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Hunter Chases - Fakenham 2.20 & 5.15


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A 4 runner race and a match are at Fakenham on Easter Monday which sums up the lack of runners in points this weekend. May as well start with the match as Sir Jack Yeats will win unless he comes to grief. I'm not going to put him up but have to say he should be shorter than 1/4 given he was miles in front of his rival here on Gold Cup day.

As much as I saw the Alan Hill team have 3 winners at Kimble on Saturday I would be surprised if he won this with Allie Beag as he has a bit too find based on form lines with the others although this drop in trip should help and to be fair he probably shouldn't be as big a price as he is as this isn't a strong heat.

Granted the two at the head of the market have good previous rules form, but I'm not sure how much ability either has right now. I was more than happy to oppose Cyrius Moriviere at Stratford and he showed very little. He has been 2nd in a point at Kingston Blount beaten by a horse called Free Of Charge who was having his first start for a couple of years, but was rated in the mid 90s when last seen for Gordon Elliott. Those two were a long way clear of the rest, but chances are it isn't strong form. Tabitha Worsley has the ride which is obviously a plus.

On Llancillo Lord's last run in Ireland in November 2016 he finished a 3L 2nd to Presenting Percy. He only had 1 good run in 4 starts over here and that came in November when a close 7th at Chepstow over 2m off a mark of 117. He disappointed after that though and has bled in the past. He only made £1k at the sales in January, but he made a winning pointing debut for new connections at Maisemore last Sunday. He won by 12L in a fair enough time although the final circuit time was very slow which suggests they went too quick early on. That form is very weak although like I say it was an easy win.

What you wont see in the form is that Postbridge won on Saturday at Higham. It was only a match, but he beat a solid yardstick 35L. Now chances are his rival didn't run his race, but the time was good given how easily he won. He ran in a point here last Sunday and finished 3rd in a decent enough contest and the weekend before that he was beaten a neck at High Easter by a horse who is 4/4 this season. Granted there must be a chance he doesn't run because he ran on Saturday, but it certainly doesn't put me off backing him and for me he has the best form in the race this season. Crazily he was put in at 18/1 by Betfair and Paddy's but it lasted 3 minutes and he is now 4/1. I personally think that is still value as based on this season's form he should be favourite and he is the bet.

Postbridge 2pts @ 4/1 with William Hill, Betfair and Paddy Power

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