100 Value Bets

[harry_rag]

Lebanon v Jamaica, 20 points on each.

Miski and Mansour 1st half try at 9/5

[harry_rag]

Tonga v Cook Islands:

20 points each on Tupou and Katoa for 1st half tries at 9/5 and 21/10

[harry_rag]

11 wins from 19 bets since the last update for a profit of 179.5 points.

25 winners from the last 61 bets (40.98%). 1220 points returns 1160 for a loss of 60 points with an ROI of -4.92%

Overall total for the thread now looks like this.

350 winners from 961 bets (36.42%). 16934.5 points returns 16804.63 for a loss of 129.87 points with an ROI of -0.77%

[harry_rag]

PNG v Wales: 20 points each on:

Tai 1st half try at 11/5 and Johnston 1st half try at 13/5

[harry_rag]

No joy with the last couple of bets.

20 points on Addo-Carr 1st half try for Australia v Lebanon at 7/5 with Lads.

[harry_rag]

20 points on Young 1st half try at 19/10 with Lads (England v PNG)

[harry_rag]

2 losers followed by 2 winners since the last update. 4 for New Zealand against Fiji, 20 points each on:

Mulitalo at 21/10

Rapana at 5/2

Manu at 14/5

Hughes at 18/5

[harry_rag]

3 wins from 8 bets since the last update for a profit of 8 points.

28 winners from the last 69 bets (40.58%). 1380 points returns 1328 for a loss of 52 points with an ROI of -3.77%

Overall total for the thread now looks like this.

353 winners from 969 bets (36.43%). 17094.5 points returns 16972.63 for a loss of 121.87 points with an ROI of -0.71%

[harry_rag]

20 points on 4-6 cards shown in Rangers v Celtic at 11/10 with Hills

[alexcaruso808]

1 hour ago, harry_rag said:

20 points on 4-6 cards shown in Rangers v Celtic at 11/10 with Hills

no cards yet....what is going on???

[harry_rag]

4 minutes ago, alexcaruso808 said:

no cards yet....what is going on???

Yeah, 29 League and Cup games since Rangers returned to the SPL and one with 2 yellows and two with 3 yellows have been the lowest totals till now.

[harry_rag]

Just 2 yellows in added time. That's 4 Old Firm games this ref has handled, showing 14 yellow cards, all bar one of them in the second half.

[harry_rag]

20 points on a card in the 1st 15 minutes of Estoril v Casa Pia at 11/4 with Hills

[harry_rag]

20 points on 4-6 cards shown in S Lisbon v Porto at 13/5 with Hills

This ref has handled 5 meetings between the teams and all have seen 4 or 5 cards. He's handled 15 other "big 3" games (These 2 against Benfica) and shown 4-6 cards in 5 of them. In the last 3 seasons he's "middled" 19 out of 42 games. 8 of the last 20 league meetings between the teams (3 of the last 10) have seen 4-6 cards shown. Anything can happen here, could be bust by half time, but I'm happy that the price represents value.

[harry_rag]

1 win from 3 bets since the last update for a profit of 12 points.

29 winners from the last 72 bets (40.28%). 1440 points returns 1400 for a loss of 40 points with an ROI of -2.78%

Overall total for the thread now looks like this.

354 winners from 972 bets (36.42%). 17154.5 points returns 17044.63 for a loss of 109.87 points with an ROI of -0.64%

[harry_rag]

20 points on 4-6 cards shown in Lyon v Grenoble at 6/4 with Hills

Unusual for me to take this bet in a game where the spreads are just under 40 but the ref is Frappart and she has a particularly strong tendency towards a middling number of cards when officiating mens' games,

[harry_rag]

20 points on 4-6 cards shown in Porto v Santa Clara at 6/4 with Hills

Looks big based on ref stats and head to head games since Santa Clara made it into the top flight. Much closer to a coin toss for me.

[harry_rag]

10 points on Djokovic to win his 1st round match 3-0 at evens with Hills (“Epic Odds” boost from 1/4, around 1.36 on the Exchange).

Time to get this thread to 1000 bets (28 to go) and wrap it up. Any bet that strikes me as clear value (including some of these type of super boost) barring existing system bets.

[harry_rag]

Hull v Castleford: 10 points on Barron to score a try at 9/4 with Fred.

Shorter everywhere else, odds on in places. Try minutes at 30-34 with SX.

Should be 6/4 at most in my opinion.

[harry_rag]

10 points on McIlroy top 20 finish in The Open at evens with Hills.

 

[harry_rag]

2 wins from 5 bets since the last update (Djokovic and McIlroy) for a loss of 30 points.

31 winners from the last 77 bets (40.26%). 1510 points returns 1440 for a loss of 70 points with an ROI of -4.64%

Overall total for the thread now looks like this.

356 winners from 977 bets (36.44%). 17224.5 points returns 17084.63 for a loss of 139.87 points with an ROI of -0.81%

[harry_rag]

10 points on Paddington to win the 3:55 at Goodwood at evens with Hills

[harry_rag]

10 points on >0.5 1st half goals in Sheffield Wednesday v Southampton at evens with Hills.

[harry_rag]

20 points on >3.5 games going to extra time in the Women's World Cup at 11/10 with Sky Bet.

I thought the bet was value at evens before the tournament and it shortened after I took it but has drifted again, presumably on the back of some "lesser" teams getting through the group stage.

16 knockout games to come (15 if you discount the 3rd place play off) and I think it's more likely than not that we see at least 4 go beyond 90 minutes.

[harry_rag]

10 points on Man City to beat Burnley at evens with Hills

[harry_rag]

5 points on Man U to beat Wolves at evens with Lads

My weekly "fanzone" boost (I'm not a United fan but picked them for my team for this offer). 

[harry_rag]

10 points on >1 goal in Leeds v West Brom at evens with Hills

[harry_rag]

10 points on Ryan Moore to ride a winner at York today at evens with Hills

[harry_rag]

5 points on Man U to beat Forest at evens with Lads. I guess it's a value boost though I'd hardly be trusting them with my mortgage at the moment given the lack of goal threat!

[harry_rag]

48 minutes ago, harry_rag said:

5 points on Man U to beat Forest at evens with Lads. I guess it's a value boost though I'd hardly be trusting them with my mortgage at the moment given the lack of goal threat!

Started well!