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PSG v Man C20 points on 4-6 cards shown at 23/20

Had a look at this game despite it being out of my usual "catchment area" (best sell price is 44 and I normally look at games that are 45+) and think this is a decent bet based on ref Brych's stats.

I make it that, over the last 5 seasons, 16 of his 26 CL games have landed in the middle band. The bet would have been profitable in 4 of those 5 seasons with more than half the games obliging. Last season saw none from 5 though. If you just look at knockout stage games over those 5 seasons it's 9 from 13.

I'd want bigger odds for his domestic games where he tends to go lower but, in the CL, I think it's worth backing him to "middle" at odds against.

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Oi, get orrf my thread! 

1 winner from 3 bets (33.33%) 45 points staked, 52.5 points returned +7.25 points ROI 16.11%

You're too kind, literally!  One does ones best though! Will see if any selections for today.

Barcelona v Granada: 20 points on 4-6 cards shown at 23/20, 20 points on >40 booking points at 5/4 PP and 10 on >5.5 cards shown at 13/5 with Uni

Another game that falls 1 below my usual 45 point radar but I had a close look at. Just about a bet for the 4-6 cards at the price, but a strong selection for the 2 overs bets. I make it ref Pablo Gonzalez Fuertes "middled" in 19 out of 37 games over the last 2 season but went >40 points in 29 of them and >5.5 cards in 24 of them.

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2 out of 2 on Wednesday but just 1 from 4 yesterday (the 4-6 cards bet in the Spanish game).

4 x 20 point singles on the following for 4-6 cards shown.

Celta Vigo v Levante 23/20
Pacos Ferreira v Belenenses 11/10
Guimaraes v Moreirense 11/10
Porto v Famalicao 11/10
 

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4 out of 7 yesterday (losers at Villareal, Granada and Sampdoria). 16 winners from 28 bets this week for a profit of 133 points.

22 winners from the last 38 bets (57.14%). 750 points returns 937 for a profit of 187 points with an ROI of 24.93%

Overall total for the thread now looks like this.

251 winners from 738 bets (34.01%). 12474.5 points returns 12460.63 for a loss of 13.87 points with an ROI of -0.11%

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Just 2 winners from 8 bets this week (the games at Nantes and Barcelona) for a loss of 73 points.

24 winners from the last 46 bets (52.17%). 910 points returns 1024 for a profit of 114 points with an ROI of 12.53%

Overall total for the thread now looks like this.

253 winners from 746 bets (33.91%). 12634.5 points returns 12547.63 for a loss of 86.87 points with an ROI of -0.69%

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