harry_rag Posted September 18, 2020 Author Share Posted September 18, 2020 Another loss last night. Catalans v Salford: 10 points on Lolohea to score a try at 17/4 with Lads Leeds v Hull KR: 19 points on Ryan to score a try at 7/4 with Fred and 10 on Parcell to score a try at 17/4 with Lads Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 19, 2020 Author Share Posted September 19, 2020 Celta Vigo v Valencia: 25 points on 4-6 cards shown at 21/20 with Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 19, 2020 Author Share Posted September 19, 2020 Fiorentina v Torino: 25 points on 4-6 cards shown at 21/20 with Hills Verona v Roma: 25 points on 4-6 cards shown at 21/20 with Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 20, 2020 Author Share Posted September 20, 2020 A loss at Verona but the other 2 bets were winners yesterday. Betis v Valladolid: 25 points on 4-6 cards shown at 21/20 with Hills Genoa v Crotone: 24 points on 4-6 cards shown at 11/10 with Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 20, 2020 Author Share Posted September 20, 2020 Newcastle v Brighton: 15 points on WIlson to score at 5/2 with Fred Daily special boosted price that edges him into value territory for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 21, 2020 Author Share Posted September 21, 2020 Just 4 from 12 this week, all 4 from 7 cards bets. 237 points staked and 203.3 returned for a 33.7 point loss. Overall record now looks like this. 32 winners from 83 bets (38.55%). 1513.5 points returns 1639.95 for a profit of 126.45 points with an ROI of 8.35%. Overall total for the thread now looks like this. 141 winners from 483 bets (29.19%). 7334.5 points returns 7330.41 for a loss of 4.09 points with an ROI of -0.06%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 21, 2020 Author Share Posted September 21, 2020 AC Milan v Bologna: 24 points on 4-6 cards shown at 23/20 with Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 22, 2020 Author Share Posted September 22, 2020 No joy last night, two for tonight. Maccabi Tel Aviv v RB Salzburg: 24 points on 4-6 cards shown at 23/20 with Hills Slavia Prague v Midtylland: 24 points on 4-6 cards shown at 23/20 with Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 24, 2020 Author Share Posted September 24, 2020 0 from 3 for the week, hoping for a change of fortune with the RL tryscorer bets as they've been poor of late. Hull KR v Leeds:# 12.5 points on Brierley at 3/1 Lads 10 points on Tate at 4/1 365 10 points on Livett at 9/2 Hills 23 points on Myler at 6/5 Fred Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 24, 2020 Author Share Posted September 24, 2020 2 in the Hull v Salford game: 18 points on Shaul and 12.5 on Lolohea at 3/1, both with 888. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 24, 2020 Author Share Posted September 24, 2020 And, finally for the SL games, one in Castleford v Hull: 12.5 points on Blair at 3/1 PP (You may get 7/2 if able to get on with BF Sportsbook but 3/1 still ok.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 24, 2020 Author Share Posted September 24, 2020 2 out of 4 in the first game with Brierley and Myler obliging. One cards bet for later. Rosenbog v Alanyaspor: 24 points on 4-6 cards shown at 11/10 with Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 25, 2020 Author Share Posted September 25, 2020 Shaul the only further winner yesterday. 3 cards bets for today, 2 in Poland and one in Turkey. Gornik Zabrze v Wisla Krakow: 23 points on 4-6 cards shown at 5/4 with Hills Wisla Plock v Warta Poznan: 24 points on 4-6 cards shown at 23/20 with Hills Adanaspor v Keciorengucu: 25 points on 4-6 cards shown at 21/20 with Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 25, 2020 Author Share Posted September 25, 2020 All in the Wigan v Wakefield game tonight: 14 points on Powell to score a try at 11/4 BW 19 points on Johnstone to score a try at 7/4 PP and 10 points on him to score a 1st half try at 9/2 Lads 8 points on Westerman to score a try at 11/2 365 (5s elsewhere is fine). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 26, 2020 Author Share Posted September 26, 2020 4 from 7 yesterday (tries for Powell and, in the second half, Johnstone and Wisla Plock the only loser for cards). First bet for today. Torino v Atalanta: 24 points on 4-6 cards shown at 11/10 with Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 26, 2020 Author Share Posted September 26, 2020 No joy their, same again in the late Spanish game. Betis v R Madrid: 24 points on 4-6 cards shown at 11/10 with Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 27, 2020 Author Share Posted September 27, 2020 Last bet lost, same again on today’s early game. Osasuna v Levante: 24 points on 4-6 cards shown at 11/10 with Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 27, 2020 Author Share Posted September 27, 2020 Another loser, that bet seems to have gone a bit off the boil at the moment. 4 more selections across the remaining European action today. To save repetition, all bets are in the 4-6 cards shown market with Hills and all are 24 points at 11/10 unless stated otherwise. A Madrid v Granada: 24 points at 23/20 Cadiz v Sevilla Valladolid v Celta Vigo Roma v Juventus Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
