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CzechPunter

Tennis Tips - May 20 - May 25

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Katerina Siniakova (-3.5) to beat Mandy Minella at 1.82 with Pinnacle

This looks like a match that Siniakova should finally be able to win and win well at that. Her form might not be as good as Minella's, but she's been competing against tougher opponents and this is a decent step down from the likes of Kasatkina, Bertens, or Strycova. Siniakova reached the SFs here last time out and I wouldn't be surprised by a repeat of that.

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Paolo Lorenzi to beat Enzo Couacaud at 1.50 with Pinnacle

The only qualifiers bets that I like so far. Lorenzi has been fairly consistent all season long and has all the experience in the world, while Enzo has only beaten GGL really. A good result, but not one that'd make me fancy him here.

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Tipsarevic to beat Gojowczyk  at 2.35 with Unibet

Gojowczyk is out of form at all, he played 5 games  on clay this year and lost 4 of them.  Tipsarevic is far from his best days, but in Houston he showed he can still play good tennis. There he reached the quarterfinals after defeating Norrie and Sandgren before dropping out of Querry after 2 tiebreaks.  I think the Serb has a good chance of winning, I do not think that Gojowczyk has any advantage here.

 

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On 5/19/2019 at 10:36 AM, CzechPunter said:

Katerina Siniakova (-3.5) to beat Mandy Minella at 1.82 with Pinnacle

This looks like a match that Siniakova should finally be able to win and win well at that. Her form might not be as good as Minella's, but she's been competing against tougher opponents and this is a decent step down from the likes of Kasatkina, Bertens, or Strycova. Siniakova reached the SFs here last time out and I wouldn't be surprised by a repeat of that.

Katerina Siniakova (-3.5) to beat Mandy Minella at 1.74 with betsson

It's betsson for me then since I'm not allowed to bet at Pinnacle anymore.

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2 picks for today and tomorrow matches:

FRENCH OPEN QUALIFICATION BAGNIS-SOEDA 2:0 SETS @ 1.55 willhill (or 1.5 bet365, betvictor and others)
Soeda has no game and no results on clay. Bagnis is a good clay court specialist with good recent form.

ATP CHALLENGER JERUSALEM BEGA-ELBAZ 2:0 SETS @ 1.3 betfair sportsbook
Elbaz is a local wild-card nobody. Bega is in an OK form, should be an easy 2-0 sets win.

 

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Kaichi Uchida to beat Mirza Basic at 2.70 with Unibet

Mirza are one of the best players to go against as a favourite since his ranking is quite high and he often gets overvalued by his performance in Sofia last season. Mirza is not that good and Kaichi is a player often more likely to win than his odds say.

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Taylor Fritz to beat Richard Gasquet at 1.73 with Ladbrokes

Gasquet doesn't look healthy at all to me, big issues against Janvier as well, while Fritz has been out-playing strong opposition on clay recently. You obviously don't know the motivations of the players right before the French Open, but Gasquet probably can't risk anything fitness-wise if he wants to show up at RG.

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Alright, taking that back about Siniakova, just a poor start, which is unfortunate :$. I was right about Gasquet by the looks of things, but he just withdrew instead of playing it out. A bit sickened by all those recent bad beats like this, Smith, etc.

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T.Daniel to beat Jarry at 2.75 with Bet365

I think that Jary is a little overrated here. He is not in good shape at all, he has defeated 2 opponents so far, but Kudla and Ebden are neither in good shape nor prefer to play on clay. Daniel has recorded an impressive victory over Garin, a player who has been impressed in recent months.  For me the odds should be more equal and I am happy to get 2.75 for Daniel’s win here.

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Shilin Xu (+1.5 sets) to beat Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov at 2.23 with Sbobet

Shilin Xu is a legitimate up-and-coming player in my opinion and she produced a brilliant performance against Vogele in the first round, so I think that there is value in backing her here in some form as well. I don't know why, but Chinese players tend to be really prepared for GS quallies, I noticed that last year and this season seems to be similar in some respects. Anyway, I was expecting something like 1.80 for this.

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40 minutes ago, aphro said:

Value radar: Shapovalov to beat Paire at 2.11 with Sbobet

Sorry if this has been answered but what does the Value radar work on?

I normally like to see opinion and insight from the picks. If its just a system I'd rather read it in the Betting Systems and Strategy forum. I like to know the reasoning behind peoples picks before I can decide whether to follow. Just my opinion.

 

Also while I'm here, big thank you to all the regular posters, I should try and post more of my own picks but the wealth of knowledge from others is great to read.

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3 minutes ago, CSanders22 said:

Sorry if this has been answered but what does the Value radar work on?

I normally like to see opinion and insight from the picks. If its just a system I'd rather read it in the Betting Systems and Strategy forum. I like to know the reasoning behind peoples picks before I can decide whether to follow. Just my opinion.

 

Also while I'm here, big thank you to all the regular posters, I should try and post more of my own picks but the wealth of knowledge from others is great to read.

Not a problem at all, i respect the community so i hope that everyone contributes to everybody's success. So this is the system based on statistics and Artificial Intelligence. The reason i'm posting my forecasts here, not in glory hunters is that i'm always glad to hear expert's opinion, at this point both AI and expert's opinion is more effective than just AI.

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Dustin Brown to beat Salvatore Caruso at 1.76 with Unibet

Dreddy is my absolute favourite for qualifying for RG. He's a mutch better player than many in the top 200 if he doesn't fool around and Salvatore is exactly the kind of player Dustin should have his chances to beat in lots of rallies.

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Dustin Brown to beat (-1.5 sets) Salvatore Caruso at 3.45 with Unibet

This bet is a jackpot bet and I think it can happen. At the very least I expect Dustin to extend his win streak in this matchup to 4-0 and it's not unlikely to be a straight sets win for Dreddy.

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