/1 Hills

We're not in the exalted realms of 4/1 about a headed goal like we were for last night's semi but this still appeals to me. Main juice is on the Holland header bet but happy to have a saver on the "any header" in case the Swede's score one with theirs!

There have been 28 headed goals in 49 games so far in the tournament. Only 2 have come in games involving Sweden (both for them against Thailand) but there have been 5 in Holland's 5 games (all for them). They scored 1 in each of their group games, none v Japan then 2 v Italy.

Anyone who likes a spread bet might prefer a buy of Holland's headed goal minutes at 13 with SPIN or 14 with SX (latter includes headed own goals, former doesn't). Holland's average thus far is 67 per game!

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Salford v Huddersfield:

24 points on Evalds to score a try at 11/10 and 10 on him to score one in the 1st half at 4/1, both with Lads

22 points on McGillvary to score a try at 5/4 with Skybet and 9 on him to score one in the 1st half at 9/2 with Lads

12 points on Lussick to score a try at 16/5 with PP

12 points on Wardle to score a try at 7/2 with Lads

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3 from 4 with Naden the only loser; 64 points risked and 154.5 returned for an 90.5 point profit.

7 winners from 32 bets (21.88%)

414 points staked, 358.5 points returned

-55.5 points

ROI -13.41%

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4 from 7 (Clare, Lomax, Wardle and Tomkins); 118 points risked and 206.75 returned for an 88.75 point profit.

11 winners from 39 bets (28.21%)

532 points staked, 565.25 points returned

+33.25 points

ROI 6.25%

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No joy with the early bets, gone for one in the later African Cup of Nations game.

Algeria v Nigeria:

10 points on Mahrez to score at 4/1 with Fred (under Sunday Football Specials)

Plenty of 16/5 knocking about which seems fair at worst; at 4/1 he's a bet for me. Might be the last time I go early on football if I manage to find another non-starter!

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A very late Mahrez goal saves the day and turns a potential 49 point loss into a 1 point profit.

12 winners from 42 bets (28.57%)

581 points staked, 615.25 points returned

+34.25 points

ROI 5.9%

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