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Mike Ymer to beat Sascha Zverev at 6.40 with Pinnacle

Mike is the worst possible kind of opponent for Sascha right now aside from the top tier players. Mike plays his best tennis when nobody expects it from him and here I can see him taking his biggest win ever. I don't even think this would be such a big upset as it looks with Sascha in his current form.

Sascha seems to be desperate for form and confidence, thats why he has been playing so many tournaments and why he went to play a, for him, quite useless Geneva tournament ahead of Roland Garros. Sascha has played too mutch tennis lately and I think it could be his undoing in this match against the grinding Mike.

Mike had a great start in RG, he didn't play for two weeks until the qualifiers which was a very good choice to make and he got through them in three setters against Roberto Marcora, Johan Tatlot and Henri Laaksonen. He was in trouble in the second round against Johan Tatlot who was up 5-2 but Ymer is such a force to be reckoned with when he's at his best and he eventually won the match after saving 6 matchpoints.

They already met back in 2015 in Stockholm open and Sascha won then by 2-1 but I think I'll take my chances with Mike here.

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1 hour ago, four-leaf said:

Mike Ymer to beat Sascha Zverev at 6.40 with Pinnacle

Mike is the worst possible kind of opponent for Sascha right now aside from the top tier players. Mike plays his best tennis when nobody expects it from him and here I can see him taking his biggest win ever. I don't even think this would be such a big upset as it looks with Sascha in his current form.

Sascha seems to be desperate for form and confidence, thats why he has been playing so many tournaments and why he went to play a, for him, quite useless Geneva tournament ahead of Roland Garros. Sascha has played too mutch tennis lately and I think it could be his undoing in this match against the grinding Mike.

Mike had a great start in RG, he didn't play for two weeks until the qualifiers which was a very good choice to make and he got through them in three setters against Roberto Marcora, Johan Tatlot and Henri Laaksonen. He was in trouble in the second round against Johan Tatlot who was up 5-2 but Ymer is such a force to be reckoned with when he's at his best and he eventually won the match after saving 6 matchpoints.

They already met back in 2015 in Stockholm open and Sascha won then by 2-1 but I think I'll take my chances with Mike here.

Sasha??

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1 minute ago, four-leaf said:

Yes Alexander is called Sascha just like you can call Alexander Bublik Sascha Bublik.

Yea, okay. I was a bit confused... Sorry thx for the info

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1 hour ago, four-leaf said:

Mike Ymer to beat Sascha Zverev at 6.40 with Pinnacle

Mike is the worst possible kind of opponent for Sascha right now aside from the top tier players. Mike plays his best tennis when nobody expects it from him and here I can see him taking his biggest win ever. I don't even think this would be such a big upset as it looks with Sascha in his current form.

Sascha seems to be desperate for form and confidence, thats why he has been playing so many tournaments and why he went to play a, for him, quite useless Geneva tournament ahead of Roland Garros. Sascha has played too mutch tennis lately and I think it could be his undoing in this match against the grinding Mike.

Mike had a great start in RG, he didn't play for two weeks until the qualifiers which was a very good choice to make and he got through them in three setters against Roberto Marcora, Johan Tatlot and Henri Laaksonen. He was in trouble in the second round against Johan Tatlot who was up 5-2 but Ymer is such a force to be reckoned with when he's at his best and he eventually won the match after saving 6 matchpoints.

They already met back in 2015 in Stockholm open and Sascha won then by 2-1 but I think I'll take my chances with Mike here.

Mikael is a better matchup than Millman. He is more aggressive and less perserving i think. He doesnt have much experience in 5setters. Millman played well cause of the long rallyes. We wont see many of them today because both players will get on the early point and Sascha has the weapons in serve and backhand to win the most of it

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29 minutes ago, Lorenzi Musetti said:

Mikael is a better matchup than Millman. He is more aggressive and less perserving i think. He doesnt have much experience in 5setters. Millman played well cause of the long rallyes. We wont see many of them today because both players will get on the early point and Sascha has the weapons in serve and backhand to win the most of it

Thanks! I think I'll cash-out my bet on Mike then after reading your post and seeing the odds on Mike going up.

