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100 Value Bets


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Looks like the sprinkler system kicked in as the last 4 bets all lost! :)

That makes the latest batch of 100 3 wins from 7 with 154 points returning 156 for a 2 point profit. I'll take that after 4 straight losers!

This is how things stood at the 600 bet mark.

36 winners from the last 100 bets (36%). 2083 points returns 1833.85 for a loss of 249.15 points with an ROI of -11.96%

Overall total for the thread now looks like this.

184 winners from 600 bets (30.67%). 9727 points returns 9524.36 for a loss of 202.64 points with an ROI of -2.08%

Intent is to carry on to 1000 bets with aim of getting the bank back into the black. Stop loss set at 500 points.

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Burnley v C Palace: 12.5 points on Batshuayi to score at 4.1 on BF. 4 points on him to get an assist at 12/1 with Lads.

Was going to back him to score at 5/2 which would have struck me as a decent bet for an interest. Too big at that price. Also don't think his assist price should be that much bigger than his anytime price.

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Won in Italy but lost in Spain yesterday. Decent week with 4 winners from 8 selections and 154.5 points returning 202.5 for a profit of 48 points.

7 winners from the last 15 bets (46.67%). 308.5 points returns 358.5 for a profit of 50 points with an ROI of 16.21%

Overall total for the thread now looks like this.

191 winners from 615 bets (31.06%). 10035.5 points returns 9882.86 for a loss of 152.64 points with an ROI of -1.52%

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Spurs v Arsenal:

23 points on >4.5 cards shown at 6/5 365 and `5 on >5.5 cards shown at 5/2 888. Plenty of 11/10 and 23/20 about the >4.5 bet.

For me, the first bet should be odds on and the second 2/1 at the very most. Positives are recent history in the fixture and the fact that the spreads are high enough to suggest those prices are generous. Atkinson not the ideal ref appointment but he has to respond to how the game plays out and I trust him to do the job assuming the teams play as expected.

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No joy yesterday, shame I didn't make it a week off! 38 points lost from the 2 losing bets (stake on >5.5 cards was 15 as per usual staking plan, not 5).

7 winners from the last 17 bets (41.18%). 346.5 points returns 358.5 for a profit of 512 points with an ROI of 3.46%

Overall total for the thread now looks like this.

191 winners from 617 bets (30.96%). 10073.5 points returns 9882.86 for a loss of 190.64 points with an ROI of -1.89%

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Another 0 from 2 week, loss of 31 points.

7 winners from the last 19 bets (36.84%). 377.5 points returns 358.5 for a loss of 19 point with an ROI of -5.03%

Overall total for the thread now looks like this.

191 winners from 619 bets (30.86%). 10104.5 points returns 9882.86 for a loss of 221.64 points with an ROI of -2.19%

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The last 2 bets both bust by one card so 2 from 4 for the week, 93 points returns 100.8 for a profit of 7.8 points.

9 winners from the last 23 bets (39.13%). 470.5 points returns 459.3 for a loss of 11.2 point with an ROI of -2.38%

Overall total for the thread now looks like this.

193 winners from 623 bets (30.98%). 10197.5 points returns 9983.66 for a loss of 213.84 points with an ROI of -2.1%

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  • 2 weeks later...

The last 2 bets both lost so a 48 point loss since the last update.

9 winners from the last 25 bets (36%). 518.5 points returns 459.3 for a loss of 59.2 point with an ROI of -11.42%

Overall total for the thread now looks like this.

193 winners from 625 bets (30.88%). 10245.5 points returns 9983.66 for a loss of 261.84 points with an ROI of -2.56%

Not sure of the relevance of this thread now that I'm tracking the performance of all the bets I post on here in the Glory Hunt section but I'll keep it open for now. It feel like I should at least make it to the next 100 before I retire it.

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2 from 6 (the games at Elche and Granada) since the last update. 134 points returns 102.2 for a 31.8 point loss.

11 winners from the last 31 bets (35.48%). 652.5 points returns 561.5 for a loss of 91 points with an ROI of -13.95%

Overall total for the thread now looks like this.

195 winners from 631 bets (30.9%). 10379.5 points returns 10085.86 for a loss of 293.64 points with an ROI of -2.83%

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  • 2 weeks later...

Last bet lost.

11 winners from the last 32 bets (34.38%). 675.5 points returns 561.5 for a loss of 114 points with an ROI of -16.88%

Overall total for the thread now looks like this.

195 winners from 632 bets (30.85%). 10402.5 points returns 10085.86 for a loss of 316.64 points with an ROI of -3.04%

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Another week with just a single, losing, bet.

11 winners from the last 33 bets (33.33%). 697.5 points returns 561.5 for a loss of 136 points with an ROI of -19.5%

Overall total for the thread now looks like this.

195 winners from 633 bets (30.81%). 10424.5 points returns 10085.86 for a loss of 338.64 points with an ROI of -3.25%

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