100 Value Bets

[harry_rag]

Lebanon v Jamaica, 20 points on each.

Miski and Mansour 1st half try at 9/5

[harry_rag]

Tonga v Cook Islands:

20 points each on Tupou and Katoa for 1st half tries at 9/5 and 21/10

[harry_rag]

11 wins from 19 bets since the last update for a profit of 179.5 points.

25 winners from the last 61 bets (40.98%). 1220 points returns 1160 for a loss of 60 points with an ROI of -4.92%

Overall total for the thread now looks like this.

350 winners from 961 bets (36.42%). 16934.5 points returns 16804.63 for a loss of 129.87 points with an ROI of -0.77%

[harry_rag]

PNG v Wales: 20 points each on:

Tai 1st half try at 11/5 and Johnston 1st half try at 13/5

[harry_rag]

No joy with the last couple of bets.

20 points on Addo-Carr 1st half try for Australia v Lebanon at 7/5 with Lads.

[harry_rag]

20 points on Young 1st half try at 19/10 with Lads (England v PNG)

[harry_rag]

2 losers followed by 2 winners since the last update. 4 for New Zealand against Fiji, 20 points each on:

Mulitalo at 21/10

Rapana at 5/2

Manu at 14/5

Hughes at 18/5

[harry_rag]

3 wins from 8 bets since the last update for a profit of 8 points.

28 winners from the last 69 bets (40.58%). 1380 points returns 1328 for a loss of 52 points with an ROI of -3.77%

Overall total for the thread now looks like this.

353 winners from 969 bets (36.43%). 17094.5 points returns 16972.63 for a loss of 121.87 points with an ROI of -0.71%

[harry_rag]

20 points on 4-6 cards shown in Rangers v Celtic at 11/10 with Hills

[alexcaruso808]

1 hour ago, harry_rag said:

20 points on 4-6 cards shown in Rangers v Celtic at 11/10 with Hills

no cards yet....what is going on???

[harry_rag]

4 minutes ago, alexcaruso808 said:

no cards yet....what is going on???

Yeah, 29 League and Cup games since Rangers returned to the SPL and one with 2 yellows and two with 3 yellows have been the lowest totals till now.

[harry_rag]

Just 2 yellows in added time. That's 4 Old Firm games this ref has handled, showing 14 yellow cards, all bar one of them in the second half.

[harry_rag]

20 points on a card in the 1st 15 minutes of Estoril v Casa Pia at 11/4 with Hills

[harry_rag]

20 points on 4-6 cards shown in S Lisbon v Porto at 13/5 with Hills

This ref has handled 5 meetings between the teams and all have seen 4 or 5 cards. He's handled 15 other "big 3" games (These 2 against Benfica) and shown 4-6 cards in 5 of them. In the last 3 seasons he's "middled" 19 out of 42 games. 8 of the last 20 league meetings between the teams (3 of the last 10) have seen 4-6 cards shown. Anything can happen here, could be bust by half time, but I'm happy that the price represents value.

[harry_rag]

1 win from 3 bets since the last update for a profit of 12 points.

29 winners from the last 72 bets (40.28%). 1440 points returns 1400 for a loss of 40 points with an ROI of -2.78%

Overall total for the thread now looks like this.

354 winners from 972 bets (36.42%). 17154.5 points returns 17044.63 for a loss of 109.87 points with an ROI of -0.64%

[harry_rag]

20 points on 4-6 cards shown in Lyon v Grenoble at 6/4 with Hills

Unusual for me to take this bet in a game where the spreads are just under 40 but the ref is Frappart and she has a particularly strong tendency towards a middling number of cards when officiating mens' games,