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Hsieh to bt Petkovic - 1.75 leaving unmatched for in play on Betfair

Hsieh is reliable enough as a fave, especially on clay. Petkovic is 1-6 as a dog this year and 0-3 on clay. She's lost 6 of the last 7 with the only win coming against Ostapenko who is as good as my nan at the moment. 

Risk of this not being matched if she breaks early but I think it might take a few games to settle down so trying to nick some extra value. 

Edited by Tennis Picks

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S.Tsitsipas (-5.5 games) to beat F.Krajinovic @1.65 with Soocerbet (local bookie)

Tsitsipas is in excellent shape. He won the first two matches relatively easily while Krajinovic had to play two marathon-matches. The second one (vs Baena) was especialy tough. Today Filip withdrew from doubles as a precautionary measure. He's not injured,but he is tired. Also,take note that Filip doesn't like to play against players of Tsitsipas profile.

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I was a big DelPo fan once, but this match seals the deal for me once and for all, I've become tired of his tirades. They aren't as flashy and bizarre as what Kyrgios is doing, but it's nonetheless gamesmanship at its finest and I have no idea why everyone is still so nice to him as if he was some sort of a folk hero :lol. If Nishioka had a brain, he would've won this in four sets max, but he doesn't, so he apparently thinks that he can just outhit DelPo from the baseline - and DelPo is once again doing his best trying to look like he's on the verge of dying. So I guess that the Argentinian is now going to take this and everyone's going to be ecstatic about how he's fought against another injury. For me, he's become more obnoxious than Paire - and that is saying something.

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Nicolas Mahut to beat Leonardo Mayer at 3.95 with 888sport

The man is on a mission and he had 2-0 on Marco Cecchinato and 1-0 on Philipp Kohlschreiber and he's got 2-0 in this matchup and both times in straight sets and once on clay. I like home players on a mission so Nicolas to win this for me.

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As I said, I was a big fan and his GS win was absolutely fantastic. I'm just not a big fan of players who pretend that they are going to collapse at any moment while still being able to play a decent game. He's not alone in this and you may have a different opinion, but I just have to say that he's been a bit of a drama queen way too often recently. If you can't play, you can always retire from a match, there's no shame in doing that. If you can play, however, there's no need to remind us how hurt you are after nearly every single point.

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Parlay at 49.61 with 888sport

Stefanos Tsitsipas to beat -6.5 games at 2.12

Stefanos in his prime, how can I not have him in this parlay.

Sloane Stephens to beat (-1.5 sets) Polona Hercog at 1.79

It's 3-0 for Sloane in this matchup and she's beaten Polona in straight sets every time and twice on clay and last time in Madrid this season and Polonas record in Roland Garros really sucks.

Nicolas Mahut to beat Leonardy Mayer at 3.80

Odds have gone down a bit on Nico but I still think it's worth taking.

Marketa Vondrousova to beat (-3.5) Carla Suárez Navarro at 1.88

Completely agree with @CzechPunter on this one. It should be the end of the road for CSN and likely so in straight sets and then Marketa should cover the 3.5 handicap.

Stan Wawrinka/Grigor Dimitrov over 37.5 games at 1.83

Judging by the way both have been serving this tournament I'd be surprised to see this not going over this line. Should be at least 4 sets with a tie-break or two possible.

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Carreno-Busta (-2.5 games) to beat Paire at 1.80 with SportingBet

Although PCB has not had a stellar season thus far, he seems to coming back to form, winning both of his French Open matches in straight sets. On the other hand, Paire has had two hard matches, especially the 5 set thriller against Pierre Herbert. He also played a full week in Lyon last week, so fatigue will likely play a part in this fixture. Yes Paire did beat Carreno-Busta in Barcelona earlier this year on clay, but PCB was just returning from injury and he still took a set off Paire so I'm unsure how much we can read into that result.

