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harry_rag

100 Value Bets

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7 hours ago, harry_rag said:

Clermont v Lyon

Moala to score a try at 4/1 PP or 365

10 points on that one, as per the standard stake to return 50 points. Also a try for 5/1 Morgan and a goal for 2/1 Parris. Frustratingly, the BBC left me labouring under the misapprehension that 6/1 Abdull had also scored a try for London. Despite that, 3 winners from 10 still makes for a modest 9.5 points profit. And I've broken the duck on non-Rugby League winners as well.

17 winners from 47 bets (36.17%)

784.5 points staked, 949.4 points returned

+164.9 points

ROI 21.02%

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Argentina Women v Japan Women:

25 points on 20+ bookings points for Argentina at evens Skybet

A definite odds on shot for me. Happy to take their prices for the higher bands as well but this is the bet that I feel is most demonstrably value.

 

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On 6/9/2019 at 8:51 PM, harry_rag said:

10 points on that one, as per the standard stake to return 50 points. Also a try for 5/1 Morgan and a goal for 2/1 Parris. Frustratingly, the BBC left me labouring under the misapprehension that 6/1 Abdull had also scored a try for London. Despite that, 3 winners from 10 still makes for a modest 9.5 points profit. And I've broken the duck on non-Rugby League winners as well.

17 winners from 47 bets (36.17%)

784.5 points staked, 949.4 points returned

+164.9 points

ROI 21.02%

Woo going well!!

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Just under a month in and the half century is reached. Castleford v St Helens:

14 points on Aston to score a try at 11/4 Betway

16 points on Kelly to score a try at 9/4 PP

12.5 points on Eden to score a try in the 1st half at 3/1 with Lads

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Australia Women v Brazil Women:

20 points on Kerr to score at 6/4

5 points on Kerr to score 2 or more at 9/1

3 points on Kerr to score in both halves at 16/1

1 point on Kerr to score a hat trick at 50/1

All with Lads (the anytime price available with a few firms). Spreads seem right in having her much closer to an even money shot to score, all the fixed odds prices about her look a little generous to me.

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Can't believe Aus scored 3 and none for Kerr but Marta obliged for Brazil and Kelly scored a try (3 to be precise). 2 from 8, 86.5 points risked and 104.5 returned for an 18 point profit.

19 winners from 57 bets (33.33%)

918 points staked, 1053.9 points returned

+135.9 points

ROI 14.8%

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No joy so far today, Shaw still playing.

Leeds v Wigan:

12.5 points on Williams to score a try at 3/1 with 888

25 points on Burgess to score a try at evens with PP

8 points on Burgess to score 2 or more tries at 6/1 with Lads

12 points on Hurrell to score a first half try at 7/2 with Lads

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As Jags/Sunwolves doesn't start till 11.10 I'll include it in tomorrow's results. That makes it 3 from 9 today with all 3 St Helens players scoring by half time. 142.5 points risked and 152.5 returned for a 10 point profit.

22 winners from 66 bets (33.33%)

1060.5 points staked, 1206.4 points returned

+145.9 points

ROI 13.76%

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Catalans v London:

12.5 points on Yaha to score 2 or more tries at 3/1 with Fred

4 points on Yaha to score a hat trick at 14/1 with Lads

20 points on Tomkins to score a try at 13/8 with Lads

20 points on Gigot to score a try at 13/8 with Lads 

20 points on Romano to score a try at 7/4 with Fred

10 points on Kasiano to score a try at 9/2 with Lads

10 points on Pitts to score a try at 9/2 with Lads

9 points on Dixon to score a first half try at 5/1 with Lads

A lot of bets on one game but that's after I whittled down the shortlist!

 

 

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All done for today, 3 from 11 courtesy of Masirewa and Yaha's brace and hat trick. 142.5 points risked and 162 returned for a 19.5 point profit.

25 winners from 77 bets (32.47%)

1203 points staked, 1368.4 points returned

+165.4 points

ROI 13.75%

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Sweden Women v Thailand Women:

12.5 Rolfo to score 2 or more at 3/1 and 5 points on the hat trick at 12/1

Same bets on Seger and Anvegard; 6 points each on 2 or more at 15/2 and 1 point each on the hat trick at 50/1

All with Lads

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