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StevieDay1983

Championship Play-Off Predictions > May 14th & 15th

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The second legs of the Championship Play-Off Semi-Finals are coming up this week. Both ties are very finely poised with Aston Villa holding a 2-1 lead over West Brom and Leeds taking a 1-0 advantage into their game with Derby. Who do you think will reach the Final? Let us know your tips! :ok

@waynecoyne, @sajtion, @arvee, @canaries91, @Mindfulness, @betcatalog, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @CloughandTaylor, @Tiffy, @Gidds, @chris50, @PokerWolf1, @teddybear3011, @skyblues88, @allyhibs, @Icongene, @KikoCy, @willie82, @Neubs, @Papa Lazarou, @kulikTS, @Valkovets, @Pipoca, @padman, @Marek76, @silver fox, @neilovan, @HastGill1, @jazzman02, @andypaps28, @Kenton Schweppes, @rangers234, @newjack, @Kane91, @yossa6133, @The Sexless Innkeeper, @Xcout, @branskie, @Wanderer89, @Hitch, @four-leaf, @trevor8, @OppoArchitizerLady, and @the bastardian, what bets are you all looking at?

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Football Facts and Streaks regarding Championship play-off

West Bromwich have scored 2 goals or more in each of their last 5 home matches in Championship. (Championship play-off)
Aston Villa have scored in each of their last 13 matches in Championship. (Championship play-off)
West Bromwich have won their last 5 home matches in Championship. (Championship play-off)
Aston Villa have scored in 83% of their away matches in Championship. (Championship play-off)

You can find interesting 31 Football Betting Streaks for 14.05.2019 on this link ... https://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-and-streaks-14-05-2019-14319

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I´m also on Villa, but only on DNB. Without Gayle and Robson-Kanu - WBA only had Rodriguez in Front. For me little bit easier to Handle for Villa Defensive.  Also WestBrom must made the Game. Could be difficult in my opinion. My call is 0-1 or 0-2

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Known to everyone, what does a Championship team mean to go to the Premier League and what benefits are there for such a great event. We are currently in the semi-final phase of the barrage, and today we are expecting the rematch between West Brom and Aston Villa. The "peasants" were imposed on their seat Saturday afternoon with 2-1, reversing the scoring in the second half. A strong counter, not forgetting that it is a hate derby. The two teams will give them everything to qualify for the final and nothing can be ruled out. However, according to what we saw in the first game, the most likely betting scenario is to score both teams
WEST BROMWICH ALBION vs ASTON VILLA @@ Both team to score, oddds 1.62

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I'm going to wait for team news as the selection of Whelan or hourihane will give an indication of villa's approach.

If they pick Whelan then this is a more defensive option, if hourihane plays it will be a more open game (as demonstrated at the weekend).

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West Brom vs Aston Villa

This epic rivalry reaches its latest stage when West Brom look to overturn a 2-1 deficit at home against Aston Villa. Kick-off is scheduled for tonight at 8pm from the Hawthorns. The winners will qualify for the Championship Play-Off Final at Wembley which is touted as the most lucrative single game in world football.

West Brom will come into this game missing top scorer Dwight Gayle after he got sent off in the first leg. It's a huge miss for the Baggies but Jay Rodriguez will step into the void and the former Southampton front man does actually have a decent scoring record against the Villains.

Aston Villa have a full strength squad coming into this game. They will be looking to key players such as Jack Grealish and Tammy Abraham to guide them past this tricky match. Dean Smith's side should take confidence from the fact that 16 of the 18 previous teams to win their first leg have gone on to reach the Final in the Championship Play-Offs.

James Shan will look at previous encounters between these two sides to inspire his team. West Brom haven't lost against Villa at the Hawthorns in the past seven meetings. However, they are facing a Villa side that ended the season undefeated in their last seven league matches away.

This game could be too tight to call. As @waynecoyne rightly points out, it'll be interesting to see what approach Villa adopt. It could be dangerous to sit on their one goal lead but they know the Baggies will be coming at them. A sucker punch on the counter attack could be the difference. I'm favouring a draw with Villa qualifying on aggregate.

Draw @ 3.50 with Bet365

BTTS @ 1.65 with RedZone

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leeds v derby

Mateusz Klich has been yellow carded in 4 of the last 5 games. His card in the first leg was for a head butt which shows a lack of discipline. I will back him for a card at 11/4 (hills).

I have also bought jamie shackleton's goal minutes at 7 with spreadex. He looked lively when coming on as sub in  the first leg (void if does not start).