 

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Well, I suppose that we can agree to disagree then. I do not hate him, he's just become a completely normal player for me now, not someone I'd be cheering for. Let's get back to the French Open now though, we've already spent enough posts discussing one player that's obviously always going to be a legend for many.

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Fabio Fognini to beat Roberto Bautista-Agut at 1.81 with Unibet

Things are likely to be mad for a set or two here, but, right now, Fognini is the better player of the two and I'd say that he deserves to be an even bigger fav than the odds suggest. He can go crazy, of course, and I wouldn't back him below 1.60, but this looks fair and worth taking to me. RBA has done surprisingly little on clay so far in 2019.

Amanda Anisimova (-3.5) to beat Irina Begu at 1.80 with Bet365

I was a bit surprised to see Anisimiova beat Sabalenko so easily, but fair play to her, she played well and looked to be back to her previous best. Begu, on the other hand, was really lucky to find Muchova missing in the second half of her match. Anisimova has enough power to just out-hit Begu and I hope that this is indeed what's going to happen.

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Moutet to beat Londero at 2.50 with Bet365

Moutet recorded an impressive victory in the last round against Pella and last week showed good tennis in Lion where he beat Opelka and lost in close match against the Bautista Agut. Frenchman is in good shape and with the crowd at his back he has a good chance of winning. Londero made an impressive season, but his best results were in South America, so far he has not shown anything in Europe. Moutet has a better chance of win than the odds suggest for me.

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Stan Wawrinka to beat (-4,5) Grigor Dimitrov at 1.80 with bet365

Stan is playing amazing now. He absolutely destroyed Garin (6-1, 6-4, 6-0), who was playing his best tennis right now, winning in Munich just 1 month ago. Dimitrov has played 5 sets in his 2 matches here and the sensations were not good. Looks like he has some kind of problems in his shoulder.

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58 minutes ago, i1_principe said:

Moutet to beat Londero at 2.50 with Bet365

Moutet recorded an impressive victory in the last round against Pella and last week showed good tennis in Lion where he beat Opelka and lost in close match against the Bautista Agut. Frenchman is in good shape and with the crowd at his back he has a good chance of winning. Londero made an impressive season, but his best results were in South America, so far he has not shown anything in Europe. Moutet has a better chance of win than the odds suggest for me.

veri nice I think he win to. Hes been so good.

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18 hours ago, four-leaf said:

Nicolas Mahut to beat Leonardo Mayer at 3.95 with 888sport

The man is on a mission and he had 2-0 on Marco Cecchinato and 1-0 on Philipp Kohlschreiber and he's got 2-0 in this matchup and both times in straight sets and once on clay. I like home players on a mission so Nicolas to win this for me.

Mahut playing solid ..dont think this game will go more than 4 sets ... may be 3 sets and over 

Edited by Wekkey

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41 minutes ago, Wekkey said:

Mahut playing solid ..dont think this game will go more than 4 sets ... may be 3 sets and over 

Looks like Mahut is a little bit injured. Anyway, he has won the first set that has been absolutely weird. After an early break for Mayer seemed that the match would be a walk for the Argentinian but suddenly started with some “strange” UEs and came 2 consecutive breaks for Mahut. So basically, we have a pure claycourter with a 310-199 record against a 37 years old player with a 56-81 record on this surface who is playing with some obvious physical problems. The most funny thing is how is playing Mayer. In this situation the most obvious tactic is try to move your opponent and make the points as long as you can but.. what is doing Mayer? Looking for fast winner (and making a lot of UE obviously). I have never played tennis at the level that these guys are playing but there are some things that I will never understand.

After seeing the 1st set and part of the 2nd one i have to say that the most normal thing here is Mayer winning this 3-1 or 3-2 but considering the players that we have on court and how weird was the first set who knows.. 

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