agourbet Posted September 27, 2020 Share Posted September 27, 2020 On 9/3/2020 at 4:04 PM, harry_rag said: Hi, not sure if you mean how long have I been doing it for or how long do I intend doing it for so I'll answer both; thanks for taking an interest. The opening post will show when I started doing this specific thread along with the rationale for it, it's essentially a sample of my normal betting that clears a high hurdle in terms of my confidence that the price offers clear value (as opposed to my more "gut feel" bets that I still place a few of. I've been betting for years and soon became interested in the concept of value and framing my own "true" odds, inspired by the writings of "soccer boffin" Kevin Pullein in the Sporting Life and Racing Post. I've been posting on forums for quite a while and once did something similar to this (posting 100 bets at a time and seeing how it went) and got as far as posting over 8.000 bets with profit of just over 13,500 points but I got fed up of posting virtually every bet I placed so reined it in a bit. I don't think this thread will turn into quite such a saga! I'll make it to 500 and see how I feel at that point. Thank you for your response! I wish you good results with your project. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 28, 2020 Author Share Posted September 28, 2020 On 9/24/2020 at 2:40 PM, harry_rag said: 2 in the Hull v Salford game: 18 points on Shaul and 12.5 on Lolohea at 3/1, both with 888. Shaul was a 15/8 winner (not a contentious claim given bets are staked to return 50 points). A reasonable week this week with 10 winners from 25 bets (6 from 14 for the cards bets with 3 out of 4 in the last batch largely saving the day). 485.5 points staked and 512.5 returned for a 27 point profit. Overall record now looks like this. Last 100 finished with 39 winners. 1823 points returns 2000.05 for a profit of 177.05 points with an ROI of 9.71% Next 100 starts with 3 winners from 8 bets (37.5%). 176 points returns 152.4 for a loss of 23.6 points with an ROI of -13.41% Overall total for the thread now looks like this. 151 winners from 508 bets (29.72%). 7820 points returns 7842.91 for a profit of 22.91 points with an ROI of 0.29%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 28, 2020 Author Share Posted September 28, 2020 Bologna v Parma: 24 points on 4-6 cards shown at 11/10 with Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 29, 2020 Author Share Posted September 29, 2020 WInner last night. 4 bets tonight in the 3 CL qualifiers and a La Liga game. All on 4-6 cards with Hills. D Kiev v Gent: 25 points at 21/20 Ferencvaros v Molde: 25 points at 21/20 Omonia Nicosia v Olympiakos: 24 points at 11/10 Getafe v R Betis: 23 points at 6/5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 29, 2020 Author Share Posted September 29, 2020 Salford v Warrington: 15 points on Brand to score a try at 5/2 with 888 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 30, 2020 Author Share Posted September 30, 2020 Leeds v Catalans: 15 points on Briscoe to score a try at 5/2 with 888 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 30, 2020 Author Share Posted September 30, 2020 3 of the usual 4-6 cards bets with Hills at the stake and odds quoted. Midtylland v Slavia Prague: 25 points at 2.05 PAOK v Krasnodar: 22 points at 13/10 Lazio v Atalanta: 24 points at 11/10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 1, 2020 Author Share Posted October 1, 2020 Winners in the PAOK and Midtylland games last night. Three today, same bet. Rangers v Galatasaray: 25 points at 21/20 A Bilbao v Cadiz: 25 points at 21/10 Sevilla v Levante: 24 points at 11/10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 3, 2020 Author Share Posted October 3, 2020 0 from 3 yesterday. Same bet in 2 Spanish games today. Sociedad v Getafe: 22 points at 13/10 Elche v Huesca: 24 points at 23/20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 3, 2020 Author Share Posted October 3, 2020 Rabbitohs v Knights: 16 points on Best to score a try at 9/4 with PP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 4, 2020 Author Share Posted October 4, 2020 Best scored a try. Alaves v A Madrid: 24 points on 4-6 cards shown at 23/20 with Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 4, 2020 Author Share Posted October 4, 2020 Catalans v Wakefield: 20 points on Johnstone to score a try at 6/4 with 888 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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