Edited by waynecoyne

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Leeds vs Derby

The Championship Play-Off Semi-Finals end tonight when Leeds look to play out their 1-0 advantage from the first leg against Derby in this 7:45pm kick-off at Elland Road. The winners of this tie will qualify to play Aston Villa for the right to be in the Premier League next season.

Leeds did enough to take the win in the away first leg but this tie is far from dead and buried. Kemar Roofe is the most noteworthy absentee from the Whites line-up. The former Oxford attacker has scored 4 goals in 3 games against the Rams this season so he'll be badly missed. The duo of Adam Forshaw and Pontus Jansson are also both likely to be missing for Marcelo Bielsa's side. Not ideal for the Yorkshire side.

Derby will be hoping their attacking riches will step up in this game having failed to breach the stern Leeds defence in the first leg at Pride Park. Frank Lampard has had an impressive first season in English league management. He'll possibly be without in-form Martyn Waghorn but it's hoped that Duane Holmes will be fit despite coming off injured in the first leg.

There is one daunting fact that does not bode well for Derby ahead of this game. No side that lost the first leg at home in the Championship Play-Off Semi-Finals has ever gone on to qualify for the Final. The Rams would have to buck the history books to qualify for the next phase at Wembley.

Bielsa's side have got the hoodoo over Derby having beaten them three times already this season. Derby have also been terrible on the road recently with just 1 win in their last 10 away games. I think all signs are pointing towards Leeds getting the job done here to set-up a mouth-watering showpiece event against Aston Villa for a place in the top flight.

Leeds to Win @ 1.75 with Betfred

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 2.11 with MarathonBet

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When derby had their good run early in the season-they were playing with marriott up front. I said before i cannot understand why lampard has favoured nugent over him if waghorn is unfit as he offers very little goal threat. If Nugent starts i would take this as a negative and fancy Leeds to win again, but the price is too short for me to get involved.

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Great game, way better than anything in the Prem! (more like the Prem used to be). Could be an absolute classic final if it's anything like last night. Still fancy Villa but I'll probably lay them to cover my stake.

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2 minutes ago, yossa6133 said:

Great game, way better than anything in the Prem! (more like the Prem used to be). Could be an absolute classic final if it's anything like last night. Still fancy Villa but I'll probably lay them to cover my stake.

i'm on both at 25/1 @yossa6133 higher stake on villa but happy with either

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  • Punters Lounge Forum Tips

    • ah just noticed I didn't have the price on Clarke. Few for tomorrow that look quite nice value. Hopefully a few of the coin flip deciding frames goes my way. 2pts L.Hang (-1.5 frames) to beat E.Slessor evens paddypower 2pts J.O'Connor to beat J.Perry 11/5 betfred 2pts C.Zifan to beat R.Walden 7/2 ladbrokes 2pts J.Cahill to beat D.Gilbert 2/1 ladbrokes 2pts M.Xiwen to beat Yuelong 7/4 ladbrokes Li Hang got a good result against Bingham without the need to score big. Slessor looked terrible in his loss at the Riga Masters. I would imagine Hang should be able to beat Slessor without too much lost. O'Connor is looking good right now and although Perry has beaten him in their 2 matches, Joe seems to be getting better with every game. Walden looks quite poor at the moment. Despite beating the youngster Si, he looked shaky and Zifan could pounce on that. Cahill should give Gilbert problems unless Gilbert is in form and I'm not sure this event will be high on his priorities. Finally, Xiwen would give Yuelong a good game on form. Yuelong is playing well, but 7/4 looks the value call.  
    • Doncaster 4.30    Socru    8-1 William Hill
    • Gowran Park, 14:40, Tony The Gent, 7/2 b365
    • Taking GS as an example is not fair.. If you look at smaller tournaments you can see there's about as mutch surprises in WTA and ATP. Anyways Elias Ymer to beat Corentin Moutet at 2.00 with Betfair I always like Elias in challenger finals. His record is quite awsome in such finals and I'm surprised to see Elias as the underdog here although a small one but he should be the favourite at around 1.70 instead of Corentin at 1.70. Elias is by far one of the best clay challenger players outthere for years now.
    • Sunday 16/06/2019  Doncaster 05:35 MAID IN MANHATTAN f/c. 15/8 stake = 10 pts WIN
    • Result Limerick 03:25 PIPER BOMB.....nowhere ( 7/1 ) Chester 03:45 ANGEL ALEXANDER.....1st..11/10 Rule 4 Applies @ 5% Todays Profit =  + 0.45 pts Current Years Profit 2019 =  + 119.62 pts.   (Years Profit 2018 = + 90.52 pts.) (Years Profit 2017 = - 73.44 pts.) (Years Profit 2016 = + 437.86 pts.) (Years Profit 2015 = + 18.52 pts.) (Years Loss 2014 = - 30.20 pts.) (Years Loss 2013 = - 105.06 pts.) (Years Profit 2012 = +127.65 pts.) (Years Loss 2011 = - 13.82 pts.) (Years Profit 2010 = +166.01 pts.) Bank = + 2621.00 pts. Profit = + 2521.00 pts   Current Winning Run =  1
    • very hard to trust this bet , betting on Qatar to not lose Risky , I feel cant set on my nervous 90 minutes with Qatar 😄  I know them and I Know their defense too  I maybe agree betting on Qatar 0.75 worth small stake but I dont feel good to bet on this one 
    • Uruguay vs Ecuador One of the more intriguing group stage matches is coming up this Sunday when Uruguay and Ecuador meet in an 11pm BST kick-off at the Estadio Mineirao in Belo Horizonte. Neither side has enjoyed much success in this competition over recent years so this opening game is a big chance to put those ghosts to rest. Uruguay remain under the management of Oscar Tabarez. It's now 13 years in charge of the national team for the experienced head coach. During his tenure at the helm, he's guided Uruguay to the 2011 Copa America title and a 4th placed finish in the 2010 World Cup and 2013 Confederations Cup. Unfortunately, in this competition they didn't even make it out of the group stage in 2016 and struggled to the Quarter-Finals in 2015. La Celeste do come into this tournament off the back of three wins with clean sheets kept in all three games. Admittedly, the opposition were only Panama, Thailand, and Uzbekistan. Ecuador are one of only two countries in South America to have never won the Copa America. La Tricolor's best performances were a 4th placed finish in both 1959 and 1993. They've only managed to navigate past the group stage once in the last seven tournaments. Hernan Dario Gomez's side come into this game without a win in their last 4 matches. I have a soft spot for Uruguay. On the day I went to get fitted for my wedding suit in 2012 it was when the Olympic Games were taking place. Uruguay had a game in Cardiff so the team was based there and I bumped into a few of them on Duke Street opposite the castle. They were all very pleasant including Tabarez. So on that basis I'm back them to win here. Well, not just that but I think they'll have too much for a weak Ecuador side. Uruguay -1 @ 3.50 with SpreadEx Uruguay HT/FT @ 3.00 with Ladbrokes @jazzman02, @real55555, @hristofor, @Peter_Portman, @Podosfairistis, @Niceguy, @markus808, @Feduloff, @clubgowi, @Neubs, @Hunter12, @salmonman, @JuMeSyn, @recklessrookie, @janesill, @Mustionown, @potus, @kevinjoh, @dinero, @Hutcho_CFC, @roveruk, @matrixman, @Jazzer Isaac, @Dylan Lynch, @Tiffy, @Kenton Schweppes, @MangoTheThird, @neilovan, @mcsilks, @Ameer, @thfc, @Roy The Boy, @Tim81, @sajtion, @newjack, @Gedkip, @Mindfulness, @Magic0024, @mijOsim, @canaries91, @waynecoyne, @allyhibs, @four-leaf, @Icongene, @malabgd, @Stevecw, @Xcout, @Teodore, @Bobby Vegas, @Darran, @DrO, @mtom, @KikoCy, @betcatalog, @immortal--, @allthethings, @DW_United, @Pipoca, @liamcorrigan86, @vasilli07, @Misa, @Pep004, @rOYS123, @thinkpink63, @ant8n, @BobEire, @RIOT88, @Power90, @Adley, @Alexc, @bastia, @Ameer. @Odyssey, and @Marek76, are any of you guys betting on these Group C matches?
    • Lola Paige 14.45 Doncaster 1 Pt Win @ 11\2 Bet365 Foaled February 25. 220,000 gns yearling, Galileo filly. Dam, maiden (stayed 1m), half-sister to smart winner up to 11f Tha'ir. Interesting newcomer. 
    • Celtic Manor 16.30 Doncaster 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog) Looks a typical progressive sort from his yard, winning 5f Windsor novice on return 3 weeks ago. Step back up to 6f should suit now handicapping and there's surely more to come.  Deburrafield 16.00 Downpatrick 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog) Fair hurdler. Very good second of 16 in handicap hurdle (25/1) at Ballinrobe (20.3f, good) 20 days ago, sticking to task. 
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